Texas State Bobcats
Pac-12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #65
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 2.3 (#65)
- SP+ Offense
- 36.6
- SP+ Defense
- 34.6
- SRS
- -1.6
- FPI
- -1.5
- Elo
- 1606
- Talent
- 612
- Recruiting
- 188 (#74)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
6.1p10 4.0 — p90 8.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 13.7% | |
| Make CFP | 0.0% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.0% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 6.2–4.8
Schedule
69th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
71st
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
70th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Texas | +16.2 | 16-40 | -23.9 | 7% | — |
| 2 | vsUTSA | +3.7 | 30-28 | +1.8 | 54% | — |
| 3 | vsNorth Texas | +13.8 | 24-26 | -1.8 | 46% | — |
| 4 | vsIncarnate Word | FCS | 45-4* | +41.1 | 99% | — |
| 5 | @San Diego State | +6.7 | 22-28 | -5.6 | 37% | — |
| 7 | vsColorado State | -15.6 | 35-20 | +15.2 | 82% | — |
| 8 | vsUtah State | -3.1 | 30-21 | +9.7 | 72% | — |
| 9 | @Boise State | +3.1 | 24-29 | -5.0 | 38% | — |
| 10 | @Oregon State | -15.9 | 28-20 | +8.3 | 69% | — |
| 11 | vsFresno State | +1.8 | 26-21 | +5.0 | 62% | — |
| 12 | vsWashington State | +3.8 | 22-22 | +0.4 | 51% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 64
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Brad Jackson | FR | 6'0" | 200 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Shaker Reisig← Boston College | FR | 6'0" | 199 | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Lincoln Pare | SR | 5'9" | 200 | ★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Jaylen Jenkins | JR | 5'8" | 175 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Greg Burrell | SO | 6'1" | 205 | ★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Torrance Burgess Jr. | SR | 5'8" | 175 | — |
Wide Receivers · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Beau Sparks | JR | 5'11" | 175 | — |
| WR | 2nd | Chris Dawn Jr. | JR | 5'7" | 170 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Kylen Evans | SO | 6'2" | 200 | ★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Mavin Anderson | SR | 6'0" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Zechariah Sample← Arizona State | FR | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Davian Jackson← Mississippi State | FR | 6'1" | 185 | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Titus Lyons | SR | 6'3" | 240 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Blake Smith | JR | 6'4" | 247 | — |
| TE | 3rd | Ty Stamey | SO | 6'6" | 237 | ★★★ |
| TE | 4th | Jake Simpson | SO | 6'5" | 248 | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Sully Burns | SO | 6'7" | 320 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | William Boone← North Carolina | JR | 6'6" | 340 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Rasheed Jackson← TCU | JR | 6'7" | 320 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Kalil Alexander | SR | 6'3" | 225 | — |
| DE | 2nd | Kenard Snyder | SR | 6'0" | 248 | — |
| DE | 3rd | Tymere Jackson | SR | 6'5" | 235 | — |
| DE | 4th | Jermy Jackson Jr. | FR | 6'3" | 218 | ★★★ |
| DL | 1st | Tae Woody← UL Monroe | SO | 6'4" | 295 | ★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | Bryce Carter | SR | 6'3" | 274 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | Ta'Derius Collins | SO | 6'4" | 250 | ★★★ |
| DL | 4th | Mike Nwokocha | SR | 6'5" | 312 | — |
| DL | 5th | J.P. Deeter | SO | 6'3" | 280 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Kaleb James← Arkansas | SO | 6'4" | 265 | ★★★ |
| DL | 7th | Chancellor Owens← Arizona | JR | 6'3" | 260 | ★★★ |
| DL | 8th | Kyran Bourda | SO | 6'3" | 295 | ★★★ |
| DL | 9th | Javarius Bell | FR | 6'1" | 260 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Phillip Bradford← McNeese | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Amipeleasi Langi Jr. | SR | 6'6" | 312 | — |
| EDGE | — | Jason Patterson← Texas Southern | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Treylin Payne | SR | 6'0" | 215 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Ayden Jones | SO | 6'2" | 215 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Terrence Cooks II | SR | 6'2" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Michael Boudoin III | SR | 6'4" | 235 | — |
| LB | 5th | Javante Mackey← Arkansas State | SO | 6'1" | 245 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Cole Nilles | SO | 6'4" | 252 | — |
| LB | 7th | DonTerry Russell | JR | 6'4" | 225 | — |
| LB | 8th | Jordan Sample← Arkansas State | SO | 6'2" | 223 | ★★★ |
| LB | 9th | TJ Burkhalter | FR | 6'2" | 220 | — |
Defensive Backs · 18
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Amarion Atwood | SO | 6'1" | 185 | ★★★ |
| CB | 2nd | Jaden Rios | SR | 6'3" | 190 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Malik Willis | SO | 6'2" | 175 | — |
| CB | 4th | Dexter Ricks Jr.← Liberty | JR | 5'11" | 180 | ★★★ |
