Troy Trojans
Sun Belt
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #87
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- -4.8 (#87)
- SP+ Offense
- 23.6
- SP+ Defense
- 29.0
- SRS
- -7.9
- FPI
- -6.8
- Elo
- 1384
- Talent
- 562
- Recruiting
- 187 (#76)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
6.7p10 5.0 — p90 9.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 3.5% | |
| Make CFP | 0.1% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.0% | |
| Semifinal | 0.0% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 6.8–5.2
Schedule
106th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
99th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
118th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSam Houston | -27.8 | 36-20 | +16.9 | 85% | — |
| 2 | vsAlabama State | FCS | 44-5* | +39.0 | 99% | — |
| 3 | @Missouri | +14.4 | 15-37 | -22.1 | 9% | — |
| 4 | @Utah State | -3.1 | 27-32 | -5.5 | 37% | — |
| 6 | vsSouthern Miss | -7.1 | 30-25 | +5.4 | 63% | — |
| 7 | @Louisiana | -10.1 | 27-27 | +0.1 | 50% | — |
| 8 | vsUL Monroe | -21.6 | 36-20 | +15.3 | 82% | — |
| 9 | @James Madison | +12.3 | 22-34 | -11.9 | 24% | — |
| 10 | vsLouisiana Tech | -1.3 | 29-26 | +2.8 | 57% | — |
| 11 | @South Alabama | -12.7 | 28-27 | +0.4 | 51% | — |
| 12 | vsGeorgia Southern | -9.4 | 30-22 | +7.5 | 68% | — |
| 13 | @Arkansas State | -8.8 | 24-24 | +0.2 | 51% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 68
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Tucker Kilcrease | JR | 6'0" | 205 | — |
| QB | 2nd | Goose Crowder | JR | 6'2" | 215 | — |
| QB | 3rd | Ui Ale | JR | 6'0" | 210 | — |
| QB | — | Jack James | FR | 6'0" | 210 | — |
Running Backs · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Jordan Lovett | SO | 5'10" | 197 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Jarris Williams | SR | 5'10" | 210 | — |
| RB | 3rd | AC Walters | FR | 5'10" | 207 | — |
| RB | 4th | Jaheim Merriweather← Purdue | SO | 6'2" | 215 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Dennis Palmer | SO | 5'10" | 196 | — |
Wide Receivers · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Rara Thomas | SR | 6'2" | 208 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Tray Taylor | SR | 5'8" | 140 | — |
| WR | 3rd | Peyton Higgins | SR | 5'10" | 180 | — |
| WR | 4th | TJ Lott← Old Dominion | SO | 5'11" | 170 | ★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Mojo Dortch | JR | 6'0" | 172 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Ky McNulty | FR | 6'3" | 205 | — |
| WR | 7th | Jackson Thomas | SO | 6'3" | 195 | — |
Tight Ends · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Ethan Conner | SR | 6'4" | 245 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Trae Swartz | SR | 6'5" | 255 | — |
| TE | 3rd | Jackson Worley | SO | 6'4" | 245 | — |
| TE | 4th | Fabian Rogosch | JR | 6'5" | 252 | — |
Offensive Line · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Tyler Cappi | JR | 6'3" | 300 | — |
| OL | — | Eli Russ | SR | 6'4" | 300 | — |
| OT | — | Jordon Jones← Ohio | JR | 6'3" | 297 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Darion Rivers← NC State | SO | 6'6" | 315 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Donnie Smith | JR | 6'4" | 220 | — |
| DE | 2nd | Jah-Mal Williams | SR | 6'4" | 240 | — |
| DE | 3rd | Elijah Davis | SR | 6'3" | 264 | ★★★ |
| DE | 4th | Taleeq Robbins | SR | 6'1" | 285 | — |
| DE | 5th | Jabril McNeill | SR | 6'4" | 222 | ★★★ |
| DE | 6th | AZ Williams | SR | 5'11" | 203 | — |
| DE | 7th | ShuMond Johnson | FR | 6'2" | 285 | — |
| DL | 1st | Ty Clemons← Boston College | SR | 6'3" | 288 | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Luis Medina | SR | 6'1" | 305 | — |
| DT | 2nd | Julian Peterson | SR | 6'3" | 305 | — |
| DT | 3rd | Jamel Fils-Aime | SR | 6'3" | 345 | — |
| DT | 4th | Kam Curry | JR | 6'2" | 305 | — |
| DT | 5th | Jermaine Paramore | FR | 6'2" | 290 | — |
| EDGE | 1st | August Salvati← San Diego State | JR | 6'3" | 245 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Kavion Henderson← Arkansas | FR | 6'2" | 257 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Jordan Stringer | SR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Luke Hodge | JR | 6'2" | 224 | — |
| LB | 3rd | TJ Thompson | JR | 6'0" | 222 | — |
| LB | 4th | Steven Cattledge | SR | 6'3" | 236 | — |
| LB | 5th | Bryce Steele← Boston College | SR | 6'1" | 224 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Keyshawn Campbell | SO | 6'0" | 212 | — |
| LB | 7th | Keion Dunlap | FR | 6'1" | 230 | — |
| LB | 8th | Jordan Ferrell | SO | 6'4" | 225 | — |
