Team·
USC Trojans
Big Ten
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #16
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
16.9 (#16)
SP+ Offense
38.9
SP+ Defense
21.0
SRS
15.5
FPI
18.0
Elo
1871
Talent
848
Recruiting
311 (#1)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.6p10 7.0 — p90 10.0
RoundProb
Win conference3.5%
Make CFP25.6%
Quarterfinal13.3%
Semifinal4.2%
Natl. final1.3%
Natl. champ0.2%
Schedule
proj record 8.63.4
Schedule
7th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
12th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
6th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1vsSan José State-14.344-6+38.299%
1vsFresno State+1.840-17+22.791%
2vsLouisiana-10.143-11+31.997%
3@Rutgers+134-17+16.785%
4vsOregon+25.927-29-1.746%
5vsWashington+18.432-23+9.672%
6@Penn State+18.125-26-0.749%
8@Wisconsin-4.438-22+15.683%
9vsOhio State+30.126-31-5.138%
11@Indiana+32.421-31-10.526%
12vsMaryland+0.638-17+21.390%
13@UCLA-8.735-19+16.183%
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 63
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stJayden MaiavaJR6'4"230★★★
QB2ndSam HuardSR6'1"210★★★★★
Running Backs · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stKing MillerFR6'0"210
RB2ndWaymond JordanJR5'9"210
RB3rdEli SandersSR5'10"200★★★
RB4thRiley WormleyFR5'9"180★★★
RB5thCian McKelveySO5'9"185
Wide Receivers · 8
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stTerrell AndersonNC StateSO6'2"204★★★★
WR2ndTanook HinesFR6'0"195★★★★
WR3rdJaden RichardsonSR6'1"205
WR4thZacharyus WilliamsSO6'2"195★★★
WR5thXavier JordanFR5'11"175★★★★
WR6thJosiah ZamoraSR5'8"185
WR7thCorey SimmsFR6'3"205★★★★
WRJay FairSR5'10"190
Tight Ends · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stLake McReeSR6'4"250★★★
TE2ndTucker AshcraftWisconsinJR6'5"260★★★
TE3rdCarson TabaracciJR6'1"225
Defensive Line · 14
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DE1stAnthony LucasSR6'5"285★★★★
DE2ndKameryn FountainSO6'5"265★★★★
DE3rdBraylan ShelbyJR6'5"265★★★★
DE4thJahkeem StewartFR6'5"290★★★★
DE5thGarrett PomerantzJR6'2"225
DE6thJadyn RamosFR6'4"220★★★
DL1stAlex VanSumerenMichigan StateJR6'3"295★★★
DT1stJide AbasiriSO6'5"295★★★★
DT2ndKeeshawn SilverSR6'4"330★★★★★
DT3rdFloyd BoucardFR6'3"305★★★
DT4thJamaal JarrettSO6'5"360★★★★
DT5thKobe PepeSR6'2"340
DT6thBrendan ChoFR6'3"300
EDGE1stZuriah FisherPenn StateSR6'3"258★★★★
Linebackers · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stDesman Stephens IISO6'3"235★★★★
LB2ndEric GentrySR6'6"225★★★
LB3rdDeven BryantWashingtonSO5'11"234★★★
LB4thJadyn WalkerFR6'2"235★★★
LB5thTa'Mere RobinsonSO6'3"230★★★★
LB6thRoman MarchettiJR6'2"220
LB7thElijah NewbyFR6'3"235★★★★
LB8thRyan QuintanarSR5'10"220
LBGianCarlo RufoGeorgetown★★★
Defensive Backs · 18
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stDeCarlos NicholsonSR6'3"200
CB2ndMarcelles WilliamsFR5'11"185★★★★
CB3rdJontez WilliamsIowa StateJR5'11"200★★★★
CB4thAlex GrahamFR6'0"200★★★★
CB5thDJ HarveySR5'10"190★★★★
CB6thIsaiah RubinFR5'11"195★★★★
CB7thKevin LongstreetSO5'9"190
CB8thShawn SehraSO5'9"180
CB9thProphet BrownSR5'11"190
CB10thChasen JohnsonSO6'0"185★★★
CB11thTrestin CastroFR6'0"185★★★★
CBCarrington PierceOklahoma StateSO6'1"175★★★
S1stChristian PierceJR6'1"205★★★★
S2ndBishop FitzgeraldSR5'11"205
S3rdKennedy UrlacherSO5'11"195★★★
S4thKendarius ReddickFR5'10"180★★★★
S5thMarquis GallegosFR6'0"190★★★★
S6thBrandon ShepherdJR5'11"205
Special Teams · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
P1stRyon SayeriFR5'11"180
P2ndLachlan CarriganMemphisFR6'3"190
P3rdSam JohnsonSR6'3"225
PWilliam WeisbergFR6'2"190
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
8.6
Exp. Losses
3.4
Toss-ups
2
2550751Wk 1 vs San José State (SP+ #118) — 99% win, proj +38.21Wk 1 vs Fresno State (SP+ #66) — 91% win, proj +22.7Wk 2 vs Louisiana (SP+ #105) — 97% win, proj +31.93Wk 3 @ Rutgers (SP+ #72) — 85% win, proj +16.7Wk 4 vs Oregon (SP+ #4) — 46% win, proj -1.75Wk 5 vs Washington (SP+ #13) — 72% win, proj +9.6Wk 6 @ Penn State (SP+ #15) — 49% win, proj -0.7Wk 8 @ Wisconsin (SP+ #85) — 83% win, proj +15.69Wk 9 vs Ohio State (SP+ #2) — 38% win, proj -5.111Wk 11 @ Indiana (SP+ #1) — 26% win, proj -10.5Wk 12 vs Maryland (SP+ #75) — 90% win, proj +21.313Wk 13 @ UCLA (SP+ #98) — 83% win, proj +16.1WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
38.994
Off PPA
+0.3498
Pass PPA
+0.5398
Rush PPA
+0.2185
Success
49%95
Explosive
1.3485
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
0102030402014 · SP+ Overall: 17.12015 · SP+ Overall: 16.82016 · SP+ Overall: 23.62017 · SP+ Overall: 17.92018 · SP+ Overall: 9.72019 · SP+ Overall: 13.12020 · SP+ Overall: 12.42021 · SP+ Overall: -0.62022 · SP+ Overall: 18.92023 · SP+ Overall: 9.42024 · SP+ Overall: 11.92025 · SP+ Overall: 16.92014 · SP+ Offense: 38.82015 · SP+ Offense: 38.62016 · SP+ Offense: 39.22017 · SP+ Offense: 38.52018 · SP+ Offense: 31.72019 · SP+ Offense: 39.02020 · SP+ Offense: 38.02021 · SP+ Offense: 32.32022 · SP+ Offense: 46.62023 · SP+ Offense: 43.32024 · SP+ Offense: 35.62025 · SP+ Offense: 38.92014 · SP+ Defense: 22.52015 · SP+ Defense: 23.32016 · SP+ Defense: 17.12017 · SP+ Defense: 20.02018 · SP+ Defense: 22.52019 · SP+ Defense: 26.72020 · SP+ Defense: 25.52021 · SP+ Defense: 33.42022 · SP+ Defense: 26.32023 · SP+ Defense: 32.82024 · SP+ Defense: 24.02025 · SP+ Defense: 21.0141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsMaiava2,785
Rush YdsJordan662·Miller634·Maiava111
Rec YdsHines447·Anderson436·Richardson223
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.34+0.15
Passing+0.53+0.17
Rushing+0.21+0.13
1st Down+0.20-0.07
2nd Down+0.20+0.27
3rd Down+0.97+0.44