
Boise State Broncos
Pac-12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #64
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 3.1 (#64)
- SP+ Offense
- 29.1
- SP+ Defense
- 25.1
- SRS
- 4.3
- FPI
- 3.6
- Elo
- 1594
- Talent
- 611
- Recruiting
- 206 (#51)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
6.4p10 4.0 — p90 8.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 19.3% | |
| Make CFP | 0.2% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.1% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 6.5–4.5
Schedule
71st
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
86th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
65th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Oregon | +25.9 | 13-38 | -25.5 | 6% | — |
| 2 | vsMemphis | +7.6 | 28-25 | +2.9 | 57% | — |
| 3 | vsSouth Dakota | FCS | 45-3* | +41.3 | 100% | — |
| 4 | @Western Michigan | -1.4 | 21-24 | -2.5 | 44% | — |
| 5 | vsUtah State | -3.1 | 33-19 | +14.2 | 81% | — |
| 6 | @Fresno State | +1.8 | 25-25 | -0.2 | 50% | — |
| 8 | @Washington State | +3.8 | 22-26 | -4.0 | 40% | — |
| 9 | vsTexas State | +2.3 | 29-24 | +5.0 | 62% | — |
| 10 | @Colorado State | -15.6 | 32-20 | +12.0 | 77% | — |
| 11 | vsOregon State | -15.9 | 33-23 | +9.8 | 72% | — |
| 12 | vsSan Diego State | +6.7 | 29-26 | +2.9 | 57% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 64
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Maddux Madsen | JR | 5'10" | 201 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Max Cutforth | SO | 6'2" | 208 | — |
Running Backs · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Dylan Riley | SO | 5'10" | 190 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Malik Sherrod | SR | 5'8" | 177 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Sire Gaines | FR | 6'0" | 209 | — |
| RB | 4th | Juelz Goff← Pittsburgh | FR | 5'9" | 195 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Harry Stewart III← Kansas | FR | 5'10" | 215 | ★★★ |
| RB | 6th | Seth Knothe | JR | 6'1" | 216 | — |
| RB | 7th | Jambres Dubar | JR | 6'0" | 205 | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Latrell Caples | SR | 6'0" | 191 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Cameron Bates | SO | 5'10" | 170 | — |
| WR | 3rd | Chase Penry | SR | 6'0" | 194 | — |
| WR | 4th | Ben Ford | SR | 5'10" | 187 | ★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Quinton Brown | FR | 5'8" | 163 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Demetric Whitlock Jr. | JR | 6'0" | 185 | — |
| WR | — | Darren Morris← Southern | — | — | — | — |
Tight Ends · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Matt Lauter | SR | 6'3" | 240 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Matt Wagner | SO | 6'5" | 243 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Luke Voorhees | SR | 6'3" | 240 | — |
| TE | 4th | Troy Grizzle | FR | 6'3" | 246 | — |
Offensive Line · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Roger Carreon | JR | 6'5" | 306 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Tyler Ethridge← CSU-Pueblo | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Braxton Fely | SR | 6'1" | 296 | ★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | Max Stege | JR | 6'4" | 264 | ★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | Dion Washington | SR | 6'2" | 290 | ★★ |
| DL | 4th | Lopez Sanusi | FR | 6'3" | 299 | ★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Michael Madrie | SO | 6'4" | 281 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | David Latu | JR | 6'4" | 305 | — |
| DL | 7th | Keanu Mailoto | SR | 6'5" | 280 | — |
| DL | — | Mikaio Edward← Central Washington | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Jayden Virgin-Morgan | JR | 6'3" | 253 | — |
| EDGE | 2nd | Malakai Williams | SR | 6'5" | 245 | ★★ |
| EDGE | 3rd | Roman Caywood | FR | 6'3" | 245 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 4th | Sterling Lane II | JR | 6'3" | 232 | ★★★★ |
