TB at CARTB -1.5o/u 45.5

ST Model TB -1.6(-0.1 vs market)

Since first recorded TB -1.5o/u 45.5unchanged · 36d ago · 2 books

Trends · player props · 2026 week 7

How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.

TB — the basics

425 graded games since 1999

on the road	106-107	50%	+0.6	35/213	n=213
vs CAR	21-27	44%	-1.4	8/48	n=48
as a favorite	92-117	44%	-0.2	40/209	n=209
spread 1-2.5	43-44	49%	+0.3	21/87	n=87
in a division game	74-85	47%	-0.2	24/159	n=159
in the Sunday early window	134-125	52%	+0.8	38/259	n=259
in October	38-60	39%	-0.4	17/98	n=98
outdoors	151-184	45%	-0.5	52/335	n=335
on grass	140-168	45%	-0.5	46/308	n=308
at this venue	11-13	46%	-1.2	4/24	n=24
under this head coach	31-40	44%	+0.0	71/71	n=71
in the last 5 seasons	41-49	46%	+0.1	71/90	n=90

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

TB — form & streaks

Last 16 games: -3.2 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 425 graded games: +0.0 pts vs their number per game	n=425
TB has failed to cover 9 straight	n=9

TB — combinations

85 lean TB · 384 lean against

Read this first. 527 combinations shown. The best one here is 80%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 88% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
spread 1-2.5 + under this head coach	12-9	57%from 49%	+2.4	21/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	12-9	57%from 57%	+2.4	21/21	n=21
spread 1-2.5 + in the Sunday early window	29-24	55%from 49%	+1.3	12/53	n=53
+ under this head coach	8-4	67%from 55%	+2.2	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 67%	+2.2	12/12	n=12
+ in the last 5 seasons	8-4	67%from 55%	+2.2	12/12	n=12
+ outdoors	22-21	51%from 55%	+0.9	7/43	n=43
+ under this head coach	4-3	57%from 51%	+2.3	7/7	n=7
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-3	57%from 51%	+2.3	7/7	n=7
+ on grass	20-20	50%from 51%	+0.8	5/40	n=40
+ on grass	20-20	50%from 55%	+0.8	5/40	n=40
+ under this head coach	2-3	40%from 50%	+1.2	5/5	n=5
+ in the last 5 seasons	2-3	40%from 50%	+1.2	5/5	n=5
+ in October	4-11	27%from 55%	-1.5	1/15	n=15
+ on grass	3-9	25%from 27%	-2.7	1/12	n=12
+ outdoors	3-10	23%from 27%	-2.7	1/13	n=13
on the road + in the Sunday early window	71-59	55%from 50%	+1.5	19/130	n=130
+ in the last 5 seasons	14-10	58%from 55%	+0.8	19/24	n=24
+ under this head coach	11-8	58%from 55%	+1.6	19/19	n=19
+ in the last 5 seasons	11-8	58%from 58%	+1.6	19/19	n=19
+ on grass	30-29	51%from 55%	-0.1	7/59	n=59
+ at this venue	8-8	50%from 51%	-0.3	3/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	3-6	33%from 51%	-5.6	7/9	n=9
+ under this head coach	2-5	29%from 51%	-6.4	7/7	n=7
+ at this venue	8-8	50%from 55%	-0.3	3/16	n=16
+ outdoors	34-36	49%from 55%	+0.1	9/70	n=70
+ on grass	30-27	53%from 49%	+0.6	7/57	n=57
+ at this venue	8-8	50%from 49%	-0.3	3/16	n=16
+ in the last 5 seasons	4-8	33%from 49%	-4.2	9/12	n=12
+ under this head coach	3-6	33%from 49%	-3.8	9/9	n=9
+ in October	11-12	48%from 55%	+1.4	4/23	n=23
+ on grass	3-5	38%from 48%	-3.3	2/8	n=8
+ outdoors	5-9	36%from 48%	-2.3	2/14	n=14

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

CAR — the basics

427 graded games since 1999

at home	104-107	49%	-0.9	18/211	n=211
vs TB	27-21	56%	+1.4	4/48	n=48
as an underdog	133-111	55%	+0.3	32/244	n=244
spread 1-2.5	41-35	54%	+0.8	4/76	n=76
in a division game	83-76	52%	-0.0	12/159	n=159
in the Sunday early window	149-152	50%	-0.6	25/301	n=301
in October	53-53	50%	-1.5	8/106	n=106
outdoors	167-171	49%	-0.9	29/338	n=338
on grass	159-156	50%	-0.5	28/315	n=315
at this venue	103-107	49%	-0.9	17/210	n=210
under this head coach	19-16	54%	-1.8	35/35	n=35
in the last 5 seasons	37-47	44%	-2.1	35/84	n=84

record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach

CAR — form & streaks

Last 16 games: +1.4 pts vs their number per game	n=16
All 427 graded games: -0.3 pts vs their number per game	n=427
CAR has covered 2 straight	n=2

CAR — combinations

382 lean CAR · 139 lean against

Read this first. 582 combinations shown. The best one here is 86%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 86% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 0.

Combination	Rec	%	Pts	Now	Sample
vs TB + in October	7-2	78%from 56%	+6.1	0/9	n=9
+ outdoors	7-2	78%from 78%	+6.1	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	7-2	78%from 78%	+6.1	0/9	n=9
+ on grass	7-2	78%from 78%	+6.1	0/9	n=9
as an underdog + spread 1-2.5	26-13	67%from 55%	+4.9	2/39	n=39
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 67%	+6.5	2/9	n=9
+ in October	11-4	73%from 67%	+4.4	2/15	n=15
+ outdoors	8-3	73%from 73%	+2.9	2/11	n=11
+ at this venue	4-2	67%from 73%	+3.6	1/6	n=6
+ on grass	5-3	63%from 73%	+1.8	1/8	n=8
+ outdoors	20-10	67%from 67%	+3.5	2/30	n=30
+ in the last 5 seasons	7-2	78%from 67%	+6.5	2/9	n=9
+ on grass	17-9	65%from 67%	+3.9	1/26	n=26
+ at this venue	13-8	62%from 67%	+3.7	1/21	n=21
+ on grass	18-9	67%from 67%	+4.5	1/27	n=27
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 67%	+5.9	1/7	n=7
+ at this venue	13-8	62%from 67%	+3.7	1/21	n=21
+ in the Sunday early window	20-11	65%from 67%	+3.5	2/31	n=31
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-1	83%from 65%	+7.0	2/6	n=6
+ in October	11-4	73%from 65%	+4.4	2/15	n=15
+ outdoors	16-9	64%from 65%	+2.3	2/25	n=25
+ on grass	13-8	62%from 65%	+2.6	1/21	n=21
+ at this venue	11-7	61%from 65%	+3.4	1/18	n=18
+ in a division game	9-5	64%from 67%	+3.9	0/14	n=14
+ outdoors	7-4	64%from 64%	+2.5	0/11	n=11
+ in the Sunday early window	6-4	60%from 64%	+0.7	0/10	n=10
+ on grass	6-4	60%from 64%	+1.9	0/10	n=10
+ at this venue	4-3	57%from 64%	+1.2	0/7	n=7
+ at this venue	13-8	62%from 67%	+3.7	1/21	n=21
+ in the last 5 seasons	5-2	71%from 62%	+5.9	1/7	n=7

indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today

Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.