Buffalo Bulls
Mid-American
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #95
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- -7.5 (#95)
- SP+ Offense
- 18.2
- SP+ Defense
- 27.4
- SRS
- -14.2
- FPI
- -13.3
- Elo
- 1298
- Talent
- 513
- Recruiting
- 177 (#101)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
6.5p10 5.0 — p90 8.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 3.1% | |
| Make CFP | 0.0% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.0% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 6.6–5.4
Schedule
130th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
133rd
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
95th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 2 FCS games.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsUAlbany | FCS | 43-5* | +38.2 | 99% | — |
| 2 | @Florida International | -10.5 | 24-25 | -0.5 | 49% | — |
| 3 | @Penn State | +18.1 | 10-41 | -31.9 | 3% | — |
| 4 | vsRobert Morris | FCS | 43-5* | +38.2 | 99% | — |
| 5 | vsWestern Michigan | -1.4 | 27-29 | -1.5 | 46% | — |
| 6 | @Toledo | +6 | 18-36 | -18.3 | 13% | — |
| 7 | vsMassachusetts | -36.6 | 37-18 | +19.5 | 88% | — |
| 8 | vsBowling Green | -12.6 | 31-24 | +6.8 | 66% | — |
| 10 | @Miami (OH) | -3.4 | 21-30 | -8.8 | 30% | — |
| 11 | @Ball State | -23 | 29-25 | +4.1 | 60% | — |
| 12 | vsCentral Michigan | -8.8 | 29-26 | +2.8 | 57% | — |
| 13 | @Akron | -13.9 | 28-28 | +0.1 | 50% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 52
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Ta'Quan Roberson | SR | 6'0" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Gunnar Gray | SR | 6'4" | 220 | — |
| QB | 3rd | Jason Wright | FR | 6'3" | 200 | ★★★ |
| QB | — | Elijah Holmes← Wingate | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Al-Jay Henderson | SR | 6'0" | 216 | ★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Terrance Shelton Jr. | SO | 6'0" | 213 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | James McNeil Jr. | FR | 6'2" | 217 | — |
| RB | 4th | Messiah Burch | SO | 5'10" | 190 | — |
Wide Receivers · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Jasaiah Gathings | SR | 6'1" | 190 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Chance Morrow | JR | 6'6" | 191 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Patrick Clacks III | FR | 6'1" | 195 | ★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Devare Mathis | SO | 6'0" | 210 | — |
Tight Ends · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Evan King | SR | 6'1" | 252 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Marcus Velez | SR | 6'6" | 250 | — |
| TE | — | Trevor Wilson← Campbell | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 1
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OT | — | Nathan Natoli← Bucknell | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Malin White | SR | 6'2" | 250 | — |
| DE | 2nd | Kobe Stewart | SR | 6'3" | 240 | — |
| DE | 3rd | Jacari Bennett | FR | 6'3" | 240 | — |
| DE | 4th | Will Clark | FR | 6'4" | 258 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Stantavious Smith← Florida A&M | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Mason Nickel← Saginaw Valley State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | George Wolo | SR | 6'0" | 295 | — |
| DT | 2nd | Cornell Evans | JR | 6'1" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DT | 3rd | Tristan Souza | SR | 6'1" | 285 | ★★ |
| EDGE | — | Caleb Oliver← Wofford | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Logan Goodwin← Indiana-Pennsylvania | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Sedrick Vessah← PennWest California | — | — | — | — |
Linebackers · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Mitchell Gonser | SR | 6'0" | 230 | — |
| LB | 2nd | SaVeon Brown | JR | 6'1" | 210 | ★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Gio De Leon | SR | 6'3" | 240 | — |
| LB | 4th | Connor Henderson | SR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| LB | — | Stevie Bracey← Virginia | SR | 6'0" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | — | Joey Cheshire← Cornell | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| LB | — | Zach Bergmann← Missouri Southern State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Solomon Brown | SR | 5'11" | 197 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Marquis Cooper | SR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Keontez Bradley | SO | 6'2" | 185 | — |
