NHL Projections · Blocks
Skaters · 2025-26 (model vs actual) · per-82-GP
57% of these 98 landed inside their p10–p90 band · a season projection is a full-health baseline over the top projected players, so a big miss is often missed games, not the model
Projected leaders · Top 100
2025-26 · actual vs p50
| # | Player | Pos | Tm | P | G | A | SOG | PPP | HIT | BLK ↓ | PIM | Range | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob Trouba | D | ANA | 21 | 4 | 18 | 124 | 1 | 169 | 200 | 65 | 149–233 | 149 | −51 |
| 2 | Nick Seeler | D | PHI | 18 | 3 | 13 | 87 | 0 | 132 | 179 | 51 | 141–235 | 149 | −30 |
| 3 | Rasmus Andersson | D | VGK | 38 | 10 | 29 | 160 | 9 | 40 | 171 | 44 | 143–231 | 150 | −21 |
| 4 | Jake Walman | D | EDM | 37 | 11 | 26 | 174 | 8 | 65 | 171 | 52 | 144–217 | 90 | −81 |
| 5 | Ian Cole | D | UTA | 16 | 3 | 13 | 71 | 0 | 98 | 169 | 64 | 136–217 | 151 | −18 |
| 6 | Alexander Romanov | D | NYI | 22 | 5 | 18 | 120 | 0 | 178 | 169 | 30 | 136–211 | 31 | −138 |
| 7 | Connor Murphy | D | EDM | 18 | 4 | 13 | 85 | 0 | 143 | 169 | 66 | 144–232 | 138 | −31 |
| 8 | Colton Parayko | D | STL | 35 | 10 | 22 | 149 | 3 | 106 | 168 | 23 | 142–225 | 172 | +4 |
| 9 | Brayden McNabb | D | VGK | 20 | 4 | 17 | 85 | 0 | 133 | 164 | 37 | 149–215 | 142 | −22 |
| 10 | Jake Middleton | D | MIN | 21 | 6 | 16 | 98 | 0 | 122 | 164 | 58 | 141–211 | 117 | −47 |
| 11 | Darnell Nurse | D | EDM | 37 | 10 | 26 | 179 | 3 | 154 | 161 | 66 | 130–199 | 167 | +6 |
| 12 | Radko Gudas | D | ANA | 19 | 4 | 14 | 101 | 0 | 243 | 159 | 99 | 124–197 | 88 | −71 |
| 13 | MacKenzie Weegar | D | UTA | 44 | 11 | 32 | 176 | 14 | 193 | 159 | 41 | 136–210 | 175 | +16 |
| 14 | Alexandre Carrier | D | MTL | 20 | 4 | 16 | 84 | 0 | 80 | 159 | 42 | 129–202 | 155 | −4 |
| 15 | Mike Matheson | D | MTL | 37 | 8 | 33 | 156 | 13 | 67 | 159 | 48 | 140–207 | 150 | −9 |
| 16 | Esa Lindell | D | DAL | 25 | 6 | 18 | 96 | 0 | 58 | 158 | 16 | 132–204 | 179 | +21 |
| 17 | Moritz Seider | D | DET | 47 | 9 | 40 | 167 | 20 | 212 | 156 | 42 | 150–228 | 180 | +24 |
| 18 | Alex Vlasic | D | CHI | 24 | 4 | 21 | 92 | 6 | 62 | 156 | 26 | 129–198 | 119 | −37 |
| 19 | Adam Larsson | D | SEA | 24 | 6 | 17 | 115 | 0 | 120 | 155 | 38 | 119–189 | 163 | +8 |
| 20 | Jake Sanderson | D | OTT | 48 | 9 | 39 | 186 | 21 | 41 | 155 | 21 | 131–190 | 128 | −27 |
| 21 | Ryan McDonagh | D | TBL | 25 | 4 | 20 | 81 | 1 | 37 | 155 | 26 | 124–189 | 76 | −79 |
| 22 | Jake McCabe | D | TOR | 23 | 4 | 19 | 83 | 0 | 153 | 154 | 50 | 129–193 | — | — |
