Missouri Tigers
SEC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #21
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 14.4 (#21)
- SP+ Offense
- 31.2
- SP+ Defense
- 15.4
- SRS
- 10.5
- FPI
- 13.1
- Elo
- 1750
- Talent
- 805
- Recruiting
- 225 (#34)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
6.3p10 4.0 — p90 8.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 0.5% | |
| Make CFP | 1.5% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.5% | |
| Semifinal | 0.1% | |
| Natl. final | 0.1% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 6.3–5.7
Schedule
15th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
10th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
26th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsArkansas-Pine Bluff | FCS | 48-3* | +44.7 | 100% | — |
| 2 | @Kansas | +4.1 | 29-30 | -0.7 | 48% | — |
| 3 | vsTroy | -4.8 | 37-15 | +22.1 | 91% | — |
| 4 | @Mississippi State | +4.1 | 27-30 | -2.7 | 43% | — |
| 5 | vsFlorida | +3.5 | 28-22 | +6.5 | 65% | — |
| 6 | vsTexas A&M | +20.7 | 25-28 | -3.3 | 42% | — |
| 7 | @Ole Miss | +24 | 21-36 | -14.1 | 20% | — |
| 9 | @Arkansas | +5.1 | 29-29 | +0.1 | 50% | — |
| 10 | vsTexas | +16.2 | 25-26 | -1.2 | 47% | — |
| 11 | @Georgia | +24.1 | 19-34 | -14.8 | 19% | — |
| 12 | vsKentucky | +1.8 | 28-19 | +8.7 | 70% | — |
| 13 | vsOklahoma | +18.3 | 24-28 | -4.6 | 39% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 6
2026 · 76
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Austin Simmons← Ole Miss | SO | 6'4" | 215 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Matt Zollers | FR | 6'4" | 214 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Nick Evers← UConn | JR | 6'3" | 195 | ★★★ |
| QB | 4th | Sam Horn | JR | 6'4" | 222 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 5th | Brett Brown | JR | 6'1" | 180 | — |
| QB | — | Tommy Lock | SR | 6'3" | 177 | — |
Running Backs · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Ahmad Hardy | SO | 5'10" | 206 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Jamal Roberts | SO | 6'0" | 212 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Anthony Favrow | SR | 5'8" | 206 | — |
| RB | — | Xai'Shaun Edwards← Houston Christian | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| RB | — | Malae Fonoti← Montana | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Cayden Lee← Ole Miss | JR | 5'11" | 175 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Caleb Goodie← Cincinnati | JR | 6'1" | 178 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Donovan Olugbode | FR | 6'2" | 207 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 4th | DaMarion Fowlkes | FR | 5'9" | 184 | ★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Kenric Lanier II← Minnesota | SO | 6'1" | 200 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Naeshaun Montgomery← Florida | FR | 6'1" | 189 | ★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Xavier Loyd | SR | 6'2" | 196 | — |
| WR | 8th | Shaun Terry II | FR | 5'11" | 175 | ★★★★ |
Tight Ends · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Brett Norfleet | JR | 6'6" | 263 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Jude James | FR | 6'2" | 236 | — |
| TE | 3rd | Jordon Harris | JR | 6'4" | 268 | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OT | — | Luke Work← Mississippi State | SO | 6'6" | 315 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Josh Atkins← Arizona State | SR | 6'4" | 310 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Will Kemna← Kansas State | FR | 6'4" | 268 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Colin Sorensen← Charleston Southern | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 17
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Darris Smith | JR | 6'5" | 232 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 2nd | Langden Kitchen | JR | 6'6" | 264 | — |
| DE | 3rd | Daeden Hopkins | FR | 6'6" | 237 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 1st | Mark Hensley← Northern Illinois | SO | 6'3" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Donta Simpson Jr.← Miami | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Sterling Webb | SR | 6'1" | 285 | ★★ |
| DT | 2nd | Jalen Marshall | JR | 6'4" | 335 | — |
| DT | 3rd | Marquis Gracial | JR | 6'4" | 322 | ★★★★ |
| DT | 4th | Bralen Henderson | SR | 6'2" | 293 | — |
| DT | 5th | Elias Williams | FR | 6'3" | 261 | ★★★ |
| DT | 6th | Jason Dowell | FR | 6'3" | 306 | ★★★ |
| DT | 7th | Sam Williams | SO | 6'3" | 300 | — |
| EDGE | 1st | Jaden Jones← Florida State | SR | 6'5" | 253 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Kamauryn Morgan← Baylor | FR | 6'5" | 251 | ★★★★ |
| EDGE | 3rd | Malik Bryant← Miami | JR | 6'2" | 225 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | CJ May← Louisville | FR | 6'4" | 225 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Cavan Tuley← Houston | JR | 6'2" | 255 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Robert Woodyard Jr.← Auburn | JR | 6'0" | 241 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Nicholas Rodriguez | SO | 6'0" | 211 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Khalil Jacobs | SR | 6'1" | 228 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Triston Newson | SR | 6'2" | 230 | — |
| LB | 5th | Jeremiah Beasley | SO | 6'0" | 237 | — |
| LB | 6th | Dante McClellan | FR | 6'1" | 216 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 7th | Brian Huff | FR | 6'2" | 218 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Brady Hultman | JR | 5'11" | 200 | — |
