Oregon Ducks
Big Ten
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #4
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 25.9 (#4)
- SP+ Offense
- 38.7
- SP+ Defense
- 13.5
- SRS
- 22.1
- FPI
- 23.9
- Elo
- 2071
- Talent
- 941
- Recruiting
- 303 (#3)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
9.6p10 8.0 — p90 11.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 19.2% | |
| Make CFP | 79.3% | |
| Quarterfinal | 66.1% | |
| Semifinal | 35.7% | |
| Natl. final | 18.7% | |
| Natl. champ | 8.9% |
Schedule
proj record 9.7–2.3
Schedule
30th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
44th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
23rd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsBoise State | +3.1 | 38-13 | +25.5 | 94% | — |
| 2 | @Oklahoma State | -15.1 | 40-9 | +31.3 | 97% | — |
| 3 | vsPortland State | FCS | 51-3* | +48.2 | 100% | — |
| 4 | @USC | +16.9 | 29-27 | +1.7 | 54% | — |
| 6 | vsUCLA | -8.7 | 45-19 | +26.4 | 94% | — |
| 7 | vsNebraska | +6.2 | 36-15 | +21.7 | 91% | — |
| 8 | @Illinois | +12.9 | 31-23 | +8.4 | 70% | — |
| 9 | vsNorthwestern | +5.8 | 40-16 | +24.4 | 93% | — |
| 10 | @Ohio State | +30.1 | 17-27 | -10.0 | 27% | — |
| 11 | vsMichigan | +12.4 | 32-21 | +11.0 | 75% | — |
| 12 | @Michigan State | -3.4 | 42-14 | +28.1 | 96% | — |
| 13 | vsWashington | +18.4 | 34-21 | +12.9 | 78% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 51
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Dante Moore | SO | 6'3" | 206 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Dylan Raiola← Nebraska | SO | 6'3" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Brock Thomas | SO | 5'11" | 191 | — |
Running Backs · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Noah Whittington | SR | 5'8" | 203 | ★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Dierre Hill Jr. | FR | 5'11" | 205 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Jordon Davison | FR | 6'0" | 236 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Simeon Price← Colorado | SR | 6'0" | 215 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Da'Jaun Riggs | FR | 6'0" | 205 | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Iverson Hooks← UAB | SO | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Dakorien Moore | FR | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Jeremiah McClellan | FR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Gary Bryant Jr. | SR | 5'11" | 191 | ★★★★ |
Tight Ends · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Jamari Johnson | SO | 6'5" | 257 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Roger Saleapaga | SO | 6'4" | 245 | ★★★★ |
| TE | — | Andrew Olesh← Penn State | FR | 6'5" | 226 | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Iapani Laloulu | JR | 6'2" | 329 | ★★★★ |
| OL | — | Gernorris Wilson | SO | 6'5" | 318 | ★★★★ |
| OT | — | Michael Bennett III← Yale | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Matthew Johnson | FR | 6'5" | 295 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 1st | Bear Alexander | JR | 6'3" | 302 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | D'Antre Robinson← North Carolina | FR | 6'4" | 315 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | A'Mauri Washington | JR | 6'3" | 330 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 4th | Jerome Simmons← UL Monroe | JR | 6'4" | 330 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Aydin Breland | FR | 6'5" | 304 | ★★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Bleu Dantzler← Oregon State | FR | 6'2" | 241 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Markus Dixon← Clemson | SO | 6'4" | 265 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Teitum Tuioti | JR | 6'3" | 263 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Jerry Mixon | JR | 6'2" | 240 | ★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Matayo Uiagalelei | JR | 6'5" | 272 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Devon Jackson | JR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| LB | 5th | Will Straton | SO | 6'0" | 215 | — |