| 23 | Travis Sanheim | D | PHI | 36 | 9 | 25 | 137 | 3 | 80 | 153 | 40 | 130–205 | 152 | −1 |
| 24 | Andrew Peeke | D | BOS | 17 | 4 | 14 | 87 | 0 | 134 | 152 | 24 | 121–209 | 135 | −17 |
| 25 | Marcus Pettersson | D | VAN | 26 | 4 | 21 | 86 | 0 | 101 | 152 | 47 | 123–190 | 136 | −16 |
| 26 | Cam York | D | PHI | 24 | 6 | 17 | 91 | 1 | 75 | 152 | 34 | 130–191 | 145 | −7 |
| 27 | Dante Fabbro | D | CBJ | 23 | 6 | 16 | 102 | 0 | 85 | 151 | 44 | 120–198 | — | — |
| 28 | Jamie Oleksiak | D | SEA | 16 | 4 | 12 | 70 | 0 | 86 | 149 | 39 | 125–189 | 106 | −43 |
| 29 | Sean Durzi | D | UTA | 38 | 10 | 26 | 128 | 10 | 53 | 149 | 57 | 124–189 | 88 | −61 |
| 30 | Mikhail Sergachev | D | UTA | 53 | 11 | 44 | 151 | 20 | 78 | 149 | 45 | 121–188 | 125 | −24 |
| 31 | Brandon Carlo | D | TOR | 14 | 3 | 13 | 82 | 0 | 104 | 148 | 36 | 112–180 | 98 | −50 |
| 32 | Noah Dobson | D | MTL | 52 | 12 | 39 | 207 | 17 | 71 | 147 | 33 | 121–188 | 188 | +41 |
| 33 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | D | WSH | 19 | 3 | 15 | 82 | 0 | 25 | 146 | 25 | 103–190 | 97 | −49 |
| 34 | Artem Zub | D | OTT | 22 | 4 | 18 | 85 | 0 | 116 | 146 | 46 | 117–189 | 120 | −26 |
| 35 | Ben Chiarot | D | DET | 17 | 4 | 13 | 103 | 0 | 131 | 145 | 57 | 128–189 | 160 | +15 |
| 36 | Jared Spurgeon | D | MIN | 30 | 6 | 22 | 123 | 7 | 63 | 144 | 16 | 107–195 | 137 | −7 |
| 37 | Dylan Samberg | D | WPG | 22 | 5 | 16 | 98 | 1 | 81 | 144 | 39 | 110–192 | 115 | −29 |
| 38 | Jackson LaCombe | D | ANA | 39 | 10 | 27 | 123 | 8 | 67 | 143 | 30 | 115–186 | 128 | −15 |
| 39 | Brett Pesce | D | NJD | 20 | 4 | 14 | 109 | 0 | 34 | 143 | 32 | 114–183 | 80 | −63 |
| 40 | Simon Edvinsson | D | DET | 30 | 9 | 22 | 99 | 1 | 95 | 143 | 58 | 109–178 | 148 | +5 |
| 41 | Braden Schneider | D | NYR | 20 | 5 | 16 | 94 | 0 | 149 | 142 | 18 | 102–187 | 140 | −2 |
| 42 | Matt Roy | D | WSH | 24 | 5 | 17 | 107 | 0 | 130 | 141 | 31 | 130–203 | 146 | +5 |
| 43 | Jonas Brodin | D | MIN | 25 | 6 | 20 | 118 | 1 | 44 | 140 | 29 | 100–153 | 126 | −14 |
| 44 | Seth Jones | D | FLA | 41 | 11 | 31 | 174 | 14 | 110 | 140 | 35 | 117–177 | 61 | −79 |
| 45 | Tyler Myers | D | DAL | 22 | 4 | 19 | 92 | 0 | 99 | 139 | 71 | 111–187 | 121 | −18 |
| 46 | Cody Ceci | D | LAK | 19 | 3 | 17 | 88 | 0 | 72 | 138 | 20 | 99–170 | 114 | −24 |
| 47 | Adam Pelech | D | NYI | 28 | 5 | 20 | 123 | 1 | 92 | 138 | 41 | 99–167 | 124 | −14 |
| 48 | Mario Ferraro | D | SJS | 18 | 4 | 13 | 91 | 0 | 141 | 138 | 36 | 128–210 | 150 | +12 |
