HOU at JAXJAX -1.5o/u 41

ST Model JAX -1.6(+0.1 vs market)

Since first recorded HOU -0.52 → JAXo/u 41flat43d ago · 6 books · 2 moved off it

Trends · player props · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

HOU — the basics

393 graded games since 1999

on the road	95-103	48%	-0.3	29/198	n=198
vs JAX	27-20	57%	+3.0	6/47	n=47
as an underdog	118-124	49%	+0.0	29/242	n=242
spread 1-2.5	38-37	51%	+0.1	19/75	n=75
in a division game	74-66	53%	+1.6	18/140	n=140
in the Sunday early window	143-139	51%	+0.2	37/282	n=282
in October	41-49	46%	+0.3	12/90	n=90
outdoors	101-99	51%	+1.0	24/200	n=200
on grass	116-117	50%	+0.6	14/233	n=233
at this venue	14-9	61%	+3.9	3/23	n=23
under this head coach	29-27	52%	+2.5	56/56	n=56
in the last 5 seasons	45-44	51%	+1.6	56/89	n=89

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

HOU — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 393 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=393

HOU — combinations

432 lean HOU · 57 lean against

Read this first. 545 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 3.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs JAX + in October	7-1	88%from 57%	+11.6	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	7-1	88%from 88%	+11.6	0/8	n=8
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 88%	+8.8	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	6-1	86%from 88%	+11.9	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	6-1	86%from 86%	+11.9	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 86%	+8.8	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 88%	+8.8	0/5	n=5
in October + at this venue	4-1	80%from 46%	+8.8	0/5	n=5
as an underdog + at this venue	11-5	69%from 49%	+5.6	2/16	n=16
vs JAX + as an underdog	17-8	68%from 57%	+5.6	4/25	n=25
+ in October	5-1	83%from 68%	+11.9	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	5-1	83%from 83%	+11.9	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 83%	+11.9	0/6	n=6
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 83%	+8.8	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	15-6	71%from 68%	+6.6	2/21	n=21
+ on grass	15-6	71%from 71%	+6.6	2/21	n=21
+ at this venue	11-5	69%from 71%	+5.6	2/16	n=16
+ on grass	15-6	71%from 68%	+6.6	2/21	n=21
+ at this venue	11-5	69%from 71%	+5.6	2/16	n=16
+ in the Sunday early window	16-7	70%from 68%	+6.0	4/23	n=23
+ in October	4-1	80%from 70%	+11.7	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	14-5	74%from 70%	+7.2	2/19	n=19
+ on grass	14-5	74%from 70%	+7.2	2/19	n=19
+ at this venue	10-5	67%from 70%	+5.1	2/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 70%	+7.2	4/8	n=8
+ at this venue	11-5	69%from 68%	+5.6	2/16	n=16
+ in a division game	17-8	68%from 68%	+5.6	4/25	n=25
+ in October	5-1	83%from 68%	+11.9	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	15-6	71%from 68%	+6.6	2/21	n=21
+ on grass	15-6	71%from 68%	+6.6	2/21	n=21
+ in the Sunday early window	16-7	70%from 68%	+6.0	4/23	n=23
+ at this venue	11-5	69%from 68%	+5.6	2/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 68%	+7.2	4/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 68%	+7.2	4/8	n=8
+ spread 1-2.5	4-3	57%from 68%	+5.6	3/7	n=7
+ outdoors	3-2	60%from 57%	+6.5	1/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 57%	+6.5	1/5	n=5
+ in a division game	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.6	3/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	4-3	57%from 57%	+5.6	3/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

JAX — the basics

418 graded games since 1999

at home	96-113	46%	-0.3	10/209	n=209
vs HOU	20-27	43%	-3.0	2/47	n=47
as a favorite	66-82	45%	-0.8	10/148	n=148
spread 1-2.5	37-47	44%	-1.4	7/84	n=84
in a division game	84-73	54%	+0.6	6/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	145-155	48%	-0.2	13/300	n=300
in October	41-60	41%	-2.9	3/101	n=101
outdoors	171-188	48%	-0.8	14/359	n=359
on grass	152-170	47%	-0.6	15/322	n=322
at this venue	90-108	45%	-0.5	10/198	n=198
at a neutral site	7-7	50%	-0.9	1/14	n=14
under this head coach	12-6	67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	46-41	53%	+0.2	18/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

JAX — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=418

JAX — combinations

213 lean JAX · 359 lean against

Read this first. 631 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	5-1	83%from 54%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
on grass + under this head coach	11-4	73%from 47%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-4	73%from 73%	+7.7	15/15	n=15
outdoors + under this head coach	10-4	71%from 48%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-4	71%from 71%	+8.3	14/14	n=14
at home + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 46%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
as a favorite + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 45%	+5.8	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+5.8	10/10	n=10
at this venue + under this head coach	7-3	70%from 45%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 70%	+7.5	10/10	n=10
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	12-6	67%from 67%	+6.1	18/18	n=18
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	19-11	63%from 54%	+2.8	6/30	n=30
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-5	62%from 48%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-5	62%from 62%	+6.0	13/13	n=13
at a neutral site + in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 50%	-1.8	1/7	n=7
in a division game + in the Sunday early window	68-53	56%from 54%	+1.0	6/121	n=121
+ under this head coach	5-1	83%from 56%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 83%	+9.4	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	19-10	66%from 56%	+3.0	6/29	n=29
+ on grass	50-42	54%from 56%	+1.0	4/92	n=92
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-7	63%from 54%	+4.1	4/19	n=19
+ at this venue	30-27	53%from 54%	+1.3	3/57	n=57
+ outdoors	49-42	54%from 56%	+1.0	4/91	n=91
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 54%	+3.6	4/20	n=20
+ at this venue	30-27	53%from 54%	+1.3	3/57	n=57
+ on grass	45-41	52%from 54%	+0.6	4/86	n=86
+ at this venue	30-27	53%from 56%	+1.3	3/57	n=57
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-5	64%from 53%	+4.4	3/14	n=14
+ in October	9-12	43%from 56%	-2.4	0/21	n=21
+ outdoors	7-11	39%from 43%	-4.3	0/18	n=18
+ on grass	6-11	35%from 43%	-4.8	0/17	n=17
+ at this venue	3-8	27%from 43%	-3.9	0/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 43%	-4.3	0/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.