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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Conference USA
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #127
202620252024202320222021
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
-16.0 (#127)
SP+ Offense
20.4
SP+ Defense
37.0
SRS
-18.4
FPI
-18.0
Elo
1164
Talent
521
Recruiting
165 (#119)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
5.2p10 3.0 — p90 7.0
RoundProb
Win conference1.8%
Make CFP0.0%
Quarterfinal0.0%
Semifinal0.0%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 5.3–6.7
Schedule
118th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
111th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
130th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1vsMurray StateFCS39-9*+30.097%—
2@Marshall-4.521-34-12.423%—
3vsNevada-13.427-27-0.449%—
4@Jacksonville State-6.722-34-12.023%—
5@Kansas+4.117-39-21.79%—
7vsDelaware-10.929-25+3.759%—
8@Florida International-10.523-31-7.832%—
9vsKennesaw State-5.425-25+0.351%—
10vsWestern Kentucky+1.626-31-5.537%—
11@Liberty-922-32-9.728%—
12@Sam Houston-27.830-26+3.859%—
13vsNew Mexico State-15.529-24+5.663%—
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 59
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt★
QB1stNicholas VattiatoSR6'0"212★★★
QB2ndRoman GaglianoFR6'2"220—
QB3rdStanley Anderson-LoftonFR6'1"225★★★
Running Backs · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt★
RB1stDJ TaylorFR6'1"198—
RB2ndRickey Hunt Jr.SO5'10"213—
RB3rdAntonio Martin Jr.← Kansas StateJR5'9"222★★★
RB4thAustin ClemonsFR6'0"203—
RB—Terrance Brown Jr.← Saginaw Valley State———★★
Wide Receivers · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt★
WR1stCam'ron LacySO5'8"164★★★
WR2ndMyles ButlerSR6'2"205—
WR3rdAJ JonesJR6'3"212—
WR4thLandon CollinsFR6'2"185—
WR5thKason StokesFR6'2"191—
WR6thGamarion CarterSR6'2"190★★★
WR7thNeo CliftonFR6'2"200★★★
WR8thMarkus Allen← Mississippi StateSR6'2"215★★★
WR—Hogan Wasson← Central Missouri———★★★
Tight Ends · 2
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt★
TE1stTayvion GallowayFR6'3"226★★★★
TE2ndEvan PoticherSO6'2"247—
Defensive Line · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt★
DE1stAidan ButtsSO6'3"258★★★
DE2ndTiyyan RobinsonFR6'4"261★★★
DL—Justin Bodford← MissouriFR6'0"289★★★
DT1stZeion Simpson-SmithFR6'1"271★★★
EDGE—Trashun Griffin← TroyFR6'4"275★★★
EDGE—Kaven Call← East Tennessee State———★★★
EDGE—La'Garrius Sims← East Central (OK)————
NT1stDamonte SmithSR6'1"301—
NT2ndFelix HixonJR6'1"299★★★
Linebackers · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt★
LB1stBrandon BucknerSR6'0"248—
LB2ndReggie JohnsonJR6'3"255—
LB3rdKorey SmithSO5'11"225—
LB4thMathias Malaki-DonaldsonJR6'3"232★★★
LB5thChayce SmithSO6'2"237—
LB6thJaiyden ThompsonJR6'3"238—
LB7thMalik LoveFR6'4"227—
LB8thElijah CarneySO5'11"225—
LB—Ashton Taylor← Jackson State———★★★
Defensive Backs · 17
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt★
CB1stJackson LoweFR6'1"193★★★
CB2ndAbdul MuhammadSR6'1"189—
CB3rdDe'Arre McDonaldSR6'0"205—
CB4thDevan CarlisleSO6'3"200—
CB5thCamari HallFR5'9"181★★★
CB6thJordan ChestnutJR6'4"205—
CB7thRicky Lee III← Sacramento StateSO5'10"162★★★
CB8thJames Johnson← USCFR5'9"195★★★
CB9thTrevon FerrellJR5'10"177—
CB—Jason Hardy← Grand Valley State University———★★
S1stJuwon GastonSR5'11"188—
S2ndBrendon HarrisSR6'0"215★★★★
S3rdKalen WoodsJR6'2"178★★★
S4thChristofer NobleFR6'2"184—
S5thRickey SmithSR5'11"193—
S6thTaylor RatinaudFR5'11"200—
S—Dyson McCutcheon← WashingtonSR5'11"182★★★
Special Teams · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt★
K—Dominic Bourgeois← Susquehanna————
LS1stMykah StoneSR5'11"210—
P1stAshton LoganJR6'1"213★★★
PK1stJacob HathawaySR6'5"208—
PK—Zach BenedictSR6'0"213—
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
5.3
Exp. Losses
6.7
Toss-ups
4
2550751Wk 1 vs Murray State — 97% win, proj +30.0 · FCS est.Wk 2 @ Marshall (SP+ #86) — 23% win, proj -12.43Wk 3 vs Nevada (SP+ #116) — 49% win, proj -0.4Wk 4 @ Jacksonville State (SP+ #92) — 23% win, proj -12.05Wk 5 @ Kansas (SP+ #58) — 9% win, proj -21.77Wk 7 vs Delaware (SP+ #109) — 59% win, proj +3.7Wk 8 @ Florida International (SP+ #107) — 32% win, proj -7.89Wk 9 vs Kennesaw State (SP+ #89) — 51% win, proj +0.3Wk 10 vs Western Kentucky (SP+ #69) — 37% win, proj -5.511Wk 11 @ Liberty (SP+ #102) — 28% win, proj -9.7Wk 12 @ Sam Houston (SP+ #135) — 59% win, proj +3.813Wk 13 vs New Mexico State (SP+ #123) — 63% win, proj +5.6WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
20.420
Off PPA
+0.1438
Pass PPA
+0.1931
Rush PPA
+0.0735
Success
42%49
Explosive
1.2243
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
-20-1001020302014 · SP+ Overall: -8.72015 · SP+ Overall: -4.62016 · SP+ Overall: -1.92017 · SP+ Overall: -4.92018 · SP+ Overall: -3.82019 · SP+ Overall: -11.32020 · SP+ Overall: -11.72021 · SP+ Overall: -4.02022 · SP+ Overall: -6.92023 · SP+ Overall: -9.52024 · SP+ Overall: -24.42025 · SP+ Overall: -16.02014 · SP+ Offense: 29.62015 · SP+ Offense: 27.72016 · SP+ Offense: 35.02017 · SP+ Offense: 21.22018 · SP+ Offense: 24.42019 · SP+ Offense: 27.22020 · SP+ Offense: 24.32021 · SP+ Offense: 24.02022 · SP+ Offense: 25.62023 · SP+ Offense: 21.52024 · SP+ Offense: 13.72025 · SP+ Offense: 20.42014 · SP+ Defense: 36.52015 · SP+ Defense: 32.12016 · SP+ Defense: 36.82017 · SP+ Defense: 26.82018 · SP+ Defense: 28.72019 · SP+ Defense: 37.42020 · SP+ Defense: 35.82021 · SP+ Defense: 27.12022 · SP+ Defense: 33.32023 · SP+ Defense: 30.02024 · SP+ Defense: 37.32025 · SP+ Defense: 37.0141516171819202122232425SEASON
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsGagliano1,310·Anderson-Lofton440
Rush YdsJr.462·Taylor339·Jr.305
Rec YdsLacy447·Collins361·Jones232
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.14+0.21
Passing+0.19+0.41
Rushing+0.07+0.03
1st Down+0.02+0.15
2nd Down+0.19+0.05
3rd Down+0.39+0.58