| 49 | Zach Werenski | D | CBJ | 73 | 19 | 55 | 277 | 21 | 25 | 137 | 31 | 113–165 | 94 | −43 |
| 50 | John Carlson | D | ANA | 48 | 9 | 40 | 155 | 15 | 53 | 137 | 30 | 116–216 | 106 | −31 |
| 51 | Timothy Liljegren | D | WSH | 24 | 6 | 17 | 108 | 4 | 95 | 137 | 34 | 110–165 | 90 | −47 |
| 52 | Kaiden Guhle | D | MTL | 27 | 7 | 20 | 108 | 1 | 118 | 136 | 63 | 99–155 | 63 | −73 |
| 53 | Jonas Siegenthaler | D | NJD | 17 | 4 | 14 | 84 | 0 | 112 | 135 | 46 | 107–183 | 135 | −0 |
| 54 | Ilya Lyubushkin | D | DAL | 12 | 2 | 10 | 51 | 0 | 121 | 133 | 39 | 115–163 | 90 | −43 |
| 55 | Mikey Anderson | D | LAK | 23 | 5 | 16 | 94 | 0 | 131 | 133 | 28 | 107–168 | 133 | −0 |
| 56 | Jeff Petry | D | MIN | 19 | 2 | 19 | 75 | 1 | 121 | 133 | 34 | 108–167 | 65 | −68 |
| 57 | Scott Mayfield | D | NYI | 12 | 3 | 10 | 68 | 0 | 103 | 132 | 48 | 114–162 | 82 | −50 |
| 58 | Simon Nemec | D | NJD | 28 | 7 | 19 | 108 | 3 | 40 | 130 | 43 | 99–204 | 104 | −26 |
| 59 | Morgan Rielly | D | TOR | 45 | 6 | 39 | 138 | 14 | 49 | 129 | 27 | 101–160 | 114 | −15 |
| 60 | Brock Faber | D | MIN | 36 | 8 | 29 | 141 | 11 | 53 | 129 | 27 | 112–165 | 148 | +19 |
| 61 | Jaccob Slavin | D | CAR | 29 | 7 | 21 | 115 | 0 | 29 | 129 | 10 | 98–167 | 54 | −75 |
| 62 | Ryan Pulock | D | NYI | 22 | 5 | 18 | 106 | 2 | 105 | 129 | 18 | 91–151 | 148 | +19 |
| 63 | Samuel Girard | D | PIT | 27 | 4 | 21 | 104 | 2 | 76 | 129 | 19 | 98–165 | 58 | −71 |
| 64 | Joel Edmundson | D | LAK | 18 | 4 | 14 | 84 | 0 | 115 | 129 | 37 | 98–179 | 111 | −18 |
| 65 | Travis Hamonic | D | DET | 13 | 4 | 11 | 94 | 0 | 96 | 128 | 48 | 88–163 | 41 | −87 |
| 66 | Zach Whitecloud | D | CGY | 15 | 3 | 11 | 78 | 0 | 135 | 128 | 42 | 88–151 | 140 | +12 |
| 67 | Thomas Harley | D | DAL | 51 | 14 | 34 | 178 | 13 | 45 | 127 | 22 | 101–159 | 148 | +21 |
| 68 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | D | SJS | 23 | 5 | 18 | 91 | 5 | 77 | 126 | 34 | 99–208 | 63 | −63 |
| 69 | Roman Josi | D | NSH | 63 | 18 | 46 | 234 | 22 | 55 | 126 | 40 | 101–159 | 101 | −25 |
| 70 | Olli Maatta | D | CGY | 20 | 4 | 15 | 75 | 0 | 44 | 125 | 17 | 95–176 | 62 | −63 |
| 71 | Chris Tanev | D | TOR | 16 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 0 | 44 | 125 | 26 | 98–158 | 15 | −110 |
| 72 | Adam Fox | D | NYR | 72 | 14 | 55 | 159 | 27 | 44 | 125 | 37 | 103–141 | 74 | −51 |
| 73 | Rasmus Dahlin | D | BUF | 69 | 18 | 50 | 223 | 25 | 127 | 124 | 72 | 107–186 | 79 | −45 |
