Texas Longhorns
SEC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #17
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 16.2 (#17)
- SP+ Offense
- 32.9
- SP+ Defense
- 17.9
- SRS
- 12.6
- FPI
- 18.6
- Elo
- 1926
- Talent
- 974
- Recruiting
- 291 (#7)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.5p10 6.0 — p90 9.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 3.4% | |
| Make CFP | 9.2% | |
| Quarterfinal | 4.4% | |
| Semifinal | 1.3% | |
| Natl. final | 0.4% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.1% |
Schedule
proj record 7.5–4.5
Schedule
1st
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
1st
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
4th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsTexas State | +2.3 | 40-16 | +23.9 | 93% | — |
| 2 | vsOhio State | +30.1 | 23-28 | -5.3 | 38% | — |
| 3 | vsUTSA | +3.7 | 37-14 | +22.2 | 91% | — |
| 4 | @Tennessee | +15 | 29-27 | +2.0 | 55% | — |
| 6 | NOklahoma | +18.3 | 25-28 | -3.5 | 42% | — |
| 7 | vsFlorida | +3.5 | 31-20 | +10.5 | 74% | — |
| 8 | vsOle Miss | +24 | 26-26 | 0.0 | 50% | — |
| 9 | vsMississippi State | +4.1 | 36-18 | +17.9 | 86% | — |
| 10 | @Missouri | +14.4 | 26-25 | +1.2 | 53% | — |
| 11 | @LSU | +10.3 | 27-25 | +2.0 | 55% | — |
| 12 | vsArkansas | +5.1 | 35-19 | +16.0 | 83% | — |
| 13 | @Texas A&M | +20.7 | 23-31 | -7.4 | 33% | — |
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 66
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Arch Manning | SO | 6'4" | 219 | ★★★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | MJ Morris← Coastal Carolina | JR | 6'1" | 209 | ★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Matthew Caldwell | SR | 6'4" | 212 | — |
| QB | 4th | Karle Lacey Jr. | FR | 6'0" | 189 | ★★★★ |
Running Backs · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Raleek Brown← Arizona State | JR | 5'9" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Hollywood Smothers← NC State | SO | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | James Simon | FR | 5'11" | 205 | ★★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Ryan Wingo | SO | 6'2" | 214 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Cam Coleman← Auburn | SO | 6'3" | 201 | ★★★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Sterling Berkhalter← Wake Forest | SR | 6'3" | 203 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Emmett Mosley V | SO | 6'2" | 205 | — |
| WR | 5th | Daylan McCutcheon | FR | 5'11" | 178 | — |
| WR | 6th | Aaron Butler | FR | 6'0" | 170 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Kaliq Lockett | FR | 6'2" | 185 | ★★★★★ |
| WR | 8th | Rett Andersen | JR | 5'11" | 188 | — |
| WR | 9th | Jaime Ffrench | FR | 6'1" | 185 | ★★★★ |
Tight Ends · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Michael Masunas← Michigan State | JR | 6'5" | 259 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Emaree Winston | FR | 6'1" | 237 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Nick Townsend | FR | 6'3" | 241 | ★★★★ |
Offensive Line · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OT | — | Melvin Siani← Wake Forest | SO | 6'6" | 302 | ★★★★ |
| OT | — | Jonte Newman← Texas A&M | FR | 6'4" | 331 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Hero Kanu | SR | 6'5" | 299 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | Ian Geffrard← Arkansas | SO | 6'5" | 389 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | Maraad Watson | SO | 6'3" | 313 | — |
| DL | 4th | Cole Brevard | SR | 6'3" | 346 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Alex January | SO | 6'5" | 308 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Travis Shaw | SR | 6'5" | 342 | ★★★★★ |
| DL | 7th | Justus Terry | FR | 6'5" | 268 | ★★★★★ |
| DL | 8th | Josiah Sharma | FR | 6'4" | 356 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 9th | Myron Charles | FR | 6'4" | 319 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 10th | Isaiah Coleman | FR | 6'1" | 280 | — |
| DL | — | Zion Williams← LSU | FR | 6'4" | 360 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Rasheem Biles← Pittsburgh | JR | 6'1" | 220 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Colin Simmons | SO | 6'3" | 240 | ★★★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Ty'Anthony Smith | SO | 6'1" | 216 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Justin Cryer← Florida State | JR | 6'1" | 237 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Ethan Burke | SR | 6'6" | 259 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Darius Snow← Michigan State | SR | 6'1" | 230 | ★★★ |
| LB | 7th | Brad Spence | JR | 6'2" | 241 | ★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Markus Boswell← Akron | FR | — | — | ★★★ |
| LB | 9th | Lance Jackson | FR | 6'5" | 254 | ★★★★★ |
| LB | 10th | Zina Umeozulu | FR | 6'5" | 262 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 11th | Marshall Landwehr | SR | 6'0" | 227 | — |
| LB | 12th | Colton Vasek | SO | 6'5" | 250 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 13th | Smith Orogbo | FR | 6'4" | 222 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 14th | Jonathan Cunningham | FR | 6'2" | 193 | ★★★ |
| LB | 15th | Brady Sarkisian | JR | 6'1" | 214 | — |
