LAC at KCKC -2.5o/u 46.5

ST Model KC -4(+1.5 vs market)

Since first recorded KC -2.5o/u 46.5unchanged · 36d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

LAC — the basics

423 graded games since 1999

on the road	118-94	56%	+1.1	19/212	n=212
vs KC	26-25	51%	-1.3	4/51	n=51
as an underdog	102-80	56%	+1.3	10/182	n=182
spread 1-2.5	43-42	51%	+1.1	10/85	n=85
in a division game	81-72	53%	-0.1	12/153	n=153
in the Sunday late window	106-117	48%	-0.5	12/223	n=223
in October	50-49	51%	+1.6	7/99	n=99
outdoors	171-168	50%	+0.8	13/339	n=339
on grass	154-149	51%	+0.7	13/303	n=303
at this venue	14-11	56%	-0.3	2/25	n=25
under this head coach	22-14	61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
in the last 5 seasons	46-40	53%	-0.6	36/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

LAC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 423 graded games: +0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=423
LAC has failed to cover 3 straight	n=3

LAC — combinations

236 lean LAC · 101 lean against

Read this first. 375 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 88% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 1.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in a division game + under this head coach	11-1	92%from 53%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-1	92%from 92%	+4.9	12/12	n=12
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+3.3	2/5	n=5
vs KC + in the last 5 seasons	7-3	70%from 51%	+2.1	4/10	n=10
in the Sunday late window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 48%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	-1.9	12/12	n=12
as an underdog + in October	23-14	62%from 56%	+4.0	0/37	n=37
+ on grass	18-8	69%from 62%	+5.3	0/26	n=26
+ outdoors	20-11	65%from 62%	+4.7	0/31	n=31
+ on grass	18-8	69%from 65%	+5.3	0/26	n=26
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	18-11	62%from 53%	-0.2	12/29	n=29
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	22-14	61%from 61%	+1.1	36/36	n=36
on the road + as an underdog	74-49	60%from 56%	+1.6	6/123	n=123
+ on grass	49-32	60%from 60%	+0.8	4/81	n=81
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 60%	-2.0	2/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 60%	-3.7	4/14	n=14
+ in a division game	27-18	60%from 60%	-0.6	3/45	n=45
+ outdoors	26-16	62%from 60%	+0.2	3/42	n=42
+ on grass	26-18	59%from 60%	-0.7	3/44	n=44
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 60%	-2.0	2/17	n=17
+ in the Sunday late window	12-10	55%from 60%	-0.1	1/22	n=22
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 60%	-2.9	3/10	n=10
+ in October	3-4	43%from 60%	-1.6	0/7	n=7
+ in October	16-11	59%from 60%	+2.2	0/27	n=27
+ on grass	11-6	65%from 59%	+2.9	0/17	n=17
+ outdoors	13-9	59%from 59%	+2.5	0/22	n=22
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 60%	-2.0	2/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 59%	+3.3	2/5	n=5
+ outdoors	60-44	58%from 60%	+1.1	5/104	n=104
+ on grass	46-30	61%from 58%	+1.1	4/76	n=76
+ at this venue	10-7	59%from 58%	-2.0	2/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-6	57%from 58%	+0.3	5/14	n=14
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 58%	-1.3	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-8	56%from 60%	-0.9	6/18	n=18
+ spread 1-2.5	13-11	54%from 60%	+4.3	1/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 54%	+9.4	1/5	n=5
+ outdoors	10-9	53%from 54%	+3.2	0/19	n=19
+ on grass	7-8	47%from 54%	+1.9	0/15	n=15
+ in a division game	3-4	43%from 54%	+0.1	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday late window	2-3	40%from 54%	+1.9	0/5	n=5
+ in the Sunday late window	19-18	51%from 60%	-0.1	1/37	n=37
+ in October	5-4	56%from 51%	+0.2	0/9	n=9
+ outdoors	18-16	53%from 51%	-0.2	1/34	n=34
+ on grass	12-14	46%from 51%	-0.8	1/26	n=26
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 51%	-3.0	1/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	3-3	50%from 60%	+2.0	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 50%	+2.0	6/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

KC — the basics

441 graded games since 1999

at home	109-116	48%	+1.2	122/225	n=225
vs LAC	25-26	49%	+1.3	25/51	n=51
as a favorite	131-145	47%	+0.9	189/276	n=276
spread 1-2.5	45-38	54%	+0.7	40/83	n=83
in a division game	79-78	50%	+0.7	77/157	n=157
off a bye	27-33	45%	+0.1	41/60	n=60
in the Sunday late window	60-53	53%	+1.7	65/113	n=113
in October	59-42	58%	+1.9	52/101	n=101
outdoors	202-193	51%	+1.0	203/395	n=395
on grass	181-168	52%	+1.5	173/349	n=349
at this venue	105-116	48%	+1.0	118/221	n=221
under this head coach	122-112	52%	+1.8	234/234	n=234
in the last 5 seasons	44-52	46%	-0.3	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

KC — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 441 graded games: +0.9 pts vs their number per game	n=441

KC — combinations

302 lean KC · 446 lean against

Read this first. 798 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 89% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs LAC + in October	5-2	71%from 49%	+0.6	2/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	+0.6	2/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+0.6	2/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-2	71%from 71%	+0.6	2/7	n=7
spread 1-2.5 + in a division game	14-7	67%from 54%	+2.1	4/21	n=21
+ on grass	14-7	67%from 67%	+2.1	4/21	n=21
+ at this venue	7-4	64%from 67%	+1.9	2/11	n=11
+ outdoors	13-7	65%from 67%	+0.9	3/20	n=20
+ on grass	13-7	65%from 65%	+0.9	3/20	n=20
+ at this venue	7-4	64%from 65%	+1.9	2/11	n=11
+ at this venue	7-4	64%from 67%	+1.9	2/11	n=11
+ in the Sunday late window	5-3	63%from 67%	0.0	1/8	n=8
+ outdoors	5-3	63%from 63%	0.0	1/8	n=8
+ on grass	5-3	63%from 63%	0.0	1/8	n=8
spread 1-2.5 + in October	14-8	64%from 54%	+2.9	9/22	n=22
+ under this head coach	7-2	78%from 64%	+6.6	9/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 78%	+5.3	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 64%	+5.3	6/6	n=6
+ outdoors	13-8	62%from 64%	+2.8	8/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	6-2	75%from 62%	+6.7	8/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 62%	+5.3	6/6	n=6
+ on grass	11-8	58%from 62%	+1.7	7/19	n=19
+ at this venue	4-6	40%from 62%	-1.4	3/10	n=10
+ on grass	11-8	58%from 64%	+1.7	7/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	5-2	71%from 58%	+4.8	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 58%	+2.4	5/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-6	40%from 58%	-1.4	3/10	n=10
+ at this venue	4-6	40%from 64%	-1.4	3/10	n=10

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.