Team·
Boise State Broncos
Pac-12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #64
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
3.1 (#64)
SP+ Offense
29.1
SP+ Defense
25.1
SRS
4.3
FPI
3.6
Elo
1594
Talent
611
Recruiting
206 (#51)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
6.4p10 4.0 — p90 8.0
RoundProb
Win conference19.3%
Make CFP0.2%
Quarterfinal0.1%
Semifinal0.0%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 6.54.5
Schedule
71st
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
86th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
65th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1@Oregon+25.913-38-25.56%
2vsMemphis+7.628-25+2.957%
3vsSouth DakotaFCS45-3*+41.3100%
4@Western Michigan-1.421-24-2.544%
5vsUtah State-3.133-19+14.281%
6@Fresno State+1.825-25-0.250%
8@Washington State+3.822-26-4.040%
9vsTexas State+2.329-24+5.062%
10@Colorado State-15.632-20+12.077%
11vsOregon State-15.933-23+9.872%
12vsSan Diego State+6.729-26+2.957%
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 64
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stMaddux MadsenJR5'10"201★★★
QB2ndMax CutforthSO6'2"208
Running Backs · 7
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stDylan RileySO5'10"190
RB2ndMalik SherrodSR5'8"177★★★
RB3rdSire GainesFR6'0"209
RB4thJuelz GoffPittsburghFR5'9"195★★★
RB5thHarry Stewart IIIKansasFR5'10"215★★★
RB6thSeth KnotheJR6'1"216
RB7thJambres DubarJR6'0"205★★★
Wide Receivers · 7
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stLatrell CaplesSR6'0"191★★★
WR2ndCameron BatesSO5'10"170
WR3rdChase PenrySR6'0"194
WR4thBen FordSR5'10"187★★★
WR5thQuinton BrownFR5'8"163★★★
WR6thDemetric Whitlock Jr.JR6'0"185
WRDarren MorrisSouthern
Tight Ends · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stMatt LauterSR6'3"240★★★
TE2ndMatt WagnerSO6'5"243★★★
TE3rdLuke VoorheesSR6'3"240
TE4thTroy GrizzleFR6'3"246
Offensive Line · 2
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OLRoger CarreonJR6'5"306★★★
OTTyler EthridgeCSU-Pueblo★★★
Defensive Line · 13
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DL1stBraxton FelySR6'1"296★★★
DL2ndMax StegeJR6'4"264★★★
DL3rdDion WashingtonSR6'2"290★★
DL4thLopez SanusiFR6'3"299★★★
DL5thMichael MadrieSO6'4"281★★★
DL6thDavid LatuJR6'4"305
DL7thKeanu MailotoSR6'5"280
DLMikaio EdwardCentral Washington★★★
EDGE1stJayden Virgin-MorganJR6'3"253
EDGE2ndMalakai WilliamsSR6'5"245★★
EDGE3rdRoman CaywoodFR6'3"245★★★
EDGE4thSterling Lane IIJR6'3"232★★★★
EDGE5thBol BolFR6'4"223★★★
Linebackers · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stMarco NotarainniSR6'3"238
LB2ndBoen PhelpsSO6'1"204
LB3rdJake RippJR6'3"240★★★
LB4thLogan BrantleyKansasSO6'2"225★★★
LB5thMana TuiotiFR5'10"220★★★
LB6thSyncere Brackett-LambeyFR6'2"230
Defensive Backs · 20
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stJeRico Washington Jr.Kennesaw StateSO5'10"175★★★
CBCam JamersonTCUFR6'1"170★★★
DB1stZion WashingtonSR6'1"212
DB2ndJeremiah EarbySR6'2"182★★★
DB3rdJaden MickeyJR6'0"185★★★★
DB4thA'Marion McCoySR6'0"176
DB5thDerek Ganter Jr.SO6'0"188
DB6thSherrod SmithSO6'1"185
DB7thDavon BanksSR5'11"180
DB8thFranklyn Johnson Jr.SO5'10"172
DB9thSamuel BrooksJR6'1"180
DB10thTravis AndersonFR5'11"188★★★
DB11thDemetrius FreeneyJR6'0"190
DB12thArthur de BoachieFR6'0"188
DB13thJosiah AlanisFR6'1"178★★★
DB14thCole MillerSO6'0"185
DB15thDominik CalhounFR5'11"181★★★
DBTrey TolmaireFR5'11"180
S1stTaebron Bennie-PowellNotre DameFR6'1"178★★★
SRoman TillmonSouth Dakota★★★
Special Teams · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
P1stOscar DoyleJR6'3"220
PK1stColton BoomerJR5'10"175
PK2ndCanaan MooreFR5'11"170
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
6.5
Exp. Losses
4.5
Toss-ups
5
2550751Wk 1 @ Oregon (SP+ #4) — 6% win, proj -25.5Wk 2 vs Memphis (SP+ #39) — 57% win, proj +2.93Wk 3 vs South Dakota — 100% win, proj +41.3 · FCS est.Wk 4 @ Western Michigan (SP+ #78) — 44% win, proj -2.55Wk 5 vs Utah State (SP+ #79) — 81% win, proj +14.2Wk 6 @ Fresno State (SP+ #66) — 50% win, proj -0.2Wk 8 @ Washington State (SP+ #61) — 40% win, proj -4.09Wk 9 vs Texas State (SP+ #65) — 62% win, proj +5.0Wk 10 @ Colorado State (SP+ #124) — 77% win, proj +12.011Wk 11 vs Oregon State (SP+ #126) — 72% win, proj +9.812Wk 12 vs San Diego State (SP+ #43) — 57% win, proj +2.9WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
29.160
Off PPA
+0.1756
Pass PPA
+0.2555
Rush PPA
+0.1355
Success
41%37
Explosive
1.3074
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
01020302014 · SP+ Overall: 11.62015 · SP+ Overall: 11.82016 · SP+ Overall: 11.52017 · SP+ Overall: 9.12018 · SP+ Overall: 12.22019 · SP+ Overall: 8.12020 · SP+ Overall: 6.72021 · SP+ Overall: 9.42022 · SP+ Overall: 5.72023 · SP+ Overall: 5.92024 · SP+ Overall: 10.12025 · SP+ Overall: 3.12014 · SP+ Offense: 36.62015 · SP+ Offense: 32.22016 · SP+ Offense: 36.72017 · SP+ Offense: 28.62018 · SP+ Offense: 37.12019 · SP+ Offense: 32.92020 · SP+ Offense: 33.12021 · SP+ Offense: 28.42022 · SP+ Offense: 24.12023 · SP+ Offense: 32.72024 · SP+ Offense: 35.32025 · SP+ Offense: 29.12014 · SP+ Defense: 24.72015 · SP+ Defense: 20.22016 · SP+ Defense: 25.02017 · SP+ Defense: 20.52018 · SP+ Defense: 22.82019 · SP+ Defense: 25.02020 · SP+ Defense: 26.42021 · SP+ Defense: 20.82022 · SP+ Defense: 18.52023 · SP+ Defense: 28.22024 · SP+ Defense: 24.22025 · SP+ Defense: 25.1141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsMadsen2,216·Cutforth960
Rush YdsRiley560·Gaines557·Goff279
Rec YdsFord332·Bates248·Brown238
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.17+0.10
Passing+0.25+0.03
Rushing+0.13+0.20
1st Down-0.03-0.04
2nd Down+0.14+0.18
3rd Down+0.68+0.34