Fresno State Bulldogs
Pac-12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #66
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 1.8 (#66)
- SP+ Offense
- 23.0
- SP+ Defense
- 21.1
- SRS
- -2.7
- FPI
- -4.3
- Elo
- 1548
- Talent
- 587
- Recruiting
- 189 (#70)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
6.2p10 4.0 — p90 8.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 9.4% | |
| Make CFP | 0.1% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.0% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 6.2–4.8
Schedule
89th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
103rd
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
86th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @USC | +16.9 | 17-40 | -22.7 | 9% | — |
| 2 | vsSacramento State | FCS | 38-15 | +23.4 | 92% | — |
| 3 | @San José State | -14.3 | 34-23 | +11.1 | 75% | — |
| 4 | vsRice | -14.8 | 34-18 | +15.9 | 83% | — |
| 5 | @Washington State | +3.8 | 24-30 | -5.6 | 37% | — |
| 6 | vsBoise State | +3.1 | 25-25 | +0.2 | 50% | — |
| 7 | @San Diego State | +6.7 | 22-30 | -7.9 | 32% | — |
| 9 | vsOregon State | -15.9 | 31-21 | +9.7 | 72% | — |
| 10 | @Utah State | -3.1 | 27-28 | -1.0 | 47% | — |
| 11 | @Texas State | +2.3 | 21-26 | -5.0 | 38% | — |
| 12 | vsColorado State | -15.6 | 33-20 | +13.6 | 80% | — |
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 69
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | E.J. Warner | SR | 6'0" | 203 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Khristian Martin← Maryland | FR | 6'4" | 230 | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Rayshon Luke | JR | 5'9" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Bryson Donelson | SO | 5'11" | 205 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Brandon Ramirez | SO | 6'0" | 220 | ★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Johnathan Arceneaux | SR | 5'10" | 193 | — |
| RB | 5th | Elijah Gilliam | SR | 5'10" | 215 | — |
| RB | 6th | Ryan Warkentin | JR | 5'8" | 196 | — |
| RB | 7th | Devon Rivers | SO | 5'6" | 182 | ★★★ |
| RB | — | Tariq Thomas← Bucknell | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Josiah Freeman | SR | 6'3" | 196 | — |
| WR | 2nd | Jordan Malau'ulu | FR | 5'10" | 183 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Ezekiel Avit | SO | 6'2" | 194 | — |
| WR | 4th | Jahlil McClain | SO | 5'11" | 180 | ★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Jayon Farrar | JR | 5'11" | 177 | — |
| WR | 6th | Jordan Brown | SR | 5'9" | 177 | — |
| WR | 7th | Harold Duvall | FR | 6'1" | 184 | — |
| WR | — | Darrian Anderson← Oregon | JR | 5'9" | 187 | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Richie Anderson III | SO | 6'4" | 255 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Kamron Beachem | SR | 6'4" | 238 | — |
| TE | 3rd | Jake Appleget← Northern Illinois | JR | 6'4" | 242 | ★★★ |
| TE | 4th | Jake Tarwater | SR | 6'3" | 257 | — |
| TE | 5th | Brock Lium | SO | 6'5" | 242 | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Edward Fonua | JR | 6'3" | 315 | — |
| OL | — | Julian Polendo | SR | 6'6" | 325 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Oscar Weigel← San Diego | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Finn Claypool | SR | 6'1" | 250 | — |
| DL | 2nd | Jahzon Jacks | JR | 6'4" | 262 | ★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | Deijon Laffitte | SO | 6'3" | 302 | ★★★ |
| DL | 4th | Martin Owusu | SO | 6'3" | 306 | ★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Korey Foreman | SR | 6'4" | 250 | ★★★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Merhauti Xepera | JR | 6'3" | 278 | ★★★ |
| DL | 7th | Michael Jordan Jr. | SR | 6'2" | 295 | — |
| DL | 8th | Julius Gandy | SR | 6'2" | 288 | — |
| DL | 9th | Mordecai Hines | SO | 6'5" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DL | 10th | Sione Noa | SR | 6'3" | 241 | ★★ |
| DL | 11th | Noah Yeh | SO | 6'3" | 243 | — |
| DL | 12th | Logan Goodspeed | SO | 6'3" | 291 | — |
| EDGE | 1st | Dylan Hampsten← Sacramento State | SO | 6'3" | 245 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Maverick Noonan← Nebraska | SO | 6'4" | 245 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Micah Mosley← Sacramento State | FR | 6'4" | 235 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Jadon Pearson | SR | 6'1" | 220 | ★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Tytus Khajavi | FR | 6'0" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | K'Vion Thunderbird | SO | 6'0" | 225 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Logan Studt | FR | 6'1" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Justin Johnson | SO | 6'1" | 225 | — |
| LB | 6th | Zane Rix | SR | 6'0" | 219 | — |
| LB | 7th | Niko Baumgartner | FR | 6'3" | 207 | — |
Defensive Backs · 17
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Simeon Harris | JR | 5'11" | 185 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Andre Cobb | JR | 6'1" | 187 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Cam Cole | FR | 5'10" | 176 | — |
