MIA at NYJNYJ -2.5o/u 41.5

ST Model MIA -3.6(-6.1 vs market)

Since first recorded NYJ -2.5o/u 41.5unchanged · 1d ago · 1 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

MIA — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-104	50%	-0.3	0/210	n=210
vs NYJ	23-26	47%	-0.7	0/49	n=49
as an underdog	121-121	50%	+0.2	0/242	n=242
spread 1-2.5	46-58	44%	-1.2	0/104	n=104
in a division game	78-79	50%	-0.7	0/157	n=157
off a bye	23-22	51%	+0.9	0/45	n=45
in the Sunday early window	134-137	49%	-0.2	0/271	n=271
in October	47-49	49%	+0.1	0/96	n=96
outdoors	188-191	50%	-0.3	0/379	n=379
on turf	61-54	53%	-0.6	0/115	n=115
at this venue	11-7	61%	+2.2	0/18	n=18
in the last 5 seasons	44-42	51%	-0.8	0/86	n=86

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

MIA — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=419

MIA — combinations

238 lean MIA · 220 lean against

Read this first. 510 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 88% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + at this venue	4-1	80%from 44%	+14.1	0/5	n=5
in a division game + in the last 5 seasons	20-10	67%from 50%	+0.9	0/30	n=30
in the Sunday early window + at this venue	8-4	67%from 49%	+2.1	0/12	n=12
vs NYJ + at this venue	10-6	63%from 47%	+2.8	0/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 63%	0.0	0/5	n=5
in a division game + at this venue	10-6	63%from 50%	+2.8	0/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 63%	0.0	0/5	n=5
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	16-10	62%from 53%	-0.4	0/26	n=26
on the road + at this venue	11-7	61%from 50%	+2.2	0/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 61%	0.0	0/5	n=5
outdoors + at this venue	11-7	61%from 50%	+2.2	0/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 61%	0.0	0/5	n=5
on turf + at this venue	11-7	61%from 53%	+2.2	0/18	n=18
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 61%	0.0	0/5	n=5
vs NYJ + in the last 5 seasons	6-4	60%from 47%	+2.4	0/10	n=10
at this venue + in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 61%	0.0	0/5	n=5
vs NYJ + on turf	13-9	59%from 47%	+2.1	0/22	n=22
+ at this venue	10-6	63%from 59%	+2.8	0/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 63%	0.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 59%	0.0	0/5	n=5
as an underdog + off a bye	15-11	58%from 50%	+4.9	0/26	n=26
+ in the Sunday early window	10-6	63%from 58%	+8.9	0/16	n=16
+ outdoors	10-5	67%from 63%	+9.7	0/15	n=15
+ in October	6-4	60%from 63%	+8.0	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	2-3	40%from 63%	+3.6	0/5	n=5
+ outdoors	14-10	58%from 58%	+5.2	0/24	n=24
+ on turf	3-4	43%from 58%	-0.6	0/7	n=7
+ in October	6-6	50%from 58%	+5.2	0/12	n=12
+ outdoors	6-5	55%from 50%	+6.0	0/11	n=11
+ on turf	2-3	40%from 50%	+3.8	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-5	44%from 58%	-0.2	0/9	n=9

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NYJ — the basics

419 graded games since 1999

at home	100-108	48%	-0.1	9/208	n=208
vs MIA	26-23	53%	+0.7	2/49	n=49
as a favorite	74-84	47%	-1.5	2/158	n=158
spread 1-2.5	46-49	48%	-1.2	5/95	n=95
in a division game	73-84	47%	-1.4	6/157	n=157
in the Sunday early window	119-122	49%	+0.4	14/241	n=241
in October	49-52	49%	-1.4	4/101	n=101
outdoors	179-208	46%	-1.0	16/387	n=387
on turf	127-148	46%	-0.8	12/275	n=275
at this venue	64-67	49%	-0.4	9/131	n=131
under this head coach	7-10	41%	-5.7	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	33-51	39%	-2.8	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NYJ — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -6.1 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 419 graded games: -0.8 pts vs their number per game	n=419
NYJ has failed to cover 5 straight	n=5

NYJ — combinations

98 lean NYJ · 383 lean against

Read this first. 525 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs MIA + in October	6-3	67%from 53%	+1.6	0/9	n=9
+ outdoors	6-3	67%from 67%	+1.6	0/9	n=9
in October + at this venue	22-14	61%from 49%	+0.4	3/36	n=36
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-4	64%from 61%	+4.5	3/11	n=11
vs MIA + as a favorite	11-8	58%from 53%	-0.3	0/19	n=19
+ spread 1-2.5	5-2	71%from 58%	-1.2	0/7	n=7
+ in a division game	5-2	71%from 71%	-1.2	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	5-2	71%from 71%	-1.2	0/7	n=7
+ in October	4-2	67%from 58%	-0.7	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	4-2	67%from 67%	-0.7	0/6	n=6
+ in a division game	11-8	58%from 58%	-0.3	0/19	n=19
+ in October	4-2	67%from 58%	-0.7	0/6	n=6
+ outdoors	11-8	58%from 58%	-0.3	0/19	n=19
+ on turf	6-6	50%from 58%	-0.3	0/12	n=12
+ in the Sunday early window	4-5	44%from 58%	-3.3	0/9	n=9
+ at this venue	3-4	43%from 58%	-1.6	0/7	n=7
+ outdoors	11-8	58%from 58%	-0.3	0/19	n=19
+ on turf	6-6	50%from 58%	-0.3	0/12	n=12
+ at this venue	3-4	43%from 58%	-1.6	0/7	n=7
+ on turf	6-6	50%from 58%	-0.3	0/12	n=12
+ at this venue	3-4	43%from 50%	-1.6	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	4-5	44%from 58%	-3.3	0/9	n=9
+ outdoors	4-5	44%from 44%	-3.3	0/9	n=9
+ on turf	1-4	20%from 44%	-6.4	0/5	n=5
+ at this venue	3-4	43%from 58%	-1.6	0/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.