
USC Trojans
Big Ten
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #16
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 16.9 (#16)
- SP+ Offense
- 38.9
- SP+ Defense
- 21.0
- SRS
- 15.5
- FPI
- 18.0
- Elo
- 1871
- Talent
- 848
- Recruiting
- 311 (#1)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.6p10 7.0 — p90 10.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 3.5% | |
| Make CFP | 25.6% | |
| Quarterfinal | 13.3% | |
| Semifinal | 4.2% | |
| Natl. final | 1.3% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.2% |
Schedule
proj record 8.6–3.4
Schedule
7th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
12th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
6th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSan José State | -14.3 | 44-6 | +38.2 | 99% | — |
| 1 | vsFresno State | +1.8 | 40-17 | +22.7 | 91% | — |
| 2 | vsLouisiana | -10.1 | 43-11 | +31.9 | 97% | — |
| 3 | @Rutgers | +1 | 34-17 | +16.7 | 85% | — |
| 4 | vsOregon | +25.9 | 27-29 | -1.7 | 46% | — |
| 5 | vsWashington | +18.4 | 32-23 | +9.6 | 72% | — |
| 6 | @Penn State | +18.1 | 25-26 | -0.7 | 49% | — |
| 8 | @Wisconsin | -4.4 | 38-22 | +15.6 | 83% | — |
| 9 | vsOhio State | +30.1 | 26-31 | -5.1 | 38% | — |
| 11 | @Indiana | +32.4 | 21-31 | -10.5 | 26% | — |
| 12 | vsMaryland | +0.6 | 38-17 | +21.3 | 90% | — |
| 13 | @UCLA | -8.7 | 35-19 | +16.1 | 83% | — |
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 63
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Jayden Maiava | JR | 6'4" | 230 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Sam Huard | SR | 6'1" | 210 | ★★★★★ |
Running Backs · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | King Miller | FR | 6'0" | 210 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Waymond Jordan | JR | 5'9" | 210 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Eli Sanders | SR | 5'10" | 200 | ★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Riley Wormley | FR | 5'9" | 180 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Cian McKelvey | SO | 5'9" | 185 | — |
Wide Receivers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Terrell Anderson← NC State | SO | 6'2" | 204 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Tanook Hines | FR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Jaden Richardson | SR | 6'1" | 205 | — |
| WR | 4th | Zacharyus Williams | SO | 6'2" | 195 | ★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Xavier Jordan | FR | 5'11" | 175 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Josiah Zamora | SR | 5'8" | 185 | — |
| WR | 7th | Corey Simms | FR | 6'3" | 205 | ★★★★ |
| WR | — | Jay Fair | SR | 5'10" | 190 | — |
Tight Ends · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Lake McRee | SR | 6'4" | 250 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Tucker Ashcraft← Wisconsin | JR | 6'5" | 260 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Carson Tabaracci | JR | 6'1" | 225 | — |
Defensive Line · 14
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Anthony Lucas | SR | 6'5" | 285 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 2nd | Kameryn Fountain | SO | 6'5" | 265 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 3rd | Braylan Shelby | JR | 6'5" | 265 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 4th | Jahkeem Stewart | FR | 6'5" | 290 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 5th | Garrett Pomerantz | JR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| DE | 6th | Jadyn Ramos | FR | 6'4" | 220 | ★★★ |
| DL | 1st | Alex VanSumeren← Michigan State | JR | 6'3" | 295 | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Jide Abasiri | SO | 6'5" | 295 | ★★★★ |
| DT | 2nd | Keeshawn Silver | SR | 6'4" | 330 | ★★★★★ |
| DT | 3rd | Floyd Boucard | FR | 6'3" | 305 | ★★★ |
| DT | 4th | Jamaal Jarrett | SO | 6'5" | 360 | ★★★★ |
| DT | 5th | Kobe Pepe | SR | 6'2" | 340 | — |
| DT | 6th | Brendan Cho | FR | 6'3" | 300 | — |
| EDGE | 1st | Zuriah Fisher← Penn State | SR | 6'3" | 258 | ★★★★ |
Linebackers · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Desman Stephens II | SO | 6'3" | 235 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Eric Gentry | SR | 6'6" | 225 | ★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Deven Bryant← Washington | SO | 5'11" | 234 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Jadyn Walker | FR | 6'2" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Ta'Mere Robinson | SO | 6'3" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Roman Marchetti | JR | 6'2" | 220 | — |