| 74 | Vincent Desharnais | D | SJS | 10 | 2 | 9 | 50 | 0 | 127 | 124 | 64 | 97–157 | 83 | −41 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | D | PIT | 18 | 3 | 15 | 80 | 0 | 211 | 124 | 57 | 84–176 | 84 | −40 |
| 76 | Justin Faulk | D | DET | 34 | 6 | 29 | 136 | 8 | 92 | 124 | 35 | 96–164 | 132 | +8 |
| 77 | Rasmus Ristolainen | D | PHI | 22 | 5 | 16 | 107 | 2 | 128 | 123 | 27 | 93–171 | 63 | −60 |
| 78 | Wyatt Kaiser | D | CHI | 17 | 4 | 13 | 92 | 0 | 73 | 123 | 34 | 89–161 | 69 | −54 |
| 79 | Miro Heiskanen | D | DAL | 62 | 12 | 48 | 185 | 18 | 43 | 123 | 33 | 99–168 | 132 | +9 |
| 80 | Brandt Clarke | D | LAK | 37 | 9 | 25 | 142 | 10 | 30 | 122 | 51 | 88–164 | 185 | +63 |
| 81 | Cale Makar | D | COL | 95 | 25 | 69 | 244 | 38 | 49 | 122 | 26 | 102–156 | 118 | −4 |
| 82 | Louis Crevier | D | CHI | 13 | 5 | 10 | 78 | 1 | 155 | 122 | 26 | 92–169 | 95 | −27 |
| 83 | Thomas Chabot | D | OTT | 45 | 10 | 33 | 174 | 12 | 66 | 121 | 36 | 73–129 | 111 | −10 |
| 84 | Noah Hanifin | D | VGK | 40 | 10 | 30 | 156 | 9 | 52 | 121 | 23 | 90–147 | 116 | −5 |
| 85 | Dylan DeMelo | D | WPG | 20 | 3 | 18 | 69 | 0 | 132 | 120 | 35 | 100–156 | 109 | −11 |
| 86 | Erik Gudbranson | D | CBJ | 18 | 3 | 15 | 85 | 0 | 112 | 120 | 52 | 104–175 | 64 | −56 |
| 87 | Simon Benoit | D | TOR | 10 | 2 | 9 | 65 | 0 | 221 | 120 | 62 | 87–146 | 114 | −6 |
| 88 | Jakob Chychrun | D | WSH | 48 | 16 | 31 | 193 | 14 | 73 | 119 | 55 | 92–187 | 114 | −5 |
| 89 | Shea Theodore | D | VGK | 66 | 9 | 52 | 156 | 20 | 16 | 118 | 27 | 84–137 | 87 | −31 |
| 90 | Drew Doughty | D | LAK | 40 | 10 | 31 | 120 | 15 | 83 | 117 | 39 | 96–145 | 76 | −41 |
| 91 | J.J. Moser | D | TBL | 24 | 4 | 18 | 85 | 3 | 72 | 116 | 34 | 84–158 | 91 | −25 |
| 92 | Mattias Samuelsson | D | BUF | 17 | 4 | 14 | 84 | 1 | 150 | 116 | 36 | 80–141 | 154 | +38 |
| 93 | Mason Lohrei | D | BOS | 31 | 7 | 23 | 99 | 11 | 38 | 116 | 26 | 90–148 | 93 | −23 |
| 94 | Vladislav Gavrikov | D | NYR | 26 | 6 | 17 | 109 | 0 | 64 | 116 | 33 | 68–133 | 104 | −12 |
| 95 | Devon Toews | D | COL | 44 | 10 | 34 | 153 | 5 | 55 | 115 | 23 | 96–142 | 83 | −32 |
| 96 | Damon Severson | D | CBJ | 27 | 7 | 20 | 95 | 1 | 52 | 115 | 47 | 85–149 | 86 | −29 |
| 97 | Carson Soucy | D | NYI | 14 | 3 | 11 | 83 | 1 | 130 | 113 | 49 | 79–148 | 91 | −22 |
| 98 | Victor Hedman | D | TBL | 60 | 12 | 47 | 172 | 23 | 60 | 113 | 43 | 68–128 | 44 | −69 |
| 99 | Kevin Bahl | D | CGY | 18 | 4 | 14 | 84 | 1 | 127 | 113 | 51 | 86–155 | 99 | −14 |
| 100 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | D | DET | 14 | 3 | 10 | 72 | 0 | 83 | 113 | 33 | 75–144 | 87 | −26 |