PIT at TBTB -1.5o/u 45.5

ST Model TB -2.7(+1.2 vs market)

Since first recorded TB -1.5o/u 45.5unchanged · 36d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-102	53%	+0.5	0/217	n=217
vs TB	6-1	86%	+9.0	0/7	n=7
as an underdog	96-55	64%	+2.3	0/151	n=151
spread 1-2.5	49-34	59%	+1.1	0/83	n=83
in the Sunday early window	127-95	57%	+1.7	0/222	n=222
in October	63-35	64%	+3.8	0/98	n=98
outdoors	218-188	54%	+1.0	0/406	n=406
on grass	150-130	54%	+1.3	0/280	n=280
at this venue	4-1	80%	+10.2	0/5	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

138 lean PIT · 10 lean against

Read this first. 165 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs TB + outdoors	6-1	86%from 86%	+9.0	0/7	n=7
+ on grass	5-1	83%from 86%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
vs TB + on grass	5-1	83%from 86%	+9.2	0/6	n=6
on the road + at this venue	4-1	80%from 53%	+10.2	0/5	n=5
outdoors + at this venue	4-1	80%from 54%	+10.2	0/5	n=5
on grass + at this venue	4-1	80%from 54%	+10.2	0/5	n=5
as an underdog + in the Sunday early window	46-17	73%from 64%	+3.9	0/63	n=63
+ on grass	31-9	78%from 73%	+5.3	0/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-3	79%from 78%	+5.4	0/14	n=14
+ outdoors	43-17	72%from 73%	+3.6	0/60	n=60
+ on grass	31-9	78%from 72%	+5.3	0/40	n=40
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-6	70%from 72%	+1.9	0/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-6	71%from 73%	+2.4	0/21	n=21
+ in October	14-6	70%from 73%	+4.8	0/20	n=20
+ on grass	12-5	71%from 70%	+5.4	0/17	n=17
+ outdoors	14-6	70%from 70%	+4.8	0/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 70%	+0.6	0/7	n=7
as an underdog + in October	27-11	71%from 64%	+5.5	0/38	n=38
+ outdoors	26-10	72%from 71%	+5.8	0/36	n=36
+ on grass	22-9	71%from 72%	+5.8	0/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-5	55%from 72%	+1.9	0/11	n=11
+ on grass	22-9	71%from 71%	+5.8	0/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 71%	+4.2	0/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 71%	+2.6	0/12	n=12
as an underdog + spread 1-2.5	30-13	70%from 64%	+3.0	0/43	n=43
+ on grass	21-6	78%from 70%	+4.6	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 78%	+4.2	0/9	n=9
+ in the Sunday early window	16-6	73%from 70%	+2.9	0/22	n=22
+ on grass	12-3	80%from 73%	+4.7	0/15	n=15
+ outdoors	15-6	71%from 73%	+2.7	0/21	n=21
+ in October	4-2	67%from 73%	+0.3	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 73%	-0.1	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	28-11	72%from 70%	+3.5	0/39	n=39
+ on grass	21-6	78%from 72%	+4.6	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-3	73%from 72%	+2.1	0/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 70%	+1.3	0/13	n=13
+ in October	4-3	57%from 70%	-1.1	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	4-2	67%from 57%	+0.3	0/6	n=6
+ on grass	3-2	60%from 57%	-1.3	0/5	n=5

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

TB — the basics

425 graded games since 1999

at home	94-118	44%	-0.6	36/212	n=212
vs PIT	1-6	14%	-9.0	1/7	n=7
as a favorite	92-117	44%	-0.2	40/209	n=209
spread 1-2.5	43-44	49%	+0.3	21/87	n=87
off a bye	25-18	58%	+4.8	7/43	n=43
in the Sunday early window	134-125	52%	+0.8	38/259	n=259
in October	38-60	39%	-0.4	17/98	n=98
outdoors	151-184	45%	-0.5	52/335	n=335
on grass	140-168	45%	-0.5	46/308	n=308
at this venue	92-115	44%	-0.6	35/207	n=207
under this head coach	31-40	44%	+0.0	71/71	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	41-49	46%	+0.1	71/90	n=90

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=425
TB has failed to cover 9 straight	n=9

TB — combinations

84 lean TB · 337 lean against

Read this first. 459 combinations shown. The best one here is 71%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
at home + off a bye	14-8	64%from 44%	+7.2	2/22	n=22
+ in the Sunday early window	9-4	69%from 64%	+8.6	1/13	n=13
+ outdoors	9-4	69%from 69%	+8.6	1/13	n=13
+ on grass	9-4	69%from 69%	+8.6	1/13	n=13
+ at this venue	9-4	69%from 69%	+8.6	1/13	n=13
+ outdoors	14-8	64%from 64%	+7.2	2/22	n=22
+ on grass	14-8	64%from 64%	+7.2	2/22	n=22
+ at this venue	14-8	64%from 64%	+7.2	2/22	n=22
+ on grass	14-8	64%from 64%	+7.2	2/22	n=22
+ at this venue	14-8	64%from 64%	+7.2	2/22	n=22
+ at this venue	14-8	64%from 64%	+7.2	2/22	n=22
+ in October	4-5	44%from 64%	+5.1	1/9	n=9
+ outdoors	4-5	44%from 44%	+5.1	1/9	n=9
+ on grass	4-5	44%from 44%	+5.1	1/9	n=9
+ at this venue	4-5	44%from 44%	+5.1	1/9	n=9
off a bye + at this venue	14-8	64%from 58%	+7.2	2/22	n=22
off a bye + in the Sunday early window	17-11	61%from 58%	+5.3	6/28	n=28
+ at this venue	9-4	69%from 61%	+8.6	1/13	n=13
+ in October	6-4	60%from 61%	+6.5	1/10	n=10
+ outdoors	4-4	50%from 60%	+5.0	0/8	n=8
+ on grass	3-3	50%from 60%	+5.4	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	13-9	59%from 61%	+5.0	4/22	n=22
+ at this venue	9-4	69%from 59%	+8.6	1/13	n=13
+ on grass	11-8	58%from 59%	+4.6	3/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	1-4	20%from 59%	-5.2	4/5	n=5
+ on grass	11-8	58%from 61%	+4.6	3/19	n=19
+ at this venue	9-4	69%from 58%	+8.6	1/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	3-3	50%from 61%	+2.5	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 50%	+2.5	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 61%	-0.7	6/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.