Defensive Backs · 14
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Bo Mascoe← Rutgers | JR | 5'11" | 185 | ★★★★ |
| CB | — | Nick Hudson← Brown | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | Ryan Niblett | SO | 5'10" | 187 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 2nd | Jelani McDonald | JR | 6'2" | 199 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 3rd | Jaylon Guilbeau | SR | 6'0" | 183 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 4th | Graceson Littleton | FR | 6'0" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 5th | Derek Williams Jr. | SO | 6'2" | 201 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 6th | Xavier Filsaime | SO | 6'1" | 194 | ★★★★★ |
| DB | 7th | Warren Roberson | SO | 5'10" | 188 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 8th | Kade Phillips | FR | 6'0" | 190 | ★★★★★ |
| DB | 9th | Kobe Black | SO | 6'2" | 199 | ★★★★★ |
| DB | 10th | Jordon Johnson-Rubell | SO | 5'10" | 189 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 11th | Wardell Mack | FR | 6'0" | 184 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 12th | Jonah Williams | FR | 6'3" | 213 | ★★★★★ |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | 1st | Gianni Spetic← Memphis | JR | 6'3" | 211 | ★★ |
| LS | 1st | Trey Dubuc← New Mexico | SO | 6'1" | 209 | ★★ |
| P | 1st | Jack Bouwmeester | SR | 6'3" | 209 | ★★★ |
| P | 2nd | Mac Chiumento← Florida State | JR | 6'4" | 227 | — |
| PK | 1st | Mason Shipley | SR | 6'0" | 185 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.5
Exp. Losses
4.5
Toss-ups
5
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
32.979
Off PPA
+0.1860
Pass PPA
+0.3068
Rush PPA
+0.0735
Success
41%31
Explosive
1.3791
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.18 | +0.10 |
| Passing | +0.30 | +0.18 |
| Rushing | +0.07 | +0.02 |
| 1st Down | +0.00 | +0.02 |
| 2nd Down | +0.27 | +0.05 |
| 3rd Down | +0.50 | +0.37 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
29.6
PPG Against
19.8
Differential
+9.8
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 9-3
- Home
- 6-0
- Away
- 2-3
- Neutral
- 1-0
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 3-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 3-2
- Avg Margin
- +9.8
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-0 | 38.8 | 17.0 |
| Away | 2-3 | 19.8 | 25.8 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 32.0 | 16.5 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 4-2 | 23.7 | 21.7 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 28.5 | 25.8 |
| Non-conference | 4-1 | 33.6 | 11.6 |
Season History · last 12
3 AP top-10 · 9 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-3 | 6-2 | #17 | #1 | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 11-2 | 7-2 | #7 | #1 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 12-1 | 9-1 | #6 | #3 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 8-4 | 6-3 | #7 | #18 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 3-6 | #48 | #15 | — |
| 2020 | 6-3 | 5-3 | #29 | — | 1-0 |
| 2019 | 7-5 | 5-4 | #26 | — | 1-0 |
| 2018 | 9-4 | 7-3 | #31 | — | 1-0 |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 5-4 | #30 | — | 1-0 |
| 2016 | 5-7 | 3-6 | #36 | — | — |
| 2015 | 5-7 | 4-5 | #62 | — | — |
| 2014 | 6-6 | 5-4 | #37 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 2-2 ATS · O2/U2
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 10-3 |
| ATS | 4-833% |
| Over / Under | 5-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 3-6 |
| As underdog | 1-2 |
| Home | 3-3 |
| Away | 0-5 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #8 · 191 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★243 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #7 | 291 | 3 | 11 | 7 |
| 2025 | #1 | 312 | 5 | 14 | 4 |
| 2024 | #6 | 287 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
| 2023 | #3 | 306 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
| 2022 | #5 | 289 | 2 | 20 | 4 |
| 2021 | #17 | 237 | 1 | 11 | 5 |
| 2020 | #9 | 271 | 1 | 13 | 3 |
| 2019 | #3 | 288 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| 2018 | #3 | 300 | 2 | 17 | 9 |
| 2017 | #25 | 218 | 0 | 6 | 4 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 22net -6Out 28
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.3 / 3.3
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Cam Coleman | WR | 5★ | ← Auburn |
| ▲ | Hollywood Smothers | RB | 4★ | ← NC State |
| ▲ | Melvin Siani | OT | 4★ | ← Wake Forest |
| ▲ | Rasheem Biles | LB | 4★ | ← Pittsburgh |
| ▼ | DeAndre Moore Jr. | WR | 4★ | → Colorado |
| ▼ | Quintrevion Wisner | RB | 4★ | → Florida State |
| ▼ | Parker Livingstone | WR | 4★ | → Oklahoma |
| ▼ | Nick Brooks | IOL | 4★ | → Alabama |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- Paul Finebaum said what about Texas football's upcoming season?Is it national championship or bust for the Texas Longhorns in 2026? ESPN's Paul Finebaum says absolutely.TEX6h
- Texas Talent Handed Early Heisman Trophy Hype But it’s not Arch ManningWhy this Texas talent is earning early Heisman hype outside of Arch Manning. The post Texas Talent Handed Early Heisman Trophy Hype But it’s not Arch Manning appeared first on HEAVY.