| LB | 6th | Nasir Wyatt | FR | 6'2" | 228 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 7th | Dylan Williams | FR | 6'2" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Elijah Rushing | FR | 6'6" | 275 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 9th | Brayden Platt | FR | 6'2" | 235 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 10th | Gavin Nix | FR | 6'0" | 230 | ★★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Aaron Scott Jr.← Ohio State | SO | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | Aaron Flowers | FR | 6'0" | 208 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 2nd | Brandon Finney Jr. | FR | 6'2" | 203 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 3rd | Ify Obidegwu | FR | 6'1" | 203 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 4th | Peyton Woodyard | SO | 6'2" | 208 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 5th | Theran Johnson | SR | 5'11" | 195 | — |
| DB | 6th | Na'Eem Offord | FR | 6'1" | 195 | — |
| DB | 7th | Zach Grisham | JR | 5'11" | 204 | — |
| DB | 8th | Cruz Rushing | JR | 6'1" | 225 | — |
| S | 1st | Koi Perich← Minnesota | SO | 6'1" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Carl Williams IV← Baylor | JR | 6'1" | 192 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | 1st | Keaton Emmett← Nevada | SO | 6'0" | 198 | — |
| P | 1st | James Ferguson-Reynolds | SR | 6'2" | 196 | ★★★ |
| PK | 1st | Atticus Sappington | SR | 5'10" | 190 | — |
| PK | — | Gage Hurych | FR | 6'1" | 189 | ★★★ |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
9.7
Exp. Losses
2.3
Toss-ups
1
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
38.793
Off PPA
+0.3092
Pass PPA
+0.4088
Rush PPA
+0.2493
Success
47%89
Explosive
1.3486
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.30 | +0.04 |
| Passing | +0.40 | +0.10 |
| Rushing | +0.24 | +0.06 |
| 1st Down | +0.17 | -0.19 |
| 2nd Down | +0.22 | -0.01 |
| 3rd Down | +0.72 | +0.43 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
38.2
PPG Against
14.8
Differential
+23.3
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 11-1
- Home
- 6-1
- Away
- 5-0
- Conference
- 8-1
- Non-Conference
- 3-0
- One-Score (≤8)
- 2-0
- Avg Margin
- +23.3
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 7-1 | 43.1 | 16.8 |
| Away | 5-0 | 32.8 | 15.6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 22.5 | 28.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 5-2 | 25.9 | 23.9 |
| Conference | 8-1 | 32.1 | 17.2 |
| Non-conference | 5-1 | 44.2 | 18.8 |
Season History · last 12
5 AP top-10 · 11 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-1 | 8-1 | #4 | #2 | 2-1 |
| 2024 | 13-0 | 10-0 | #3 | #1 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 11-2 | 8-2 | #3 | #5 | 1-0 |
| 2022 | 9-3 | 7-2 | #11 | #6 | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 10-3 | 7-3 | #38 | #3 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 4-2 | 4-2 | #10 | — | 0-1 |
| 2019 | 11-2 | 9-1 | #15 | — | 1-0 |
| 2018 | 8-4 | 5-4 | #41 | — | 1-0 |
| 2017 | 7-5 | 4-5 | #37 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 4-8 | 2-7 | #55 | — | — |
| 2015 | 9-3 | 7-2 | #19 | — | 0-1 |
| 2014 | 12-1 | 9-1 | #5 | — | 1-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 2-0 ATS · O1/U1
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 13-2 |
| ATS | 8-467% |
| Over / Under | 6-6 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 7-4 |
| As underdog | 1-0 |
| Home | 5-2 |
| Away | 3-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #11 · 159 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★220 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #3 | 303 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 2025 | #5 | 296 | 3 | 15 | 2 |
| 2024 | #3 | 293 | 0 | 21 | 9 |
| 2023 | #9 | 278 | 1 | 18 | 9 |
| 2022 | #13 | 243 | 1 | 10 | 4 |
| 2021 | #6 | 287 | 0 | 19 | 2 |
| 2020 | #12 | 259 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 2019 | #7 | 278 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| 2018 | #13 | 260 | 0 | 12 | 9 |
| 2017 | #19 | 230 | 0 | 7 | 11 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 13net -17Out 30
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.3 / 3.2
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Koi Perich | S | 4★ | ← Minnesota |
| ▲ | Dylan Raiola | QB | 4★ | ← Nebraska |
| ▲ | D'Antre Robinson | DL | 4★ | ← North Carolina |
| ▲ | Simeon Price | RB | 3★ | ← Colorado |
| ▼ | Tionne Gray | DL | 4★ | → Notre Dame |
| ▼ | Terrance Green | DL | 4★ | → Alabama |
| ▼ | Blake Purchase | EDGE | 4★ | → Ole Miss |
