How to read this: every angle below is a true fact about these teams — and there are hundreds of them, so some will look striking by pure chance. Each side's combinations carry a chance baseline telling you how good the best one would look if nothing were going on. Signals disagreeing is normal; weigh them yourself. There is deliberately no single verdict here.
JAX — the basics
418 graded games since 1999
| on the road | 105-104 | 50% | -1.2 | 8/209 | n=209 |
| vs IND | 31-17 | 65% | +3.5 | 2/48 | n=48 |
| in a division game | 84-73 | 54% | +0.6 | 6/157 | n=157 |
| in the Sunday early window | 145-155 | 48% | -0.2 | 13/300 | n=300 |
| in January | 14-11 | 56% | +0.8 | 2/25 | n=25 |
| on turf | 49-47 | 51% | -1.4 | 3/96 | n=96 |
| at this venue | 12-5 | 71% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| under this head coach | 12-6 | 67% | +6.1 | 18/18 | n=18 |
| in the last 5 seasons | 46-41 | 53% | +0.2 | 18/87 | n=87 |
record vs the closing number · pts = avg margin vs the line · x/n = games under the current head coach
JAX — form & streaks
| Last 16 games: +6.2 pts vs their number per game | n=16 |
| All 418 graded games: -0.7 pts vs their number per game | n=418 |
JAX — combinations
114 lean JAX · 3 lean against
Read this first. 129 combinations shown. The best one here is 100%. With this many combinations you'd expect the best to be about 80% by chance alone, and about 0 perfect records — this matchup has 2.
| Combination | Rec | % | Pts | Now | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs IND + in January | 5-0 | 100%from 65% | +7.1 | 0/5 | n=5 |
| in a division game + under this head coach | 5-1 | 83%from 54% | +9.4 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 5-1 | 83%from 83% | +9.4 | 6/6 | n=6 |
| vs IND + in the last 5 seasons | 8-2 | 80%from 65% | +9.6 | 2/10 | n=10 |
| at this venue + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on the road + at this venue | 12-5 | 71%from 50% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| vs IND + at this venue | 12-5 | 71%from 65% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| in a division game + at this venue | 12-5 | 71%from 54% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| on turf + at this venue | 12-5 | 71%from 51% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| vs IND + in the Sunday early window | 26-12 | 68%from 65% | +4.9 | 2/38 | n=38 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 8-2 | 80%from 68% | +9.6 | 2/10 | n=10 |
| + at this venue | 10-5 | 67%from 68% | +1.2 | 1/15 | n=15 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + on turf | 13-7 | 65%from 68% | +1.6 | 1/20 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 65% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 10-5 | 67%from 65% | +1.2 | 1/15 | n=15 |
| in a division game + on turf | 22-11 | 67%from 54% | +1.7 | 2/33 | n=33 |
| + at this venue | 12-5 | 71%from 67% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 7-3 | 70%from 67% | +0.8 | 2/10 | n=10 |
| on the road + vs IND | 16-8 | 67%from 50% | +0.7 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 12-5 | 71%from 67% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 71% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + in a division game | 16-7 | 70%from 67% | +1.8 | 1/23 | n=23 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 70% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 12-5 | 71%from 70% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| + on turf | 16-7 | 70%from 70% | +1.8 | 1/23 | n=23 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 13-7 | 65%from 70% | +1.6 | 1/20 | n=20 |
| + on turf | 16-8 | 67%from 67% | +0.7 | 1/24 | n=24 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 67% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 12-5 | 71%from 67% | +1.5 | 1/17 | n=17 |
| + in the Sunday early window | 13-7 | 65%from 67% | +1.6 | 1/20 | n=20 |
| + in the last 5 seasons | 4-1 | 80%from 65% | +1.5 | 1/5 | n=5 |
| + at this venue | 10-5 | 67%from 65% | +1.2 | 1/15 | n=15 |
| + on turf | 13-7 | 65%from 65% | +1.6 | 1/20 | n=20 |
indented rows narrow the one above · click any row for the games behind it · “Now” = games played by this team as it exists today
Informational only. Historical splits are shared for analysis and entertainment — not betting advice, picks for profit, or any guarantee of outcome. A trend is a description of the past, not a prediction. Must be 21+ where applicable. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.