Team·
Houston Cougars
Big 12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #40
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
7.4 (#40)
SP+ Offense
31.5
SP+ Defense
23.0
SRS
6.3
FPI
4.4
Elo
1512
Talent
657
Recruiting
219 (#38)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.6p10 6.0 — p90 9.0
RoundProb
Win conference1.3%
Make CFP2.6%
Quarterfinal0.5%
Semifinal0.1%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 7.74.3
Schedule
73rd
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
68th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
74th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1vsOregon State-15.934-19+14.581%
2vsSouthernFCS46-3*+42.6100%
3@Texas Tech+27.619-32-13.122%
4@Georgia Southern-9.433-23+9.973%
5vsUCF-1.233-22+10.874%
6@Kansas State+724-29-5.138%
7vsOklahoma State-15.133-20+13.379%
8@Utah+22.221-32-10.227%
10vsCincinnati+4.528-22+6.064%
11@Colorado-8.331-21+10.273%
12@West Virginia-6.830-23+6.666%
13vsBaylor+1.431-23+7.768%
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 62
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stConner WeigmanJR6'3"210★★★★★
QB2ndZeon ChrissJR6'3"210★★★
QB3rdLuke CarneySyracuseFR6'2"205★★★
Running Backs · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stDean ConnorsSR6'0"206
RB2ndDJ ButlerSO6'0"190
RB3rdStacy SneedSR5'11"185
RB4thMakhi HughesOregonJR5'11"210★★★
RB5thJayShon RidgleSO6'0"197★★★
RB6thZane SmithFR5'9"235
Wide Receivers · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stTrent WalkerOregon StateSR6'2"194★★★
WR2ndAmare ThomasJR6'0"205
WR3rdMekhi MewsSR5'8"185
WR4thStephon JohnsonSR6'2"190
WR5thKoby YoungFR6'0"180★★★
WR6thHarvey Broussard IIIJR6'3"185★★★
WR7thJaquise MartinFR5'10"180
WR8thMuizz TounkaraFloridaFR6'3"208★★★
WR9thTyson TurnerTexas TechFR6'2"210★★★
Tight Ends · 2
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stPatrick OvermyerUTSASO6'5"235★★★
TE2ndLuke McGaryJR6'4"250
Offensive Line · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OLDalton MerrymanSR6'9"305
OTHayden WrightNorthwesternFR6'5"255★★★
OTDrew TerrillMiami (OH)JR6'6"280★★★
Defensive Line · 12
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DL1stCarlos Allen Jr.SR6'1"295
DL2ndEddie Walls IIISR6'4"250
DL3rdKhalil LaufauJR6'3"300★★★
DL4thAshton PorterOregonSO6'3"290★★★
DL5thDe'Marion ThomasOklahoma StateJR6'2"337★★★
DL6thDarius WashingtonFR6'6"265
DL7thZavian TibbsJR6'1"275
DL8thMyles ParkerSO6'0"335
DL9thTravis BuhakeFR6'2"265★★★★
DL10thChance BryantFR6'2"255★★★
DL11thXavier StillmanSR6'3"310
DLEjiroghene EgodogbareYale★★★
Linebackers · 8
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stJalen GarnerSR6'1"225
LB2ndSione FotuJR6'0"226
LB3rdJaden YatesOle MissJR6'1"215★★★
LB4thLatreveon McCutchinJR6'3"245
LB5thBrandon Mack IIJR6'4"245
LB6thMiller MaloneWestern KentuckySO6'2"216★★★
LB7thCarmycah GlassSO6'4"230
LB8thChristian BrathwaiteFR6'2"220★★★
Defensive Backs · 14
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DB1stKentrell WebbJR5'11"185★★★
DB2ndWrook BrownSR5'11"190★★★
DB3rdLatrell McCutchin Sr.SR6'1"185★★★★
DB4thJordan AllenSO5'11"200★★★
DB5thWill JamesSO6'0"185★★★
DB6thMarc Stampley IISR5'11"185★★★
DB7thBlake ThompsonSR6'1"195
DB8thZelmar VedderSR6'3"195
DB9thC.J. DouglasJR5'11"200
DB10thJohnsley BarbasSO5'11"185
DB11thKeany ParksJR6'1"180★★★
DB12thJamaal ShawSO6'1"200
DB13thAlvin Williamson Jr.FR6'0"200★★★
S1stJavion WhiteTulaneSO6'0"180★★★
Special Teams · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
KEvan NoelFloridaFR6'1"165★★★
LSJack Carson-WentzFlorida A&M
P1stLiam DoughertySO6'2"205
PK1stEthan SanchezSR5'9"192
PK2ndZac YoakamSR5'8"195
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.7
Exp. Losses
4.3
Toss-ups
0
2550751Wk 1 vs Oregon State (SP+ #126) — 81% win, proj +14.5Wk 2 vs Southern — 100% win, proj +42.6 · FCS est.3Wk 3 @ Texas Tech (SP+ #3) — 22% win, proj -13.1Wk 4 @ Georgia Southern (SP+ #103) — 73% win, proj +9.95Wk 5 vs UCF (SP+ #76) — 74% win, proj +10.8Wk 6 @ Kansas State (SP+ #42) — 38% win, proj -5.17Wk 7 vs Oklahoma State (SP+ #121) — 79% win, proj +13.3Wk 8 @ Utah (SP+ #8) — 27% win, proj -10.2Wk 10 vs Cincinnati (SP+ #56) — 64% win, proj +6.011Wk 11 @ Colorado (SP+ #96) — 73% win, proj +10.2Wk 12 @ West Virginia (SP+ #93) — 66% win, proj +6.613Wk 13 vs Baylor (SP+ #71) — 68% win, proj +7.7WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
31.568
Off PPA
+0.1129
Pass PPA
+0.3271
Rush PPA
-0.036
Success
42%42
Explosive
1.2243
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
0102030402014 · SP+ Overall: 5.42015 · SP+ Overall: 6.22016 · SP+ Overall: 10.12017 · SP+ Overall: 7.72018 · SP+ Overall: 2.32019 · SP+ Overall: -4.32020 · SP+ Overall: 3.32021 · SP+ Overall: 10.92022 · SP+ Overall: 4.52023 · SP+ Overall: -7.82024 · SP+ Overall: -8.22025 · SP+ Overall: 7.42014 · SP+ Offense: 30.42015 · SP+ Offense: 33.62016 · SP+ Offense: 30.82017 · SP+ Offense: 32.32018 · SP+ Offense: 36.72019 · SP+ Offense: 29.62020 · SP+ Offense: 32.22021 · SP+ Offense: 31.52022 · SP+ Offense: 42.52023 · SP+ Offense: 25.62024 · SP+ Offense: 18.12025 · SP+ Offense: 31.52014 · SP+ Defense: 23.62015 · SP+ Defense: 28.42016 · SP+ Defense: 21.72017 · SP+ Defense: 25.82018 · SP+ Defense: 34.92019 · SP+ Defense: 35.42020 · SP+ Defense: 29.02021 · SP+ Defense: 20.02022 · SP+ Defense: 37.72023 · SP+ Defense: 32.22024 · SP+ Defense: 24.52025 · SP+ Defense: 23.0141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsWeigman2,025·Chriss766·Carney557
Rush YdsHughes515·Weigman349·Butler295
Rec YdsThomas751·Walker518·Overmyer297
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.11+0.11
Passing+0.32+0.22
Rushing-0.03+0.05
1st Down-0.01-0.06
2nd Down+0.07+0.07
3rd Down+0.37+0.39