NHL Projections · Blocks

Skaters · 2024-25 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP

62% of these 84 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model

PositionSkaters Goalies

StatPoints Goals Assists Shots PP Points Hits Blocks PIM

Season2026-27 2025-26 2024-25 2023-24

Projected leaders · Top 100

2024-25 · actual vs p50

#	Player	Pos	Tm	P	G	A	SOG	PPP	HIT	BLK ↓	PIM	Range	Actual	Δ
1	Alec Martinez	D	CHI	17	3	14	83	1	51	201	20	139–267	81	−120
2	David Savard	D	MTL	23	5	18	78	1	101	193	40	139–247	—	—
3	Jacob Trouba	D	ANA	27	7	22	161	2	205	184	68	141–240	208	+24
4	Brayden McNabb	D	VGK	20	3	16	82	0	157	183	39	136–234	167	−16
5	Chris Tanev	D	TOR	19	3	15	69	0	53	182	28	128–202	—	—
6	Colton Parayko	D	STL	25	5	21	140	2	99	181	28	128–212	149	−32
7	Kaiden Guhle	D	MTL	26	7	21	109	0	137	175	61	123–211	—	—
8	Mario Ferraro	D	SJS	19	5	15	102	0	134	175	31	145–216	125	−50
9	Alex Pietrangelo	D	VGK	42	9	32	170	10	60	173	31	144–234	139	−34
10	Ryan Pulock	D	NYI	23	6	20	124	5	133	173	16	124–199	—	—
11	Moritz Seider	D	DET	45	7	38	160	16	197	172	42	137–222	181	+9
12	Nick Seeler	D	PHI	15	3	11	94	0	138	170	73	107–228	200	+30
13	Connor Murphy	D	EDM	14	4	10	85	0	179	169	67	136–218	160	−9
14	Matt Roy	D	WSH	27	7	19	137	1	144	169	31	120–208	113	−56
15	Rasmus Andersson	D	VGK	44	8	35	159	13	51	167	33	112–191	196	+29
16	MacKenzie Weegar	D	UTA	43	9	32	189	10	173	167	54	112–210	192	+25
17	Jonas Brodin	D	MIN	27	6	21	136	2	37	164	29	135–218	—	—
18	Ben Chiarot	D	DET	20	5	15	110	0	157	159	51	134–210	142	−17
19	Sean Durzi	D	UTA	42	9	32	147	16	61	159	64	134–202	52	−107
20	Ryan McDonagh	D	TBL	24	4	20	89	1	61	158	28	132–205	152	−6
21	John Carlson	D	ANA	54	11	43	166	20	72	156	28	114–202	131	−25
22	Jake Middleton	D	MIN	20	5	14	90	0	144	155	74	131–209	157	+2
23	Seth Jones	D	FLA	41	10	32	192	12	99	155	34	126–173	109	−46
24	Jake Walman	D	EDM	22	8	14	146	4	63	154	45	121–205	145	−9
25	Alexander Romanov	D	NYI	21	5	18	117	0	171	154	37	119–194	165	+11
26	Esa Lindell	D	DAL	23	5	17	115	0	85	154	14	123–194	170	+16
27	Jake Sanderson	D	OTT	38	8	31	164	14	54	153	23	113–186	163	+10
28	Adam Larsson	D	SEA	26	6	19	122	1	168	153	47	117–195	148	−5
29	Adam Pelech	D	NYI	24	5	18	101	0	94	152	39	115–179	87	−65
30	Noah Dobson	D	MTL	61	10	51	195	23	81	151	29	121–202	126	−25
31	Scott Mayfield	D	NYI	15	3	14	83	0	126	151	65	111–187	105	−46
32	Brock Faber	D	MIN	49	9	37	143	16	71	151	31	97–192	115	−36
33	Jake McCabe	D	TOR	23	5	18	83	1	200	150	49	122–202	135	−15
34	Mike Matheson	D	MTL	51	11	39	175	18	73	150	50	116–204	168	+18
35	Jackson LaCombe	D	ANA	20	4	16	72	3	67	149	31	108–193	129	−20
36	Mikhail Sergachev	D	UTA	45	7	38	145	15	115	149	49	116–191	140	−9
37	Jakob Chychrun	D	WSH	46	14	32	210	12	77	148	61	107–170	87	−61
38	Marcus Pettersson	D	VAN	25	4	21	104	0	128	148	48	116–179	144	−4
39	Alex Vlasic	D	CHI	17	4	14	80	1	73	148	41	106–192	157	+9
40	Cam York	D	PHI	34	9	25	122	7	75	147	34	114–191	126	−21
41	Andrew Peeke	D	BOS	15	4	12	88	0	179	147	35	127–210	126	−21
42	Jacob Bernard-Docker	D	DET	14	3	12	72	0	77	145	37	90–185	—	—
43	Erik Gudbranson	D	CBJ	19	3	15	103	0	113	144	68	119–199	19	−125
44	Travis Sanheim	D	PHI	37	9	27	140	4	80	143	40	102–173	170	+27
45	Zach Werenski	D	CBJ	60	15	47	235	18	39	143	27	107–172	131	−12
46	Mattias Samuelsson	D	BUF	17	3	15	101	0	190	143	37	112–186	—	—
