North Texas Mean Green
American Athletic
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #22
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 13.8 (#22)
- SP+ Offense
- 43.1
- SP+ Defense
- 28.6
- SRS
- 10.6
- FPI
- 7.0
- Elo
- 1709
- Talent
- 569
- Recruiting
- 128 (#137)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.1p10 6.0 — p90 10.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 22.3% | |
| Make CFP | 16.9% | |
| Quarterfinal | 5.3% | |
| Semifinal | 1.4% | |
| Natl. final | 0.3% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.1% |
Schedule
proj record 8.2–3.8
Schedule
86th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
51st
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
115th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Indiana | +32.4 | 16-34 | -18.1 | 14% | — |
| 2 | vsUNLV | +4.3 | 27-20 | +7.5 | 67% | — |
| 3 | @Texas State | +2.3 | 26-24 | +1.8 | 54% | — |
| 4 | vsHouston Christian | FCS | 48-3* | +44.5 | 100% | — |
| 5 | @Tulsa | -10 | 34-19 | +15.3 | 82% | — |
| 6 | vsCharlotte | -26.7 | 43-12 | +30.4 | 97% | — |
| 8 | @Navy | +6.2 | 28-30 | -2.3 | 44% | — |
| 9 | vsFlorida Atlantic | -8.7 | 36-17 | +18.2 | 86% | — |
| 10 | vsRice | -14.8 | 36-16 | +20.1 | 89% | — |
| 11 | @UTSA | +3.7 | 27-25 | +1.9 | 54% | — |
| 12 | @Tulane | +6.3 | 25-26 | -0.9 | 48% | — |
| 13 | vsUAB | -15.8 | 35-18 | +17.9 | 86% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 86
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Tayven Jackson← UCF | JR | 6'4" | 212 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Chris Jimerson Jr. | FR | 5'10" | 166 | — |
| QB | 3rd | Chaston Ditta← East Carolina | FR | 6'0" | 190 | ★★★ |
| QB | 4th | Tom von Grote | FR | 6'3" | 212 | — |
Running Backs · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Kiefer Sibley | SO | 5'9" | 179 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Jahiem White← West Virginia | JR | 5'7" | 190 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Jayden Becks | JR | 5'10" | 184 | — |
| RB | 4th | Brendon Haygood← Missouri | FR | 5'10" | 190 | ★★★ |
| RB | — | Colin Page← Texas | SR | 6'0" | 203 | — |
| RB | — | Nick Osho← Indiana State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Cameron Dorner | SR | 6'1" | 195 | — |
| WR | 2nd | Simeon Evans | SR | 5'11" | 208 | — |
| WR | 3rd | Corri Milliner← UAB | SO | 6'2" | 180 | ★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Dalton Carnes | JR | 5'9" | 174 | — |
| WR | 5th | Shandon King | JR | 6'2" | 180 | — |
| WR | 6th | Tyrese Hunt-Thompson | SR | 6'1" | 184 | — |
| WR | 7th | Baron Tipton | FR | 6'5" | 201 | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Justin Stevenson← Utah | SO | 6'1" | 189 | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Josiah Martin← Oklahoma | SO | 5'11" | 163 | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Grayson O'Bara← Dartmouth | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| WR | — | TJ Chukwurah← Black Hills State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| WR | — | James Tyre← Western Carolina | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Tre Williams III | SR | 6'3" | 229 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Brec Long← South Alabama | JR | 6'3" | 227 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Max Reese← Mississippi State | JR | 6'3" | 250 | ★★★ |
| TE | — | Victor Aderungboye | FR | 6'3" | 248 | ★★★ |
| TE | — | Drew Clemens← Utah | FR | 6'4" | 224 | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Gabe Blair | SR | 6'2" | 306 | — |
| OT | — | Johnny Williams IV← Missouri | SO | 6'7" | 327 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 18
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Briceon Hayes | SR | 6'3" | 231 | — |
| DL | 2nd | Brayden Knox | FR | 6'3" | 235 | ★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | Richard Outland Jr. | SR | 6'3" | 288 | — |
| DL | 4th | Zhaiylen Scott | FR | 6'1" | 240 | ★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Justin Benton← East Carolina | SO | 6'1" | 300 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Jalyn Durgan | SR | 6'4" | 251 | — |
| DL | 7th | Terrell Washington | SO | 6'1" | 307 | — |
| DL | 8th | Rudy Vargas Jr. | JR | 6'2" | 299 | — |
| DL | 9th | AJ Brown | FR | 6'3" | 280 | — |
| DL | — | Steven Curtis← Minnesota | JR | 6'5" | 265 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Jahzari Priester← Virginia Tech | SO | 6'5" | 312 | — |