- Texas football’s new indoor practice facility near completionTexas football has a lot to look forward to. Not only does the program have one to two additional years of Arch Manning working under center, head coach Steve Sarkisian is also locked in for the long-haul thanks to a contract that likely keeps him at Texas until at least 2031. And for the next […]
- Should a head coach also be play-caller? Texas' Sarkisian weighs inSome critic of Steve Sarkisian have said the Texas Longhorns coach should relinquish play-calling. What does Sark think?TEX10h
- Longhorns Daily News: Texas MBB reportedly finalizing meeting versus Baylor in San AntonioThis just in: WHAT THEY’RE SAYING ABOUT THE LONGHORNS Austin American-Statesman: How Texas football could change with NCAA granting 5th year of eligibility Houston Chronicle: UT’s Steve Sarkisian, Tech’s Joey McGuire ‘all good’ after offseason barbs 247Sports: Crunching the numbers on Texas football’s offensive line: Three under-the-radar statistics to watch in 2026 Inside Texas: Arch […]TEX12h
- Six new coaches, four years without a title: The biggest questions facing each SEC team at 2026 media daysThe often unfiltered Lane Kiffin and the 'title or bust' stakes facing Texas are among the top storylines to watch this week in TampaTEX12h
- “It Can Be Difficult”: Steve Sarkisian Opens Up on Coaching Challenge That Even Ryan Day Learned the Hard WayTexas head coach Steve Sarkisian is among the few in college football who still keeps his offensive play sheet in their hands. At a Texas High School Coaches Association event, he spoke about the tough balance of being a head coach while also calling plays.TEX23h
- Texas Football Preview 2026: Can Arch Manning and the Longhorns Finish the Job?Arch Manning and Texas struggled last year, and they still almost made the College Football Playoff. Both are much better, and now, look out.
- Former No. 1 recruit Vince Young now guiding son through recruitingHe was the No. 1 recruit in the nation and a bona fide Texas Longhorns legend. Now Vince Young is helping his son through recruiting process.TEX1d
- Undrafted Texas Longhorns player sues NCAA to return to college footballThe NCAA and the college football world may soon have another lawsuit to monitor. This time, it involves a player who entered the NFL Draft, went undrafted, and now wants to return to college football. If successful, the case could…TEX1d
- Paul Finebaum on early expectations for Lane Kiffin, the SEC’s title drought, and Arch ManningIt’s that time of year again. Southeastern Conference Football Kickoff Media Days kick off on Monday and run through Thursday. The location is new. For the first time ever, the event will be held in Tampa, Florida. But fan expectations remain the same. They are always extremely high for the conference, which gave rise to…
- Texas Southern releases 2026 football schedule amid home venue changesTexas Southern University has released its 2026 football schedule, confirming five home games at W.W. Thorne StadiumTEX2d
- Former Texas OL sues NCAA seeking age-based eligibility in 2026A former Texas offensive lineman is suing the NCAA, seeking eligibility for 2026 citing the age-based policy going into effect. The post Former Texas OL sues NCAA seeking age-based eligibility in 2026 appeared first on Saturday Down South.TEX2d
- ESPN poses one lingering question for Texas football heading into 2026One lingering question for the Texas Longhorns. The post ESPN poses one lingering question for Texas football heading into 2026 appeared first on Saturday Down South.TEX2d
- Easton Royal predicted to flip from Texas to LSUCould Easton Royal be headed to LSU?TEX3d
- Longhorns miss on elite 2027 wide receiver as five-star stays home with HoosiersSteve Sarkisian and Co. narrowly missed out in this tightly contested recruiting race.TEX3d
- 3 things Texas needs to do to win a national championship in 2026The Longhorns are looking to get back to the playoff this fall, and it could be a special year in Austin if a few things come together.TEX3d
- Longhorns Daily News: Colin Simmons, Cam Coleman, and a 2028 Texas recruit ink NIL deals with NikeNike recently signed name, image, and likeness deals with Texas football players Colin Simmons and Cam Coleman, as well as 2028 Texas recruit Neimann Lawrence. The athletes now join fellow Longhorns sponsored by Nike, including Dia Bell, Ryan Wingo, and Jonah Williams. “Nike’s football roster has always been defined by the athletes who are shaping […]TEX3d
- Will Texas football whiff on both five-star WR targets?Texas Longhorns could be on verge of landing commitments from top two 2027 WR recruits. But it's starting to look more likely they could lose both.TEX4d
- What does average age of Texas Longhorns roster say about ambitions?UTSA has oldest roster in college football. Georgia has youngest. Where do the Texas Longhorns rank? And what does that say about UT's title chances?TEX4d