Bowling Green Falcons
Mid-American
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #113
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- -12.6 (#113)
- SP+ Offense
- 15.4
- SP+ Defense
- 28.8
- SRS
- -14.4
- FPI
- -11.8
- Elo
- 1260
- Talent
- 527
- Recruiting
- 188 (#75)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
5.5p10 4.0 — p90 7.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 1.6% | |
| Make CFP | 0.0% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.0% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 5.5–6.5
Schedule
121st
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
128th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
91st
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 2 FCS games.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsTarleton State | FCS | 41-7* | +33.4 | 98% | — |
| 2 | @Nebraska | +6.2 | 13-36 | -23.5 | 8% | — |
| 3 | @Iowa State | +9.9 | 16-34 | -18.0 | 14% | — |
| 4 | vsSouth Florida | +11.6 | 16-34 | -18.7 | 13% | — |
| 5 | @Miami (OH) | -3.4 | 21-31 | -10.1 | 27% | — |
| 6 | vsSacramento State | FCS | 35-18 | +17.3 | 85% | — |
| 7 | vsBall State | -23 | 30-21 | +8.3 | 69% | — |
| 8 | @Buffalo | -7.5 | 24-31 | -6.8 | 34% | — |
| 9 | @Western Michigan | -1.4 | 19-32 | -12.7 | 22% | — |
| 11 | vsKent State | -19.3 | 29-21 | +8.4 | 70% | — |
| 12 | @Toledo | +6 | 20-35 | -15.3 | 18% | — |
| 13 | vsMassachusetts | -36.6 | 36-14 | +22.8 | 92% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 64
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Drew Pyne | SR | 6'0" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Hunter Najm | FR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| QB | 3rd | Baron May | SR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| QB | 4th | Austin Novosad← Oregon | SO | 6'3" | 200 | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 1st | Leo Kemp | JR | 5'11" | 245 | — |
| RB | 1st | Austyn Dendy | FR | 6'0" | 225 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Chris McMillian | JR | 5'10" | 190 | — |
| RB | 3rd | PaSean Wimberly | SR | 5'10" | 185 | — |
| RB | 4th | Chris Edmonds | SO | 5'10" | 210 | — |
| RB | 5th | Nakai Amachree | FR | 5'10" | 195 | ★★★ |
| RB | — | Ke'Marion Baldwin← Charleston Southern | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Allen Middleton | SO | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| WR | 2nd | Brennan Ridley | SO | 5'11" | 175 | — |
| WR | 3rd | Finn Hogan | SR | 6'5" | 220 | — |
| WR | 4th | Winn Sharp | SO | 6'5" | 205 | ★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Trey Johnson | JR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Pierce St Geme | FR | 5'11" | 180 | — |
| WR | 7th | Jared Merk | SO | 6'2" | 190 | — |
| WR | 8th | Austin Clay | FR | 6'0" | 175 | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Isaiah Dawson← Richmond | — | — | — | — |
| WR | — | Nick Sowell← South Carolina State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Jyrin Johnson | SR | 6'4" | 235 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Jeremiah Scoby | FR | 6'3" | 210 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Eli Jacon-Duffy | FR | 6'4" | 245 | ★★★ |
| TE | 4th | Blane Cleaver | SR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
Offensive Line · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | — | Brody Bolyn | SO | 6'3" | 310 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Tunde Fatukasi | SR | 6'5" | 310 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Gabriel Funk← App State | — | — | — | ★★ |
Defensive Line · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Eriq George | JR | 6'3" | 285 | — |
| DE | 2nd | Bam Booker | SR | 6'3" | 280 | — |
| DE | 3rd | Jaimion Olverson | FR | 6'3" | 275 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Selah Brown← Louisville | JR | 6'2" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Timothy Taylor Jr.← Jacksonville State | FR | 6'1" | 280 | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Evan Branch-Haynes | SR | 6'2" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DT | 2nd | Dierre Kelly | SR | 6'2" | 285 | ★★★ |
| DT | 3rd | Dayln White | SO | 6'4" | 300 | ★★★ |
| DT | 4th | Dior Garner | FR | 6'3" | 305 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | John Baker IV← Toledo | FR | 6'5" | 220 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Dorian Pringle | SO | 6'0" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Myles Bradley | JR | 6'0" | 225 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Andrew Hines III | FR | 6'0" | 230 | — |
| LB | 4th | AJ Odom | JR | 6'3" | 240 | — |
| LB | 5th | Sanders Ellis← Purdue | SO | 6'2" | 240 | — |
| LB | 6th | Chris Williams | SR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| LB | 7th | Jabari Mitchell | SO | 6'3" | 230 | ★★★ |