| DL | — | Christian Lorenzo← Illinois State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Wesley Hudson← Central Oklahoma | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Udoka Ezeani← UTEP | SR | 6'1" | 216 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | David Onuoha← Massachusetts | JR | 6'1" | 237 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 3rd | Davion Rhodes← Georgia Southern | SR | 6'2" | 235 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 4th | Curlee Thomas IV← California | JR | 6'4" | 260 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Mouhamed Diawara← Sioux Falls | — | — | — | — |
Linebackers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Trey Fields | SR | 6'0" | 212 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Aaron Alexander← Arkansas State | JR | 6'1" | 234 | ★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Shane Whitter | SR | 6'0" | 222 | — |
| LB | 4th | Zakye Barker← SMU | JR | 5'10" | 231 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Kenton Allen | SR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| LB | 6th | S'Maje Burrell | SO | 6'0" | 213 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 7th | Jaden Manning | FR | 6'1" | 221 | ★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Chantz Johnson← Texas State | SO | 6'1" | 225 | ★★★ |
| LB | 9th | Brenden Reese | FR | 6'2" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 10th | JJ Jean-Louis | SO | 6'1" | 228 | ★★★ |
| LB | 11th | Blake Fann | SO | 6'1" | 238 | — |
| LB | — | Cedric Roberts← Alcorn State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 22
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | David Fisher | SR | 5'11" | 182 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Da'Veawn Armstead | SR | 6'1" | 183 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Caden Jenkins← Baylor | JR | 6'1" | 178 | ★★★ |
| CB | 4th | Tyrane Stewart | SR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| CB | 5th | Chase Canada | JR | 5'11" | 191 | — |
| CB | 6th | Keshawn Davila← Arkansas | JR | 6'1" | 165 | ★★★ |
| CB | 7th | Jaden Allen← Arkansas | FR | 5'10" | 165 | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Zach Johnson← Southeastern Louisiana | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Peyton Taylor← Emporia State University | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Will Jones II | SR | 5'10" | 186 | — |
| S | 2nd | BJ Allen Jr. | JR | 6'0" | 193 | ★★★★ |
| S | 3rd | Jackson Lataimua | SR | 5'11" | 197 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Cameren Jenkins← Baylor | SO | 6'1" | 200 | — |
| S | 5th | Julian Knox | FR | 6'3" | 220 | — |
| S | 6th | Harrison Dempsey | JR | 5'11" | 210 | — |
| S | 7th | Bryce Garza | FR | 6'2" | 185 | ★★★ |
| S | 8th | Graham Gillespie← Texas | SR | 6'0" | 195 | — |
| S | — | Jason Cross Jr.← West Virginia | FR | 6'1" | 175 | ★★★ |
| S | — | Taye Seymore← Auburn | JR | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★ |
| S | — | Ja'Bree Bickham← Boise State | FR | 6'3" | 179 | ★★★ |
| S | — | Brandon Jones← McNeese | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| S | — | C.J. Coombes← Wofford | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | 1st | Dominic De Freitas← App State | FR | 6'0" | 190 | — |
| LS | 1st | Jacob Poff← App State | FR | 6'0" | 185 | — |
| P | 1st | Ian Ratliff← App State | SO | 5'11" | 180 | — |
| P | 2nd | Sawyer Evans | SR | 6'3" | 204 | — |
| PK | 1st | Kali Nguma | SO | 5'10" | 186 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
8.2
Exp. Losses
3.8
Toss-ups
4
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
43.1100
Off PPA
+0.3599
Pass PPA
+0.4595
Rush PPA
+0.2999
Success
52%99
Explosive
1.3176
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.35 | +0.16 |
| Passing | +0.45 | +0.17 |
| Rushing | +0.29 | +0.18 |
| 1st Down | +0.20 | -0.07 |
| 2nd Down | +0.37 | +0.13 |
| 3rd Down | +0.67 | +0.51 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
44.8
PPG Against
24.9
Differential
+19.8
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 11-2
- Home
- 6-1
- Away
- 5-1
- Conference
- 7-1
- Non-Conference
- 4-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 2-0
- Avg Margin
- +19.8
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-1 | 45.7 | 22.0 |
| Away | 5-1 | 43.7 | 28.3 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 49.0 | 47.0 |
| Competition | |||
| Conference | 7-1 | 47.8 | 28.5 |
| Non-conference | 5-1 | 41.5 | 23.8 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 8 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-2 | 7-1 | #22 | #20 | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #89 | — | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #86 | — | — |