| CB | 5th | Canden Grogan | SR | 6'3" | 175 | — |
| CB | 6th | Craig Royal Jr. | JR | 6'2" | 190 | — |
| CB | 7th | Christopher Jones | FR | 6'2" | 185 | ★★★ |
| CB | 8th | Greg Gipson Jr. | FR | 6'1" | 180 | — |
| CB | 9th | Cordarian Powell | FR | 6'1" | 165 | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Michael Patterson← Stephen F. Austin | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | DJ Taylor Jr. | SR | 5'10" | 195 | — |
| S | 1st | Ryan Nolan | JR | 5'10" | 181 | — |
| S | 2nd | Bobby Crosby | SR | 6'2" | 190 | — |
| S | 3rd | Will Mitchell II | SO | 5'10" | 185 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Chase Davis | SO | 6'3" | 185 | — |
| S | 5th | Darius Jackson | JR | 6'2" | 195 | — |
| S | 6th | Tice Williams | FR | 6'2" | 201 | ★★★ |
| S | — | John Smith← Colorado State | FR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | 1st | Dylan Cunanan← Toledo | SO | 5'9" | 168 | — |
| P | 1st | David Nunez | SR | 5'10" | 182 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
6.2
Exp. Losses
4.8
Toss-ups
3
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
36.690
Off PPA
+0.3194
Pass PPA
+0.4088
Rush PPA
+0.2694
Success
46%79
Explosive
1.3588
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.31 | +0.16 |
| Passing | +0.40 | +0.25 |
| Rushing | +0.26 | +0.08 |
| 1st Down | +0.13 | +0.08 |
| 2nd Down | +0.38 | +0.15 |
| 3rd Down | +0.65 | +0.37 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
36.1
PPG Against
30.6
Differential
+5.5
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 6-6
- Home
- 4-2
- Away
- 2-4
- Conference
- 3-5
- Non-Conference
- 3-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-4
- Avg Margin
- +5.5
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 4-2 | 38.0 | 28.3 |
| Away | 2-4 | 34.2 | 32.8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 41.0 | 10.0 |
| Competition | |||
| Conference | 3-5 | 36.0 | 33.4 |
| Non-conference | 4-1 | 37.2 | 22.0 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 3 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #65 | — | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #48 | — | 1-0 |
| 2023 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #70 | — | 1-0 |
| 2022 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #101 | — | — |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 3-5 | #118 | — | — |
| 2020 | 2-10 | 2-6 | #116 | — | — |
| 2019 | 3-9 | 2-6 | #118 | — | — |
| 2018 | 3-9 | 1-7 | #114 | — | — |
| 2017 | 2-10 | 1-7 | #125 | — | — |
| 2016 | 2-10 | 0-8 | #128 | — | — |
| 2015 | 3-9 | 2-6 | #113 | — | — |
| 2014 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #94 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 2-2 ATS · O2/U2
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 7-6 |
| ATS | 4-833% |
| Over / Under | 7-5 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 2-6 |
| As underdog | 2-2 |
| Home | 2-4 |
| Away | 2-4 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #110 · 0 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★83 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #74 | 188 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2025 | #101 | 144 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2024 | #96 | 153 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2023 | #98 | 139 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2022 | #133 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 | #183 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2020 | #99 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2019 | #133 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2018 | #107 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2017 | #92 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 17net -4Out 21
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 2.9
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Michael Patterson | CB | 3★ | ← Stephen F. Austin |
| ▲ | Davian Jackson | WR | 3★ | ← Mississippi State |
| ▲ | Rasheed Jackson | OT | 3★ | ← TCU |
| ▲ | Jaylen Early | IOL | 3★ | ← Missouri |
| ▼ | Brock Riker | IOL | 3★ | → Penn State |
| ▼ | Devarrick Woods | DL | 3★ | → Clemson |
| ▼ | Jordan Sanders | DL | 3★ | → Florida State |
| ▼ | Kamren Washington | DL | 3★ | → Baylor |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
3 items
- USC football opposing player scouting report - Brock Riker, Penn StatePenn State's Brock Riker is an elite pass protector. USC has to crack the code when it takes the field on defense against him
- Only Brock Riker Until Penn State Football51 days to go!
- Texas State makes its case as the Pac-12’s most fascinating newcomerLet’s start where this story should really begin, because Texas State’s move to the Pac-12 does not happen without Bobcats’ head coach G.J. Kinne. When Kinne was hired in December 2022 to replace Jake Spavital, the optics were not exactly screaming major-program energy. Kinne was 34 years old, had one season of head coaching experience […]TXST25d