NHL Projections · PIM

Skaters · 2023-24 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP

74% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

PositionSkaters Goalies

StatPoints Goals Assists Shots PP Points Hits Blocks PIM

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2023-24 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	P	G	A	SOG	PPP	HIT	BLK	PIM ↓	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Liam O'Brien	C	UTA	13	5	9	61	0	248	35	158	96–214	153	−5
2	Givani Smith	R	COL	13	6	6	85	0	154	30	136	99–209	40	−96
3	Ross Johnston	L	ANA	11	4	9	32	1	198	41	134	87–247	117	−17
4	Tom Wilson	R	WSH	50	23	27	172	11	204	54	129	74–227	133	+4
5	Jonah Gadjovich	L	FLA	14	7	8	80	0	194	26	128	84–178	104	−24
6	Arber Xhekaj	D	MTL	23	7	16	129	5	217	78	121	74–192	81	−40
7	A.J. Greer	L	FLA	15	8	9	92	0	138	32	119	64–162	35	−84
8	Brady Tkachuk	L	OTT	77	38	40	353	23	234	21	116	61–155	134	+18
9	Mark Kastelic	C	BOS	17	10	7	96	1	132	38	114	49–132	63	−51
10	Nicolas Deslauriers	L	CAR	11	6	5	73	0	181	37	112	54–154	89	−23
11	Sam Carrick	C	BUF	16	8	8	86	0	144	31	107	71–163	102	−5
12	Connor Mackey	D	NYR	17	5	14	89	1	146	66	106	53–142	5	−101
13	Patrick Maroon	L	CHI	19	7	10	64	1	149	17	106	62–150	60	−46
14	Brendan Lemieux	L	CAR	18	8	10	93	0	208	33	106	73–172	64	−42
15	Austin Watson	L	DET	15	9	7	85	0	188	59	106	65–145	93	−13
16	Michael Pezzetta	L	TOR	18	8	11	97	1	277	33	104	51–138	59	−45
17	Tanner Jeannot	L	BOS	28	13	13	114	1	302	64	103	52–127	75	−28
18	Marcus Foligno	L	MIN	32	12	18	93	2	269	47	102	59–145	59	−43
19	Matthew Tkachuk	L	FLA	98	35	66	282	35	90	24	99	50–126	88	−11
20	Ryan Lomberg	L	CGY	23	12	11	122	0	155	23	98	64–131	80	−18
21	Zack MacEwen	C	NJD	15	7	8	98	0	193	36	97	51–133	57	−40
22	Mason Shaw	C	MIN	25	10	14	125	1	122	39	96	53–134	34	−62
23	Kurtis MacDermid	L	OTT	9	2	6	53	0	155	48	95	57–139	73	−22
24	Mathieu Olivier	R	CBJ	17	8	11	86	0	198	60	95	63–144	70	−25
25	Evander Kane	L	VAN	65	31	35	283	13	189	30	93	51–142	85	−8
26	Ryan Hartman	R	MIN	47	22	26	186	7	79	51	90	49–118	72	−18
27	Josh Manson	D	COL	18	6	14	98	0	169	102	89	52–128	87	−2
28	Brandon Duhaime	R	WSH	19	11	10	111	0	220	28	88	52–98	70	−18
29	Kyle Burroughs	D	SJS	12	3	9	78	0	235	121	85	48–121	71	−14
30	Michael McCarron	C	MIN	17	9	10	91	1	168	47	85	53–124	100	+15
31	Dennis Gilbert	D	OTT	12	3	9	54	1	182	82	83	52–129	16	−67
32	Alexander Petrovic	D	DAL	16	3	13	91	0	168	75	83	43–125	0	−83
33	Joshua Brown	D	EDM	12	3	9	71	0	143	74	81	52–117	75	−6
34	Luke Kunin	C	FLA	27	13	16	136	4	163	51	81	46–126	83	+2
35	Max Jones	L	EDM	25	12	12	126	1	104	25	81	53–123	33	−48
36	Pierre-Luc Dubois	C	WSH	64	30	36	220	22	89	48	80	56–108	70	−10
37	Brandon Montour	D	SEA	55	14	40	203	21	89	90	79	43–103	46	−33
38	Klim Kostin	C	SJS	27	13	14	94	1	222	23	78	26–151	53	−25
39	Andrei Svechnikov	R	CAR	71	31	42	251	23	175	25	78	45–104	58	−20
40	Michael Bunting	L	DAL	52	21	28	169	8	83	20	77	50–108	57	−20
41	Jeremy Lauzon	D	VGK	15	4	11	92	0	264	93	77	51–112	98	+21
42	Radko Gudas	D	ANA	17	4	13	107	0	315	120	77	48–109	128	+51
43	Brendan Smith	D	CBJ	13	4	9	82	0	132	94	76	56–107	61	−15
44	Travis Konecny	R	PHI	69	31	40	239	20	80	34	76	40–118	67	−9
45	Brad Marchand	L	FLA	76	28	47	218	26	92	25	76	51–116	78	+2
46	Miles Wood	L	CBJ	26	13	14	155	3	109	26	75	35–116	75	−0
