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NHL Projections · PP Points

Skaters · 2023-24 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP
70% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model
PositionSkatersGoalies
StatPointsGoalsAssistsShotsPP PointsHitsBlocksPIM
Season2026-272025-262024-252023-24
Projected leaders · Top 100
2023-24 · actual vs p50
#PlayerPosTmPGASOGPPP ↓HITBLKPIMRangeActualΔ
1Connor McDavidCEDM129538034450833639
26–63
44−6
2Leon DraisaitlCEDM119507224948603731
22–60
39−9
3Nathan MacKinnonCCOL117437536840745345
20–49
48+8
4Nikita KucherovRTBL104356926639532742
23–54
53+14
5Mikko RantanenRDAL108476128238754768
23–51
40+2
6Ryan Nugent-HopkinsCEDM81305520136583434
22–44
26−10
7Cale MakarDCOL892766254369210236
24–41
39+3
8Matthew TkachukLFLA98356628235902499
20–40
32−3
9Jason RobertsonLDAL99446128535642427
19–45
28−7
10David PastrnakRBOS94485436233592434
21–41
35+2
11Aleksander BarkovCFLA98376026433635720
22–39
29−4
12Kirill KaprizovLMIN102455228932803539
21–36
41+9
13Elias PetterssonCVAN91375424132706517
17–39
31−1
14Jack HughesCNJD95415632632183118
18–38
31−1
15Mitch MarnerRVGK107336722532594331
20–36
27−5
16Mika ZibanejadCNYR85335222831805022
20–36
31+0
17Artemi PanarinLLAK99246319231312528
22–39
44+13
18Steven StamkosCNSH88365123631883741
21–37
39+8
19Quinn HughesDMIN7076216731357338
20–37
38+7
20Auston MatthewsCTOR103505035730818423
22–36
29−1
21Filip ForsbergLNSH823547256291254833
19–35
32+3
22Tim StützleCOTT853550224291114945
19–35
20−9
23Adam FoxDNYR741158173293312032
21–37
33+4
24Brayden PointCTBL85414622328443720
19–36
32+4
25Roman JosiDNSH671955269285811537
19–34
33+5
26Evgeni MalkinCPIT72274722828373165
18–34
18−10
27J.T. MillerCNYR813051204271805054
22–35
40+13
28Rasmus DahlinDBUF6115492052710911168
21–33
20−7
29William NylanderRTOR83354426827232824
19–32
35+8
30John TavaresCTOR73294325527934033
19–30
20−7
31Sidney CrosbyCPIT87325222827523841
22–34
23−4
32Miro HeiskanenDDAL581148205276410434
17–34
21−6
33Alex DeBrincatRDET70333825426973430
18–33
19−7
34Kyle ConnorLWPG78354526526442517
18–32
19−7
35Brad MarchandLFLA76284721826922576
18–32
26−0
36Alex OvechkinLWSH764333309251853028
21–31
28+3
37Sam ReinhartCFLA69333820425534114
19–32
34+9
38Drake BathersonROTT673039228251193635
15–32
22−3
39Mats ZuccarelloCMIN68214617925313427
17–32
33+8
40Dylan LarkinCDET77304723825563245
14–34
26+1
41Roope HintzCDAL74334120524664730
18–31
19−5
42John CarlsonDANA691455192247811428
17–33
21−3
43Jake GuentzelCTBL76354524623623741
17–32
22−1
44Brady TkachukLOTT7738403532323421116
17–33
22−1
45Andrei SvechnikovRCAR713142251231752578
14–32
17−6
46Kevin FialaLLAK78324723923642357
14–29
30+7
47Johnny GaudreauLCBJ80285521323111723
16–31
18−5
48Drew DoughtyDLAK489401582311211041
14–30
20−3
49Patrik LaineRMTL75314125722553433
13–29
2−20
50Sebastian AhoCCAR77354223222702540
15–30
32+10
51Tyson BarrieDCGY5094115822378726
16–33
6−16
52Bo HorvatCNYI65343322622745429
14–32
18−4
53Patrick KaneRDET64214224022142420
19–31
15−7
54Alex TuchRBUF78334223222646228
10–27
11−11
55Matt BoldyLMIN71323925222713634
13–33
25+3
56Mathew BarzalCNYI69204720022402337
13–30
25+3
57Pierre-Luc DuboisCWSH64303622022894880
14–30
8−14
58Pavel BuchnevichLSTL81324918222583145
14–29
18−4
59Erik KarlssonDPIT66174819421338333
15–31
17−4
60Brandon MontourDSEA55144020321899079
12–29
17−4
61Jack EichelCVGK72294426121777015
12–31
22+1
62Joe PavelskiCDAL68234217621925515
18–27
21−0
63Clayton KellerRUTA80344521821243438
12–28
30+9
64Aaron EkbladDFLA57193623321799561
11–31
4−17
65Timo MeierRNJD693434327211494343
15–29
17−4
66Jesper BrattLNJD72254521521372817
13–27
27+6
67Jordan KyrouRSTL74324224821182823
13–29
21+0
68Mark ScheifeleCWPG74324020021504730
15–31
18−3
69Victor HedmanDTBL571245186219012939
15–33
31+10
70Josh MorrisseyDWPG5513391762111210047
14–31
19−2
71Adrian KempeRLAK613128235201033246
12–27
27+7
72Claude GirouxROTT64234119820712230
15–30
19−1
73Martin NecasCCOL66254122320532831
11–28
13−7
74Travis KonecnyRPHI69314023920803476
10–26
9−11
75Zach HymanLEDM69333824820852939
13–32
20+0
76Anze KopitarCLAK65184816519676813
16–29
23+4
77Nikolaj EhlersLCAR68283927419622824
8–29
7−12
78Mikhail SergachevDUTA548441681912913751
10–27
7−12
79Charlie McAvoyDBOS559451481911511664
11–27
13−6
80Nick SuzukiCMTL65234118119785331
14–27
31+12
81Thomas ChabotDOTT521241205199913552
10–27
7−12
82Andrei KuzmenkoLLAK66313615419192719
11–27
19+0
83Robert ThomasCSTL75185013219193326
12–26
27+8
84Tony DeAngeloDNYI51123918819517470
10–31
6−13
85Joel Eriksson EkCMIN593033238191234835
11–30
21+2
86Tyler ToffoliCSJS59253123919772126
14–29
18−1
87Kris LetangDPIT5211401891911710142
13–28
5−14
88Dylan StromeCWSH58233516419204229
12–28
22+3
89Noah DobsonDMTL481235202187212221
10–30
24+6
90Jeff SkinnerLSJS65313523318281833
10–25
12−6
91Elias LindholmCBOS68283819218864821
12–27
12−6
92Chris KreiderLANA533124213181313938
8–28
29+11
93Jonathan HuberdeauLCGY67204715118762742
15–29
19+1
94Valeri NichushkinRCOL64293722818954914
8–26
21+3
95Mark StoneRVGK71274819018444126
9–29
14−4
96Evgeny KuznetsovCCAR55164117018463144
10–31
7−11
97Brock BoeserRVAN59243420418493227
10–27
25+7
98Jared McCannLSEA60293021018632924
13–25
23+5
99Nico HischierCNJD65254018418655821
9–27
17−1
100Cole CaufieldRMTL61352826718341913
8–25
21+3