SEA at DENSEA -2o/u 43.5
ST Model SEA -3.5(-1.5 vs market)
Since first recorded SEA -1.5o/u 43.5unchanged · 43d ago · 2 books
Trends · player props · 2026 week 6
How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
SEA — the basics
436 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 106-113 | 48% | +0.6 | 18/219 | n=219 |
| vs DEN | 6-5 | 55% | +3.0 | 1/11 | n=11 |
| as a favorite | 126-123 | 51% | +1.6 | 23/249 | n=249 |
| spread 1-2.5 | 46-46 | 50% | +0.2 | 11/92 | n=92 |
| on a short week | 8-9 | 47% | +0.0 | 4/17 | n=17 |
| on Thursday night | 10-9 | 53% | +1.0 | 4/19 | n=19 |
| in October | 42-54 | 44% | -0.8 | 7/96 | n=96 |
| outdoors | 187-174 | 52% | +1.0 | 30/361 | n=361 |
| on grass | 67-74 | 48% | -0.1 | 11/141 | n=141 |
| under this head coach | 21-16 | 57% | +4.5 | 37/37 | n=37 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 45-42 | 52% | +2.1 | 37/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
SEA — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +7.4 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 436 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game | n=436 |
| SEA has covered 5 straight | n=5 |
SEA — combinations
114 lean SEA · 38 lean against
Read this first. 171 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 85% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| on a short week + on grass | 5-1 | 83%from 47% | +6.0 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| on Thursday night + on grass | 5-1 | 83%from 53% | +6.0 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| on grass + under this head coach | 9-2 | 82%from 48% | +8.5 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 9-2 | 82%from 82% | +8.5 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| on the road + on Thursday night | 6-2 | 75%from 48% | +3.3 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| + on grass | 5-1 | 83%from 75% | +6.0 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 3-2 | 60%from 75% | +2.8 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + under this head coach | 13-5 | 72%from 48% | +7.3 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 13-5 | 72%from 72% | +7.3 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| on the road + on a short week | 5-2 | 71%from 48% | +3.2 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| + on grass | 5-1 | 83%from 71% | +6.0 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| + on Thursday night | 5-2 | 71%from 71% | +3.2 | 2/7 | n=7 |
| + on grass | 5-1 | 83%from 71% | +6.0 | 2/6 | n=6 |
| + outdoors | 3-2 | 60%from 71% | +2.8 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 3-2 | 60%from 71% | +2.8 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| in October + in the last 5 seasons | 13-7 | 65%from 44% | +4.0 | 7/20 | n=20 |
| spread 1-2.5 + under this head coach | 7-4 | 64%from 50% | +4.4 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-4 | 64%from 64% | +4.4 | 11/11 | n=11 |
| as a favorite + under this head coach | 14-9 | 61%from 51% | +6.0 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 14-9 | 61%from 61% | +6.0 | 23/23 | n=23 |
| on grass + in the last 5 seasons | 14-9 | 61%from 48% | +2.8 | 11/23 | n=23 |
| as a favorite + on Thursday night | 6-4 | 60%from 51% | +2.3 | 3/10 | n=10 |
| + outdoors | 4-4 | 50%from 60% | +1.8 | 2/8 | n=8 |
| on the road + vs DEN | 3-2 | 60%from 48% | +5.3 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| + outdoors | 3-2 | 60%from 60% | +5.3 | 0/5 | n=5 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.