San Diego State Aztecs
Pac-12
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #43
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 6.7 (#43)
- SP+ Offense
- 24.4
- SP+ Defense
- 19.6
- SRS
- 3.6
- FPI
- 0.6
- Elo
- 1528
- Talent
- 594
- Recruiting
- 184 (#83)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.1p10 5.0 — p90 9.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 33.7% | |
| Make CFP | 2.4% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.4% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 7.2–3.8
Schedule
85th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
97th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
71st
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsPortland State | FCS | 45-3* | +42.4 | 100% | — |
| 2 | @UCLA | -8.7 | 31-25 | +6.3 | 65% | — |
| 3 | vsJames Madison | +12.3 | 25-24 | +0.9 | 52% | — |
| 4 | @Toledo | +6 | 22-28 | -6.8 | 34% | — |
| 5 | vsTexas State | +2.3 | 28-22 | +5.6 | 63% | — |
| 6 | @Oregon State | -15.9 | 34-21 | +13.2 | 79% | — |
| 7 | vsFresno State | +1.8 | 30-22 | +7.9 | 68% | — |
| 8 | @Colorado State | -15.6 | 35-24 | +11.0 | 75% | — |
| 9 | vsWashington State | +3.8 | 29-23 | +5.8 | 64% | — |
| 11 | vsUtah State | -3.1 | 31-21 | +9.8 | 72% | — |
| 12 | @Boise State | +3.1 | 26-29 | -2.9 | 43% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 71
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Jayden Denegal | JR | 6'5" | 235 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Bert Emanuel Jr. | JR | 6'3" | 235 | — |
| QB | — | Stone Saunders← Kentucky | FR | 6'1" | 222 | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Lucky Sutton | JR | 6'1" | 212 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Christian Washington | JR | 5'10" | 200 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Javion Kinnard← Colorado State | FR | 5'8" | 165 | ★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Byron Cardwell Jr. | SR | 6'0" | 215 | ★★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Jordan Napier | SO | 6'1" | 195 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Donovan Brown | JR | 6'1" | 180 | — |
| WR | 3rd | Jacob Bostick | JR | 6'2" | 185 | ★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Mikey Welsh | JR | 5'9" | 170 | — |
| WR | 5th | Nathan Acevedo | JR | 5'10" | 165 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Jaylon Hawkins | FR | 5'11" | 180 | — |
| WR | 7th | Justius Lowe← Oregon | JR | 6'1" | 197 | ★★★ |
| WR | 8th | Will Cianfrini | FR | 6'4" | 190 | ★★★ |
| WR | 9th | Parker Threatt | FR | 6'2" | 190 | — |
| WR | — | Ayo Shotomide-King← Oklahoma State | JR | 6'3" | 225 | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Myles Kitt-Denton | SR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| WR | — | Aldrich Doe← Bryant | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Jackson Ford | FR | 6'6" | 240 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Ryan Wolfer | FR | 6'5" | 235 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Seth Adams | SR | 6'3" | 260 | — |
Offensive Line · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OT | — | Evan Lawrence← Indiana | FR | 6'6" | 281 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Mercer Luniewski← Michigan State | FR | 6'6" | 320 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Matthew Montgomery← Western Illinois | — | — | — | — |
| OT | — | Dennis Jones← Texas Southern | — | — | — | — |
Defensive Line · 14
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Amari Comier | JR | 6'3" | 290 | — |
| DL | 2nd | Sam Benjamin | SR | 6'5" | 285 | — |
| DL | 3rd | Malachi Finau | JR | 6'2" | 285 | ★★★ |
| DL | 4th | Krishna Clay | JR | 6'2" | 280 | — |
| DL | 5th | Teivis Tuioti | SR | 6'4" | 300 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Tatuo Martinson | SR | 6'1" | 300 | — |
| DL | — | Gavriel Lightfoot← Colorado | SR | 6'3" | 310 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Nate Henrich← Gannon | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Tuaoa Tauili'ili← Portland State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Niles King | SR | 6'5" | 260 | — |
| EDGE | 2nd | Kai Wallin← Oregon State | JR | 6'5" | 247 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 3rd | Brady Nassar | JR | 6'5" | 265 | — |
| EDGE | 4th | Charlie Stewart | SR | 6'1" | 225 | — |
| EDGE | — | Djibril Rahman← Rutgers | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Mister Williams | SR | 6'0" | 245 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Tano Letuli | JR | 6'2" | 240 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Brady Anderson | SR | 6'2" | 230 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | DJ Herman | SR | 6'2" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Dean Harrington | FR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| LB | — | Sione Hala← Weber State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| LB | — | Cameron Cooper← Western Colorado | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 19
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Bryce Phillips | SR | 6'1" | 195 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Jason Oliver← Sacramento State | JR | 6'0" | 175 | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Caleb Ricks← Idaho | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Mike Lindsay← Idaho State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Carsten Mamaril← Portland State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Jalen Thomeson← Ohio | JR | 5'11" | 187 | ★★ |
