Team·
Ohio State Buckeyes
Big Ten
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #2
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
30.1 (#2)
SP+ Offense
37.6
SP+ Defense
7.7
SRS
26.6
FPI
27.6
Elo
2138
Talent
974
Recruiting
301 (#4)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
9.5p10 8.0 — p90 11.0
RoundProb
Win conference28.6%
Make CFP83.2%
Quarterfinal74.6%
Semifinal49.5%
Natl. final30.6%
Natl. champ17.5%
Schedule
proj record 9.52.5
Schedule
5th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
9th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
2nd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1vsBall State-2355-9+45.2100%
2@Texas+16.228-23+5.362%
3vsKent State-19.354-6+47.7100%
4vsIllinois+12.937-15+22.191%
5@Iowa+19.732-26+5.864%
6vsMaryland+0.646-12+34.198%
7@Indiana+32.429-32-2.544%
9@USC+16.931-26+5.162%
10vsOregon+25.927-17+10.073%
11vsNorthwestern+5.838-14+23.492%
12@Nebraska+6.238-18+20.489%
13vsMichigan+12.432-20+12.678%
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 48
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stJulian SayinSO6'1"208★★★★★
QB2ndJustyn MartinMarylandJR6'5"230★★★
QBTavien St. ClairFR6'4"230★★★★★
Running Backs · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stBo JacksonFR6'0"217★★★★
RB2ndCJ DonaldsonSR6'2"232
RB3rdIsaiah WestFR5'10"210
RB4thJa'Kobi JacksonFloridaSR5'11"214★★★
Wide Receivers · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stJeremiah SmithSO6'3"223★★★★★
WR2ndDevin McCuinUTSAJR6'0"195★★★
WR3rdBrandon InnissJR6'0"199★★★★
WR4thKyle ParkerLSUSO5'11"195★★★
WR5thDavid AdolphSR6'5"210
Tight Ends · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stHunter WelcingNorthwesternSR6'3"250★★★★
TE2ndMason WilliamsOhioSO6'5"257★★★
TE3rdNate RobertsFR6'5"240★★★★
TE4thBennett ChristianSR6'6"250★★★★
Offensive Line · 1
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OTVasean WashingtonDartmouth★★★
Defensive Line · 11
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DE1stKenyatta Jackson Jr.SR6'6"265★★★★
DE2ndEddrick HoustonSO6'3"292★★★★★
DE3rdEpi SitanileiFR6'4"239
DL1stJohn WalkerUCFSO6'4"324★★★
DL2ndJames SmithAlabamaJR6'3"297★★★★
DL3rdWill Smith Jr.JR6'4"292
DL4thZion GradyFR6'4"258★★★★
DL5thBeau AtkinsonSR6'6"258★★★★
DL6thJason MooreJR6'6"303
DT1stTywone Malone Jr.SR6'4"309★★★★
EDGE1stQua RussawAlabamaSO6'2"243★★★★
Linebackers · 7
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stChristian AlliegroWisconsinJR6'4"245★★★
LB2ndPayton PierceSO6'2"223★★★★
LB3rdRiley PettijohnFR6'2"231★★★★
LB4thTarvos AlfordFR6'1"233
LB5thGarrett StoverSO6'1"228★★★★
LB6thEli LeeFR6'3"227
LB7thJoey VelazquezSR5'11"225
Defensive Backs · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stJermaine Mathews Jr.JR5'11"190★★★★
CB2ndDevin SanchezFR6'2"198★★★★★
CB3rdCam CalhounAlabamaSO6'0"180★★★
CB4thDominick KellyGeorgiaFR6'1"190★★★★
S1stEarl Little Jr.Florida StateJR6'1"193★★★★
S2ndJaylen McClainSO6'0"201★★★★
S3rdLeroy Roker IIISO6'1"197
S4thRyan RudzinskiJR6'4"214
STerry MooreDukeSR6'1"195★★★★
Special Teams · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
K1stConnor HawkinsBaylorFR6'2"199★★★
LSDalton RiggsUCFJR6'3"230
P1stJoe McGuireJR6'2"210
PK1stJayden FieldingSR6'2"175
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
9.5
Exp. Losses
2.5
Toss-ups
1
2550751Wk 1 vs Ball State (SP+ #132) — 100% win, proj +45.2Wk 2 @ Texas (SP+ #17) — 62% win, proj +5.33Wk 3 vs Kent State (SP+ #130) — 100% win, proj +47.7Wk 4 vs Illinois (SP+ #24) — 91% win, proj +22.15Wk 5 @ Iowa (SP+ #12) — 64% win, proj +5.8Wk 6 vs Maryland (SP+ #75) — 98% win, proj +34.17Wk 7 @ Indiana (SP+ #1) — 44% win, proj -2.59Wk 9 @ USC (SP+ #16) — 62% win, proj +5.1Wk 10 vs Oregon (SP+ #4) — 73% win, proj +10.011Wk 11 vs Northwestern (SP+ #51) — 92% win, proj +23.4Wk 12 @ Nebraska (SP+ #46) — 89% win, proj +20.413Wk 13 vs Michigan (SP+ #25) — 78% win, proj +12.6WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
37.691
Off PPA
+0.3396
Pass PPA
+0.5599
Rush PPA
+0.1460
Success
53%100
Explosive
1.1510
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
0102030402014 · SP+ Overall: 25.82015 · SP+ Overall: 29.52016 · SP+ Overall: 22.42017 · SP+ Overall: 30.92018 · SP+ Overall: 24.12019 · SP+ Overall: 35.42020 · SP+ Overall: 28.42021 · SP+ Overall: 29.32022 · SP+ Overall: 31.12023 · SP+ Overall: 25.22024 · SP+ Overall: 31.22025 · SP+ Overall: 30.12014 · SP+ Offense: 45.62015 · SP+ Offense: 41.32016 · SP+ Offense: 35.62017 · SP+ Offense: 42.92018 · SP+ Offense: 44.42019 · SP+ Offense: 44.42020 · SP+ Offense: 45.32021 · SP+ Offense: 47.22022 · SP+ Offense: 45.12023 · SP+ Offense: 31.52024 · SP+ Offense: 39.52025 · SP+ Offense: 37.62014 · SP+ Defense: 20.12015 · SP+ Defense: 13.52016 · SP+ Defense: 15.02017 · SP+ Defense: 12.82018 · SP+ Defense: 21.22019 · SP+ Defense: 10.62020 · SP+ Defense: 16.72021 · SP+ Defense: 20.62022 · SP+ Defense: 15.72023 · SP+ Defense: 7.82024 · SP+ Defense: 9.22025 · SP+ Defense: 7.7141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsSayin2,455·Clair573·Martin319
Rush YdsJackson981·Jackson302·West300
Rec YdsSmith1,008·McCuin484·Inniss318
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.33-0.01
Passing+0.55+0.06
Rushing+0.14-0.07
1st Down+0.20-0.13
2nd Down+0.25-0.07
3rd Down+0.77+0.29
Ohio State — CFB · College Football Terminal