| LB | 8th | TJ Nelson | FR | 6'0" | 215 | ★★★ |
| LB | 9th | Quentin Lewis | FR | 6'2" | 215 | — |
| LB | 10th | Cashmire Lewis | FR | 6'4" | 225 | — |
| LB | — | Jonathan Goins← Alabama A&M | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Jalen McClendon | SR | 6'0" | 185 | — |
| CB | 2nd | JoJo Johnson | SR | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Josira Andrews | FR | 5'10" | 180 | — |
| CB | 4th | Jace Henry | SO | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| CB | — | Nick Sawyer← Charleston Southern | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Drey Braxton← North Carolina Central | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Kal-El Pascal | SO | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Armahn Hale← New Mexico State | SR | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | 3rd | Darius Lorfils | SR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Preston EstoEsta | FR | 6'1" | 190 | ★★★ |
| S | 5th | Mike Wright III← Florida Atlantic | SO | 5'10" | 180 | ★★★ |
| S | 6th | Victor Vazquez | SR | 5'10" | 195 | — |
Special Teams · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | 1st | John Henderson | SR | 6'1" | 180 | — |
| P | — | Ryan Kingston← Southeast Missouri State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| PK | — | Travis Kenner | SO | 5'10" | 180 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
5.5
Exp. Losses
6.5
Toss-ups
0
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
15.47
Off PPA
+0.037
Pass PPA
+0.057
Rush PPA
+0.0527
Success
36%7
Explosive
1.2451
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.03 | +0.15 |
| Passing | +0.05 | +0.27 |
| Rushing | +0.05 | +0.06 |
| 1st Down | -0.17 | +0.02 |
| 2nd Down | +0.01 | +0.14 |
| 3rd Down | +0.43 | +0.44 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
20.5
PPG Against
24.3
Differential
-3.8
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 4-8
- Home
- 3-3
- Away
- 1-5
- Conference
- 2-6
- Non-Conference
- 2-2
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-3
- Avg Margin
- -3.8
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 3-3 | 17.0 | 19.5 |
| Away | 1-5 | 24.0 | 29.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 0-1 | 17.0 | 40.0 |
| Conference | 2-6 | 20.0 | 24.6 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 21.5 | 23.5 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 5 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #113 | — | — |
| 2024 | 7-5 | 6-2 | #77 | — | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #94 | — | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 6-6 | 5-3 | #122 | — | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #111 | — | — |
| 2020 | 0-5 | 0-5 | #128 | — | — |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 2-6 | #128 | — | — |
| 2018 | 3-9 | 2-6 | #126 | — | — |
| 2017 | 2-10 | 2-6 | #101 | — | — |
| 2016 | 4-8 | 3-5 | #93 | — | — |
| 2015 | 10-3 | 8-1 | #51 | — | 0-1 |
| 2014 | 7-6 | 5-4 | #89 | — | 1-0 |
Recent Form · last 5
1-4 SU · 1-4 ATS · O1/U4
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 4-8 |
| ATS | 5-742% |
| Over / Under | 5-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 1-5 |
| As underdog | 4-2 |
| Home | 2-4 |
| Away | 3-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #100 · 0 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★147 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #75 | 188 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| 2025 | #94 | 155 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 2024 | #100 | 149 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| 2023 | #119 | 104 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2022 | #109 | 116 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2021 | #103 | 134 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 2020 | #85 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| 2019 | #129 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2018 | #91 | 144 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2017 | #81 | 138 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 15net -12Out 27
Portal avg stars (in / out)2.9 / 2.9
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Austin Novosad | QB | 3★ | ← Oregon |
| ▲ | Armahn Hale | S | 3★ | ← New Mexico State |
| ▲ | John Baker IV | EDGE | 3★ | ← Toledo |
| ▲ | Ke'Marion Baldwin | RB | 3★ | ← Charleston Southern |
| ▼ | Jacob Harris | TE | 3★ | → Wisconsin |
| ▼ | MJ Cannon | CB | 3★ | → Cincinnati |
| ▼ | Isaiah Thomison | DL | 3★ | → Illinois |
| ▼ | Nate Pabst | OT | 3★ | → Florida State |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
1 items
- Colorado LB Gideon Lampron roasts EA Sports College Football 27 avatarColorado linebacker Gideon Lampron did not come away impressed with his look in EA Sports College Football 27.