Texas Tech Red Raiders
Big 12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #3
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 27.6 (#3)
- SP+ Offense
- 39.3
- SP+ Defense
- 12.3
- SRS
- 22.3
- FPI
- 21.5
- Elo
- 2056
- Talent
- 757
- Recruiting
- 250 (#18)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
10.2p10 9.0 — p90 12.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 57.4% | |
| Make CFP | 92.1% | |
| Quarterfinal | 85.0% | |
| Semifinal | 54.3% | |
| Natl. final | 29.9% | |
| Natl. champ | 15.8% |
Schedule
proj record 10.3–1.7
Schedule
88th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
102nd
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
82nd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsAbilene Christian | FCS | 52-3* | +48.7 | 100% | — |
| 2 | @Oregon State | -15.9 | 33-14 | +19.0 | 87% | — |
| 3 | vsHouston | +7.4 | 32-19 | +13.1 | 78% | — |
| 4 | vsSam Houston | -27.8 | 52-18 | +34.5 | 98% | — |
| 5 | @Colorado | -8.3 | 33-21 | +11.6 | 76% | — |
| 7 | vsArizona State | +3.9 | 33-19 | +13.5 | 79% | — |
| 8 | @Cincinnati | +4.5 | 40-20 | +20.6 | 89% | — |
| 9 | vsArizona | +12 | 33-20 | +12.7 | 78% | — |
| 10 | vsWest Virginia | -6.8 | 34-18 | +16.2 | 84% | — |
| 11 | @Oklahoma State | -15.1 | 34-9 | +25.6 | 94% | — |
| 12 | @Baylor | +1.4 | 38-18 | +20.1 | 89% | — |
| 13 | vsTCU | +8.3 | 32-18 | +14.1 | 80% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 5
2026 · 73
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Brendan Sorsby← Cincinnati | JR | 6'3" | 235 | ★★★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Will Hammond | FR | 6'2" | 205 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Kirk Francis← Tulsa | SO | 6'1" | 200 | ★★★ |
| QB | 4th | Lloyd Jones III | FR | 6'4" | 210 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 5th | Holden Phillips | FR | 6'1" | 205 | — |
Running Backs · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | J'Koby Williams | SO | 5'10" | 185 | ★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Cameron Dickey | SO | 5'10" | 215 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Adam Hill | FR | 6'1" | 225 | — |
Wide Receivers · 14
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Kenny Johnson← Pittsburgh | JR | 6'1" | 205 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Coy Eakin | JR | 6'2" | 210 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Donte Lee Jr.← Liberty | JR | 6'3" | 185 | ★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Malcolm Simmons← Auburn | SO | 6'0" | 186 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Micah Hudson | SO | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Tristian Gentry | FR | 6'0" | 170 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Bryson Jones | FR | 6'3" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 8th | Kelby Valsin | SO | 6'1" | 195 | — |
| WR | 9th | Leyton Stone | FR | 6'3" | 195 | — |
| WR | 10th | Roy Alexander | SR | 5'11" | 205 | — |
| WR | 11th | Marquez Stevenson | SR | 6'0" | 190 | — |
| WR | 12th | Michael Dever | FR | 6'1" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 13th | Haydon Wiginton | SR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| WR | — | Jalen Jones← Alabama State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Terrance Carter Jr. | JR | 6'2" | 245 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Jett Carpenter← Nevada | SR | 6'3" | 258 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Johncarlos Miller II | SR | 6'5" | 245 | — |
Offensive Line · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Jacob Ponton | FR | 6'8" | 305 | ★★★★ |
| OL | — | Sheridan Wilson | JR | 6'5" | 300 | — |
| OL | — | Daniel Sill | SO | 6'5" | 310 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Julien Laventure← Akron | JR | 6'1" | — | ★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | A.J. Holmes Jr. | JR | 6'3" | 300 | ★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | Jayden Cofield | SO | 6'2" | 315 | — |
| DL | 4th | Bryce Butler← Washington | JR | 6'5" | 315 | ★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Mateen Ibirogba← Wake Forest | JR | 6'3" | 296 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Jojo Johnson← Oregon State | SO | 6'2" | 288 | ★★★ |
| DL | 7th | E'Maurion Banks | SR | 6'5" | 300 | — |
| DL | 8th | Tanner Allen | JR | 6'3" | 285 | — |
| EDGE | 1st | Adam Trick← Miami (OH) | JR | 6'4" | 242 | ★★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Trey White← San Diego State | JR | 6'2" | 245 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 3rd | Jamond Mathis← Kent State | SO | 6'3" | 245 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Amarie Fleming← Allen University | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Ben Roberts | JR | 6'3" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | John Curry | SO | 6'2" | 230 | ★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Austin Romaine← Kansas State | JR | 6'2" | 245 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Corey Platt Jr.← Houston | SO | 6'2" | 215 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Bryce Ramirez | SR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| LB | 6th | Brock Golwas | FR | 6'1" | 230 | — |
