PIT at NOPIT -2o/u 42

ST Model PIT -3(-1 vs market)

Since first recorded PIT -1.5o/u 41.5unchanged · 8d ago · 4 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

PIT — the basics

440 graded games since 1999

on the road	115-102	53%	+0.5	0/217	n=217
vs NO	3-2	60%	-0.5	0/5	n=5
as a favorite	142-147	49%	+0.4	0/289	n=289
spread 1-2.5	49-34	59%	+1.1	0/83	n=83
in the Sunday early window	127-95	57%	+1.7	0/222	n=222
in October	63-35	64%	+3.8	0/98	n=98
indoors	20-14	59%	+1.8	0/34	n=34
on turf	88-72	55%	+0.7	0/160	n=160
at a neutral site	2-3	40%	-0.6	0/5	n=5
in the last 5 seasons	48-39	55%	-0.3	0/87	n=87

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

PIT — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 440 graded games: +1.1 pts vs their number per game	n=440

PIT — combinations

73 lean PIT · 22 lean against

Read this first. 113 combinations shown. The best one here is 73%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + in the last 5 seasons	16-8	67%from 59%	+1.0	0/24	n=24
indoors + in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 59%	+2.8	0/12	n=12
in the Sunday early window + in October	36-19	65%from 57%	+3.5	0/55	n=55
+ on turf	10-7	59%from 65%	+1.2	0/17	n=17
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 65%	-2.1	0/10	n=10
on the road + in October	29-18	62%from 53%	+2.4	0/47	n=47
+ on turf	9-6	60%from 62%	+1.0	0/15	n=15
+ indoors	4-3	57%from 62%	+2.6	0/7	n=7
+ on turf	2-3	40%from 57%	-1.0	0/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-5	44%from 62%	-3.6	0/9	n=9
in the Sunday early window + in the last 5 seasons	26-17	60%from 57%	-0.1	0/43	n=43
as a favorite + in October	36-24	60%from 49%	+2.7	0/60	n=60
+ indoors	3-2	60%from 60%	+3.4	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	13-10	57%from 60%	+1.0	0/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 60%	-2.9	0/8	n=8
spread 1-2.5 + in the Sunday early window	27-18	60%from 59%	+1.0	0/45	n=45
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-6	63%from 60%	+0.7	0/16	n=16
+ on turf	9-7	56%from 60%	-0.7	0/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-2	60%from 56%	-3.1	0/5	n=5
+ in October	5-5	50%from 60%	-1.0	0/10	n=10
in October + on turf	18-12	60%from 64%	+1.7	0/30	n=30
in the Sunday early window + indoors	6-4	60%from 57%	+2.8	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	6-4	60%from 60%	+2.8	0/10	n=10
on the road + in the Sunday early window	61-41	60%from 53%	+2.1	0/102	n=102
+ in October	16-10	62%from 60%	+2.9	0/26	n=26
+ on turf	5-4	56%from 62%	+0.7	0/9	n=9
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-8	60%from 60%	-0.4	0/20	n=20
+ indoors	6-4	60%from 60%	+2.8	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	6-4	60%from 60%	+2.8	0/10	n=10
+ on turf	25-17	60%from 60%	+0.8	0/42	n=42
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-5	58%from 60%	-2.1	0/12	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

NO — the basics

435 graded games since 1999

at home	102-117	47%	-0.3	8/219	n=219
vs PIT	2-3	40%	+0.5	0/5	n=5
as an underdog	95-83	53%	+0.8	13/178	n=178
spread 1-2.5	51-47	52%	+0.3	4/98	n=98
in the Sunday early window	134-124	52%	+0.6	12/258	n=258
in October	60-42	59%	+1.6	4/102	n=102
indoors	128-144	47%	-0.5	10/272	n=272
on turf	147-154	49%	+0.3	12/301	n=301
at this venue	97-111	47%	-0.3	8/208	n=208
at a neutral site	5-0	100%	+16.5	0/5	n=5
under this head coach	9-8	53%	-0.2	17/17	n=17
in the last 5 seasons	38-46	45%	+0.7	17/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

NO — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -0.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 435 graded games: +0.7 pts vs their number per game	n=435
NO has covered 6 straight	n=6

NO — combinations

92 lean NO · 189 lean against

Read this first. 314 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + in October	20-7	74%from 52%	+5.3	1/27	n=27
+ indoors	12-4	75%from 74%	+3.7	1/16	n=16
+ on turf	12-4	75%from 75%	+3.7	1/16	n=16
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 75%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 75%	+0.9	1/6	n=6
+ on turf	13-5	72%from 74%	+5.3	1/18	n=18
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 72%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 72%	+6.0	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	7-3	70%from 74%	+3.8	1/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 74%	+5.0	1/9	n=9
in the Sunday early window + under this head coach	8-4	67%from 52%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+4.6	12/12	n=12
in the Sunday early window + in October	40-26	61%from 52%	+1.4	3/66	n=66
+ on turf	28-20	58%from 61%	+1.6	2/48	n=48
+ at this venue	17-17	50%from 58%	-0.1	2/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	6-6	50%from 58%	+1.3	2/12	n=12
+ indoors	25-20	56%from 61%	+0.6	2/45	n=45
+ on turf	25-20	56%from 56%	+0.6	2/45	n=45
+ at this venue	17-17	50%from 56%	-0.1	2/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 56%	-2.1	2/10	n=10
+ at this venue	17-17	50%from 61%	-0.1	2/34	n=34
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 50%	-2.7	2/8	n=8
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-7	50%from 61%	+1.2	3/14	n=14
as an underdog + in October	24-16	60%from 53%	+1.4	3/40	n=40
+ on turf	14-9	61%from 60%	+3.6	2/23	n=23
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 61%	+0.4	2/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 61%	+0.5	2/10	n=10
+ indoors	10-8	56%from 60%	+1.0	2/18	n=18
+ on turf	10-8	56%from 56%	+1.0	2/18	n=18
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 56%	+0.4	2/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-6	25%from 56%	-4.1	2/8	n=8
+ at this venue	6-6	50%from 60%	+0.4	2/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-5	29%from 50%	-3.1	2/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-9	31%from 60%	-1.2	3/13	n=13

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.