East Carolina Pirates
American Athletic
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #38
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 8.0 (#38)
- SP+ Offense
- 32.6
- SP+ Defense
- 24.0
- SRS
- 5.7
- FPI
- 5.1
- Elo
- 1593
- Talent
- 612
- Recruiting
- 179 (#94)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.7p10 6.0 — p90 10.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 10.1% | |
| Make CFP | 5.9% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.8% | |
| Semifinal | 0.1% | |
| Natl. final | 0.1% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 7.8–4.2
Schedule
90th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
77th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
103rd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Alabama | +14.8 | 16-31 | -15.3 | 18% | — |
| 2 | vsApp State | -11.4 | 33-16 | +16.8 | 85% | — |
| 3 | @Old Dominion | +5.9 | 24-25 | -1.3 | 47% | — |
| 4 | vsNorth Carolina Central | FCS | 46-3* | +42.8 | 100% | — |
| 6 | vsRice | -14.8 | 32-14 | +18.6 | 87% | — |
| 7 | @UAB | -15.8 | 33-21 | +11.6 | 76% | — |
| 8 | @Memphis | +7.6 | 23-29 | -6.2 | 35% | — |
| 9 | vsTemple | -5.1 | 32-21 | +11.3 | 75% | — |
| 10 | vsSouth Florida | +11.6 | 25-26 | -0.5 | 49% | — |
| 11 | @Charlotte | -26.7 | 33-15 | +18.7 | 87% | — |
| 12 | @Army | +0.8 | 23-27 | -3.6 | 41% | — |
| 13 | vsFlorida Atlantic | -8.7 | 33-19 | +14.4 | 81% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 75
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Mitch Griffis← Texas Tech | SR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Emory Williams← Miami | SO | 6'5" | 220 | ★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Mike Wright Jr. | SR | 6'4" | 195 | — |
Running Backs · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Marlon Gunn Jr. | SR | 6'0" | 207 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Michael Allen← Marshall | JR | 5'11" | 206 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | TJ Engleman Jr. | SO | 5'9" | 179 | ★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Ashton Gray← North Texas | FR | 6'0" | 208 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Josh Benton | JR | 6'2" | 194 | — |
| RB | 6th | DeJuan Lacy | SO | 5'9" | 200 | — |
| RB | 7th | Michael Beatty | SO | 5'9" | 152 | — |
Wide Receivers · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Brock Spalding | JR | 5'11" | 193 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Landon Sides← North Texas | JR | 5'11" | 190 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Payton Mangrum | SR | 5'11" | 201 | ★★ |
| WR | 4th | Kyler Pearson | SR | 5'8" | 150 | ★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Tyler Johnson | SO | 6'0" | 183 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Jeremiah Melvin← Wake Forest | FR | 6'4" | 195 | ★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Jaquaize Pettaway | JR | 6'0" | 194 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 8th | Ray Ray Joseph← Miami | JR | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★ |
| WR | 9th | Kelan Robinson | SR | 6'3" | 210 | ★★★ |
| WR | 10th | Dillon Lorick | FR | 6'1" | 196 | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Ja'Keith Hamilton← Furman | — | — | — | — |
Tight Ends · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Kanen Hamlett← App State | JR | 6'4" | 235 | ★★★ |
| TE | — | Ismael Smith Flores← Texas-Rio Grande Valley | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Darius Bell | SR | 6'5" | 300 | — |
| OT | — | Hayes Creel← Southern Miss | JR | 6'7" | 320 | — |
Defensive Line · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Samuel Dankah | SR | 6'6" | 225 | — |
| DL | 2nd | Preston Carr | JR | 6'3" | 300 | — |
| DL | 3rd | Jasiyah Robinson | SR | 6'3" | 252 | — |
| DL | 4th | Kieran Davis | JR | 6'2" | 250 | ★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Rion Roseborough | SO | 6'2" | 315 | — |
| DL | 6th | J.D. Lampley | SR | 6'3" | 270 | ★★★ |
| DL | 7th | Kendrick DuJour | JR | 6'5" | 225 | — |
| DL | 8th | Torin Brazell | FR | 6'2" | 275 | — |
| DL | 9th | Miles Parker | SO | 6'4" | 242 | — |
| DL | 10th | Dylon Worthen | FR | 6'2" | 235 | ★★★ |
| DL | 11th | Evan Powell | FR | 6'4" | 245 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | DJ Johnson Jr. | SO | 6'0" | 221 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Dameon Wilson | SR | 6'1" | 234 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Ryheem Craig | SR | 6'3" | 231 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Julien Davis | JR | 6'2" | 224 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Crews Law← Memphis | FR | 6'1" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Jackson Barker | JR | 6'2" | 227 | — |
| LB | 7th | Noah Holmes | SR | 6'1" | 217 | — |
| LB | 8th | Jordan Miles | FR | 6'1" | 200 | ★★★ |
| LB | 9th | Jayden Olden | SO | 6'1" | 213 | — |
| LB | 10th | Landon Lewis | FR | 6'3" | 205 | — |
| LB | — | Cade Law← Memphis | JR | 6'1" | 225 | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 20
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Ashton Levells← Florida International | SR | 6'1" | 170 | ★★ |
| CB | 2nd | Jaylen Bowden← Minnesota | JR | 6'1" | 180 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Rae'mon Mosby← Louisville | FR | 6'0" | 190 | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | Teagan Wilk | SR | 6'0" | 196 | ★★★ |
| DB | 2nd | Jonathan Jean | SR | 5'10" | 191 | — |
