Team·
Baylor Bears
Big 12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #71
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
1.4 (#71)
SP+ Offense
32.8
SP+ Defense
33.3
SRS
0.6
FPI
3.0
Elo
1509
Talent
726
Recruiting
201 (#57)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
5.8p10 4.0 — p90 8.0
RoundProb
Win conference0.2%
Make CFP0.1%
Quarterfinal0.0%
Semifinal0.0%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 5.96.1
Schedule
31st
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
41st
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
31st
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1NAuburn+11.620-31-10.427%
2vsPrairie View A&MFCS44-4*+40.899%
3vsLouisiana Tech-1.333-21+12.377%
4vsColorado-8.329-21+8.570%
5@Arizona State+3.924-29-4.939%
7vsTCU+8.330-26+3.659%
8@Kansas+4.124-30-5.936%
9@UCF-1.228-25+3.759%
10vsIowa State+9.927-25+2.255%
11@BYU+15.921-33-12.622%
12vsTexas Tech+27.618-38-20.111%
13@Houston+7.423-31-7.732%
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 66
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stSawyer RobertsonSR6'4"220★★★★
QB2ndDJ LagwayFloridaSO6'3"247★★★★
QB3rdNate BennettFR6'1"184★★★
Running Backs · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stCaden KnightenFR5'11"212★★★★
RB2ndMichael TurnerFR6'0"220★★★★
RB3rdJoseph HagmanSO6'1"225
Wide Receivers · 12
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stKole WilsonSR5'9"171
WR2ndGavin FreemanOklahoma StateJR5'8"185★★★
WR3rdAshtyn HawkinsSR5'10"168
WR4thKobe PrenticeSR5'11"190★★★★
WR5thHardley Gilmore IVKentuckySO6'1"183★★★
WR6thDre'lon MillerColoradoSO6'1"200★★★
WR7thJadon PorterSO6'1"190★★★
WR8thLouis Brown IVSR6'2"192
WR9thTaz Williams Jr.FR6'0"189★★★
WR10thJayden McGowanCharlotteSR5'7"180★★★
WR11thJacorey WatsonFR5'10"189
WRDeBraun HamptonFloridaFR5'10"187★★★
Tight Ends · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stMichael TriggSR6'4"240★★★★
TE2ndTony LivingstonFloridaJR6'5"264★★★
TE3rdMatthew KlopfensteinJR6'4"250★★★
TE4thKelsey JohnsonJR6'3"248
Offensive Line · 2
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OTCole RhettToledoSO6'7"301★★★
OTLogan MooreUABSO6'8"290★★★
Defensive Line · 12
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DL1stCooper LanzSR6'4"286
DL2ndJamaal Whyce Jr.MarshallJR6'4"303★★★
DL3rdHosea WheelerIndianaSR6'3"300★★★★
DL4thDevonte TezinoJR6'5"294
DL5thKamren WashingtonTexas StateJR6'2"290★★★
DL6thDaemian WimberlyUTSASO6'4"265★★★
DL7thJordan MackCoastal CarolinaFR6'6"260★★★
DL8thAdonis FrilouxSR6'2"346
DL9thTrent ThomasSO6'6"259
DLZavion HardySouth CarolinaJR6'5"290★★★
EDGE1stGarrick PonderSouthern MissJR6'2"250★★★
EDGE2ndRyan DavisKansas StateSO6'4"252★★★
Linebackers · 7
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stKedrick WalkerGeorgia StateJR6'2"210★★★
LB2ndKyland ReedSO6'1"218
LB3rdKyler JordanJR6'2"255★★★
LB4thKaleb BurnsFR6'1"223★★★★
LB5thTravion BarnesSR6'0"243
LB6thJJ SheltonArkansasFR6'1"202★★★
LB7thKe'Breion WinstonFR6'1"208★★★