Defensive Backs · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Kaleno Levine | SR | 5'11" | 177 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Jonathan Pennix← Southern Miss | SO | 6'0" | 180 | ★★★ |
| CB | 3rd | Jabari Strait | JR | 6'2" | 184 | — |
| CB | 4th | Shemar Welch | FR | 6'1" | 164 | — |
| CB | 5th | Trent Henry | SR | 5'11" | 194 | — |
| CB | 6th | Amare Garrett | FR | 5'11" | 184 | — |
| CB | 7th | Marlin Odom | FR | 6'2" | 188 | — |
| CB | 8th | Marcus Goree Jr.← Tennessee | FR | 6'1" | 185 | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Devin Lafayette | SR | 6'2" | 210 | ★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Justin Powe | JR | 6'0" | 204 | — |
| S | 3rd | David Daniel-Sisavanh | SR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| S | 4th | Joe Lott | FR | 6'3" | 190 | — |
| S | 5th | Rondell Carter | SO | 6'1" | 185 | — |
| S | 6th | Jordan Perry | JR | 6'2" | 214 | ★★★ |
| S | 7th | Daivon Nelson | JR | 6'3" | 204 | — |
| S | — | Knai Cook← Charleston Southern | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | — | Jalen Ballard← Ole Miss | JR | 6'2" | 195 | — |
| K | — | Ethan Head← West Virginia | SO | 6'1" | 185 | — |
| LS | 1st | Colton Walls | SO | 6'3" | 238 | — |
| P | 1st | Evan Crenshaw | JR | 6'4" | 192 | ★★★ |
| PK | 1st | Scott Taylor Renfroe | SR | 6'1" | 198 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
6.8
Exp. Losses
5.2
Toss-ups
4
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
23.631
Off PPA
+0.0818
Pass PPA
+0.1620
Rush PPA
+0.009
Success
38%15
Explosive
1.3071
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.08 | +0.11 |
| Passing | +0.16 | +0.16 |
| Rushing | +0.00 | +0.09 |
| 1st Down | -0.07 | +0.01 |
| 2nd Down | -0.06 | +0.09 |
| 3rd Down | +0.49 | +0.39 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
24.3
PPG Against
24.5
Differential
-0.2
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 8-5
- Home
- 4-2
- Away
- 4-3
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 2-3
- One-Score (≤8)
- 3-0
- Avg Margin
- -0.2
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 4-2 | 25.3 | 22.8 |
| Away | 4-3 | 23.4 | 25.9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 13.0 | 17.0 |
| Competition | |||
| Conference | 6-2 | 27.5 | 24.4 |
| Non-conference | 2-4 | 18.2 | 23.3 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 6 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-5 | 6-2 | #87 | — | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 4-8 | 3-5 | #96 | — | — |
| 2023 | 11-2 | 8-1 | #26 | — | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 11-2 | 8-1 | #44 | #19 | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #94 | — | — |
| 2020 | 5-6 | 3-4 | #54 | — | — |
| 2019 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #84 | — | — |
| 2018 | 9-3 | 7-1 | #62 | — | 1-0 |
| 2017 | 10-2 | 7-1 | #65 | — | 1-0 |
| 2016 | 9-3 | 6-2 | #63 | — | 1-0 |
| 2015 | 4-8 | 3-5 | #93 | — | — |
| 2014 | 3-9 | 3-5 | #117 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
2-3 SU · 3-1 ATS · O0/U4
Betting Profile
2025 · 13 w/ line
| Straight up | 8-6 |
| ATS | 10-377% |
| Over / Under | 5-8 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 4-1 |
| As underdog | 6-2 |
| Home | 4-2 |
| Away | 6-1 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #96 · 0 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★13 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #76 | 187 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2025 | #82 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | #89 | 159 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | #94 | 148 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | #130 | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2021 | #104 | 134 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | #84 | 154 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | #80 | 158 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | #98 | 137 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2017 | #96 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 14net -13Out 27
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Marcus Goree Jr. | CB | 3★ | ← Tennessee |
| ▲ | Bryce Steele | LB | 3★ | ← Boston College |
| ▲ | Kavion Henderson | EDGE | 3★ | ← Arkansas |
| ▲ | Knai Cook | S | 3★ | ← Charleston Southern |
| ▼ | Mojo Dortch | WR | 4★ | → — |
| ▼ | Jaquez White | CB | 3★ | → Virginia Tech |
| ▼ | Paul Bowling | IOL | 3★ | → Florida State |
| ▼ | Tae Meadows | RB | 3★ | → Auburn |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
1 items
- FSU's 2028 recruiting class ranking after Troy Silberzahn's commitmentThe FSU Seminoles have one of the 10 best 2028 recruiting classes in the country after Troy Silberzahn committed.TROY5d