Team·
UNLV Rebels
Mountain West
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #57
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
4.3 (#57)
SP+ Offense
33.8
SP+ Defense
29.8
SRS
-0.9
FPI
0.1
Elo
1622
Talent
701
Recruiting
196 (#63)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.6p10 6.0 — p90 10.0
RoundProb
Win conference28.3%
Make CFP4.4%
Quarterfinal0.6%
Semifinal0.0%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 7.64.4
Schedule
92nd
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
112th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
87th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1vsMemphis+7.625-26-1.047%
1@Hawai'i+1.728-27+1.253%
2@North Texas+13.820-27-7.533%
4@Akron-13.934-21+12.277%
5vsCalifornia-3.230-26+3.859%
6vsNorth Dakota StateFCS31-20+10.874%
7@Air Force-3.226-34-7.133%
9vsNorthern Illinois-16.738-20+18.286%
10vsWyoming-11.335-19+15.583%
11@New Mexico+0.926-27-0.848%
12@San José State-14.335-18+17.285%
13vsNevada-13.435-21+14.180%
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 67
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stJackson ArnoldAuburnJR6'1"219★★★
QB2ndAlex OrjiSR6'3"240★★★
QB3rdCameron FrielSR6'3"230
Running Backs · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stJai'Den ThomasJR5'9"190
RB2ndJaylon GloverSO5'9"205★★★★
RB3rdKeyvone LeeSR6'0"225★★★★
RB4thDarrien JonesSO6'0"215
RB5thKamran WilliamsFR5'10"185★★★
RBRogerick RaySR5'8"185
Wide Receivers · 10
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stJaden BradleySR6'4"195
WR2ndDaejon ReynoldsJR6'2"210★★★★
WR3rdTaz ReddicksOregon StateSO5'11"194★★★
WR4thJoJo EarleSR5'10"185★★★★
WR5thDeAngelo Irvin Jr.JR5'8"170
WR6thTaeshaun LyonsSO6'1"180★★★★
WR7thAmorion WalkerMiddle TennesseeJR6'4"179★★★
WR8thKoy MooreSR6'1"200★★★★
WR9thKayden McGeeFR6'0"170★★★
WR10thTroy StellatoKentuckySR6'1"184★★★
Tight Ends · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stVar'Keyes GummsJR6'2"240
TE2ndNick ElksnisSR6'6"250★★★
TE3rdMatt ByrnesJR6'6"245
TE4thKeyan BurnettArizonaSR248★★★
Offensive Line · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OLNick ScaliseSR6'6"315
OLAlani MakiheleSR6'3"350★★★
OTColton ThomassonBaylorSO6'8"320★★★★
Defensive Line · 11
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DE1stKenji ScanlanFR6'2"245
DE2ndAndre PorterFR6'2"240★★★
DL1stJalen LeeSR6'3"300
DL2ndLucas ContiSO6'5"290★★★
DL3rdCohen FullerJR6'3"300
DL4thOse EgbaseSR6'4"260★★★
DL5thLanden ThomasFR6'3"270★★★
DL6thWaisale MuavesiSR6'3"290
DL7thEliah LogoFR6'2"295★★★
DL8thMohamed AltayebJR6'4"290
DL9thHerb GrayTennesseeFR6'3"288★★★
Linebackers · 12
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stMarsel McDuffieSR6'1"245★★★
LB2ndBlesyng Alualu-TuiolemotuSO6'1"220★★★
LB3rdChief BordersJR6'4"245★★★★
LB4thKamuela Ka'aihueJR6'2"240★★★
LB5thJustin FloweJR6'2"230
LB6thBryce EdmondsonSR6'2"225★★★
LB7thElias RudolphFR6'5"205★★★★
LB8thDonovan SpellmanSR6'4"230