Defensive Backs · 20
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stLeVar Thornton Jr.SO6'3"182★★★★
CB2ndTevin Williams IIISR6'1"199★★★
CB3rdStilton McKelveyNew Mexico StateJR6'0"175
CB4thDevon JordanOklahomaSO5'11"181★★★
CB5thReggie Bush IIJR6'0"195★★★
CB6thJayden RoweKansas StateJR6'1"227★★★
CB7thCalvin Simpson-HuntSO6'0"215★★★★
CB8thKyler BeatyFR6'2"205★★★
S1stDevyn BobbySR5'11"198
S2ndJacob ReddingSO6'1"196
S3rdDaniel CobbsKansas StateJR5'10"190★★★
S4thTyler TurnerSO6'0"197★★★★
S5thKendrick SimpkinsSR6'0"199
S6thMicah GiffordJR6'3"207★★★
S7thAnthony Crenshaw Jr.DelawareJR6'0"205★★★
S8thBo OnuFR6'0"202
S9thMichael AllenJR5'7"182
S10thPlacide Djungu-SunguSR6'1"200
SColby McCalisterKansas StateJR5'10"198★★★
SAustin AusberryLSUJR6'0"195★★★
Special Teams · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LS1stDylan SchaubSO6'5"236
P1stPalmer WilliamsJR6'2"203★★★
PK1stRhett ArmstrongFR6'5"215★★★
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
5.9
Exp. Losses
6.1
Toss-ups
3
2550751Wk 1 vs Auburn (SP+ #29) — 27% win, proj -10.4Wk 2 vs Prairie View A&M — 99% win, proj +40.8 · FCS est.3Wk 3 vs Louisiana Tech (SP+ #77) — 77% win, proj +12.3Wk 4 vs Colorado (SP+ #96) — 70% win, proj +8.55Wk 5 @ Arizona State (SP+ #60) — 39% win, proj -4.97Wk 7 vs TCU (SP+ #37) — 59% win, proj +3.6Wk 8 @ Kansas (SP+ #58) — 36% win, proj -5.99Wk 9 @ UCF (SP+ #76) — 59% win, proj +3.7Wk 10 vs Iowa State (SP+ #33) — 55% win, proj +2.211Wk 11 @ BYU (SP+ #18) — 22% win, proj -12.6Wk 12 vs Texas Tech (SP+ #3) — 11% win, proj -20.113Wk 13 @ Houston (SP+ #40) — 32% win, proj -7.7WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
32.877
Off PPA
+0.1965
Pass PPA
+0.2555
Rush PPA
+0.1673
Success
45%71
Explosive
1.2869
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
0102030402014 · SP+ Overall: 23.92015 · SP+ Overall: 19.52016 · SP+ Overall: 11.32017 · SP+ Overall: -1.42018 · SP+ Overall: 2.02019 · SP+ Overall: 17.82020 · SP+ Overall: 1.32021 · SP+ Overall: 15.62022 · SP+ Overall: 11.72023 · SP+ Overall: -8.32024 · SP+ Overall: 8.42025 · SP+ Overall: 1.42014 · SP+ Offense: 43.02015 · SP+ Offense: 45.12016 · SP+ Offense: 37.02017 · SP+ Offense: 26.92018 · SP+ Offense: 33.12019 · SP+ Offense: 34.72020 · SP+ Offense: 25.62021 · SP+ Offense: 33.12022 · SP+ Offense: 37.62023 · SP+ Offense: 24.52024 · SP+ Offense: 33.52025 · SP+ Offense: 32.82014 · SP+ Defense: 19.52015 · SP+ Defense: 24.12016 · SP+ Defense: 24.22017 · SP+ Defense: 29.02018 · SP+ Defense: 30.32019 · SP+ Defense: 17.32020 · SP+ Defense: 24.22021 · SP+ Defense: 17.12022 · SP+ Defense: 26.12023 · SP+ Defense: 32.62024 · SP+ Defense: 26.22025 · SP+ Defense: 33.3141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsLagway1,717·Bennett392
Rush YdsKnighten439·Turner381·Lagway132
Rec YdsFreeman372·IV309·Miller239
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.19+0.17
Passing+0.25+0.25
Rushing+0.16+0.14
1st Down+0.06+0.02
2nd Down+0.22+0.17
3rd Down+0.41+0.48