Team·
UCF Knights
Big 12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #76
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
-1.2 (#76)
SP+ Offense
23.2
SP+ Defense
24.0
SRS
-0.8
FPI
-0.8
Elo
1448
Talent
710
Recruiting
194 (#66)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
5.4p10 3.0 — p90 7.0
RoundProb
Win conference0.0%
Make CFP0.0%
Quarterfinal0.0%
Semifinal0.0%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 5.56.5
Schedule
70th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
65th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
72nd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1vsBethune-CookmanFCS44-4*+40.099%
2@Pittsburgh+8.419-34-14.519%
3vsGeorgia State-24.532-17+14.781%
4vsTCU+8.324-26-2.045%
5@Houston+7.422-33-10.826%
6@Oklahoma State-15.126-21+5.162%
8vsBYU+15.917-32-14.519%
9vsBaylor+1.425-28-3.741%
10@Kansas+4.119-32-12.722%
11vsArizona State+3.926-26-0.748%
12vsIowa State+9.922-27-4.739%
13@Colorado-8.323-25-1.546%
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 71
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stAlonza Barnett IIIJames MadisonJR6'0"217★★★
QB2ndKeyone JenkinsFlorida InternationalJR6'0"190★★★
QB3rdBrock HanselJR5'10"160
QBKaleb AnnettBoise StateFR6'3"183★★★
Running Backs · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stJaden NixonSR5'10"185
RB2ndMyles MontgomerySR5'11"205
RB3rdDuke WatsonLouisvilleSO6'0"180★★★
RB4thAgyeman AddaeFR5'10"185
RB5thTyler WrennSR5'11"195
RBLanden ChambersCentral Arkansas★★★
Wide Receivers · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stDuane Thomas Jr.JR5'8"175★★★
WR2ndJonathan BibbsUL MonroeFR6'2"175★★★
WR3rdWaden CharlesFR6'2"185
WR4thChris DomercantSR6'1"187
WR5thMarcus BurkeSR6'3"197★★★★
WR6thCaleb RollersonFR6'2"205
WR7thCarl Jenkins Jr.FR6'2"177★★★
WR8thJordyn BridgewaterFR6'0"170★★★
WRJosh DerryMonmouth★★★
Tight Ends · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stDylan WadeJR6'2"240
TE2ndGrayson BrousseauOklahoma StateFR6'5"239★★★
TE3rdThomas WadsworthJR6'3"240
TE4thDallan ColemanSR6'6"210
Offensive Line · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OLCameron KinnieSR6'3"315★★★
OTBrady WayburnUConnSO6'5"300★★★
OTHenry TabansiBuffaloSO6'5"310★★★
OTTyler GibsonCharlotteJR6'5"310★★★
Defensive Line · 17
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DL1stThomas CollinsOregon StateSO6'1"282★★★
DL2ndJosh SchellTennesseeJR6'4"265★★★
DLArtavius JonesMiamiFR6'3"310★★★
DLBrad Gurley Jr.Eastern Kentucky★★★
DT1stRJ Jackson Jr.JR6'3"310
DT2ndHorace LockettJR6'6"355
DT3rdJeffson LafontantSO6'3"295
DT4thTrenton TurnerFR6'2"320
EDGE1stBruno DallAkronSO6'7"250★★★
EDGE2ndNyjalik KellySR6'5"250★★★★
EDGE3rdDean MillerKansasSR6'5"240★★★
EDGE4thIsaiah NixonSO6'4"240★★★★
EDGE5thSincere EdwardsSO6'3"240
EDGE6thKen TalleyArkansasJR6'3"257★★★
EDGE7thAymeric KoumbaSO6'5"260
EDGE8thJosh DorsainvilSR6'5"230
EDGEL A Jessie HarroldFlorida State★★★
Linebackers · 8
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stLewis CarterJR6'0"224★★★★