| LB | 9th | Tommy Reese | JR | 6'0" | 217 | — |
| LB | — | Bobby Washington Jr.← Miami | SO | 6'3" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | — | Jason King | FR | 6'1" | 227 | — |
Defensive Backs · 17
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Stephen Hall | SR | 6'0" | 202 | — |
| CB | 2nd | Chris Graves Jr.← Ole Miss | JR | 6'0" | 185 | ★★★ |
| CB | 3rd | Drey Norwood | SR | 6'0" | 187 | — |
| CB | 4th | Elijah Dotson← Michigan | FR | 6'1" | 192 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 5th | Nick Deloach Jr. | SO | 6'0" | 187 | ★★★ |
| CB | 6th | Sione Laulea← Oregon | JR | 6'4" | 196 | ★★★ |
| CB | 7th | Cameron Keys | FR | 5'11" | 175 | ★★★ |
| CB | 8th | Nasir Pogue | SR | 6'2" | 199 | — |
| CB | — | Jahlil Florence← Oregon | JR | 6'1" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Santana Banner | SO | 6'3" | 210 | ★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Jalen Catalon | SR | 5'10" | 200 | — |
| S | 3rd | Daylan Carnell | SR | 6'2" | 225 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Kensley Louidor-Faustin← Auburn | SO | 5'11" | 183 | ★★★ |
| S | 5th | Trajen Greco | SO | 5'11" | 193 | ★★★★ |
| S | 6th | CJ Bass III | FR | 6'2" | 209 | ★★★★ |
| S | 7th | Jackson Hancock | FR | 6'0" | 196 | — |
| S | 8th | JaDon Blair← Notre Dame | FR | 6'5" | 206 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | 1st | Brunno Reus← Florida State | FR | 6'0" | 202 | ★★★ |
| LS | 1st | Brett Le Blanc | JR | 6'1" | 214 | — |
| P | 1st | Connor Weselman | SR | 6'3" | 225 | ★★★ |
| P | — | Mark Shenouda← Tennessee State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| PK | 1st | Blake Craig | SO | 5'11" | 205 | ★★★ |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
6.3
Exp. Losses
5.7
Toss-ups
5
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
31.266
Off PPA
+0.2176
Pass PPA
+0.2039
Rush PPA
+0.2493
Success
45%75
Explosive
1.2246
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.21 | +0.03 |
| Passing | +0.20 | +0.05 |
| Rushing | +0.24 | +0.03 |
| 1st Down | +0.04 | -0.17 |
| 2nd Down | +0.25 | +0.00 |
| 3rd Down | +0.51 | +0.45 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
32.2
PPG Against
19.4
Differential
+12.7
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 8-4
- Home
- 6-2
- Away
- 2-2
- Conference
- 4-4
- Non-Conference
- 4-0
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-2
- Avg Margin
- +12.8
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-2 | 39.5 | 20.6 |
| Away | 2-2 | 17.5 | 17.0 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 7.0 | 13.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 0-4 | 14.3 | 24.8 |
| Conference | 4-4 | 23.6 | 22.5 |
| Non-conference | 4-1 | 40.8 | 13.2 |
Season History · last 12
2 AP top-10 · 8 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-4 | 4-4 | #21 | #14 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #19 | #6 | 1-0 |
| 2023 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #10 | #8 | 1-0 |
| 2022 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #44 | — | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #69 | — | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 5-5 | #75 | — | — |
| 2019 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #39 | — | — |
| 2018 | 8-4 | 4-4 | #12 | — | 0-1 |
| 2017 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #28 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #70 | — | — |
| 2015 | 5-7 | 1-7 | #65 | — | — |
| 2014 | 10-3 | 7-2 | #16 | — | 1-0 |
Recent Form · last 5
2-3 SU · 2-2 ATS · O2/U2
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 8-5 |
| ATS | 6-5-155% |
| Over / Under | 6-5 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 6-2 |
| As underdog | 0-3 |
| Home | 4-3 |
| Away | 2-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #33 · 51 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★130 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #34 | 225 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| 2025 | #20 | 243 | 0 | 11 | 4 |
| 2024 | #20 | 242 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| 2023 | #34 | 211 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2022 | #15 | 237 | 1 | 8 | 3 |
| 2021 | #27 | 210 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 2020 | #50 | 183 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 2019 | #37 | 202 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 2018 | #43 | 197 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| 2017 | #43 | 188 | 0 | 2 | 11 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 30net +3Out 27
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.1 / 3.1
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Austin Simmons | QB | 4★ | ← Ole Miss |
| ▲ | Kamauryn Morgan | EDGE | 4★ | ← Baylor |
| ▲ | Cayden Lee | WR | 4★ | ← Ole Miss |
| ▲ | Elijah Dotson | CB | 4★ | ← Michigan |
| ▼ | Damon Wilson II | EDGE | 4★ | → Miami |
| ▼ | Marquis Johnson | WR | 4★ | → Mississippi State |
| ▼ | Beau Pribula | QB | 4★ | → Virginia |
| ▼ | Nate Johnson | EDGE | 3★ | → Auburn |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- Everything Eli Drinkwitz Said at SEC Media DaysMissouri football head coach Eli Drinkwitz spoke at SEC Media Days on Monday, providing several updates and sharing his thoughts on the upcoming season.MIZ6h
- Former Penn State QB wins starting job with new ACC programFormer Penn State quarterback Beau Pribula is set to lead the Virginia Cavaliers after winning the starting job.