| DB | 1st | Camryn Bracha | SR | 6'0" | 192 | — |
| DB | 2nd | Al'zillion Hamilton | SR | 5'11" | 185 | ★★★ |
| DB | 3rd | Ryan Wilson | SR | 6'0" | 199 | — |
| DB | 4th | Jakari Embry | SR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| DB | 5th | Ethan Tierney | SO | 6'0" | 187 | — |
| DB | 6th | Jomarion Briggs | JR | 6'1" | 170 | ★★★ |
| DB | 7th | Jaden Carrillo | SO | 6'0" | 185 | — |
| DB | 8th | RJ Regan | SR | 6'0" | 200 | — |
| DB | 9th | Kiontre Harris | FR | 5'11" | 159 | ★★★ |
| DB | 10th | Loyall Mouzon | FR | 5'11" | 181 | — |
| DB | 11th | Tommy Nix | FR | 6'0" | 200 | — |
| S | 1st | Taylor Powell← Northern Illinois | FR | 6'4" | 198 | ★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Croix Stewart← UCLA | JR | 6'2" | 205 | ★★★ |
| S | — | Preston Okafor← Nebraska | FR | 6'2" | 190 | — |
Special Teams · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | — | Manaki Watanabe← Ashland University | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| LS | 1st | Wesley Brown | SR | 6'2" | 215 | — |
| P | 1st | Nick Verdugo | JR | 5'10" | 175 | — |
| PK | 1st | Dylan Lynch | SR | 5'10" | 175 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
6.2
Exp. Losses
4.8
Toss-ups
2
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
23.027
Off PPA
+0.1025
Pass PPA
+0.2347
Rush PPA
+0.0422
Success
40%24
Explosive
1.2137
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.10 | +0.08 |
| Passing | +0.23 | +0.14 |
| Rushing | +0.04 | +0.06 |
| 1st Down | -0.04 | -0.04 |
| 2nd Down | +0.20 | +0.02 |
| 3rd Down | +0.26 | +0.38 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
26.4
PPG Against
20.1
Differential
+6.3
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 8-4
- Home
- 4-2
- Away
- 4-2
- Conference
- 5-3
- Non-Conference
- 3-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 2-0
- Avg Margin
- +6.3
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 4-2 | 26.5 | 15.3 |
| Away | 4-2 | 26.3 | 24.8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 18.0 | 3.0 |
| Competition | |||
| Conference | 5-3 | 22.0 | 20.3 |
| Non-conference | 4-1 | 31.8 | 16.4 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 8 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-4 | 5-3 | #66 | — | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 6-6 | 4-3 | #85 | — | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 8-4 | 4-4 | #60 | #24 | 1-0 |
| 2022 | 9-4 | 8-1 | #59 | #24 | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 6-2 | #32 | #18 | 1-0 |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 3-3 | #91 | — | — |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #80 | — | — |
| 2018 | 11-2 | 8-1 | #16 | — | 1-0 |
| 2017 | 9-4 | 7-2 | #81 | — | 1-0 |
| 2016 | 1-11 | 0-8 | #122 | — | — |
| 2015 | 3-9 | 2-6 | #107 | — | — |
| 2014 | 6-7 | 5-4 | #92 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 3-1 ATS · O1/U3
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-4 |
| ATS | 6-650% |
| Over / Under | 5-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 4-4 |
| As underdog | 2-2 |
| Home | 3-3 |
| Away | 3-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #86 · 2 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★133 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #70 | 189 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| 2025 | #103 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2024 | #86 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2023 | #83 | 161 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2022 | #72 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2021 | #74 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2020 | #121 | 132 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 2019 | #87 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2018 | #92 | 142 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 2017 | #84 | 138 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 13net +3Out 10
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 2.9
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Tariq Thomas | RB | 3★ | ← Bucknell |
| ▲ | Croix Stewart | S | 3★ | ← UCLA |
| ▲ | Khristian Martin | QB | 3★ | ← Maryland |
| ▲ | Oscar Weigel | OT | 3★ | ← San Diego |
| ▼ | Richie Anderson | TE | 3★ | → Texas A&M |
| ▼ | Carson Conklin | QB | 3★ | → Sacramento State |
| ▼ | RL Miller | S | 3★ | → Cal Poly |
| ▼ | Jayden Davis | S | 3★ | → UConn |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
2 items
- Mountaintop View 7-9-26Fresno State basketball scandal, preseason projections, a cool-looking football and more from WednesdayFRES11d
- Mountaintop View 6-22-26. College Football Playoff, Coaching Rankings, Fresno State, Teresa Gould extended.It’s Monday, and we are in the full swing of the summer offseason. That being said, football preview posts are ramping up. As always, our coverage is still going strong. Check out our original coverage and what we can find from the World Wide Web below. Should the CFP expand? Athlon Sports weighs in, sharing […]FRES28d