Team·
Oklahoma Sooners
SEC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #14
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
18.3 (#14)
SP+ Offense
30.1
SP+ Defense
12.9
SRS
12.7
FPI
15.9
Elo
1810
Talent
883
Recruiting
253 (#15)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.9p10 6.0 — p90 10.0
RoundProb
Win conference5.5%
Make CFP15.8%
Quarterfinal8.1%
Semifinal3.1%
Natl. final1.2%
Natl. champ0.3%
Schedule
proj record 7.84.2
Schedule
3rd
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
3rd
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
3rd
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1vsUTEP-17.546-6+40.499%
2@Michigan+12.426-23+2.857%
3vsNew Mexico+0.939-16+23.893%
4@Georgia+24.120-32-11.724%
6NTexas+16.228-25+3.558%
7vsKentucky+1.837-17+19.989%
8@Mississippi State+4.132-23+9.371%
9vsSouth Carolina+5.932-23+9.171%
10@Florida+3.531-21+9.772%
11vsOle Miss+2425-30-5.138%
12vsTexas A&M+20.727-27+0.852%
13@Missouri+14.428-24+4.661%
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 54
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stJohn MateerJR6'1"224★★★
QB2ndWhitt NewbauerSO6'6"231
Running Backs · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stLloyd AvantColorado StateSO5'10"200★★★
RB2ndXavier RobinsonSO6'0"239
RB3rdTory BlaylockFR5'11"203★★★★
RB4thJaydn OttSR5'11"208★★★★
RB5thGabe SawchukFR5'10"196★★★
Wide Receivers · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stIsaiah Sategna IIIJR5'10"182★★★★
WR2ndTrell HarrisVirginiaSR6'0"200★★★★
WR3rdParker LivingstoneTexasFR6'4"191★★★★
WR4thKeontez LewisSR6'2"197★★★
WR5thJer'Michael CarterJR6'2"199
WR6thElijah ThomasFR6'0"194★★★★
WR7thIvan CarreonSO6'6"224★★★★
WR8thJacob JordanSO5'9"181
WR9thMackenzie AlleyneWashington StateFR6'1"185★★★
Tight Ends · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stRocky BeersColorado StateSR6'5"245★★★
TE2ndHayden HansenFloridaJR6'8"269★★★
TE3rdJack Van DorselaerTennesseeFR6'5"236★★★★
TE4thWill HugginsSR6'6"252
Offensive Line · 3
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OTPeyton JosephGeorgia TechFR6'4"305★★★
OTE'Marion HarrisArkansasJR6'7"300★★★★
OTFred HintonEastern Kentucky★★★
Defensive Line · 12
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DL1stBishop ThomasGeorgia StateJR6'1"295★★★
DL2ndDavid StoneSO6'3"310★★★★★
DL3rdTaylor WeinSO6'4"276
DL4thJayden JacksonSO6'2"322★★★★
DL5thDamonic WilliamsSR6'1"323★★★
DL6thMarvin Jones Jr.SR6'5"262
DL7thAdepoju AdebaworeJR6'4"261★★★★★
DL8thDanny OkoyeFR6'3"251★★★★
DL9thWyatt GilmoreFR6'4"254★★★★
DL10thNigel Smith IIFR6'4"290★★★★
DL11thTrent WilsonFR6'3"307★★★★
EDGE1stKenny OzowaluUTSAFR6'4"270★★★
Linebackers · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stKip LewisJR6'1"227★★★★
LB2ndOwen HeineckeJR6'1"227
LB3rdCole SullivanMichiganSO6'3"230★★★
LB4thTaylor HeimSO6'6"227★★★
LB5thJames NestaFR6'3"230★★★★
Defensive Backs · 10
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stDakoda FieldsOregonFR6'2"200★★★
CBPrince IjiomaMississippi Valley State★★★
DB1stPeyton BowenJR6'0"201
DB2ndCourtland GuilloryFR6'0"183★★★★
DB3rdMichael BoganowskiSO6'2"207★★★★
DB4thReggie Powers IIISO5'11"214★★★★
DB5thEli BowenSO5'9"183★★★★★
DB6thJacobe JohnsonJR6'2"208★★★★
DB7thOmarion RobinsonFR5'11"202★★★★
DB8thTrystan HaynesFR6'1"185★★★★
Special Teams · 4
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
P1stJacob UlrichSO6'5"206
PK1stTate SandellJR5'9"182
PK2ndGrayson MillerJR5'9"195
PKAustin WelchSR5'10"175
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.8
Exp. Losses
4.2
Toss-ups
3
2550751Wk 1 vs UTEP (SP+ #129) — 99% win, proj +40.4Wk 2 @ Michigan (SP+ #25) — 57% win, proj +2.83Wk 3 vs New Mexico (SP+ #73) — 93% win, proj +23.8Wk 4 @ Georgia (SP+ #6) — 24% win, proj -11.7Wk 6 vs Texas (SP+ #17) — 58% win, proj +3.57Wk 7 vs Kentucky (SP+ #66) — 89% win, proj +19.9Wk 8 @ Mississippi State (SP+ #58) — 71% win, proj +9.39Wk 9 vs South Carolina (SP+ #49) — 71% win, proj +9.1Wk 10 @ Florida (SP+ #63) — 72% win, proj +9.711Wk 11 vs Ole Miss (SP+ #7) — 38% win, proj -5.1Wk 12 vs Texas A&M (SP+ #9) — 52% win, proj +0.813Wk 13 @ Missouri (SP+ #21) — 61% win, proj +4.6WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
30.163
Off PPA
+0.1129
Pass PPA
+0.2039
Rush PPA
+0.0319
Success
40%29
Explosive
1.2454
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
010203040502014 · SP+ Overall: 19.22015 · SP+ Overall: 22.72016 · SP+ Overall: 26.12017 · SP+ Overall: 25.52018 · SP+ Overall: 24.92019 · SP+ Overall: 22.92020 · SP+ Overall: 17.82021 · SP+ Overall: 16.82022 · SP+ Overall: 15.42023 · SP+ Overall: 15.02024 · SP+ Overall: 9.52025 · SP+ Overall: 18.32014 · SP+ Offense: 39.92015 · SP+ Offense: 41.72016 · SP+ Offense: 48.72017 · SP+ Offense: 49.82018 · SP+ Offense: 54.02019 · SP+ Offense: 46.12020 · SP+ Offense: 43.02021 · SP+ Offense: 41.12022 · SP+ Offense: 40.82023 · SP+ Offense: 38.52024 · SP+ Offense: 25.92025 · SP+ Offense: 30.12014 · SP+ Defense: 22.22015 · SP+ Defense: 19.32016 · SP+ Defense: 22.92017 · SP+ Defense: 24.22018 · SP+ Defense: 30.02019 · SP+ Defense: 24.92020 · SP+ Defense: 25.22021 · SP+ Defense: 25.62022 · SP+ Defense: 26.52023 · SP+ Defense: 22.62024 · SP+ Defense: 17.82025 · SP+ Defense: 12.9141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsMateer2,262·Newbauer281
Rush YdsMateer414·Blaylock375·Robinson350
Rec YdsIII704·Livingstone350·Hansen232
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.11-0.02
Passing+0.20+0.08
Rushing+0.03-0.08
1st Down-0.04-0.26
2nd Down+0.04+0.05
3rd Down+0.48+0.30
Oklahoma — CFB · College Football Terminal