Team·
Memphis Tigers
American Athletic
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #39
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
7.6 (#39)
SP+ Offense
34.3
SP+ Defense
28.3
SRS
2.5
FPI
3.4
Elo
1540
Talent
669
Recruiting
189 (#72)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.8p10 6.0 — p90 10.0
RoundProb
Win conference9.1%
Make CFP6.1%
Quarterfinal1.3%
Semifinal0.1%
Natl. final0.0%
Natl. champ0.0%
Schedule
proj record 7.94.1
Schedule
82nd
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
55th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
97th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1@UNLV+4.326-25+1.053%
1vsArkansas State-8.829-16+12.477%
2@Boise State+3.125-28-2.943%
3vsUT MartinFCS46-3*+42.7100%
5@Charlotte-26.736-13+22.892%
6vsUAB-15.838-18+19.688%
7@Tulane+6.326-29-2.644%
8vsEast Carolina+829-23+6.265%
9vsArmy+0.831-19+12.577%
11@South Florida+11.621-29-8.132%
12@Navy+6.224-31-7.033%
13vsTemple-5.134-18+15.983%
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 85
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stBrendon LewisSR6'3"210★★★
QB2ndAir NolandSouth CarolinaFR6'3"225★★★
QBDenzel GardnerSouthern MissFR6'0"215★★★
QBMarcus StokesWest Florida★★★
Running Backs · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stGreg Desrosiers Jr.SR5'11"200
RB2ndDallan HaydenColoradoJR5'10"205★★★
RB3rdManny CoveyCincinnatiSO5'11"192★★★
RB4thFrank PeasantSR5'11"205★★★
RB5thCameron MathewsFR5'8"170
RB6thKhyair SpainFR5'9"206
Wide Receivers · 12
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stCortez Braham Jr.SR6'2"197
WR2ndTychaun ChapmanSouthern MissJR6'0"180★★★
WR3rdJaylin CarterSouthern MissFR5'10"190★★★
WR4thMarcello BusseySR5'11"175
WR5thBrady KluseSO6'2"188★★★
WR6thAlante BrownMichigan StateSR5'11"196★★★★
WR7thJadon ThompsonSR6'2"200
WR8thBryce DorseyFR5'10"172★★★
WR9thTerrell Timmons Jr.ColoradoSR6'2"185★★★
WR10thGer-Cari CaldwellSR6'4"195
WR11thJermane HayesSouthern MissFR6'0"165★★★
WR12thJemyri DavisKansas StateJR6'0"172★★★
Tight Ends · 2
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stHunter TiptonMiddle TennesseeJR6'4"237★★★
TE2ndChristian RossSO6'4"225★★★
Offensive Line · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OTCarde SmithColoradoFR6'5"300★★★
OTBrian GrantTennesseeJR6'7"325★★★
OTRiley McGeheeArkansas StateSO6'6"307★★★
OTAaron KarasColorado StateJR6'5"310★★★
OTXavier AllenBucknell★★★
Defensive Line · 24
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DL1stJalen BellSR5'11"280
DL2ndWilliam Whitlow Jr.SR6'2"260
DL3rdPooda WalkerSR6'1"305
DL4thJaden McKinneySouthern MissJR6'3"300★★★
DL5thK.J. MilesTempleJR6'4"295★★★
DL6thDevan LoweGeorgia SouthernJR6'2"360★★★
DL7thXavier MilesCharlotteSO6'3"320★★★
DL8thTaylor BurtonJR6'2"285
DL9thRayyan BuellSR6'2"275
DL10thIsaiah GreenSR6'2"305
DL11thJ'mari MonetteIndianaJR6'3"285★★★
DL12thReggie Grimes IISR6'4"282
DL13thKamore HarrisFR5'11"250★★★
DL14thMond ColeSR6'1"325
DLAmir Leonard-Jean CharlesSouthern MissFR6'5"305★★★
DLChris StokesSouthern MissFR6'3"300★★★
DLEric ThomasSyracuseFR6'4"330★★★
DLElijah KinslerSouthern MissFR6'2"265★★★
EDGE1stJ'Mond TappSouthern MissJR6'3"275★★★
EDGE2ndJabari IshmaelSouthern MissSR6'6"270★★★
EDGE3rdJoseph Head Jr.Mississippi StateSO6'4"255★★★
EDGEStone ChaneyMichigan StateFR6'4"245★★★
EDGEDeAngelo ThompsonSyracuseFR6'3"235★★★
EDGEJustin WallaceWestern Carolina★★★