| 2022 | 7-6 | 6-3 | #73 | — | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 5-3 | #94 | — | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 3-4 | #102 | — | 0-1 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 3-5 | #93 | — | — |
| 2018 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #65 | — | 0-1 |
| 2017 | 9-4 | 7-2 | #85 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #115 | — | 0-1 |
| 2015 | 1-11 | 1-7 | #128 | — | — |
| 2014 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #100 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 3-1 ATS · O3/U1
Betting Profile
2025 · 13 w/ line
| Straight up | 12-2 |
| ATS | 10-377% |
| Over / Under | 9-4 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 10-3 |
| As underdog | 0-0 |
| Home | 6-1 |
| Away | 4-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #98 · 0 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★117 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #137 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 | #112 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2024 | #70 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
| 2023 | #99 | 138 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2022 | #118 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2021 | #80 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2020 | #68 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2019 | #75 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2018 | #101 | 127 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2017 | #115 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 49net +11Out 38
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 3.1
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Drew Clemens | TE | 3★ | ← Utah |
| ▲ | Jahiem White | RB | 3★ | ← West Virginia |
| ▲ | Brendon Haygood | RB | 3★ | ← Missouri |
| ▲ | Zach Johnson | CB | 3★ | ← Southeastern Louisiana |
| ▼ | Drew Mestemaker | QB | 5★ | → Oklahoma State |
| ▼ | Caleb Hawkins | RB | 4★ | → Oklahoma State |
| ▼ | Wyatt Young | WR | 4★ | → Oklahoma State |
| ▼ | Ethan Day | DL | 3★ | → Utah |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
10 items
- Why Oklahoma State's Future Tied to Eric Morris, Drew Mestemaker PartnershipIf the Oklahoma State Cowboys are going to be a better team in 2026 and a better program long-term, that success is tied to Eric Morris and Drew Mestemaker.
- Sports Illustrated Is Right: Drew Mestemaker Could Be the Most Impactful Transfer in the Big 12Sports Illustrated is right to call Drew Mestemaker the Big 12's most impactful transfer. Oklahoma State doesn't just need a productive quarterback—it needs someone capable of changing the direction of the program. If the Cowboys bounce back in 2026, it will likely start under center.
- Oklahoma State Didn't Land Drew Mestemaker With Money AloneDrew Mestemaker could've chased the biggest NIL offer or a college football blue blood. Instead, he followed Eric Morris to Oklahoma State. One quote from Morris—"Don't get caught up in all the hype... and don't break my heart"—shows why relationships still matter in today's transfer portal.
- Drew Mestemaker and Eric Morris Know When to Take the Big ShotEric Morris and Drew Mestemaker aren't chasing explosive plays on every snap—they're chasing wins. Both made it clear at Big 12 Media Days that knowing when to be aggressive is just as important as taking the shot. That balance could define Oklahoma State's offense in 2026.
- From zero-star recruit to program cornerstone: Why Drew Mestemaker chose Oklahoma State over blue blood cashEric Morris gave Drew Mestemaker a chance despite never starting a game in high school. The QB repaid his coach's faith by following him to Oklahoma State to be part a 'hard reset'
- Inside the great North Texas migration to StillwaterHow Eric Morris built North Texas 2.0 at Oklahoma State.UNT10d
- Oklahoma State's Drew Mestemaker Excited About Wide-Open Big 12 ConferenceThe Oklahoma State Cowboys need to win games in 2026, and quarterback Drew Mestemaker says the wide-open nature of the league leaves open the chance of great success.
- 2026 American Preseason Previews: North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas looks to keep the magic of 2025 alive despite losing its coaching staff and every single starter.UNT20d
- North Texas Football Preview 2026: How Fast Can the Mean Green Reload?After an amazing season, North Texas has to replace just about everyone from the head coach on down. Can the Mean Green pull off another rebuild?UNT22d
- Oklahoma State QB Drew Mestemaker Shows off Arm at Manning Passing AcademyOklahoma State quarterback Drew Mestemaker went through his paces among some of the best college quarterbacks in the game.