CIN at BALBAL -3.5o/u 52

ST Model BAL -4.2(+0.7 vs market)

Since first recorded BAL -3.5o/u 51.5unchanged · 2d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

CIN — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	119-93	56%	+0.4	62/212	n=212
vs BAL	27-24	53%	-0.2	14/51	n=51
as an underdog	122-110	53%	0.0	64/232	n=232
spread 3.5-6.5	79-69	53%	-0.6	44/148	n=148
in a division game	75-87	46%	-1.4	42/162	n=162
off a bye	19-26	42%	-2.8	15/45	n=45
in the Sunday early window	148-147	50%	-0.4	74/295	n=295
in October	45-54	45%	-1.5	28/99	n=99
outdoors	197-187	51%	-0.4	109/384	n=384
on grass	100-84	54%	+0.3	62/184	n=184
at this venue	14-11	56%	+1.3	7/25	n=25
under this head coach	67-53	56%	+0.1	120/120	n=120
in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%	+0.7	88/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CIN — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=419

CIN — combinations

435 lean CIN · 272 lean against

Read this first. 803 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 100% by chance alone, and about 1 perfect record — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 3.5-6.5 + in the last 5 seasons	28-6	82%from 53%	+5.7	34/34	n=34
in October + at this venue	4-1	80%from 45%	+7.3	4/5	n=5
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 56%	+10.3	5/5	n=5
spread 3.5-6.5 + under this head coach	33-11	75%from 53%	+3.6	44/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	28-6	82%from 75%	+5.7	34/34	n=34
vs BAL + in October	6-2	75%from 53%	+6.3	5/8	n=8
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 75%	+6.7	4/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 75%	+7.3	4/5	n=5
+ outdoors	6-2	75%from 75%	+6.3	5/8	n=8
+ on grass	4-1	80%from 75%	+6.7	4/5	n=5
+ at this venue	4-1	80%from 75%	+7.3	4/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 75%	+4.8	5/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	3-2	60%from 75%	+4.8	5/5	n=5
at this venue + under this head coach	5-2	71%from 56%	+6.4	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-1	80%from 71%	+10.3	5/5	n=5
on grass + in the last 5 seasons	22-11	67%from 54%	+2.9	33/33	n=33
on the road + in the last 5 seasons	30-16	65%from 56%	+1.5	46/46	n=46
on the road + under this head coach	38-24	61%from 56%	+0.7	62/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	30-16	65%from 61%	+1.5	46/46	n=46
in October + in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 45%	+0.8	20/20	n=20
under this head coach + in the last 5 seasons	52-36	59%from 56%	+0.7	88/88	n=88
on the road + spread 3.5-6.5	44-31	59%from 56%	+0.8	27/75	n=75
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-3	86%from 59%	+6.6	21/21	n=21
+ under this head coach	21-6	78%from 59%	+3.9	27/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	18-3	86%from 78%	+6.6	21/21	n=21
+ outdoors	38-25	60%from 59%	+1.3	25/63	n=63
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-3	84%from 60%	+6.2	19/19	n=19
+ under this head coach	19-6	76%from 60%	+3.3	25/25	n=25
+ on grass	28-20	58%from 60%	+0.7	20/48	n=48
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 60%	+2.6	3/9	n=9
+ on grass	29-22	57%from 59%	+0.3	20/51	n=51
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-3	80%from 57%	+5.3	15/15	n=15
+ under this head coach	14-6	70%from 57%	+2.2	20/20	n=20
+ at this venue	3-3	50%from 57%	+3.4	3/6	n=6
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 59%	+2.6	3/9	n=9
+ in the Sunday early window	27-22	55%from 59%	+1.6	14/49	n=49
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-2	82%from 55%	+6.5	11/11	n=11
+ under this head coach	11-3	79%from 55%	+5.5	14/14	n=14
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 55%	+4.1	1/7	n=7
+ outdoors	23-19	55%from 55%	+1.6	13/42	n=42
+ on grass	16-14	53%from 55%	+1.7	10/30	n=30
+ in October	3-6	33%from 55%	+2.8	3/9	n=9
+ in a division game	17-17	50%from 59%	-0.6	12/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-3	63%from 50%	+1.4	8/8	n=8
+ at this venue	5-4	56%from 50%	+2.6	3/9	n=9
+ in the Sunday early window	14-13	52%from 50%	+1.1	6/27	n=27
+ outdoors	17-17	50%from 50%	-0.6	12/34	n=34
+ under this head coach	6-6	50%from 50%	-2.5	12/12	n=12
+ on grass	13-15	46%from 50%	-1.4	12/28	n=28
+ off a bye	2-4	33%from 50%	-8.3	3/6	n=6
+ in October	2-4	33%from 50%	+1.2	2/6	n=6
+ off a bye	5-6	45%from 59%	-3.1	6/11	n=11
+ under this head coach	4-2	67%from 45%	-1.3	6/6	n=6
+ outdoors	5-5	50%from 45%	-3.1	6/10	n=10
+ on grass	4-5	44%from 45%	-3.6	5/9	n=9
+ in the Sunday early window	3-4	43%from 45%	-3.6	3/7	n=7
+ in October	5-8	38%from 59%	+0.7	5/13	n=13
+ under this head coach	5-0	100%from 38%	+15.0	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-0	100%from 38%	+15.0	5/5	n=5
+ on grass	3-5	38%from 38%	-0.3	3/8	n=8
+ outdoors	4-7	36%from 38%	-0.6	4/11	n=11

