SF at ATLSF -4.5o/u 47.5

ST Model SF -2.6(+1.9 vs market)

Since first recorded SF -4.5o/u 47.5unchanged · 36d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

SF — the basics

434 graded games since 1999

on the road	108-109	50%	-0.6	83/217	n=217
vs ATL	8-8	50%	-3.3	4/16	n=16
as a favorite	115-111	51%	+1.4	104/226	n=226
spread 3.5-6.5	86-69	55%	+1.8	62/155	n=155
in the Sunday early window	47-59	44%	-1.4	31/106	n=106
in October	50-56	47%	-1.1	40/106	n=106
on turf	56-54	51%	-0.7	39/110	n=110
under this head coach	83-79	51%	+0.8	162/162	n=162
in the last 5 seasons	51-45	53%	+0.6	96/96	n=96

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

SF — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 434 graded games: -0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=434

SF — combinations

69 lean SF · 66 lean against

Read this first. 154 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 82% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 3.5-6.5 + in October	19-12	61%from 55%	+2.5	14/31	n=31
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 61%	+3.1	2/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	8-6	57%from 61%	+2.6	14/14	n=14
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 57%	+0.1	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-5	50%from 61%	+0.1	10/10	n=10
vs ATL + in October	3-2	60%from 50%	-7.4	2/5	n=5
as a favorite + on turf	26-18	59%from 51%	+2.7	23/44	n=44
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 59%	+2.6	18/18	n=18
+ under this head coach	14-9	61%from 59%	+2.9	23/23	n=23
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-7	61%from 61%	+2.6	18/18	n=18
on turf + in the last 5 seasons	15-11	58%from 51%	-0.1	26/26	n=26
as a favorite + in the last 5 seasons	44-33	57%from 51%	+1.9	77/77	n=77
on turf + under this head coach	22-17	56%from 51%	+0.5	39/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	15-11	58%from 56%	-0.1	26/26	n=26
on the road + spread 3.5-6.5	40-31	56%from 50%	+1.2	31/71	n=71
+ in October	8-3	73%from 56%	+3.1	7/11	n=11
+ on turf	4-1	80%from 73%	+3.1	2/5	n=5
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 73%	+1.2	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 73%	+0.8	6/6	n=6
+ on turf	20-16	56%from 56%	+0.7	12/36	n=36
+ under this head coach	5-7	42%from 56%	-5.3	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-5	38%from 56%	-7.3	8/8	n=8
+ under this head coach	16-15	52%from 56%	-0.8	31/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-12	45%from 52%	-2.3	22/22	n=22
+ in the Sunday early window	16-19	46%from 56%	-0.1	11/35	n=35
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-4	43%from 46%	-2.1	7/7	n=7
+ on turf	8-12	40%from 46%	+0.3	4/20	n=20
+ under this head coach	4-7	36%from 46%	-2.8	11/11	n=11
+ in the last 5 seasons	10-12	45%from 56%	-2.3	22/22	n=22

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

ATL — the basics

426 graded games since 1999

at home	94-120	44%	-1.0	22/214	n=214
vs SF	8-8	50%	+3.3	1/16	n=16
as an underdog	103-110	48%	-0.7	25/213	n=213
spread 3.5-6.5	82-81	50%	+0.2	20/163	n=163
in the Sunday early window	126-156	45%	-1.6	29/282	n=282
in October	45-56	45%	-2.1	10/101	n=101
on turf	138-164	46%	-1.0	32/302	n=302
at this venue	28-44	39%	-1.9	22/72	n=72
under this head coach	21-24	47%	-0.9	45/45	n=45
in the last 5 seasons	34-49	41%	-2.8	34/83	n=83

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

ATL — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -2.0 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 426 graded games: -0.6 pts vs their number per game	n=426

ATL — combinations

49 lean ATL · 151 lean against

Read this first. 228 combinations shown. The best one here is 83%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 83% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs SF + spread 3.5-6.5	4-2	67%from 50%	+2.5	0/6	n=6
in October + under this head coach	6-4	60%from 45%	-0.2	10/10	n=10
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 60%	-4.3	7/7	n=7
vs SF + in the Sunday early window	3-2	60%from 50%	+2.3	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 60%	+2.3	0/5	n=5
at home + vs SF	4-3	57%from 44%	+3.6	0/7	n=7
+ in the Sunday early window	3-2	60%from 57%	+2.3	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	3-2	60%from 60%	+2.3	0/5	n=5
+ on turf	4-3	57%from 57%	+3.6	0/7	n=7
vs SF + on turf	4-3	57%from 50%	+3.6	0/7	n=7
spread 3.5-6.5 + under this head coach	11-9	55%from 50%	+1.8	20/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-8	47%from 55%	-1.2	15/15	n=15
as an underdog + in October	28-24	54%from 48%	-0.9	4/52	n=52
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 54%	+1.4	1/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-4	56%from 54%	+1.1	2/9	n=9
+ on turf	17-16	52%from 54%	-2.0	2/33	n=33
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 52%	+1.4	1/6	n=6
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-3	50%from 52%	+1.3	1/6	n=6
as an underdog + under this head coach	13-12	52%from 48%	+2.0	25/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-8	50%from 52%	-0.4	16/16	n=16
spread 3.5-6.5 + at this venue	13-12	52%from 50%	+1.4	7/25	n=25
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 52%	+5.2	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 52%	-1.0	4/12	n=12
at home + spread 3.5-6.5	41-41	50%from 44%	+0.2	7/82	n=82
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 50%	+5.2	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	13-12	52%from 50%	+1.4	7/25	n=25
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 52%	+5.2	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 52%	-1.0	4/12	n=12
+ on turf	41-41	50%from 50%	+0.2	7/82	n=82
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 50%	+5.2	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	13-12	52%from 50%	+1.4	7/25	n=25
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 50%	-1.0	4/12	n=12
+ in the Sunday early window	28-28	50%from 50%	-1.1	6/56	n=56
+ in October	7-5	58%from 50%	+2.1	0/12	n=12
+ on turf	28-28	50%from 50%	-1.1	6/56	n=56
+ under this head coach	3-3	50%from 50%	+3.8	6/6	n=6
+ at this venue	9-10	47%from 50%	-0.1	6/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-6	40%from 50%	-1.9	3/10	n=10
+ in October	10-10	50%from 50%	+0.4	1/20	n=20
+ on turf	10-10	50%from 50%	+0.4	1/20	n=20
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-7	42%from 50%	-1.0	4/12	n=12

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.