LB9thMark IheanachorSMUFR6'2"218★★★
LB10thDee CraytonClemsonSO6'2"225★★★
LB11thJordan EubanksJR6'2"240
LBCam SanteeHoly Cross★★★
Defensive Backs · 14
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stKyron ChambersSMUJR6'0"200★★★
DB1stJake PopeJR6'1"200★★★★
DB2ndAamaris BrownSR5'10"190★★★
DB3rdTre FultonFR6'3"180★★★
DB4thMumu Bin-WahadSO5'11"190
DB5thLaterrance WelchJR6'1"190★★★★
DB6thQuandarius KeyesJR6'1"180
DB7thAamaris Brown-BunkleySR5'10"198
DB8thDenver HarrisSR6'0"190★★★★
DB9thJaylen AllenFR6'0"175★★★
S1stJaheem JosephJR5'10"200
S2ndLandyn ClevelandOklahoma StateSO6'0"190★★★
S3rdLogan ChristensenFR6'0"190★★★
S4thDarrien StewartJR6'0"200
Special Teams · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LS1stAndrew McIlquhamSR6'2"220
PMatthew ChoulesKennesaw StateFR6'3"227
PK1stRamon VillelaSO6'2"210
PK2ndCaden CostaSR6'0"200★★★
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.6
Exp. Losses
4.4
Toss-ups
4
2550751Wk 1 vs Memphis (SP+ #39) — 47% win, proj -1.01Wk 1 @ Hawai'i (SP+ #68) — 53% win, proj +1.2Wk 2 @ North Texas (SP+ #22) — 33% win, proj -7.5Wk 4 @ Akron (SP+ #117) — 77% win, proj +12.25Wk 5 vs California (SP+ #80) — 59% win, proj +3.8Wk 6 vs North Dakota State — 74% win, proj +10.87Wk 7 @ Air Force (SP+ #80) — 33% win, proj -7.19Wk 9 vs Northern Illinois (SP+ #128) — 86% win, proj +18.2Wk 10 vs Wyoming (SP+ #110) — 83% win, proj +15.511Wk 11 @ New Mexico (SP+ #73) — 48% win, proj -0.8Wk 12 @ San José State (SP+ #118) — 85% win, proj +17.213Wk 13 vs Nevada (SP+ #116) — 80% win, proj +14.1WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
33.882
Off PPA
+0.3092
Pass PPA
+0.3677
Rush PPA
+0.2694
Success
47%84
Explosive
1.3690
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
-100102030402014 · SP+ Overall: -17.62015 · SP+ Overall: -16.22016 · SP+ Overall: -14.32017 · SP+ Overall: -14.52018 · SP+ Overall: -11.12019 · SP+ Overall: -17.42020 · SP+ Overall: -19.72021 · SP+ Overall: -13.82022 · SP+ Overall: -11.92023 · SP+ Overall: 1.42024 · SP+ Overall: 9.32025 · SP+ Overall: 4.32014 · SP+ Offense: 22.02015 · SP+ Offense: 24.22016 · SP+ Offense: 26.72017 · SP+ Offense: 26.22018 · SP+ Offense: 30.72019 · SP+ Offense: 19.32020 · SP+ Offense: 22.02021 · SP+ Offense: 19.92022 · SP+ Offense: 20.82023 · SP+ Offense: 32.12024 · SP+ Offense: 32.62025 · SP+ Offense: 33.82014 · SP+ Defense: 39.12015 · SP+ Defense: 39.92016 · SP+ Defense: 40.42017 · SP+ Defense: 39.82018 · SP+ Defense: 38.92019 · SP+ Defense: 36.12020 · SP+ Defense: 41.52021 · SP+ Defense: 33.02022 · SP+ Defense: 34.12023 · SP+ Defense: 32.72024 · SP+ Defense: 24.62025 · SP+ Defense: 29.8141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsArnold1,546
Rush YdsThomas876·Glover323·Arnold318
Rec YdsReynolds372·Reddicks311·Lyons235
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.30+0.21
Passing+0.36+0.25
Rushing+0.26+0.22
1st Down+0.17+0.14
2nd Down+0.27+0.14
3rd Down+0.67+0.40