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NHL Projections · PP Points

Skaters · 2024-25 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP
63% of these 100 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model
PositionSkatersGoalies
StatPointsGoalsAssistsShotsPP PointsHitsBlocksPIM
Season2026-272025-262024-252023-24
Projected leaders · Top 100
2024-25 · actual vs p50
#PlayerPosTmPGASOGPPP ↓HITBLKPIMRangeActualΔ
1Connor McDavidCEDM1254486294501014238
26–63
31−19
2Nikita KucherovRTBL120368228446482730
26–56
46−0
3Mikko RantanenRDAL114446626842574956
23–50
26−16
4Nathan MacKinnonCCOL125448337341676339
25–49
38−3
5Leon DraisaitlCEDM117436822340583047
26–54
33−7
6Kirill KaprizovLMIN102456029440693941
25–48
14−26
7Cale MakarDCOL942468249406013430
24–47
35−5
8Artemi PanarinLLAK106327224436211526
26–48
26−10
9Mitch MarnerRVGK104327020135592824
22–38
33−2
10Jack HughesCNJD106436336435204019
24–41
27−8
11Quinn HughesDMIN86137119633317337
23–43
29−4
12Auston MatthewsCTOR113495335533868524
24–41
25−8
13David PastrnakRBOS108485936433651834
24–40
23−10
14Adam FoxDNYR811464170324412536
20–39
18−14
15Steven StamkosCNSH81384923632864134
21–40
21−11
16Matthew TkachukLFLA903560285311242991
22–39
23−8
17Aleksander BarkovCFLA91315922431955122
22–39
28−3
18Ryan Nugent-HopkinsCEDM76235418530603334
21–38
20−10
19J.T. MillerCNYR933061193301995156
24–41
22−8
20William NylanderRTOR91365629630292924
23–39
30−0
21Filip ForsbergLNSH904447337301384835
24–38
26−4
22Mika ZibanejadCNYR76285021629574926
21–36
19−10
23Mats ZuccarelloCMIN68185118328413131
17–34
16−12
24Sebastian AhoCCAR87375122228592341
17–38
23−5
25Dylan LarkinCDET80364424328643544
20–35
27−1
26Jason RobertsonLDAL89385025428682724
21–38
19−9
27Brayden PointCTBL88414421328394123
22–38
31+3
28Sam ReinhartCFLA83384321628725320
23–38
30+2
29Elias PetterssonCVAN92335521427966718
20–36
16−11
30Roman JosiDNSH752052262275412742
21–35
17−10
31Connor BedardCCHI76284725627743835
16–35
29+2
32Kyle ConnorLWPG80344527626312415
19–33
28+2
33Kevin FialaLLAK78304723426682657
17–35
25−1
34Brad MarchandLFLA66234319526923182
19–32
13−13
35Sidney CrosbyCPIT89345324526413137
18–30
27+1
36Evgeni MalkinCPIT66244118925283665
17–30
16−9
37Matt BoldyLMIN70304124125493341
17–32
21−4
38Jake GuentzelCTBL84385127125603137
20–33
28+3
39Tim StützleCOTT822953213251125043
17–33
33+8
40Victor HedmanDTBL651353174257912150
18–34
26+1
41Valeri NichushkinRCOL723440243251004522
16–31
8−17
42Alex DeBrincatRDET69274123625813436
16–30
29+4
43Clayton KellerRUTA80354523324253240
15–32
37+13
44John TavaresCTOR683140269241153731
19–30
20−4
45Miro HeiskanenDDAL601051189246510436
16–32
7−17
46Mathew BarzalCNYI74215221824463032
18–32
4−20
47Nick SuzukiCMTL71254319124644737
16–34
27+3
48Patrick KaneRDET74264725124222622
17–30
29+5
49Brady TkachukLOTT7835433442426831132
17–30
23−1
50Rasmus DahlinDBUF6716482302315814172
16–33
21−2
51Robert ThomasCSTL81245716523174433
16–31
19−4
52Noah DobsonDMTL611051195238115129
16–31
12−11
53Jack EichelCVGK81404335423607725
17–31
34+11
54Drake BathersonROTT662540207231063240
17–30
31+8
55Evan BouchardDEDM64134520723708232
15–31
26+3
56Jesper BrattLNJD79305123023563116
16–31
34+11
57Jordan KyrouRSTL74324124923223223
14–31
17−6
58Joel Eriksson EkCMIN683136260221545246
15–31
10−12
59Josh MorrisseyDWPG62125018522816747
14–32
22+0
60Adrian KempeRLAK673335243221123256
16–31
18−4
61Bo HorvatCNYI68303423222704731
13–30
7−15
62Chris KreiderLANA613430221211012730
16–33
7−14
63Dougie HamiltonDNJD58154126121749946
14–33
15−6
64Andrei SvechnikovRCAR712742234211912778
14–28
18−3
65Dylan StromeCWSH64243816821135123
12–29
34+13
66Brock BoeserRVAN64283620121573324
14–27
20−1
67Zach HymanLEDM71363227421783539
15–30
12−9
68Morgan RiellyDTOR58953184219512933
15–30
14−7
69Mark ScheifeleCWPG73294416820614243
13–28
25+5
70Cole CaufieldRMTL69333728920502217
12–29
17−3
71Pavel BuchnevichLSTL70284519520502642
12–29
12−8
72Nazem KadriCCOL67264425720582647
15–32
22+2
73Drew DoughtyDLAK5011381392010311940
11–24
6−14
74Dylan GuentherRUTA56262920820533528
10–27
29+9
75Timo MeierRNJD653331272201354647
11–28
13−7
76Roope HintzCDAL69303518920514329
14–27
20+0
77Lucas RaymondLDET66253918220622729
13–26
37+17
78Anze KopitarCLAK65204414920497016
12–25
22+2
79Nico HischierCNJD76294420920554919
10–27
29+9
80John CarlsonDANA541143166207215628
12–26
14−6
81Ryan O'ReillyCNSH61233816719275023
12–30
17−2
82Viktor ArvidssonLBOS57243124019315430
10–29
3−16
83Vincent TrocheckCNYR672444199191596459
12–29
12−7
84Luke HughesDNJD50113714119367330
12–30
16−3
85Mark StoneRVGK69254517318464726
9–27
25+7
86Brock NelsonCCOL67313421518443026
10–28
7−11
87Claude GirouxROTT64214117718482930
12–27
18−0
88Mike MathesonDMTL511139175187315050
10–27
10−8
89Zach WerenskiDCBJ601547235183914327
9–28
25+7
90Jonathan MarchessaultCNSH63292924818832229
11–26
23+5
91Jared McCannLSEA56302920918502524
10–25
16−2
92Tyler ToffoliCSJS55272822817721820
10–26
15−2
93Erik KarlssonDPIT62134619217307737
10–32
15−2
94Shayne GostisbehereDCAR45123414417369426
11–29
27+10
95Matt DucheneCDAL64243717417344230
12–26
27+10
96Tage ThompsonCBUF62313026317813040
10–24
16−1
97Brandon MontourDSEA491233187171058167
12–32
11−6
98Shea TheodoreDVGK591148189172912221
10–29
19+2
99Carter VerhaegheCFLA70313523917602539
9–25
16−1
100Josh NorrisCBUF542623197171265034
9–27
11−6