Linebackers · 8
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stMichael MontgomerySouthern MissJR6'4"250★★★
LB2ndSam BrumfieldSR5'11"225
LB3rdJayden FlakerSR6'2"222
LB4thDonovan MathenaJR5'11"230
LB5thCam BurdenSR6'2"225★★★
LB6thJayden ParrishFlorida StateFR6'1"223★★★
LBTylon NashJR6'1"220
LBChristian ThatcherUtahFR6'2"204★★★
Defensive Backs · 21
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stAnthony Richard Jr.Southern MissSR6'2"195
CBDilan WilliamsonConcordia University St Paul★★★
CBEllis Ellis Jr.Austin Peay★★★
CBDarius Malcolm Jr.Wofford★★★
DB1stDrue WattsSR5'11"220★★★
DB2ndOmarion CooperSR6'1"195★★★★
DB3rdJaidyn DenisSR6'2"191★★★
DB4thSamson IsraelJR5'11"166
DB5thChauncey Logan Jr.SR6'1"200
DB6thIsheem YoungSR5'10"220
DB7thShannon BlairJR5'11"185
DB8thCameron MillerJR6'1"206★★★
DB9thBeni MwambaSO6'0"195
DB10thJoey HunterSR6'0"195
DB11thCharlie HarrellSO5'11"176
S1stIan FosterSouthern MissSO5'10"195★★★
S2ndAhmere FosterSouthern MissJR5'10"180★★★
S3rdDylan KingSouthern MissJR6'2"190★★★
S4thDylan SmithOklahoma StateJR6'0"190★★★
S5thZach RuffinSouthern MissFR6'3"198★★★★
S6thStonka BurnsideMississippi StateSO6'0"200★★★
Special Teams · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
K1stPhilippe LaForgeCoastal CarolinaFR6'1"204★★★
LSWeston SimmonsCincinnatiSO5'11"225★★★
PHarrison TuckAlabama State★★★
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.9
Exp. Losses
4.1
Toss-ups
3
2550751Wk 1 @ UNLV (SP+ #57) — 53% win, proj +1.01Wk 1 vs Arkansas State (SP+ #100) — 77% win, proj +12.4Wk 2 @ Boise State (SP+ #64) — 43% win, proj -2.93Wk 3 vs UT Martin — 100% win, proj +42.7 · FCS est.5Wk 5 @ Charlotte (SP+ #134) — 92% win, proj +22.8Wk 6 vs UAB (SP+ #125) — 88% win, proj +19.67Wk 7 @ Tulane (SP+ #45) — 44% win, proj -2.6Wk 8 vs East Carolina (SP+ #38) — 65% win, proj +6.29Wk 9 vs Army (SP+ #74) — 77% win, proj +12.511Wk 11 @ South Florida (SP+ #29) — 32% win, proj -8.1Wk 12 @ Navy (SP+ #46) — 33% win, proj -7.013Wk 13 vs Temple (SP+ #88) — 83% win, proj +15.9WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
34.385
Off PPA
+0.2585
Pass PPA
+0.2141
Rush PPA
+0.2999
Success
45%72
Explosive
1.3176
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
01020302014 · SP+ Overall: 5.62015 · SP+ Overall: 8.02016 · SP+ Overall: 7.72017 · SP+ Overall: 7.82018 · SP+ Overall: 9.22019 · SP+ Overall: 18.02020 · SP+ Overall: 5.72021 · SP+ Overall: 1.02022 · SP+ Overall: 6.82023 · SP+ Overall: 3.52024 · SP+ Overall: 9.62025 · SP+ Overall: 7.62014 · SP+ Offense: 26.52015 · SP+ Offense: 35.12016 · SP+ Offense: 33.82017 · SP+ Offense: 37.62018 · SP+ Offense: 38.82019 · SP+ Offense: 39.52020 · SP+ Offense: 34.82021 · SP+ Offense: 29.62022 · SP+ Offense: 37.02023 · SP+ Offense: 37.12024 · SP+ Offense: 36.72025 · SP+ Offense: 34.32014 · SP+ Defense: 22.02015 · SP+ Defense: 30.42016 · SP+ Defense: 29.32017 · SP+ Defense: 30.62018 · SP+ Defense: 30.52019 · SP+ Defense: 23.42020 · SP+ Defense: 29.42021 · SP+ Defense: 27.92022 · SP+ Defense: 31.82023 · SP+ Defense: 33.82024 · SP+ Defense: 28.22025 · SP+ Defense: 28.3141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsNoland659·Gardner367
Rush YdsHayden398·Covey340·Mathews84
Rec YdsTipton352·Chapman304·Bussey301
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.25+0.17
Passing+0.21+0.36
Rushing+0.29+0.01
1st Down+0.09+0.03
2nd Down+0.24+0.10
3rd Down+0.57+0.53