| ▼ | Bryson Beaver | QB | 4★ | → Georgia |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- Oregon, Dan Lanning Receive Exciting Update on Top 2027 TargetThe Ducks are battling Notre Dame for four-star defensive lineman Brayden Parks. His July 23 commitment could propel Dan Lanning’s 2027 class to the nation's top spot.ORE13h
- Oregon Football Preview 2026: Is This Finally the Ducks' Time?Oregon has been one of the best programs in college football under Dan Lanning, but can it show up when it really matters?ORE22h
- 2027 4-star DL Brayden Parks announces commitment date, Oregon in mixOne of the top remaining DL still on the board in the 2027 class has announced his commitment date, with Oregon in the mix with Notre Dame.ORE1d
- Oregon Ducks Land Major New National Championship OddsThe Oregon Ducks have landed major new odds to win the National Championship in 2026.ORE1d
- Ranking Oregon’s matchup difficulty, according to FPIOregon's schedule in 2026 has some challenges, and ESPN's Football Power Index shows which games create the most concern for the Ducks.ORE1d
- A'Mauri Washington will be main force of Oregon defensive line vs USCThe Trojans will have to be particularly focused on Oregon defensive lineman A'Mauri Washington when the teams meet in LA
- ESPN FPI projects Oregon’s record, Big Ten title, CFP chancesESPN's Football Power Index predicts the Oregon Ducks record in 2026, as well as the team's chances to win the Big Ten and College Football Playoff.ORE2d
- Former Duck Terrance Green named Preseason All-SEC Second TeamOne of the departed defensive linemen via the portal from Oregon after last season has been named to the Preseason All-SEC Second Team with Alabama.
- ‘Best ball skills of any receiver we’ve seen’: Why Oregon commit Dakota Guerrant earned 5th starFive prospects were named a five-star for the first time on Monday when Rivals updated its player recruiting rankings — the Rivals300 — for the 2027 cycle. One of those new additions was Harper Woods (Mich.) wide receiver Dakota Guerrant. Long considered one of the best pass-catchers in the nation, Guerrant has taken that leap […]ORE3d
- Oregon scores predictions to land pair of elite 2028 recruitsThe Ducks are starting to gain some steam on the 2028 recruiting trail, picking up a pair of predictions to launch the next class.ORE3d
- Oregon Ducks, Dan Lanning Closing in on Big 2028 QB RecruitThe Oregon Ducks and head coach Dan Lanning are closing in on landing a commitment from a big 2028 quarterback.ORE3d
- Oregon’s Biggest Question for 2026 CFB Season Should Not Be a Surprise to FansDespite a loaded roster and elite regular-season dominance, Dan Lanning’s Ducks must prove they can finally overcome postseason heartbreak to secure the program's first national title.ORE3d
- Oregon Ducks Flood Phil Steele's 2026 Preseason All-American TeamsDan Lanning’s strategic roster retention and portal mastery pay off as eight stars, led by Heisman favorite Dante Moore, dominate the national spotlight ahead of a title-focused campaign.
- Oregon's win probability in every 2026 game, per ESPN FPIWith the recently published ESPN FPI for the 2026 season, let's check out the win probability for every Ducks game this fall.ORE3d
- How Oregon football's average age in 2026 sets program up for successThe Oregon Ducks have one of the younger rosters in the nation going into 2026, but also one of the most talented.ORE3d
- Dante Moore 2027 NFL Draft: Scouting report for Oregon Ducks quarterbackOregon Ducks QB Dante Moore is eligible for the 2027 NFL Draft. Here's what you need to know.
- Where Oregon Ducks rank in ESPN FPI entering 2026 seasonThe Oregon Ducks stand as one of the best teams in the nation ahead of the 2026 season, according to the ESPN Football Power Index.ORE4d
- Oregon Ducks Receive Intriguing Outlook For 2026 CFB SeasonWith quarterback Dante Moore returning to lead a veteran roster, Dan Lanning’s squad eyes a title run as analysts name this the most complete team of his tenure.
- Oregon Ducks Football B1G West Coast Blue Chip DependenceA Deeper look into the West-Coast B1G schools recruiting in California since 2017ORE5d
- Blueprint for Oregon to win the 2026 national championship requires 3 things to come togetherThe Ducks are undoubtedly a title contender, but they need some key things to materialize.ORE6d