New Mexico Lobos
Mountain West
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #73
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 0.9 (#73)
- SP+ Offense
- 25.4
- SP+ Defense
- 26.1
- SRS
- -0.2
- FPI
- -2.7
- Elo
- 1494
- Talent
- 379
- Recruiting
- 183 (#87)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.6p10 6.0 — p90 9.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 19.1% | |
| Make CFP | 1.5% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.1% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 7.7–4.3
Schedule
123rd
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
123rd
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
102nd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 2 FCS games.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsCentral Michigan | -8.8 | 33-24 | +9.4 | 72% | — |
| 2 | vsMercyhurst | FCS | 44-4* | +40.7 | 99% | — |
| 3 | @Oklahoma | +18.3 | 16-39 | -23.8 | 8% | — |
| 4 | @New Mexico State | -15.5 | 32-22 | +10.5 | 74% | — |
| 5 | vsUTEP | -17.5 | 34-18 | +16.1 | 84% | — |
| 7 | @Hawai'i | +1.7 | 24-29 | -4.9 | 38% | — |
| 8 | vsNorth Dakota State | FCS | 34-19 | +15.0 | 82% | — |
| 9 | @San José State | -14.3 | 30-22 | +7.8 | 68% | — |
| 10 | @Nevada | -13.4 | 30-26 | +4.0 | 59% | — |
| 11 | vsUNLV | +4.3 | 27-26 | +0.8 | 52% | — |
| 12 | @Wyoming | -11.3 | 30-24 | +5.4 | 63% | — |
| 13 | vsAir Force | -3.2 | 35-23 | +11.2 | 75% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 64
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Jack Layne | JR | 6'2" | 206 | — |
| QB | 2nd | James Laubstein | SR | 6'3" | 211 | — |
| QB | 3rd | Luke Moga← Oregon | FR | 6'2" | 204 | ★★★ |
| QB | 4th | Toa Faavae | FR | 6'1" | 195 | — |
Running Backs · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Damon Bankston | SR | 5'10" | 186 | — |
| RB | 2nd | D.J. McKinney | SO | 5'8" | 182 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Scottre Humphrey | JR | 5'10" | 209 | — |
| RB | 4th | Deshaun Buchanan | SO | 5'9" | 193 | — |
Wide Receivers · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Keagan Johnson | SR | 6'0" | 199 | — |
| WR | 2nd | Troy Omeire← UNLV | SR | 6'4" | 210 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Shawn Miller | JR | 6'0" | 199 | — |
| WR | 4th | Michael Buckley | JR | 6'0" | 179 | — |
| WR | 5th | Zhaiel Smith | FR | 6'0" | 184 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Isaiah Blair | JR | 5'11" | 194 | — |
| WR | — | Deriece Brown | FR | 6'3" | 195 | — |
Tight Ends · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Cade Keith | FR | 6'5" | 239 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Simon Mapa | JR | 6'4" | 255 | — |
| TE | 3rd | Bear Tenney← Sacramento State | FR | 6'6" | 269 | ★★★ |
| TE | — | Joey Olsen← USC | FR | 6'5" | 250 | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 1
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Malik Aliane | JR | 6'1" | 310 | — |
Defensive Line · 18
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Brett Karhu | SR | 6'0" | 226 | — |
| DE | 2nd | Darren Agu | JR | 6'6" | 244 | ★★★ |
| DL | 1st | Jaxton Eck | JR | 6'1" | 224 | — |
| DL | 2nd | Dimitri Johnson | SR | 6'1" | 235 | — |
| DL | 3rd | Jayden Marable← Memphis | SO | 6'2" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Deven Dyer← Western New Mexico | — | — | — | — |
| DT | 1st | Mercury Swaim | JR | 5'10" | 213 | — |
| DT | 2nd | Ky'won McCray | SR | 6'4" | 200 | — |
| DT | 3rd | Xavier Slayton | JR | 6'2" | 243 | — |
| DT | 4th | Brian Booker | JR | 6'3" | 325 | — |
| DT | 5th | Gabriel Lopez | SR | 6'2" | 246 | — |
| DT | 6th | Okiki Olorunfunmi | SR | 6'5" | 265 | — |
| DT | 7th | Jalen McIver | SO | 6'4" | 281 | — |
| DT | 8th | Randolph Kpai | SR | 6'2" | 219 | ★★★★ |
| DT | 9th | Elijah Brody | SO | 6'1" | 229 | — |
| DT | 10th | Cody Thumlert | FR | 6'3" | 200 | — |
| DT | 11th | Hunter Haemker | JR | 6'2" | 223 | — |
| EDGE | — | Jalen Charles← Memphis | FR | 6'3" | 227 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 1
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Clay Martineau← Boise State | SO | 6'3" | 220 | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 20
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Jon Johnson | SR | 5'11" | 181 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Frankie Edwards III | SO | 5'10" | 174 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Abraham Williams | SR | 6'1" | 186 | — |
| CB | 4th | Eric McClain← Ball State | SO | 5'11" | 180 | ★★★ |
| CB | 5th | Ormanie Arnold← Cincinnati | JR | 5'8" | 183 | ★★★ |
| CB | 6th | Azariah Levells | SR | 5'11" | 186 | — |
| CB | 7th | Jahmir Torres | FR | 5'10" | 176 | — |
| CB | 8th | Jayden Sheridan | SR | 5'11" | 178 | — |
| S | 1st | Tavian Combs | SR | 6'2" | 196 | ★★ |
| S | 2nd | CJ McBean | FR | 6'2" | 194 | — |
| S | 3rd | Caleb Coleman | SR | 6'2" | 191 | — |
| S | 4th | David Murphy | JR | 5'10" | 195 | — |
| S | 5th | Austin Brawley | SR | 5'10" | 180 | — |
| S | 6th | Drew Speech | JR | 6'2" | 197 | — |
| S | 7th | Clint Stephens | JR | 6'1" | 203 | ★★★★ |
