Old Dominion Monarchs
Sun Belt
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #49
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 5.9 (#49)
- SP+ Offense
- 31.6
- SP+ Defense
- 23.7
- SRS
- 6.1
- FPI
- 4.8
- Elo
- 1670
- Talent
- 477
- Recruiting
- 179 (#96)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.5p10 5.0 — p90 9.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 19.4% | |
| Make CFP | 4.6% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.7% | |
| Semifinal | 0.1% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 7.6–4.4
Schedule
97th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
75th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
119th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNorfolk State | FCS | 45-3* | +42.2 | 100% | — |
| 2 | @Virginia Tech | -10.1 | 28-27 | +0.2 | 50% | — |
| 3 | vsEast Carolina | +8 | 25-24 | +1.3 | 53% | — |
| 4 | vsJames Madison | +12.3 | 26-25 | +0.7 | 52% | — |
| 5 | @Georgia State | -24.5 | 33-22 | +11.6 | 76% | — |
| 6 | @App State | -11.4 | 31-18 | +13.4 | 79% | — |
| 7 | vsGeorgia Southern | -9.4 | 33-22 | +10.6 | 74% | — |
| 8 | @Louisiana Tech | -1.3 | 26-26 | -0.7 | 48% | — |
| 9 | vsMarshall | -4.5 | 26-21 | +4.4 | 60% | — |
| 10 | @Coastal Carolina | -15.1 | 28-22 | +5.9 | 64% | — |
| 12 | @UConn | +5.1 | 23-32 | -8.4 | 30% | — |
| 13 | vsSouthern Miss | -7.1 | 32-23 | +8.8 | 70% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 59
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Jaxon Potter← Washington State | SO | 6'5" | 205 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Quinn Henicle | FR | 6'2" | 211 | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Devin Roche | SO | 5'7" | 172 | ★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Ke'Travion Hargrove | SR | 6'0" | 201 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Maurki James | FR | 6'1" | 206 | — |
| RB | 4th | Troy Marquez | FR | 5'10" | 194 | — |
| RB | — | Trey Hall← Ole Miss | JR | 5'11" | 185 | ★★★ |
| RB | — | Hunter Patterson← West Liberty | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | TJ Johnson | JR | 6'3" | 180 | — |
| WR | 2nd | Sidney Mbanasor | JR | 6'5" | 216 | — |
| WR | — | Zion Agnew← Lenoir-Rhyne | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Leon Haughton Jr.← Maryland | JR | 6'5" | 231 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Karl Peterson | SO | 6'3" | 232 | — |
Offensive Line · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Ryan Joyce | SR | 6'4" | 304 | — |
| OT | — | Raykwon Goldthwaite← North Alabama | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Martez Curry← Lincoln (MO) | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Kris Trinidad | SR | 6'5" | 272 | — |
| DL | 1st | Chris Forbes | FR | 6'1" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | DeAndre Lynch | SO | 6'3" | 290 | — |
| DL | 3rd | Javen Gibson | JR | 6'2" | 240 | — |
| DL | 4th | Fred Giles | JR | 6'3" | 245 | — |
| DL | 5th | Ricardo Williams Jr. | SR | 6'2" | 292 | — |
| DL | 6th | Ahmaad Foster | FR | 6'4" | 280 | ★★★ |
| DL | 7th | Cole Daniels | SR | 6'0" | 300 | — |
| DL | 8th | Hunter Malecki | FR | 6'3" | 255 | ★★★ |
| DL | 9th | Christopher Spencer | JR | 6'5" | 275 | ★★★ |
| DL | 10th | Lorenzo McFadden-Pressley | FR | 6'0" | 305 | ★★★ |
| DL | 11th | Bucci Farmer← App State | FR | 6'1" | 310 | ★★★ |
| DL | 12th | LeDarrion Menter | FR | 6'2" | 260 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Jeremy Mack Jr. | SR | 5'10" | 200 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Seth Naotala | SR | 6'0" | 225 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Jackson Forrest | FR | 6'0" | 225 | — |
| LB | 4th | Jed Olotu-Judah | FR | 6'1" | 215 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Dirrick Goodman | SO | 6'0" | 205 | — |
| LB | 6th | AJ Ashworth | FR | 6'0" | 225 | — |
| LB | 7th | Mario Thompson | JR | 6'0" | 210 | ★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Jason Henderson | SR | 6'1" | 225 | ★★★ |
| LB | 9th | Gage Sawyers | SO | 6'0" | 190 | — |
| LB | 10th | Montrell Chapman← Mississippi State | JR | 6'3" | 230 | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Zion Frink | SO | 6'0" | 190 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Brandon Crutchfield | SO | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★ |
| CB | 3rd | Botros Alisandro | SR | 6'1" | 188 | — |
| CB | 4th | Jorian Haynes | SO | 5'9" | 180 | — |
| CB | 5th | Jivan Baly← NC State | FR | 5'11" | 165 | ★★★ |
| CB | 6th | Justin Watts | FR | 6'0" | 170 | — |
| CB | 7th | Langston Williams | SR | 5'10" | 178 | — |