| EDGE | 5th | Bol Bol | FR | 6'4" | 223 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Marco Notarainni | SR | 6'3" | 238 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Boen Phelps | SO | 6'1" | 204 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Jake Ripp | JR | 6'3" | 240 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Logan Brantley← Kansas | SO | 6'2" | 225 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Mana Tuioti | FR | 5'10" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Syncere Brackett-Lambey | FR | 6'2" | 230 | — |
Defensive Backs · 20
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | JeRico Washington Jr.← Kennesaw State | SO | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Cam Jamerson← TCU | FR | 6'1" | 170 | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | Zion Washington | SR | 6'1" | 212 | — |
| DB | 2nd | Jeremiah Earby | SR | 6'2" | 182 | ★★★ |
| DB | 3rd | Jaden Mickey | JR | 6'0" | 185 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 4th | A'Marion McCoy | SR | 6'0" | 176 | — |
| DB | 5th | Derek Ganter Jr. | SO | 6'0" | 188 | — |
| DB | 6th | Sherrod Smith | SO | 6'1" | 185 | — |
| DB | 7th | Davon Banks | SR | 5'11" | 180 | — |
| DB | 8th | Franklyn Johnson Jr. | SO | 5'10" | 172 | — |
| DB | 9th | Samuel Brooks | JR | 6'1" | 180 | — |
| DB | 10th | Travis Anderson | FR | 5'11" | 188 | ★★★ |
| DB | 11th | Demetrius Freeney | JR | 6'0" | 190 | — |
| DB | 12th | Arthur de Boachie | FR | 6'0" | 188 | — |
| DB | 13th | Josiah Alanis | FR | 6'1" | 178 | ★★★ |
| DB | 14th | Cole Miller | SO | 6'0" | 185 | — |
| DB | 15th | Dominik Calhoun | FR | 5'11" | 181 | ★★★ |
| DB | — | Trey Tolmaire | FR | 5'11" | 180 | — |
| S | 1st | Taebron Bennie-Powell← Notre Dame | FR | 6'1" | 178 | ★★★ |
| S | — | Roman Tillmon← South Dakota | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | 1st | Oscar Doyle | JR | 6'3" | 220 | — |
| PK | 1st | Colton Boomer | JR | 5'10" | 175 | — |
| PK | 2nd | Canaan Moore | FR | 5'11" | 170 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
6.5
Exp. Losses
4.5
Toss-ups
5
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
29.160
Off PPA
+0.1756
Pass PPA
+0.2555
Rush PPA
+0.1355
Success
41%37
Explosive
1.3074
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.17 | +0.10 |
| Passing | +0.25 | +0.03 |
| Rushing | +0.13 | +0.20 |
| 1st Down | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| 2nd Down | +0.14 | +0.18 |
| 3rd Down | +0.68 | +0.34 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
31.4
PPG Against
23.0
Differential
+8.4
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 9-4
- Home
- 6-1
- Away
- 3-3
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 3-2
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-0
- Avg Margin
- +8.4
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-1 | 41.3 | 22.3 |
| Away | 3-3 | 19.8 | 23.8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 10.0 | 38.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 0-2 | 8.5 | 33.0 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 32.3 | 23.5 |
| Non-conference | 3-3 | 26.7 | 24.8 |
Season History · last 12
1 AP top-10 · 9 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-4 | 6-2 | #64 | #25 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 12-1 | 8-0 | #29 | #8 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 8-5 | 7-2 | #44 | — | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 9-4 | 8-1 | #52 | — | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #41 | — | — |
| 2020 | 5-2 | 5-1 | #36 | — | — |
| 2019 | 12-1 | 9-0 | #37 | — | 0-1 |
| 2018 | 10-3 | 7-2 | #28 | — | — |
| 2017 | 10-3 | 8-1 | #37 | — | 1-0 |
| 2016 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #29 | — | 0-1 |
| 2015 | 8-4 | 5-3 | #30 | — | 1-0 |
| 2014 | 11-2 | 8-1 | #32 | — | 1-0 |
Recent Form · last 5
3-2 SU · 2-2 ATS · O1/U3
