NHL Projections · Blocks

Skaters · 2023-24 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP

63% of these 95 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

PositionSkaters Goalies

StatPoints Goals Assists Shots PP Points Hits Blocks PIM

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2023-24 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	P	G	A	SOG	PPP	HIT	BLK ↓	PIM	Range	Actual	Δ
1	David Savard	D	MTL	18	3	15	81	0	118	187	44	126–226	163	−24
2	Alec Martinez	D	CHI	18	5	16	84	1	58	184	27	129–245	165	−19
3	Brayden McNabb	D	VGK	17	3	14	87	0	186	180	42	136–214	207	+27
4	Jacob Trouba	D	ANA	32	8	23	185	4	202	175	63	132–205	183	+8
5	Moritz Seider	D	DET	41	6	39	166	16	191	171	42	130–207	212	+41
6	Ryan McDonagh	D	TBL	21	4	17	90	0	85	170	25	118–208	139	−31
7	Connor Murphy	D	EDM	15	4	11	90	0	164	166	65	141–207	113	−53
8	Andrew Peeke	D	BOS	14	4	12	89	0	185	166	37	130–201	78	−88
9	Alex Pietrangelo	D	VGK	47	12	34	192	12	68	165	29	134–205	160	−5
10	Chris Tanev	D	TOR	18	3	17	84	0	65	158	23	115–179	207	+49
11	Jared Spurgeon	D	MIN	35	10	25	140	7	68	158	14	106–182	29	−129
12	Jake Sanderson	D	OTT	36	8	29	142	14	57	158	19	85–188	139	−19
13	Joel Edmundson	D	LAK	18	4	14	91	0	150	157	70	102–198	65	−92
14	Travis Hamonic	D	DET	20	5	14	138	1	109	156	62	111–181	75	−81
15	Darnell Nurse	D	EDM	44	12	28	200	5	158	155	65	123–187	172	+17
16	Jake McCabe	D	TOR	22	4	17	92	0	161	154	48	126–187	129	−25
17	Ben Chiarot	D	DET	20	5	15	116	1	152	153	53	121–185	167	+14
18	Adam Larsson	D	SEA	28	7	20	130	1	183	153	46	120–185	151	−2
19	Ryan Graves	D	PIT	25	6	19	138	0	94	151	38	116–176	—	—
20	Trevor van Riemsdyk	D	WSH	21	4	16	91	1	34	151	29	111–188	103	−48
21	Jonas Brodin	D	MIN	25	6	19	117	1	63	150	28	123–193	142	−8
22	Sean Durzi	D	UTA	35	7	31	139	16	81	150	60	116–184	160	+10
23	Colton Parayko	D	STL	26	5	25	132	1	98	148	26	115–183	218	+70
24	Rasmus Ristolainen	D	PHI	21	4	18	99	3	208	147	41	105–181	45	−102
25	Jake Middleton	D	MIN	16	5	13	87	0	126	146	73	113–190	161	+15
26	Mario Ferraro	D	SJS	17	4	13	75	1	138	145	27	127–175	195	+50
27	Seth Jones	D	FLA	43	9	34	192	14	114	145	33	116–182	131	−14
28	Erik Gudbranson	D	CBJ	16	4	12	111	0	148	143	66	98–160	170	+27
29	Esa Lindell	D	DAL	22	6	18	120	1	106	143	16	108–181	162	+19
30	Martin Fehérváry	D	WSH	21	7	14	108	0	238	142	35	81–167	109	−33
31	Scott Mayfield	D	NYI	21	4	16	103	0	101	141	64	99–183	106	−35
32	Matt Roy	D	WSH	27	7	19	139	1	123	140	26	93–167	197	+57
33	Tyler Myers	D	DAL	21	4	18	120	1	125	140	60	83–170	136	−4
34	Ryan Pulock	D	NYI	25	5	21	136	5	133	140	13	115–182	149	+9
35	Jonas Siegenthaler	D	NJD	18	3	15	93	0	106	139	41	90–172	97	−42
36	TJ Brodie	D	CHI	20	3	17	73	1	62	137	25	94–169	159	+22
37	Mikhail Sergachev	D	UTA	54	8	44	168	19	129	137	51	102–165	69	−68
38	Jake Walman	D	EDM	21	8	15	160	2	72	137	41	82–164	151	+14
39	Thomas Chabot	D	OTT	52	12	41	205	19	99	135	52	98–159	88	−47
40	Adam Pelech	D	NYI	25	5	19	118	0	97	133	38	90–166	111	−22
41	Ivan Provorov	D	CBJ	27	7	21	138	4	70	131	32	77–154	—	—
42	Jakob Chychrun	D	WSH	55	19	35	251	15	89	130	64	85–163	154	+24
43	Jeff Petry	D	MIN	32	7	27	146	9	189	130	35	83–159	134	+4
44	Marcus Pettersson	D	VAN	26	5	17	101	0	131	130	50	84–157	159	+29
45	Justin Faulk	D	DET	45	11	31	180	8	123	130	39	85–162	104	−26
46	Travis Sanheim	D	PHI	25	7	18	119	0	65	130	38	103–166	149	+19