47	Luke Schenn	D	BUF	18	4	14	85	0	303	99	75	52–114	43	−32
48	Maxime Comtois	L	CAR	29	12	17	119	3	121	38	74	37–117	0	−74
49	Jake Middleton	D	MIN	16	5	13	87	0	126	146	73	60–112	77	+4
50	Michael Eyssimont	C	BOS	28	13	15	164	2	147	32	73	38–111	104	+31
51	Zach Bogosian	D	MIN	13	4	8	90	0	174	74	73	46–114	63	−10
52	Sam Bennett	C	FLA	57	28	29	252	12	166	39	72	45–99	100	+28
53	Brendan Gallagher	R	MTL	32	16	19	183	5	62	33	72	42–128	74	+2
54	Mason Marchment	L	CBJ	42	17	26	163	5	121	35	72	40–112	54	−18
55	Mathew Dumba	D	PIT	25	6	17	115	2	121	122	71	41–98	88	+17
56	Trevor Zegras	C	PHI	65	22	41	197	17	53	29	71	35–102	30	−41
57	Tony DeAngelo	D	NYI	51	12	39	188	19	51	74	70	39–93	24	−46
58	Joel Edmundson	D	LAK	18	4	14	91	0	150	157	70	35–116	23	−47
59	Parker Kelly	C	COL	18	9	11	101	0	238	46	70	39–121	30	−40
60	Tyler Tucker	D	STL	16	4	13	81	1	141	79	70	34–117	42	−28
61	Oliver Wahlstrom	R	BOS	33	15	17	162	8	110	27	70	36–113	8	−62
62	Cal Foote	D	NJD	12	3	9	78	0	100	87	69	41–120	16	−53
63	Trent Frederic	C	EDM	29	14	14	127	1	123	36	69	50–88	69	−0
64	Josh Anderson	R	MTL	39	23	16	182	5	164	49	69	36–102	74	+5
65	Nikita Zadorov	D	BOS	22	7	14	116	0	174	82	68	37–95	125	+57
66	Garnet Hathaway	R	PHI	21	11	11	87	0	184	45	68	41–89	132	+64
67	Rasmus Dahlin	D	BUF	61	15	49	205	27	109	111	68	41–104	66	−2
68	Mikko Rantanen	R	DAL	108	47	61	282	38	75	47	68	37–113	50	−18
69	Corey Perry	R	TBL	29	14	15	106	7	67	24	68	32–126	46	−22
70	Keegan Kolesar	R	VGK	23	8	13	85	0	270	41	67	36–102	49	−18
71	Carson Soucy	D	NYI	19	5	15	91	1	139	93	67	39–101	12	−55
72	Brenden Dillon	D	NJD	19	3	16	79	0	184	100	67	39–98	92	+25
73	Ryan Strome	C	CGY	47	15	30	139	8	33	25	66	30–98	86	+20
74	Erik Gudbranson	D	CBJ	16	4	12	111	0	148	143	66	45–88	74	+8
75	Brett Murray	L	BUF	25	9	15	74	4	79	31	66	29–148	2	−64
76	Logan Stanley	D	BUF	13	3	10	103	0	160	101	65	31–105	36	−29
77	Jarred Tinordi	D	CHI	11	3	9	71	0	221	115	65	29–119	64	−1
78	Connor Murphy	D	EDM	15	4	11	90	0	164	166	65	35–90	40	−25
79	Darnell Nurse	D	EDM	44	12	28	200	5	158	155	65	37–83	79	+14
80	Evgeni Malkin	C	PIT	72	27	47	228	28	37	31	65	32–97	70	+5
81	Scott Mayfield	D	NYI	21	4	16	103	0	101	141	64	35–91	35	−29
82	Erik Cernak	D	TBL	20	4	17	108	0	215	107	64	43–91	63	−1
83	Jakob Chychrun	D	WSH	55	19	35	251	15	89	130	64	43–93	60	−4
84	Charlie McAvoy	D	BOS	55	9	45	148	19	115	116	64	40–76	86	+22
85	Nicolas Aube-Kubel	R	MIN	23	10	12	98	0	180	22	63	33–105	23	−40
86	Jamie Oleksiak	D	SEA	21	5	15	89	0	160	120	63	33–90	37	−26
87	Jacob Trouba	D	ANA	32	8	23	185	4	202	175	63	37–85	73	+10
88	Travis Hamonic	D	DET	20	5	14	138	1	109	156	62	31–80	40	−22
89	Barclay Goodrow	C	SJS	26	10	18	93	1	123	38	62	37–75	78	+16
90	Matt Martin	L	NYI	16	6	9	76	0	282	39	62	34–92	43	−19
91	Nick Seeler	D	PHI	10	3	8	67	1	128	110	61	27–104	78	+17
92	Bowen Byram	D	BUF	45	14	31	143	10	114	63	61	37–99	53	−8
93	Aaron Ekblad	D	FLA	57	19	36	233	21	79	95	61	33–92	50	−11
94	Sean Kuraly	C	BOS	23	11	13	113	1	199	50	60	32–95	40	−20
95	Ian Cole	D	UTA	17	3	13	89	0	108	122	60	36–85	61	+1
96	Tyler Myers	D	DAL	21	4	18	120	1	125	140	60	37–87	77	+17
97	Nick Foligno	L	MIN	25	9	16	106	4	183	40	60	30–93	57	−3
98	Yanni Gourde	C	TBL	46	17	25	145	6	96	46	60	34–84	62	+2
99	Sean Durzi	D	UTA	35	7	31	139	16	81	150	60	36–79	63	+3
100	Jack McBain	C	UTA	26	11	16	99	1	279	55	60	36–93	50	−10