Betting Profile
2025 · 13 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-5 |
| ATS | 8-4-167% |
| Over / Under | 6-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 7-3 |
| As underdog | 1-1 |
| Home | 6-1 |
| Away | 2-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #62 · 8 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★157 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #51 | 206 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2025 | #62 | 189 | 0 | 1 | 17 |
| 2024 | #64 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2023 | #67 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2022 | #62 | 175 | 0 | 1 | 14 |
| 2021 | #70 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2020 | #65 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2019 | #50 | 190 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 2018 | #57 | 183 | 0 | 1 | 20 |
| 2017 | #64 | 167 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 11net -8Out 19
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 3.1
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Cam Jamerson | CB | 3★ | ← TCU |
| ▲ | Juelz Goff | RB | 3★ | ← Pittsburgh |
| ▲ | Roman Tillmon | S | 3★ | ← South Dakota |
| ▲ | Mikaio Edward | DL | 3★ | ← Central Washington |
| ▼ | Ty Benefield | S | 4★ | → LSU |
| ▼ | Chris Marshall | WR | 3★ | → Arkansas |
| ▼ | Jaylen Webb | S | 3★ | → Nevada |
| ▼ | Ja'Bree Bickham | S | 3★ | → North Texas |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
14 items
- 12 players who will define Boise State's first Pac-12 season: No. 10, Roger CarreonCarreon is Broncos' most experienced returning offensive lineman
- Boise State leads Pac-12, Group of Six in ESPN's FPI power rankingsBroncos are preseason favorite to win reborn Pac-12BOIS7d
- Mountaintop View 7-10-26: Trent Bray, Boise State’s Move to the PAC 12, UTEP Football, Wyoming Football, Texas State RecruitingMedia Days are coming soon and other news you need to get you through the weekendBOIS10d
- Ranking Boise State football's most important newcomersHere are five fresh faces to watch in fall campBOIS11d
- 5 biggest position battles that could define Boise State's 2026 seasonBroncos have several roles to fill in fall campBOIS14d
- Boise State leads the way with 20 selections on Athlon Sports preseason all-Pac-12 squadBroncos left Mountain West for Pac-12 last weekBOIS14d
- Boise State Football Preview 2026: Can the Broncos Rule the New Pac-12?Boise State is moving into the rebuilt Pac-12 with championship expectations. Can the Broncos keep winning titles in a better league?BOIS15d
- PAC Is Back: Which Teams Will Be Bowl-Bound in the Conference’s Return?57 days til college football kicks off, and even longer until bowl season, but who says we can’t take a sneak peek? In what should be a bizarre math equation of a year for bowls, here is the preseason look at the PAC-12 odds, team by team: Boise State O/U: 7.5 Wins+155 To Win PAC-12,+450 […]BOIS17d
- Projecting Boise State's Week 1 depth chart for 2026 seasonIn just over two months, new Pac-12 member Boise State will open the 2026 season with a stiff road test against Oregon. The Ducks finished 13-2 overall last yeaBOIS17d
- What changes for Boise State now that it's officially in the Pac-12?Broncos left Mountain West for Pac-12 on WednesdayBOIS18d
- Boise State to honor legendary quarterback Kellen Moore with bronze statueMoore went 50-3 as a starter from 2008-11BOIS19d
- Boise State opens as significant favorite to win 2026 Pac-12 championshipBroncos closed Mountain West run with three straight titlesBOIS24d
- Boise State's Pac-12 schedule features early test that could define seasonBroncos to leave Mountain West for Pac-12 next weekBOIS25d
- LSU football safety earns major praise from CFB staffersESPN ranked an LSU football transfer addition as one of the top defenders in the sport. See why Ty Benefield is in for a big year.