| LB | 7th | Charles Esters III | SR | 6'3" | 270 | — |
| LB | 8th | Terrell Tilmon | SR | 6'5" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 9th | Trent Low | SR | 6'1" | 225 | — |
| LB | 10th | Wesley Smith | JR | 5'10" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 11th | Ansel Nedore | SO | 6'3" | 275 | ★★★ |
| LB | 12th | Gage Elder | SR | 5'11" | 220 | — |
| LB | 13th | Charles Anderson Jr. | FR | 6'6" | 275 | — |
Defensive Backs · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Davin Martin← UTSA | SO | 6'2" | 180 | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | Brenden Jordan | JR | 6'0" | 210 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 2nd | Brice Pollock | JR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| DB | 3rd | Dontae Balfour | SR | 6'1" | 185 | ★★★ |
| DB | 4th | A.J. McCarty | SR | 6'0" | 195 | — |
| DB | 5th | Amier Boyd | JR | 6'2" | 190 | — |
| DB | 6th | Oliver Miles III | FR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★ |
| DB | 7th | Peyton Morgan | FR | 6'0" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 8th | Malik Esquerra | FR | 6'3" | 205 | — |
| DB | 9th | Ashton Hampton | FR | 6'0" | 170 | ★★★ |
| DB | 10th | Tarrion Grant | SO | 6'2" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 11th | Chief Collins | SR | 5'11" | 200 | — |
| DB | 12th | Mikal Harrison-Pilot | SO | 6'0" | 210 | ★★★★ |
| DB | — | Michael Henderson III | FR | 5'9" | 160 | ★★★ |
| S | — | Jordan Rogers← Pittsburg St | — | — | — | — |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | — | Jacob Hand← Texas Tech | — | — | — | — |
| P | 1st | Will Karoll← UCLA | JR | 6'4" | 210 | ★★★ |
| P | 2nd | Jack Burgess | SR | 6'3" | 215 | — |
| P | — | Ian Hershey | JR | 5'11" | 185 | — |
| PK | 1st | Stone Harrington | JR | 6'3" | 200 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
10.3
Exp. Losses
1.7
Toss-ups
0
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
39.396
Off PPA
+0.2585
Pass PPA
+0.3985
Rush PPA
+0.1565
Success
44%64
Explosive
1.3279
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.25 | -0.07 |
| Passing | +0.39 | +0.02 |
| Rushing | +0.15 | -0.14 |
| 1st Down | +0.08 | -0.30 |
| 2nd Down | +0.10 | -0.09 |
| 3rd Down | +0.85 | +0.34 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
42.5
PPG Against
10.9
Differential
+31.5
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 12-1
- Home
- 7-0
- Away
- 4-1
- Neutral
- 1-0
- Conference
- 8-1
- Non-Conference
- 4-0
- One-Score (≤8)
- 0-1
- Avg Margin
- +31.5
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 7-0 | 47.9 | 9.7 |
| Away | 4-1 | 36.6 | 13.4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 17.0 | 15.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 3-1 | 24.3 | 11.8 |
| Conference | 8-1 | 38.2 | 11.1 |
| Non-conference | 4-1 | 41.6 | 13.0 |
Season History · last 12
1 AP top-10 · 7 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-1 | 8-1 | #3 | #4 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 8-4 | 6-3 | #54 | — | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 6-6 | 5-4 | #43 | — | 1-0 |
| 2022 | 7-5 | 5-4 | #41 | — | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 3-6 | #40 | — | 1-0 |
| 2020 | 4-6 | 3-6 | #87 | — | — |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 2-7 | #53 | — | — |
| 2018 | 5-7 | 3-6 | #37 | — | — |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 3-6 | #52 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 5-7 | 3-6 | #59 | — | — |
| 2015 | 7-5 | 4-5 | #60 | — | 0-1 |
| 2014 | 4-8 | 2-7 | #57 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 4-0 ATS · O1/U3
Betting Profile
2025 · 13 w/ line
| Straight up | 12-2 |
| ATS | 11-192% |
| Over / Under | 5-8 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 10-1 |
| As underdog | 1-0 |
| Home | 6-0 |
| Away | 4-1 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #44 · 35 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★141 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #18 | 250 | 2 | 6 | 7 |
| 2025 | #48 | 202 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2024 | #25 | 236 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 2023 | #28 | 222 | 0 | 5 | 14 |
| 2022 | #43 | 197 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 2021 | #64 | 167 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 2020 | #49 | 183 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2019 | #61 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2018 | #72 | 170 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2017 | #49 | 183 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 22net +1Out 21
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.3 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Brendan Sorsby | QB | 5★ | ← Cincinnati |
| ▲ | Mateen Ibirogba | DL | 4★ | ← Wake Forest |
| ▲ | Jordan Church | IOL | 4★ | ← Louisville |
| ▲ | Malcolm Simmons | WR | 4★ | ← Auburn |
| ▼ | Braylon Rigsby | DL | 3★ | → Oklahoma State |
| ▼ | Cheta Ofili | EDGE | 3★ | → TCU |
| ▼ | Amier Washington | DL | 3★ | → UCLA |