| DB | 3rd | Ayden Duncanson | SO | 6'0" | 191 | ★★★ |
| DB | 4th | TyMir Brown | SR | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| DB | 5th | Kevon Merrell | SO | 6'1" | 188 | ★★★ |
| DB | 6th | Rasheed Reason | SR | 5'10" | 175 | — |
| DB | 7th | Kamaurri McKinley | JR | 6'2" | 186 | ★★★ |
| DB | 8th | Chance Graves | SR | 6'1" | 185 | — |
| DB | 9th | Ladarian Paulk | SR | 5'11" | 186 | — |
| DB | 10th | Alex Moye | SO | 6'2" | 182 | — |
| DB | 11th | Derrion Horsley | FR | 6'2" | 185 | ★★★ |
| DB | 12th | Tavius Horne Jr. | FR | 5'11" | 160 | ★★★ |
| DB | 13th | Angelo Ross | FR | 6'1" | 170 | ★★★ |
| DB | 14th | Jurnee Lattimore | SO | 5'10" | 171 | — |
| S | 1st | Zyeir Gamble← App State | SO | 5'10" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | — | Christian Peterson← UCF | SO | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★ |
| S | — | Myles Pollard← Memphis | JR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LS | — | Blake Shirley← Wofford | — | — | — | — |
| P | 1st | Ryan Leavy | SR | 6'1" | 185 | — |
| P | 2nd | Tomas O'Halloran | FR | 6'3" | 200 | — |
| P | — | Elliot Huether← St. Thomas | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| PK | 1st | Nick Mazzie | SR | 6'2" | 227 | — |
| PK | 2nd | Everett Scott | SO | 5'10" | 168 | — |
| PK | — | Noah Perez | SR | 5'7" | 160 | — |
| PK | — | Andrew Conrad | SR | 5'10" | 170 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.8
Exp. Losses
4.2
Toss-ups
3
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
32.676
Off PPA
+0.1965
Pass PPA
+0.3372
Rush PPA
+0.1047
Success
46%79
Explosive
1.1614
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.19 | +0.05 |
| Passing | +0.33 | +0.15 |
| Rushing | +0.10 | -0.03 |
| 1st Down | +0.07 | -0.07 |
| 2nd Down | +0.17 | +0.06 |
| 3rd Down | +0.58 | +0.26 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
33.5
PPG Against
20.3
Differential
+13.2
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 8-4
- Home
- 5-1
- Away
- 3-3
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 2-2
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-2
- Avg Margin
- +13.2
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 5-1 | 36.2 | 19.8 |
| Away | 3-3 | 30.8 | 20.8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 23.0 | 17.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 0-1 | 13.0 | 34.0 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 34.8 | 22.9 |
| Non-conference | 3-2 | 29.4 | 15.6 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 4 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-4 | 6-2 | #38 | — | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #73 | — | 1-0 |
| 2023 | 2-10 | 1-7 | #111 | — | — |
| 2022 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #68 | — | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #78 | — | — |
| 2020 | 3-6 | 3-5 | #110 | — | — |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 1-7 | #116 | — | — |
| 2018 | 3-9 | 1-7 | #110 | — | — |
| 2017 | 3-9 | 2-6 | #111 | — | — |
| 2016 | 3-9 | 1-7 | #100 | — | — |
| 2015 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #79 | — | — |
| 2014 | 8-4 | 5-3 | #40 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 2-2 ATS · O3/U1
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-4 |
| ATS | 7-4-164% |
| Over / Under | 6-6 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 6-3 |
| As underdog | 1-1 |
| Home | 3-3 |
| Away | 4-1 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #82 · 1 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★144 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #94 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2025 | #77 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| 2024 | #73 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2023 | #65 | 181 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2022 | #85 | 143 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2021 | #96 | 139 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2020 | #70 | 163 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 2019 | #78 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2018 | #89 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 2017 | #79 | 145 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 24net -2Out 26
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Michael Allen | RB | 4★ | ← Marshall |
| ▲ | Ashton Gray | RB | 3★ | ← North Texas |
| ▲ | Ray Ray Joseph | WR | 3★ | ← Miami |
| ▲ | Crews Law | LB | 3★ | ← Memphis |
| ▼ | Yannick Smith | WR | 4★ | → SMU |
| ▼ | Jayvontay Conner | TE | 3★ | → Vanderbilt |
| ▼ | London Montgomery | RB | 3★ | → Florida |
| ▼ | Zion Wilson | DL | 3★ | → Virginia |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
4 items
- Predicting the 2026 Alabama Football Opponents’ Season: East Carolina PiratesA hot new coach has turned the Pirates fortunes around. But they have a huge rebuild ahead of them.ECU8d
- Media is giving Illinois football quarterback Katin Houser a massive chip for his shoulderA new era is donning in Champaign, but the same skepticism about the Illinois football program still resides.
- Remembering Chris Johnson’s legendary career at East CarolinaThe former ECU Pirate star running back revealed his ALS diagnosis on Monday, Jun. 29.ECU20d
- 2026 American Preseason Previews: East Carolina PiratesECU is fresh off a 9-win season. Is 2026 the year the Pirates finally take the leap into the title game?ECU28d