| LB | 7th | Elijah Newby | FR | 6'3" | 235 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Ryan Quintanar | SR | 5'10" | 220 | — |
| LB | — | GianCarlo Rufo← Georgetown | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 18
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | DeCarlos Nicholson | SR | 6'3" | 200 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Marcelles Williams | FR | 5'11" | 185 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 3rd | Jontez Williams← Iowa State | JR | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 4th | Alex Graham | FR | 6'0" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 5th | DJ Harvey | SR | 5'10" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 6th | Isaiah Rubin | FR | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 7th | Kevin Longstreet | SO | 5'9" | 190 | — |
| CB | 8th | Shawn Sehra | SO | 5'9" | 180 | — |
| CB | 9th | Prophet Brown | SR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| CB | 10th | Chasen Johnson | SO | 6'0" | 185 | ★★★ |
| CB | 11th | Trestin Castro | FR | 6'0" | 185 | ★★★★ |
| CB | — | Carrington Pierce← Oklahoma State | SO | 6'1" | 175 | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Christian Pierce | JR | 6'1" | 205 | ★★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Bishop Fitzgerald | SR | 5'11" | 205 | — |
| S | 3rd | Kennedy Urlacher | SO | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Kendarius Reddick | FR | 5'10" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| S | 5th | Marquis Gallegos | FR | 6'0" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| S | 6th | Brandon Shepherd | JR | 5'11" | 205 | — |
Special Teams · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | 1st | Ryon Sayeri | FR | 5'11" | 180 | — |
| P | 2nd | Lachlan Carrigan← Memphis | FR | 6'3" | 190 | — |
| P | 3rd | Sam Johnson | SR | 6'3" | 225 | — |
| P | — | William Weisberg | FR | 6'2" | 190 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
8.6
Exp. Losses
3.4
Toss-ups
2
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
38.994
Off PPA
+0.3498
Pass PPA
+0.5398
Rush PPA
+0.2185
Success
49%95
Explosive
1.3485
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.34 | +0.15 |
| Passing | +0.53 | +0.17 |
| Rushing | +0.21 | +0.13 |
| 1st Down | +0.20 | -0.07 |
| 2nd Down | +0.20 | +0.27 |
| 3rd Down | +0.97 | +0.44 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
36.5
PPG Against
22.4
Differential
+14.1
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 9-3
- Home
- 7-0
- Away
- 2-3
- Conference
- 7-2
- Non-Conference
- 2-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 2-1
- Avg Margin
- +14.1
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 7-0 | 43.0 | 17.9 |
| Away | 2-3 | 27.4 | 28.8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 27.0 | 30.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 2-3 | 28.0 | 28.8 |
| Conference | 7-2 | 31.3 | 22.4 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 45.8 | 24.3 |
Season History · last 12
2 AP top-10 · 9 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-3 | 7-2 | #16 | #16 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 6-6 | 4-5 | #23 | #11 | 1-0 |
| 2023 | 7-5 | 5-4 | #29 | #5 | 1-0 |
| 2022 | 11-2 | 8-2 | #11 | #4 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 4-8 | 3-6 | #81 | #14 | — |
| 2020 | 5-1 | 5-1 | #22 | — | — |
| 2019 | 8-4 | 7-2 | #22 | — | 0-1 |
| 2018 | 5-7 | 4-5 | #34 | — | — |
| 2017 | 11-2 | 9-1 | #17 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 9-3 | 7-2 | #8 | — | 1-0 |
| 2015 | 8-5 | 6-4 | #17 | — | 0-1 |
| 2014 | 8-4 | 6-3 | #22 | — | 1-0 |
Recent Form · last 5
3-2 SU · 1-3 ATS · O2/U2
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-4 |
| ATS | 5-742% |
| Over / Under | 6-6 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 4-6 |
| As underdog | 1-1 |
| Home | 4-3 |
| Away | 1-4 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #18 · 154 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★210 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #1 | 311 | 1 | 21 | 7 |
| 2025 | #14 | 257 | 1 | 12 | 8 |
| 2024 | #17 | 254 | 0 | 13 | 6 |
| 2023 | #8 | 280 | 3 | 11 | 6 |
| 2022 | #70 | 165 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2021 | #8 | 281 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| 2020 | #55 | 181 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 2019 | #20 | 244 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 2018 | #4 | 291 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