- Missouri RB Ahmad Hardy on the mend after shooting; Eli Drinkwitz says there’s no place for gun violenceMissouri football coach Eli Drinkwitz revealed that Ahmad Hardy, who suffered a gunshot wound to his leg in May, has been medically cleared to prepare for the upcoming season and used the occasion to offer a comment about gun violence in America.
- Missouri coach Eliah Drinkwitz smashes CFP committee amid 24-team discussionMissouri has not made the college football playoff, but head coach Eliah Drinkwitz still has a proposal to make it better.MIZ8h
- Missouri star Ahmad Hardy gets cryptic return update on road to recovery from shootingMissouri star Ahmad Hardy is coming back from a shooting this offseason, but he is still a ways away from taking the field.
- Missouri RB Ahmad Hardy cleared to return after shooting; recovery timeline remains uncertainMizzou coach Eli Drinkwitz shared updates on his star running back's status after an offseason shooting required emergency surgery
- Ahmad Hardy injury update: Missouri RB 'medically cleared' after gunshot woundMissouri football coach Eliah Drinkwitz provided an update on Tigers' running back Ahmad Hardy on Monday at SEC Media Days. Here's the latest.
- Eliah Drinkwitz outlines Mizzou's starters and 'something to prove' mentalityDrinkwitz explains star RB Ahmad Hardy's rehab and overviews the Tigers' depth at each position while insisting on the motivation his squad has to make some noise in the SEC.
- Eli Drinkwitz shares encouraging Ahmad Hardy update from SEC Media DaysWith the season fast approaching, Missouri fans received some positive news regarding Ahmad Hardy's chances at suiting up this fall. The post Eli Drinkwitz shares encouraging Ahmad Hardy update from SEC Media Days appeared first on Saturday Down South.
- SEC football coaches instantly begin whining at media days in TampaMissouri coach Eli Drinkwitz made sure SEC football coaches instantly whined about the Big Ten at SEC media days in Tampa. The league looks weakerMIZ12h
- Ahmad Hardy: Might not be ready for openerHardy (leg) has been medically cleared and is working on his recovery, head coach Eli Drinkwitz told TexAgs.com in the SEC Media Day on Monday. "Ahmad has been medically cleared from the bullet that struck him, and he is on the road to recovery. The bullet did strike a bone, and that has been fully healed and clear. ... We do anticipate that he will make a full recovery." Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
- Hokies' head coach James Franklin admits 'I'm a huge Beau Pribula fan'If prediction markets had been in vogue two years ago, you could have gotten astronomical odds that both Beau Pribula and James Franklin would be in Charlotte,
- Former Penn State QB Beau Pribula Gets Fresh Start at VirginiaThe Cavaliers name Pribula as their starting quarterback for 2026.
- Beau Pribula: Named starting QBPribula has been named Virginia's starting quarterback, per Pete Nakos of On3.com. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
- Missouri Valley Football Conference coaches looking forward to new redshirt ruleJul. 17—GRAND FORKS — A year ago, UND true freshman running back Charles Langama saw his first action in college football Oct. 18 at Southern Illinois after Gaven Ziebarth suffered an injury during the game. The Fighting Hawks had six regular-season games remaining but wanted to protect Langama's redshirt status in order to not burn a full season of eligibility — as the rules in 2025 would ...MIZ3d
- 3 burning questions surrounding Virginia's quarterback room entering fall campNow that Beau Pribula was named the starter for 2026, it's time to dive into some other important questions for the quarterback room.
- Beau Pribula's ACC Kickoff message to Virginia fans has Wahoo Nation buzzingUVA QB Beau Pribula delivered a passionate call to action for Hoos fans at ACC Media Days.
- Tony Elliott names Beau Pribula Virginia's starting QB entering the 2026 seasonBeau Pribula completed 67.4% of his passes last season for 1,941 yards for Missouri with 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He also ran for 297 yards and six TDs.
- Virginia Cavaliers name starting quarterback for 2026 seasonThe Virginia Cavaliers and head coach Tony Elliott have named their starting quarterback: Missouri transfer Beau Pribula.
- Everything Virginia QB Beau Pribula had to say at ACC KickoffOn the same day that the news became official that Beau Pribula enters fall camp as Virginia's starting quarterback, he answered questions at the annual ACC Kic