| S | 1st | Jerome Carter | SO | 6'1" | 190 | ★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Mario Easterly | JR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | 3rd | Nickendre Stiger | SR | 5'11" | 194 | — |
| S | 4th | Lucas Struck | SO | 6'0" | 200 | — |
| S | 5th | Daevon Iles | SO | 5'11" | 184 | ★★★ |
| S | 6th | Jordan Saunders | SO | 5'10" | 185 | — |
| S | 7th | Ryan Ramey | SO | 5'10" | 190 | — |
| S | 8th | Trey Caver | SO | 6'0" | 182 | — |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | — | Andrew Nelms← Florida Atlantic | SO | 6'1" | 195 | — |
| LS | 1st | Brendan Durkin | JR | 6'1" | 195 | — |
| P | 1st | Ian Brandt | SO | 6'2" | 194 | — |
| PK | 1st | Riley Callaghan | SR | 6'4" | 200 | — |
| PK | 2nd | Nathanial Eichner | JR | 5'9" | 160 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.6
Exp. Losses
4.4
Toss-ups
4
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
31.672
Off PPA
+0.2482
Pass PPA
+0.3782
Rush PPA
+0.1673
Success
45%76
Explosive
1.2766
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.24 | +0.02 |
| Passing | +0.37 | +0.08 |
| Rushing | +0.16 | +0.00 |
| 1st Down | +0.18 | -0.15 |
| 2nd Down | +0.22 | +0.08 |
| 3rd Down | +0.53 | +0.34 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
32.7
PPG Against
19.3
Differential
+13.4
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 9-3
- Home
- 6-0
- Away
- 3-3
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 3-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-0
- Avg Margin
- +13.4
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-0 | 34.3 | 8.5 |
| Away | 3-3 | 31.0 | 30.0 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 24.0 | 10.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 0-1 | 14.0 | 27.0 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 32.3 | 20.6 |
| Non-conference | 4-1 | 31.6 | 15.2 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 4 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-3 | 6-2 | #49 | — | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 4-4 | #95 | — | — |
| 2023 | 6-6 | 5-3 | #102 | — | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 3-9 | 2-6 | #106 | — | — |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 5-3 | #99 | — | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | #118 | — | — |
| 2019 | 1-11 | 0-8 | #125 | — | — |
| 2018 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #109 | — | — |
| 2017 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #118 | — | — |
| 2016 | 9-3 | 7-1 | #69 | — | 1-0 |
| 2015 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #112 | — | — |
| 2014 | 6-6 | 4-4 | #109 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
5-0 SU · 3-1 ATS · O0/U4
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 10-3 |
| ATS | 7-558% |
| Over / Under | 5-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 5-4 |
| As underdog | 2-1 |
| Home | 3-3 |
| Away | 4-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #112 · 0 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★105 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #96 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2025 | #102 | 144 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2024 | #125 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2023 | #122 | 95 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2022 | #106 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2021 | #100 | 136 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2020 | #94 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 2019 | #116 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2018 | #128 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2017 | #124 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 15net -7Out 22
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Hunter Patterson | RB | 3★ | ← West Liberty |
| ▲ | Raykwon Goldthwaite | OT | 3★ | ← North Alabama |
| ▲ | Jaxon Potter | QB | 3★ | ← Washington State |
| ▲ | Jivan Baly | CB | 3★ | ← NC State |
| ▼ | Tre' Brown III | WR | 4★ | → LSU |
| ▼ | Ja'Cory Thomas | WR | 4★ | → Vanderbilt |
| ▼ | Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding | WR | 3★ | → Maryland |
| ▼ | Jailen Butler | TE | 3★ | → Kansas |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
3 items
- What is Colton Joseph’s ceiling in 2026?A lot is hinging on the Badgers quarterback this season.
- Player Previews: Can QB Colton Joseph Resurrect Wisconsin's Offense?The Badgers' undisputed QB1 is the most talented gunslinger we've seen in the Luke Fickell era.
- Where will Colton Joseph rank among QBs in the Big Ten?The Badgers quarterback is one of the more exciting newcomers in the Big Ten.