| ▼ | Trey Jackson | TE | 3★ | → SMU |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- Texas Tech Football Preview 2026: Do the Red Raiders Have Staying Power?Texas Tech finally broke through with a Big 12 title, but now it has to prove it can stay among college football's elite.TTU1d
- Texas Tech signs naming rights deal with digital assets company GalaxyThe Red Raiders’ football stadium will be renamed Galaxy Stadium and the partnership will include NIL opportunities for Texas Tech student-athletes.TTU2d
- College football schedule rankings: Texas Tech, Miami slates among Power Four's 10 easiest in 2026The most favorable schedules in the country give these programs the opportunity for CFP stardom this fallTTU2d
- Texas Tech's Galaxy naming rights deal includes NIL opportunitiesTexas Tech has signed a 15-year naming rights partnership with Galaxy, a deal that includes NIL opportunities for the Big 12 school's student-athletes.TTU3d
- Texas Tech agrees to stadium naming rights deal with Galaxy, per reportTexas Tech's football home will be called Galaxy Stadium under a reported 15-year naming rights agreement that's worth $75 million. The post Texas Tech agrees to stadium naming rights deal with Galaxy, per report appeared first on Saturday Down South.TTU3d
- Texas Tech's stadium changing name after new rights agreementThe Red Raiders' home field won't be called Jones AT&T Stadium for much longer.TTU3d
- Texas Tech to rename Jones Stadium in deal with AI company. What will stadium be called?Texas Tech announced a naming rights agreement to rename Jones Stadium after Galaxy, an AI company. Here's what to know on the deal.TTU3d
- Surprising Big 12 Team Named 'Legitimate Playoff Threat' By AnalystThe Big 12 conference appears to be wide open, but one team could be a true threat to win it. Texas Tech won the Big 12 last season, as the Red Raiders defeated the BYU Cougars in the Big 12 championship game. Heading into the 2026 college football season, Texas Tech is the favorite to repeat at ...TTU6d
- Big 12 football 2026 win-loss record predictions, per ESPN FPIESPN's FPI projections offer an early look at the Big 12 in 2026, with Texas Tech and BYU being a two team race at the top.TTU7d
- 3 Keys to Baylor Beating BYU, Texas Tech, and Houston in the Race for the Big 12 TitleA potential pathway for a Baylor College Football Playoff appearanceTTU7d
- Cody Campbell calls for future of the Big 12 to follow the Texas Tech modelThere's no question that every collegiate athletic department faces a plethora of challenges every day. Whether big, small, or medium, every athletic department faces a similar challenge each offseason: fundraising.TTU9d
- LSU ‘in Striking Distance’ to Flip Prized Texas Tech CommitLSU looks ready to shake up Texas Tech's recruiting landscape here. The post LSU ‘in Striking Distance’ to Flip Prized Texas Tech Commit appeared first on HEAVY.TTU9d
- College football recruiting: Top 2027 commits in the Big 12The Big 12 can often be chaotic on the gridiron, but there’s zero question surrounding who the top school in the league is on the recruiting trail. Texas Tech continues to recruit like a blue blood in the 2027 cycle. The Red Raiders now have the No. 9 class in the nation, according to the […]TTU10d
- Takeaways, observations and bottom lines as dust settles at Big 12 media daysFrom new conference “entitlement” deal to coaches on the hot seat to Texas Tech drama, there is plenty to unpack from annual media gathering.TTU10d
- Yormark dodges Sorsby talk, announces Big 12 jersey, field collab with Monster EnergyFRISCO, Texas – It was inevitable that Big 12 Commissioner Brett Yormark was going to be asked about the Texas Tech/Brennan Sorsby situation in its aftermath at Big 12 Football Media Days, and it didn’t take long to happen. The first question Yormark fielded Tuesday was about whether he ever supported Texas Tech at any point throughout the process, which ended with Sorsby splitting ways with ...TTU10d
- College football's top 10 RB rooms: Miami, Texas Tech boast the country's most dangerous backfieldsThese 10 teams have college football's most lethal ground games heading into the 2026 college football seasonTTU11d
- 2026 Big 12 football predictions: Game-by-game picks, projecting every team's final win-loss recordWill Texas Tech repeat as conference champions, or will one of the other contenders thwart those plans?TTU11d
- Here is why Hammond is in line to be the Starter for Texas Tech come Week 1Since the entire saga surrounding Sorsby, whom Tech initially signed via the transfer portal, began, question marks rose around who would start week 1. However, with the dust settling around the saga surrounding former Texas Tech quarterback Brendan SorsbTTU12d
- Quinten Joyner: Probable for Week 1Joyner (knee) is probable for Texas Tech's season opener Sept. 5 against Abilene Christian, Jarrett Ramirez of On3.com reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
- Joey McGuire Makes His Pitch for Texas Tech vs. Texas A&MTexas Tech head coach Joey McGuire called out the Texas A&M Aggies amid his ongoing beef with Texas and Steve Sarkisian.TTU13d