| S | 2nd | Dalesean Staley | JR | 6'1" | 192 | — |
| S | 3rd | Eric Butler | SR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Josiah Cox | JR | 6'2" | 200 | ★★★ |
| S | 5th | Deshawn McCuin | SR | 6'0" | 195 | — |
| S | 6th | Josh Hunter | JR | 5'9" | 175 | — |
| S | 7th | Solomon Davis← Oregon | SO | 6'0" | 197 | ★★★ |
| S | 8th | Jelani McLaughlin | SO | 6'0" | 202 | ★★★ |
| S | 9th | Prince Williams | FR | 6'1" | 185 | ★★★ |
| S | 10th | Jatavious Magee | SR | 6'1" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | 11th | Max Garrison | JR | 5'10" | 190 | — |
| S | 12th | Oberhiri Eyafe | FR | 6'2" | 200 | — |
| S | 13th | Kaimana Tufaga | FR | 6'1" | 190 | — |
| S | — | Isaiah Green← Portland State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | — | Tyler Prasuhn← Arizona | FR | — | — | ★★ |
| LS | 1st | Tyson Chavez | JR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| P | 1st | Tashi Dorje | JR | 6'2" | 180 | — |
| PK | 1st | Gabriel Plascencia | SR | 6'0" | 230 | — |
| PK | — | Nick Clegg | FR | 6'1" | 180 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.2
Exp. Losses
3.8
Toss-ups
2
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
24.435
Off PPA
+0.1232
Pass PPA
+0.088
Rush PPA
+0.1673
Success
41%40
Explosive
1.1823
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.12 | -0.02 |
| Passing | +0.08 | -0.05 |
| Rushing | +0.16 | +0.05 |
| 1st Down | +0.06 | -0.17 |
| 2nd Down | +0.10 | -0.05 |
| 3rd Down | +0.23 | +0.29 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
24.7
PPG Against
12.6
Differential
+12.1
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 9-3
- Home
- 6-0
- Away
- 3-3
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 3-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-1
- Avg Margin
- +12.1
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-0 | 31.2 | 6.8 |
| Away | 3-3 | 18.2 | 18.3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 47.0 | 49.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 0-1 | 47.0 | 49.0 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 25.1 | 14.0 |
| Non-conference | 3-2 | 28.4 | 17.6 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 9 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-3 | 6-2 | #43 | — | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 3-9 | 2-5 | #119 | — | — |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #104 | — | — |
| 2022 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #84 | — | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 11-2 | 7-2 | #50 | #19 | 1-0 |
| 2020 | 4-4 | 4-2 | #46 | — | — |
| 2019 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #55 | — | 1-0 |
| 2018 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #47 | — | 0-1 |
| 2017 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #54 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 10-3 | 7-2 | #31 | — | 1-0 |
| 2015 | 10-3 | 9-0 | #47 | — | 1-0 |
| 2014 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #67 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
2-3 SU · 2-2 ATS · O0/U4
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-4 |
| ATS | 8-373% |
| Over / Under | 3-9 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 7-2 |
| As underdog | 1-1 |
| Home | 5-0 |
| Away | 3-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #78 · 3 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★161 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #83 | 184 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| 2025 | #78 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 2024 | #72 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 2023 | #78 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2022 | #65 | 168 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2021 | #62 | 170 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2020 | #104 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2019 | #91 | 149 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2018 | #79 | 160 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2017 | #77 | 150 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 26net +0Out 26
Portal avg stars (in / out)2.9 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Evan Lawrence | OT | 3★ | ← Indiana |
| ▲ | Justius Lowe | WR | 3★ | ← Oregon |
| ▲ | Ayo Shotomide-King | WR | 3★ | ← Oklahoma State |
| ▲ | Gavriel Lightfoot | DL | 3★ | ← Colorado |
| ▼ | Dwayne McDougle | S | 3★ | → Nebraska |
| ▼ | Owen Chambliss | LB | 3★ | → Nebraska |
| ▼ | Ryan Henderson | EDGE | 3★ | → Texas A&M |
| ▼ | Trey White | EDGE | 3★ | → Texas Tech |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
3 items
- Previewing the 2026 season for Penn State DE Jackson FordGet to know Penn State defensive end Jackson Ford as he joins the Nittany Lions' edge rushing rotation in 2026.
- The new era of the Pac-12 has officially begunJuly 1st, 2026 officially marks a new dawn for the Pac-12 conference. Today, Boise State, Colorado State, Fresno State, Gonzaga, San Diego State, Texas State and Utah State all become official members of the Pac-12. Exactly two years ago, one of collegiate sports’ most storied conferences was left for dead when 10 of its 12 […]SDSU19d
- Three-star ATH Ayden Payne flipped his commitment from San Diego State to Oregon StateAnaheim (Calif.) Western athlete Ayden Payne flipped his commitment from San Diego State to Oregon State earlier today and broke down why he chose the Beavers. Payne originally committed to the Aztecs back in May following his first official visit. It was a bit of a surprise, only because he had four other trips set […]SDSU29d