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

BAL — the basics

439 graded games since 1999

at home	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
vs CIN	24-27	47%	+0.2	0/51	n=51
as a favorite	148-139	52%	+2.5	0/287	n=287
spread 3.5-6.5	70-68	51%	+1.5	0/138	n=138
in a division game	82-81	50%	+1.2	0/163	n=163
in the Sunday early window	137-120	53%	+2.7	0/257	n=257
in October	44-55	44%	+0.3	0/99	n=99
outdoors	213-196	52%	+2.3	0/409	n=409
on grass	134-119	53%	+1.9	0/253	n=253
at this venue	109-106	51%	+2.8	0/215	n=215
in the last 5 seasons	44-44	50%	+1.3	0/88	n=88

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

BAL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.5 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 439 graded games: +2.2 pts vs their number per game	n=439

BAL — combinations

78 lean BAL · 399 lean against

Read this first. 522 combinations shown. The best one here is 64%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
as a favorite + in the Sunday early window	99-84	54%from 52%	+3.5	0/183	n=183
+ at this venue	66-54	55%from 54%	+4.7	0/120	n=120
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-13	41%from 55%	+2.8	0/22	n=22
+ outdoors	98-82	54%from 54%	+3.7	0/180	n=180
+ at this venue	66-54	55%from 54%	+4.7	0/120	n=120
+ on grass	52-52	50%from 54%	+2.8	0/104	n=104
+ in the last 5 seasons	16-19	46%from 54%	+2.4	0/35	n=35
+ on grass	52-53	50%from 54%	+2.6	0/105	n=105
+ at this venue	31-31	50%from 50%	+3.4	0/62	n=62
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-18	33%from 50%	+1.6	0/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	17-20	46%from 54%	+2.3	0/37	n=37
+ in October	19-28	40%from 54%	-0.2	0/47	n=47
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 40%	+2.0	0/12	n=12
+ at this venue	14-15	48%from 40%	+1.5	0/29	n=29
+ outdoors	19-28	40%from 40%	-0.2	0/47	n=47
+ on grass	9-19	32%from 40%	-0.9	0/28	n=28
in the Sunday early window + on grass	76-65	54%from 53%	+2.4	0/141	n=141
+ at this venue	35-36	49%from 54%	+2.2	0/71	n=71
+ in the last 5 seasons	9-15	38%from 49%	+0.9	0/24	n=24
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-20	38%from 54%	+0.5	0/32	n=32
in the Sunday early window + outdoors	131-114	53%from 53%	+2.9	0/245	n=245
+ on grass	76-63	55%from 53%	+2.7	0/139	n=139
+ at this venue	35-36	49%from 55%	+2.2	0/71	n=71
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-20	38%from 55%	+0.5	0/32	n=32
+ at this venue	73-67	52%from 53%	+3.4	0/140	n=140
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-15	40%from 52%	+1.2	0/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	20-22	48%from 53%	+1.2	0/42	n=42

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.