| CB | 4th | Kobi Blackwell | FR | 5'8" | 180 | ★★★ |
| CB | 5th | Oliver Bridges | JR | 6'2" | 210 | ★★★ |
| CB | 6th | Mikey Crawford | FR | 6'2" | 195 | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Sayre Smothers← The Citadel | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Miles Greer | JR | 5'11" | 195 | — |
| S | 2nd | John Keough | SO | 6'0" | 202 | ★★★ |
| S | 3rd | Jonathan Capo | SR | 6'0" | 197 | — |
| S | 4th | Ronnell Davis | FR | 6'1" | 193 | — |
| S | 5th | Jerrod Gentry | SR | 6'0" | 200 | — |
| S | — | Xavier Leonard | FR | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LS | 1st | Andrew Schnackenberg | SR | 6'5" | 220 | — |
| LS | — | Joseph Stoever← Georgia Tech | FR | 6'2" | 210 | — |
| P | — | Andrew VanSlyke← James Madison | SO | 6'4" | 210 | ★★★ |
| PK | 1st | Jack Howes | SR | 6'1" | 200 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
6.6
Exp. Losses
5.4
Toss-ups
5
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
18.214
Off PPA
+0.0818
Pass PPA
+0.1723
Rush PPA
+0.0111
Success
40%23
Explosive
1.1717
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.08 | +0.11 |
| Passing | +0.17 | +0.20 |
| Rushing | +0.01 | +0.05 |
| 1st Down | -0.04 | -0.05 |
| 2nd Down | +0.11 | +0.10 |
| 3rd Down | +0.33 | +0.35 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
24.0
PPG Against
23.5
Differential
+0.5
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 5-7
- Home
- 2-5
- Away
- 3-2
- Conference
- 4-4
- Non-Conference
- 1-3
- One-Score (≤8)
- 3-4
- Avg Margin
- +0.5
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 2-5 | 24.6 | 24.1 |
| Away | 3-2 | 23.2 | 22.6 |
| Competition | |||
| Conference | 4-4 | 24.9 | 26.5 |
| Non-conference | 1-3 | 22.3 | 17.5 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 5 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-7 | 4-4 | #95 | — | — |
| 2024 | 8-4 | 6-2 | #87 | — | 1-0 |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 3-5 | #119 | — | — |
| 2022 | 6-6 | 5-3 | #97 | — | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #103 | — | — |
| 2020 | 5-1 | 5-1 | #61 | — | 1-0 |
| 2019 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #71 | — | 1-0 |
| 2018 | 10-3 | 7-2 | #82 | — | 0-1 |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 4-4 | #105 | — | — |
| 2016 | 2-10 | 1-7 | #124 | — | — |
| 2015 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #103 | — | — |
| 2014 | 5-6 | 3-4 | #95 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
1-4 SU · 2-3 ATS · O3/U2
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 5-7 |
| ATS | 4-7-136% |
| Over / Under | 7-5 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 1-5 |
| As underdog | 3-2 |
| Home | 2-4 |
| Away | 2-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #107 · 0 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★107 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #101 | 177 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 2025 | #92 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 2024 | #110 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2023 | #84 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2022 | #81 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2021 | #98 | 138 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2020 | #130 | 115 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2019 | #106 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2018 | #136 | 81 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2017 | #113 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 16net +0Out 16
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 2.9
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Sayre Smothers | CB | 3★ | ← The Citadel |
| ▲ | Logan Goodwin | EDGE | 3★ | ← Indiana-Pennsylvania |
| ▲ | Joey Cheshire | LB | 3★ | ← Cornell |
| ▲ | Stantavious Smith | DL | 3★ | ← Florida A&M |
| ▼ | Junior Poyser | DL | 3★ | → Wisconsin |
| ▼ | Henry Tabansi | OT | 3★ | → UCF |
| ▼ | Victor Snow | WR | 3★ | → NC State |
| ▼ | Jalen McNair | S | 3★ | → Virginia |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
1 items
- Player Previews: Transfer DL Junior Poyser Isn't Getting Enough Love Ahead of 2026The enormous defensive lineman quietly racked up 5.5 sacks last season at Buffalo.