47	Mark Giordano	D	TOR	24	5	18	120	4	66	130	44	96–152	86	−44
48	Victor Hedman	D	TBL	57	12	45	186	21	90	129	39	89–156	102	−27
49	Justin Holl	D	STL	19	3	17	66	0	145	129	39	93–162	—	—
50	Vladislav Gavrikov	D	NYR	22	6	17	98	0	93	128	42	96–153	114	−14
51	Zach Whitecloud	D	CGY	19	6	12	94	0	128	128	40	98–152	105	−23
52	Kaiden Guhle	D	MTL	28	7	20	107	1	148	128	46	86–165	178	+50
53	Devon Toews	D	COL	56	11	41	173	11	84	128	29	91–165	110	−18
54	Alexander Romanov	D	NYI	19	4	16	112	0	208	127	43	97–167	171	+44
55	J.J. Moser	D	TBL	29	7	23	100	7	81	127	36	92–168	112	−15
56	Mikey Anderson	D	LAK	21	5	16	96	1	155	126	34	91–167	129	+3
57	MacKenzie Weegar	D	UTA	38	6	30	160	3	173	125	51	101–155	200	+75
58	Nicolas Hague	D	NSH	21	5	16	117	0	111	124	51	90–154	111	−13
59	Mattias Samuelsson	D	BUF	19	5	16	104	0	160	124	33	85–174	87	−37
60	Derek Forbort	D	VAN	14	4	11	69	0	144	124	42	79–150	65	−59
61	Dante Fabbro	D	CBJ	19	4	15	103	1	99	124	40	89–158	88	−36
62	Ryan Lindgren	D	SEA	21	4	17	95	0	110	124	52	88–147	103	−21
63	Braden Schneider	D	NYR	19	4	16	81	1	144	124	21	82–153	133	+9
64	Ian Cole	D	UTA	17	3	13	89	0	108	122	60	84–157	166	+44
65	Mathew Dumba	D	PIT	25	6	17	115	2	121	122	71	85–155	108	−14
66	Alexandre Carrier	D	MTL	21	4	17	98	1	102	122	45	80–156	137	+15
67	Noah Dobson	D	MTL	48	12	35	202	18	72	122	21	90–155	180	+58
68	Zach Werenski	D	CBJ	53	14	38	237	15	45	122	25	80–177	130	+8
69	Olli Maatta	D	CGY	17	4	14	76	0	82	122	16	87–148	96	−26
70	Nikita Zaitsev	D	CHI	13	2	12	63	0	164	122	36	91–133	70	−52
71	Jaccob Slavin	D	CAR	33	7	24	147	2	49	121	10	85–148	120	−1
72	Kyle Burroughs	D	SJS	12	3	9	78	0	235	121	85	73–176	134	+13
73	Jamie Oleksiak	D	SEA	21	5	15	89	0	160	120	63	78–145	177	+57
74	Adam Fox	D	NYR	74	11	58	173	29	33	120	32	104–157	123	+3
75	Brett Pesce	D	NJD	33	7	25	153	4	41	120	38	77–147	113	−7
76	Radko Gudas	D	ANA	17	4	13	107	0	315	120	77	86–170	154	+34
77	Jani Hakanpää	D	TOR	14	3	11	79	0	223	119	47	84–143	123	+4
78	Jon Merrill	D	MIN	13	2	11	62	0	57	119	31	80–134	57	−62
79	Neal Pionk	D	WPG	35	7	28	147	7	165	119	37	86–136	—	—
80	Brandon Carlo	D	TOR	16	5	11	107	0	138	117	37	77–136	140	+23
81	Rasmus Andersson	D	VGK	46	8	37	161	16	58	117	32	94–158	186	+69
82	Kevin Shattenkirk	D	BOS	24	5	20	138	7	80	116	44	79–141	85	−31
83	Ilya Lyubushkin	D	DAL	12	2	10	60	0	147	116	39	70–138	168	+52
84	Charlie McAvoy	D	BOS	55	9	45	148	19	115	116	64	63–125	—	—
85	Caleb Jones	D	PIT	20	6	14	90	1	120	116	34	80–146	26	−90
86	Roman Josi	D	NSH	67	19	55	269	28	58	115	37	67–140	151	+36
87	Jaycob Megna	D	VGK	16	3	14	80	0	126	115	33	85–159	87	−28
88	Samuel Girard	D	PIT	37	7	30	131	9	72	115	24	79–143	99	−16
89	Brian Dumoulin	D	LAK	20	3	17	83	0	95	115	21	65–132	79	−36
90	Jarred Tinordi	D	CHI	11	3	9	71	0	221	115	65	76–139	94	−21
91	Sean Walker	D	CAR	20	5	14	117	2	95	114	39	68–163	127	+13
92	John Carlson	D	ANA	69	14	55	192	24	78	114	28	81–141	194	+80
93	Cody Ceci	D	LAK	20	3	16	91	0	135	113	19	88–134	106	−7
94	Nick Blankenburg	D	COL	28	8	21	124	8	144	112	41	79–147	15	−97
95	Artem Zub	D	OTT	19	4	14	72	0	182	112	53	79–134	122	+10
96	Dylan Samberg	D	WPG	16	3	12	76	0	119	112	33	74–147	111	−1
97	Alex Goligoski	D	MIN	21	3	17	88	2	75	112	30	79–140	41	−71
98	Niko Mikkola	D	FLA	12	3	10	75	0	148	112	56	71–147	124	+12
99	Dmitry Kulikov	D	FLA	17	4	13	86	0	109	112	38	77–136	84	−28
100	Dylan DeMelo	D	WPG	14	3	12	81	0	122	112	35	72–143	139	+27