| 2017 | #4 | 297 | 2 | 12 | 6 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 9net -13Out 22
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.4 / 3.2
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Terrell Anderson | WR | 4★ | ← NC State |
| ▲ | Jontez Williams | CB | 4★ | ← Iowa State |
| ▲ | Zuriah Fisher | EDGE | 4★ | ← Penn State |
| ▲ | Alex VanSumeren | DL | 3★ | ← Michigan State |
| ▼ | Devan Thompkins | DL | 4★ | → Alabama |
| ▼ | Husan Longstreet | QB | 4★ | → LSU |
| ▼ | Walker Lyons | TE | 4★ | → BYU |
| ▼ | Anthony Beavers Jr. | S | 4★ | → Wyoming |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- USC Commit Danny Lang Pulls Back the Curtain on Loaded Secondary Recruiting ClassMater Dei (Calif.) four-star cornerback commit Danny Lang is a prized recruit in the USC Trojans recruiting class.USC7h
- USC Trojans Making Major Move for Four-Star Mater Dei Recruit Ace LeuteleMater Dei (Calif.) four-star safety Ace Leutele is a major target for the USC Trojans in the 2028 class.USC11h
- One Returning Player Ready to Become a Star for USC TrojansCan this USC Trojans sophomore reach his high ceiling earlier than expected?USC13h
- Ryan Day sets a standard Lincoln Riley and USC need to matchUnder Pete Carroll, USC was so good that an 11-win season was a letdown. More wins became the expectation. That's where Ryan Day is at Ohio StateUSC14h
- Jayden Maiava Fuels USC Preseason Buzz With Quarterback RankingAfter leading the nation in deep passing production last season, USC Trojans quarterback Jayden Maiava has earned another major preseason honor ahead of 2026.
- USC Four-Star Target Jordan Hicks Pulls Back the Curtain on RecruitmentThe latest on Mission Viejo (Calif.) four-star defensive back Jordan Hicks heading into his junior season.USC1d
- The Biggest Concern Nobody Is Talking About for USC TrojansCan the USC Trojans overcome this obstacle to reach the College Football Playoff?USC1d
- One Former Blue-Chip Recruit Ready to Breakout for USCThis past prized recruit enters a crucial season three with the USC Trojans and now lands in a system where he could thrive.USC1d
- Top Four Players the USC Trojans Defense Will Face in the Big TenThe USC Trojans defense will have their hands full once they enter Big Ten conference games.USC2d
- USC Trojans Turn Heads With Odyssey PostThe USC Trojans hope to have a different fate than the actual Trojans did.USC2d
- Five Reasons to Believe USC Trojans Can Exceed ExpectationsDo the USC Trojans have what it takes to break through and reach the College Football Playoff and beyond?USC2d
- One Major Question Surrounding USC Trojans Before the SeasonHere's what's on the minds of many USC Trojan fans entering the 2026 college football season.USC2d
- USC Trojans Battling SEC, Big Ten Rivals for Four-Star Cornerback RecruitThe USC Trojans are aiming to win over a highly-touted defender and now, have landed on this recruit's short list of school options.USC2d
- USC Trojans Building Recruiting Momentum Multiple Elite In-State ProspectsThe USC Trojans are building momentum with future California recruits this summer.USC3d
- USC attempts to jump on ‘The Odyssey’ bandwagon in literary misfireApparently, USC does not have any literature classes — or at least none on ancient Greece.USC3d
- USC's 'Odyssey' post is roundly roasted after team seemingly forgets who lost Trojan WarUSC is using "The Odyssey" to build hype for football season, but it must've forgot the tale is based on the Trojan War, which Troy lost.USC3d
- Why USC Trojans Quarterback Jayden Maiava Is Primed for Big Leap in Final SeasonUSC Trojans quarterback Jayden Maiava enters a critical season for his NFL Draft stock.
- Where USC's Offense Ranks Among College Football's BestThere is reason to believe the USC Trojans could end up having one of the best offenses in college football this season.USC4d
- Previewing Every Big Ten Starting Quarterback on USC Trojans ScheduleWho are the top starting quarterbacks the USC Trojans will face in the Big Ten this season?USC4d
- USC Will Make Playoff With 1 Key Upset, Analyst SaysWith a difficult schedule ahead, the USC Trojans will need an upset to make the playoff this year. One analyst thinks he's found that pivotal win. The post USC Will Make Playoff With 1 Key Upset, Analyst Says appeared first on LA Sports Report.USC4d