| S | 8th | Aaron Smith | SR | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| S | 9th | Albert Nunes | SR | 6'1" | 207 | — |
| S | 10th | Chris Gant Jr. | FR | 5'9" | 199 | ★★★ |
| S | 11th | C.J. Johnson | SO | 6'2" | 205 | — |
| S | — | Will Hicks← Hampton | — | — | — | — |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | — | Konner Olson← Western Kentucky | SR | 6'0" | 210 | ★★★ |
| K | — | Nick Romero← Wagner | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| P | 1st | Michael Kern← California | FR | 6'3" | 195 | ★★★ |
| P | — | Charles Steinkamp | JR | 6'5" | 211 | — |
| PK | 1st | Luke Drzewiecki | SR | 6'0" | 186 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.7
Exp. Losses
4.3
Toss-ups
2
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
25.440
Off PPA
+0.1860
Pass PPA
+0.2660
Rush PPA
+0.1565
Success
42%45
Explosive
1.2664
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.18 | +0.11 |
| Passing | +0.26 | +0.24 |
| Rushing | +0.15 | +0.04 |
| 1st Down | +0.00 | -0.06 |
| 2nd Down | +0.10 | +0.05 |
| 3rd Down | +0.56 | +0.50 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
27.9
PPG Against
22.5
Differential
+5.4
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 9-3
- Home
- 6-0
- Away
- 3-3
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 3-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 4-1
- Avg Margin
- +5.4
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-0 | 28.3 | 18.7 |
| Away | 3-3 | 27.5 | 26.3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 17.0 | 20.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 0-1 | 17.0 | 34.0 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 26.6 | 23.0 |
| Non-conference | 3-2 | 27.8 | 21.2 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 3 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-3 | 6-2 | #73 | — | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 3-4 | #116 | — | — |
| 2023 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #124 | — | — |
| 2022 | 2-10 | 0-8 | #130 | — | — |
| 2021 | 3-9 | 1-7 | #120 | — | — |
| 2020 | 2-5 | 2-5 | #117 | — | — |
| 2019 | 2-10 | 0-8 | #119 | — | — |
| 2018 | 3-9 | 1-7 | #99 | — | — |
| 2017 | 3-9 | 1-7 | #107 | — | — |
| 2016 | 8-4 | 6-2 | #89 | — | 1-0 |
| 2015 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #98 | — | 0-1 |
| 2014 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #113 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 3-1 ATS · O1/U3
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-4 |
| ATS | 7-558% |
| Over / Under | 4-8 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 3-3 |
| As underdog | 4-2 |
| Home | 3-3 |
| Away | 4-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #122 · 0 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★85 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #87 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| 2025 | #194 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 | #201 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2023 | #128 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2022 | #99 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2021 | #94 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 2020 | #106 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2019 | #119 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2018 | #124 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2017 | #118 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 15net +1Out 14
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 2.9
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Troy Omeire | WR | 3★ | ← UNLV |
| ▲ | Joey Olsen | TE | 3★ | ← USC |
| ▲ | Ormanie Arnold | CB | 3★ | ← Cincinnati |
| ▲ | Clay Martineau | LB | 3★ | ← Boise State |
| ▼ | Dorian Thomas | TE | 4★ | → California |
| ▼ | Cole Welliver | QB | 3★ | → Southeastern Louisiana |
| ▼ | Marcus Vinson | TE | 3★ | → Florida Atlantic |
| ▼ | Clint Stephens | S | 3★ | → — |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
3 items
- 2027 5-star RB, Texas A&M target, announces commitment dateTexas A&M is a finalist to land 2027 5-star RB Landon Williams-Callis, who will announce his commitment on Saturday, August 1.
- Why Jason Eck is a fan of the NCAA's new '5-for-5' ruleNo more redshirts. No more waivers. Just five years of eligibility in five years – take it or leave it. Consider Jason Eck a fan. “I think it’s gonna be a good change,” New Mexico’s second-year head coach said Thursday. Wednesday, the NCAA approved a landmark age-based eligibility policy allowing athletes five years to play five seasons starting with their full-time enrollment or the season ...UNM25d
- UNM football notebook: How were the Lobos rated in EA Sports College Football 27?Next month, New Mexico could very well be picked to win the Mountain West for the first time in program history. But at least in one virtual estimation, they’re not quite at the top of the league. UNM was given a 76 overall rating in the initial release of team ratings from EA Sports College Football 27, landing in a tie for the second-highest rating of Mountain West teams in the wildly ...UNM27d