Team·
Sam Houston Bearkats
Conference USA
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #135
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
-27.8 (#135)
SP+ Offense
15.3
SP+ Defense
41.8
SRS
-22.7
FPI
-24.3
Elo
994
Talent
477
Recruiting
161 (#126)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
3.5p10 2.0 — p90 5.0
RoundProb
Win conference0.0%
Make CFP0.0%
Quarterfinal0.0%
Semifinal0.0%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 3.58.5
Schedule
99th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
98th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
109th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1@Troy-4.820-36-16.915%
2vsTulsa-1025-31-5.936%
3vsNichollsFCS33-15*+18.287%
4@Texas Tech+27.618-52-34.52%
6@Liberty-918-35-16.416%
7vsWestern Kentucky+1.618-38-20.311%
8vsNew Mexico State-15.526-28-2.544%
9@Missouri State-10.721-35-13.720%
10@Jacksonville State-6.719-32-12.822%
11vsKennesaw State-5.420-30-10.028%
12vsMiddle Tennessee-1626-30-3.841%
13@Florida International-10.518-30-12.223%
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 77
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stHunter WatsonSR6'3"210
QB2ndLandyn LockeFR6'4"205
QB3rdMabrey MettauerFR6'5"225★★★★
QB4thDJ BaileyFR5'11"210★★★
Running Backs · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stLandan BrownSO5'11"215★★★
RB2ndElijah GreenSR5'11"210★★★
RB3rdAlton McCaskillSR6'2"210★★★
RB4thShane PorterSR5'10"200
RB5thAdrian MurdaughSR5'9"175
RB6thJerrian Parker Jr.SO5'10"195
Wide Receivers · 11
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stTim Burns Jr.JR5'9"155
WR2ndChris ReedJR6'0"190
WR3rdMalik PhillipsSR5'9"170
WR4thGrady O'NeillJR5'10"170
WR5thQua'Vez HumphreysSR6'2"225
WR6thDarrick Bledsoe IIISO5'9"185
WR7thAviyon Smith-MackJR5'8"180
WR8thMichael Phoenix IISR6'0"215
WR9thLonnie AdkismSO6'1"195
WRKyan Berry-JohnsonWisconsinFR5'10"186★★★
WRChristian ZacharyNC StateFR6'3"202★★★
Tight Ends · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stAustin SmithSR6'5"240★★★
TE2ndDylan BurkFR6'7"255
TE3rdMax WhisnerAkronJR6'4"250★★★
TEBrock KuhlFlorida AtlanticFR6'4"230★★★
Offensive Line · 2
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OLLuke EckardtSR6'6"315
OTDenell Nix Jr.App StateFR6'5"290★★★
Defensive Line · 16
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DE1stChauncey ChidiJR6'3"250
DE2ndChristopher Eaton Jr.SR6'3"250
DE3rdBrody HendersonFR6'5"220
DE4thBryen SpauldingJR6'4"255
DL1stDylan FrazierJR6'4"265★★★
DL2ndZeiqui LawtonSR6'1"260★★★
DL3rdQuardale PattSR6'4"270
DL4thAJ SargentSR6'0"280
DL5thJosiah StephensFR6'2"240★★★
DLJarra AndersonArizonaSO6'2"270★★★
DLJustin TerrellNC StateFR6'3"316★★★
DLDimitry NicolasMarylandFR6'3"294★★★
DT1stDarien JacksonSO6'2"290
DT2ndShe'Fon BoydSO6'1"290
EDGEZion TaylorHoustonFR6'2"235★★★
EDGEJayden FryBoston CollegeFR6'2"243★★★
Linebackers · 10
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stAntavious FishSR6'0"230
LB2ndCJ JohnsonSR6'0"230
LB3rdDean FordFR6'0"225★★★
LB4thCa'lub HollowayJR6'2"240
LB5thTokyo GordonJR6'2"210
LB6thJacob RobinsonJR6'1"220
LB7thEli WallaceSO5'11"195
LBElijah GrovesNC StateFR6'4"225★★★
LBStacy BeyArizonaFR6'1"206★★★
LBBrian BatesDelaware State★★★
Defensive Backs · 19
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CBCaesar Magee IIINorthwestern State★★★
CBIshmel AtkinsElon★★★
DB1stCJ BrownSR5'10"190
DB2ndEmon AllenSR5'9"185
DB3rdTyler BaileyJR6'0"195★★★
DB4thAlonzo Edwards Jr.SR5'11"185
DB5thCecil PowellSR6'0"205
DB6thJaidan ScottJR5'10"185★★★
DB7thTrey HarrisSR6'4"210
DB8thDravon WilsonFR5'11"190★★★
DB9thJace ArnoldSO5'11"185★★★
DB10thJalyn StanfordSO5'11"200★★★
DB11thRailyn AdamsFR6'0"170★★★
DB12thLyric SmithFR6'0"185
DB13thJoe SwenSO6'2"195
DB14thOctavius HendersonJR6'2"185
DB15thDax HoranySO6'2"220★★★
DB16thBraylen WorthamFR6'2"200
SWilliam DavisWest VirginiaSR5'10"194★★★
Special Teams · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
K1stSam CarpenterPittsburghSO5'11"195
LS1stCarson WhitingtonJR6'1"210
PK1stChristian PavonSR5'9"185
PK2ndRJ LopezSR5'11"175★★
PKNico OttomanelliFR6'3"195
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
3.5
Exp. Losses
8.5
Toss-ups
2
2550751Wk 1 @ Troy (SP+ #87) — 15% win, proj -16.9Wk 2 vs Tulsa (SP+ #104) — 36% win, proj -5.93Wk 3 vs Nicholls — 87% win, proj +18.2 · FCS est.Wk 4 @ Texas Tech (SP+ #3) — 2% win, proj -34.5Wk 6 @ Liberty (SP+ #102) — 16% win, proj -16.47Wk 7 vs Western Kentucky (SP+ #69) — 11% win, proj -20.3Wk 8 vs New Mexico State (SP+ #123) — 44% win, proj -2.59Wk 9 @ Missouri State (SP+ #108) — 20% win, proj -13.7Wk 10 @ Jacksonville State (SP+ #92) — 22% win, proj -12.811Wk 11 vs Kennesaw State (SP+ #89) — 28% win, proj -10.0Wk 12 vs Middle Tennessee (SP+ #127) — 41% win, proj -3.813Wk 13 @ Florida International (SP+ #107) — 23% win, proj -12.2WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
15.36
Off PPA
+0.004
Pass PPA
-0.021
Rush PPA
+0.0735
Success
36%9
Explosive
1.2560
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
-20-100102030402023 · SP+ Overall: -13.82024 · SP+ Overall: -6.92025 · SP+ Overall: -27.82023 · SP+ Offense: 16.02024 · SP+ Offense: 19.02025 · SP+ Offense: 15.32023 · SP+ Defense: 28.82024 · SP+ Defense: 23.82025 · SP+ Defense: 41.8232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsLocke1,005·Watson880·Mettauer547
Rush YdsBrown476·Watson237·Murdaugh181
Rec YdsReed333·Humphreys304·O'Neill298
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.00+0.24
Passing-0.02+0.37
Rushing+0.07+0.18
1st Down-0.05+0.20
2nd Down-0.01+0.22
3rd Down+0.14+0.43