LB2ndCole KozlowskiSR6'2"230
LB3rdJahleel CulbreathOld DominionJR6'4"222★★★
LB4thRashad HenryMassachusettsSO6'2"230★★★
LB5thKeli LawsonSR6'4"223
LB6thTackett CurtisWisconsinJR6'2"235★★★
LB7thJayden McDonaldSR6'4"232★★★
LB8thTroy Ford Jr.SO6'2"235★★★
Defensive Backs · 13
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CBJailen DuffieNorth Dakota StateSO5'11"172★★★
DB1stDemari HendersonJR6'0"170★★★
DB2ndAntione JacksonJR6'1"175
DB3rdPhillip DunnamSR6'1"190★★★
DB4thJayden BellamyJR6'1"180★★★
DB5thBraeden MarshallJR5'10"175★★★
DB6thDJ BellJR6'2"180★★★
DB7thDonnell JohnsonSO
S1stCaleb FlaggMissouriSR5'10"202★★★
STJ BranchColoradoFR6'3"170★★★
SKahmel JohnsonWayne State College★★★
SMatt IrwinIdaho★★★
STy BartrumHarvard★★★
Special Teams · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
KWill StoneTexasSR6'0"195★★
LSKyle HicksTennessee State
P1stAnthony VenneriJR6'0"225
P2ndAtticus BertramsWisconsinJR6'3"237★★
PK1stNoe RuelasSR6'1"197
PKNoah McGoughFR5'11"175
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
5.5
Exp. Losses
6.5
Toss-ups
4
2550751Wk 1 vs Bethune-Cookman — 99% win, proj +40.0 · FCS est.Wk 2 @ Pittsburgh (SP+ #36) — 19% win, proj -14.53Wk 3 vs Georgia State (SP+ #133) — 81% win, proj +14.7Wk 4 vs TCU (SP+ #37) — 45% win, proj -2.05Wk 5 @ Houston (SP+ #40) — 26% win, proj -10.8Wk 6 @ Oklahoma State (SP+ #121) — 62% win, proj +5.1Wk 8 vs BYU (SP+ #18) — 19% win, proj -14.59Wk 9 vs Baylor (SP+ #71) — 41% win, proj -3.7Wk 10 @ Kansas (SP+ #58) — 22% win, proj -12.711Wk 11 vs Arizona State (SP+ #60) — 48% win, proj -0.7Wk 12 vs Iowa State (SP+ #33) — 39% win, proj -4.713Wk 13 @ Colorado (SP+ #96) — 46% win, proj -1.5WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
23.229
Off PPA
+0.1543
Pass PPA
+0.1931
Rush PPA
+0.1460
Success
40%26
Explosive
1.3793
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
-100102030402014 · SP+ Overall: 5.72015 · SP+ Overall: -15.52016 · SP+ Overall: -2.22017 · SP+ Overall: 14.12018 · SP+ Overall: 16.52019 · SP+ Overall: 19.12020 · SP+ Overall: 13.62021 · SP+ Overall: 4.82022 · SP+ Overall: 10.32023 · SP+ Overall: 3.42024 · SP+ Overall: 2.82025 · SP+ Overall: -1.22014 · SP+ Offense: 25.82015 · SP+ Offense: 16.32016 · SP+ Offense: 19.32017 · SP+ Offense: 40.52018 · SP+ Offense: 39.92019 · SP+ Offense: 37.32020 · SP+ Offense: 39.42021 · SP+ Offense: 29.62022 · SP+ Offense: 31.12023 · SP+ Offense: 30.32024 · SP+ Offense: 29.02025 · SP+ Offense: 23.22014 · SP+ Defense: 19.72015 · SP+ Defense: 33.72016 · SP+ Defense: 23.32017 · SP+ Defense: 26.92018 · SP+ Defense: 25.22019 · SP+ Defense: 18.12020 · SP+ Defense: 25.72021 · SP+ Defense: 23.42022 · SP+ Defense: 20.32023 · SP+ Defense: 25.22024 · SP+ Defense: 25.82025 · SP+ Defense: 24.0141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsIII1,855·Jenkins1,660·Annett335
Rush YdsIII325·Watson270·Addae185
Rec YdsWade432·Jr.408·Bibbs304
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.15+0.11
Passing+0.19+0.14
Rushing+0.14+0.12
1st Down+0.00+0.02
2nd Down+0.14+0.02
3rd Down+0.39+0.35