TEN at INDIND -3.5o/u 48

ST Model IND -11.4(+7.9 vs market)

Since first recorded IND -3.5flato/u 48.5-122d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 6

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

TEN — the basics

421 graded games since 1999

on the road	98-117	46%	-1.0	0/215	n=215
vs IND	19-29	40%	-3.6	0/48	n=48
as an underdog	110-124	47%	-0.6	0/234	n=234
spread 3.5-6.5	71-91	44%	-0.8	0/162	n=162
in a division game	68-94	42%	-2.7	0/162	n=162
in the Sunday early window	128-168	43%	-1.5	0/296	n=296
in October	47-52	47%	-1.6	0/99	n=99
on turf	36-51	41%	-3.1	0/87	n=87
at this venue	6-12	33%	-3.7	0/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	35-47	43%	-1.8	0/82	n=82

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TEN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -4.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 421 graded games: -1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=421
TEN has failed to cover 2 straight	n=2

TEN — combinations

26 lean TEN · 240 lean against

Read this first. 298 combinations shown. The best one here is 67%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
in October + in the last 5 seasons	11-9	55%from 47%	+1.7	0/20	n=20
in a division game + in October	20-17	54%from 42%	-1.9	0/37	n=37
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 54%	+2.6	0/8	n=8
+ on turf	4-4	50%from 54%	-3.8	0/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 50%	+1.1	0/5	n=5
on the road + in October	26-26	50%from 46%	-1.5	0/52	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 50%	-2.0	0/12	n=12
+ on turf	8-12	40%from 50%	-7.1	0/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 40%	-5.4	0/8	n=8
vs IND + in October	7-7	50%from 40%	-1.5	0/14	n=14
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 50%	+2.4	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 50%	+0.1	0/6	n=6
as an underdog + in October	25-27	48%from 47%	-0.9	0/52	n=52
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-6	54%from 48%	+2.1	0/13	n=13
+ on turf	6-8	43%from 48%	-5.6	0/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-4	33%from 43%	-5.6	0/6	n=6
as an underdog + spread 3.5-6.5	46-50	48%from 47%	+0.2	0/96	n=96
+ in October	10-9	53%from 48%	+0.9	0/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 53%	+4.7	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	3-4	43%from 53%	-0.5	0/7	n=7
+ on turf	12-13	48%from 48%	+1.1	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 48%	-0.7	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	1-5	17%from 48%	-0.7	0/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday early window	29-35	45%from 48%	+0.2	0/64	n=64
+ in October	5-6	45%from 45%	-0.3	0/11	n=11
+ on turf	7-11	39%from 45%	-0.5	0/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-15	29%from 45%	-3.8	0/21	n=21
+ at this venue	1-5	17%from 45%	-0.7	0/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-17	37%from 48%	-2.2	0/27	n=27
+ in a division game	8-19	30%from 48%	-5.8	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 30%	-4.3	0/9	n=9
+ in the Sunday early window	6-15	29%from 30%	-5.4	0/21	n=21
+ at this venue	1-5	17%from 30%	-0.7	0/6	n=6
+ on turf	1-9	10%from 30%	-4.9	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	1-5	17%from 48%	-0.7	0/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

IND — the basics

437 graded games since 1999

at home	112-108	51%	+0.8	26/220	n=220
vs TEN	29-19	60%	+3.6	6/48	n=48
as a favorite	144-125	54%	+1.1	23/269	n=269
spread 3.5-6.5	80-66	55%	-0.2	19/146	n=146
in a division game	79-79	50%	+0.2	18/158	n=158
in the Sunday early window	131-133	50%	+0.4	40/264	n=264
in October	56-44	56%	+0.8	13/100	n=100
on turf	153-137	53%	+0.9	37/290	n=290
at this venue	76-73	51%	+0.6	26/149	n=149
under this head coach	27-24	53%	+0.2	51/51	n=51
in the last 5 seasons	43-42	51%	-0.5	51/85	n=85

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

IND — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 437 graded games: +0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=437

IND — combinations

263 lean IND · 136 lean against

Read this first. 449 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 7.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs TEN + under this head coach	6-0	100%from 60%	+7.3	6/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-0	100%from 100%	+7.3	6/6	n=6
vs TEN + spread 3.5-6.5	11-4	73%from 60%	+4.3	2/15	n=15
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 73%	+3.5	1/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	10-2	83%from 73%	+5.2	2/12	n=12
+ on turf	6-1	86%from 83%	+3.5	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 83%	+3.5	1/7	n=7
+ on turf	6-2	75%from 73%	+2.8	1/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 75%	+3.5	1/7	n=7
+ in a division game	11-4	73%from 73%	+4.3	2/15	n=15
+ at this venue	6-1	86%from 73%	+3.5	1/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	10-2	83%from 73%	+5.2	2/12	n=12
+ on turf	6-2	75%from 73%	+2.8	1/8	n=8
in October + under this head coach	9-4	69%from 56%	+3.4	13/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-4	69%from 69%	+3.4	13/13	n=13
vs TEN + at this venue	12-6	67%from 60%	+3.7	3/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 67%	+0.9	3/5	n=5
vs TEN + as a favorite	21-11	66%from 60%	+4.0	4/32	n=32
+ spread 3.5-6.5	7-1	88%from 66%	+3.8	2/8	n=8
+ in a division game	7-1	88%from 88%	+3.8	2/8	n=8
+ in the Sunday early window	6-1	86%from 88%	+2.7	2/7	n=7
+ on turf	5-1	83%from 88%	+0.7	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-1	83%from 88%	+0.7	1/6	n=6
+ at this venue	9-4	69%from 66%	+1.9	2/13	n=13
+ on turf	12-6	67%from 66%	+3.2	2/18	n=18
+ at this venue	9-4	69%from 67%	+1.9	2/13	n=13
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 66%	+1.9	4/6	n=6
+ in a division game	21-11	66%from 66%	+4.0	4/32	n=32
+ at this venue	9-4	69%from 66%	+1.9	2/13	n=13
+ on turf	12-6	67%from 66%	+3.2	2/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-2	67%from 66%	+1.9	4/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday early window	16-9	64%from 66%	+3.2	3/25	n=25
+ in October	3-3	50%from 66%	+1.9	1/6	n=6
+ in the Sunday early window	16-9	64%from 66%	+3.2	3/25	n=25
+ at this venue	8-3	73%from 64%	+2.0	1/11	n=11
+ on turf	11-5	69%from 64%	+3.5	1/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 64%	+0.6	3/5	n=5
+ in October	3-3	50%from 66%	+1.9	1/6	n=6

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.