47	Jared Spurgeon	D	MIN	32	8	24	119	6	59	142	16	100–213	119	−23
48	Rasmus Dahlin	D	BUF	67	16	48	230	23	158	141	72	105–163	98	−43
49	TJ Brodie	D	CHI	21	3	18	66	0	47	140	30	122–192	58	−82
50	Timothy Liljegren	D	WSH	27	6	20	104	5	131	140	30	96–193	111	−29
51	Jamie Oleksiak	D	SEA	21	5	15	95	0	125	140	45	108–197	159	+19
52	Ian Cole	D	UTA	13	2	11	75	0	102	139	63	108–182	211	+72
53	Alexandre Carrier	D	MTL	21	4	17	89	1	78	139	50	104–189	169	+30
54	Thomas Chabot	D	OTT	49	13	37	199	15	78	139	45	106–164	—	—
55	Jeff Petry	D	MIN	23	4	20	98	2	160	138	37	106–183	77	−61
56	Jonas Siegenthaler	D	NJD	18	3	14	93	0	116	138	40	104–176	92	−46
57	Jani Hakanpää	D	TOR	13	3	11	73	0	227	137	44	100–178	4	−133
58	Brandon Carlo	D	TOR	16	4	13	97	0	149	137	37	99–176	157	+20
59	Justin Faulk	D	DET	45	10	32	165	8	115	136	40	96–165	108	−28
60	Martin Fehérváry	D	WSH	18	4	13	91	0	229	135	34	107–176	—	—
61	Artem Zub	D	OTT	24	6	17	91	0	160	134	48	92–180	118	−16
62	Zach Whitecloud	D	CGY	17	4	13	83	0	152	134	41	100–171	103	−31
63	Cale Makar	D	COL	94	24	68	249	40	60	134	30	94–159	128	−6
64	Matt Benning	D	TOR	17	2	17	70	1	97	133	39	81–186	10	−123
65	Tyler Myers	D	DAL	20	3	16	101	0	112	132	70	103–174	125	−7
66	Sean Walker	D	CAR	25	7	17	136	2	103	131	45	91–161	—	—
67	Jaycob Megna	D	VGK	12	2	10	67	0	112	131	37	96–180	9	−122
68	Ilya Lyubushkin	D	DAL	11	2	9	56	0	171	130	52	96–177	136	+6
69	Trevor van Riemsdyk	D	WSH	17	3	15	86	0	39	130	25	111–194	151	+21
70	Mikey Anderson	D	LAK	19	4	14	96	0	150	129	25	102–182	124	−5
71	Morgan Rielly	D	TOR	58	9	53	184	21	95	129	33	104–182	131	+2
72	Nicolas Hague	D	NSH	17	4	12	116	0	141	129	46	90–162	74	−55
73	Thomas Harley	D	DAL	44	11	30	149	8	69	128	19	89–181	110	−18
74	Dylan DeMelo	D	WPG	20	4	18	80	0	146	128	34	98–176	112	−16
75	Brett Pesce	D	NJD	26	6	19	124	1	40	127	32	92–162	138	+11
76	Vladislav Gavrikov	D	NYR	25	6	17	110	0	79	127	40	97–166	—	—
77	Roman Josi	D	NSH	75	20	52	262	27	54	127	42	86–169	95	−32
78	Derek Forbort	D	VAN	12	4	10	61	0	145	126	43	89–163	—	—
79	Samuel Girard	D	PIT	29	5	22	103	3	94	125	19	93–185	111	−14
80	Dante Fabbro	D	CBJ	19	4	15	100	0	82	125	38	93–170	143	+18
81	Niko Mikkola	D	FLA	17	3	13	85	0	179	125	65	91–151	88	−37
82	Adam Fox	D	NYR	81	14	64	170	32	44	125	36	97–181	108	−17
83	Jaccob Slavin	D	CAR	34	7	25	149	1	51	125	13	88–142	136	+11
84	Erik Johnson	D	COL	18	4	13	109	1	145	124	25	95–158	26	−98
85	Vincent Desharnais	D	SJS	13	2	11	46	0	143	123	60	87–160	83	−40
86	Marc-Edouard Vlasic	D	SJS	13	3	11	78	0	53	123	22	87–178	40	−83
87	Rasmus Ristolainen	D	PHI	20	4	14	102	1	165	122	35	95–162	94	−28
88	Noah Juulsen	D	PHI	12	2	9	50	0	223	122	38	82–162	—	—
89	J.J. Moser	D	TBL	25	6	20	92	4	90	122	35	94–162	70	−52
90	Devon Toews	D	COL	50	10	41	163	8	74	122	24	95–145	103	−19
91	Shea Theodore	D	VGK	59	11	48	189	17	29	122	21	97–170	82	−40
92	Braden Schneider	D	NYR	22	4	16	92	1	146	121	18	93–173	145	+24
93	Victor Hedman	D	TBL	65	13	53	174	25	79	121	50	98–168	—	—
94	Jordan Harris	D	BOS	20	5	16	93	1	80	121	40	83–161	35	−86
95	Travis Hamonic	D	DET	15	4	10	101	0	105	121	59	97–179	92	−29
96	Joel Edmundson	D	LAK	13	3	10	79	0	132	120	51	97–164	108	−12
97	Erik Cernak	D	TBL	16	3	14	83	0	228	119	66	89–156	—	—
98	Ryan Lindgren	D	SEA	18	3	15	89	0	116	119	45	89–167	—	—
99	Drew Doughty	D	LAK	50	11	38	139	20	103	119	40	92–172	45	−74
100	Ryan Graves	D	PIT	19	4	16	104	0	87	118	33	75–160	73	−45