Michigan Wolverines
Big Ten
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #25
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 12.4 (#25)
- SP+ Offense
- 30.9
- SP+ Defense
- 17.0
- SRS
- 11.0
- FPI
- 14.2
- Elo
- 1786
- Talent
- 907
- Recruiting
- 270 (#12)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.5p10 6.0 — p90 9.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 0.6% | |
| Make CFP | 4.1% | |
| Quarterfinal | 1.4% | |
| Semifinal | 0.3% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 7.5–4.5
Schedule
2nd
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
6th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
1st
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsWestern Michigan | -1.4 | 38-14 | +23.5 | 92% | — |
| 2 | vsOklahoma | +18.3 | 23-26 | -2.8 | 43% | — |
| 3 | vsUTEP | -17.5 | 44-1 | +43.4 | 100% | — |
| 4 | vsIowa | +19.7 | 29-26 | +2.7 | 57% | — |
| 5 | @Minnesota | +1.5 | 33-24 | +8.6 | 70% | — |
| 7 | vsPenn State | +18.1 | 28-24 | +3.8 | 59% | — |
| 8 | vsIndiana | +32.4 | 22-28 | -6.3 | 35% | — |
| 9 | @Rutgers | +1 | 32-24 | +8.0 | 69% | — |
| 10 | vsMichigan State | -3.4 | 37-17 | +20.4 | 89% | — |
| 11 | @Oregon | +25.9 | 21-32 | -11.0 | 25% | — |
| 12 | vsUCLA | -8.7 | 37-18 | +19.7 | 88% | — |
| 13 | @Ohio State | +30.1 | 20-32 | -12.6 | 22% | — |
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 60
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Bryce Underwood | FR | 6'4" | 228 | ★★★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi← Colorado State | JR | 6'2" | 200 | ★★★ |
| QB | — | Colin Hurley← LSU | FR | 6'1" | 218 | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Jordan Marshall | SO | 5'11" | 216 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Bryson Kuzdzal | JR | 5'11" | 210 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Tomas O'Meara | SO | 5'10" | 192 | — |
| RB | 4th | Micah Ka'apana | SO | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| RB | — | Taylor Tatum← Oklahoma | SO | 5'10" | 212 | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Andrew Marsh | FR | 6'0" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Donaven McCulley | SR | 6'5" | 215 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | JJ Buchanan← Utah | FR | 6'4" | 208 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Channing Goodwin | SO | 6'1" | 197 | — |
| WR | 5th | Joe Taylor | SR | 5'10" | 190 | — |
| WR | 6th | Kendrick Bell | JR | 6'2" | 205 | ★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Logan Forbes | SR | 6'2" | 195 | — |
| WR | — | Jaime Ffrench Jr.← Texas | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Zack Marshall | JR | 6'4" | 245 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Deakon Tonielli | JR | 6'5" | 246 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Hogan Hansen | SO | 6'5" | 240 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 4th | Jalen Hoffman | JR | 6'3" | 245 | — |
Offensive Line · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Greg Crippen | SR | 6'4" | 309 | ★★★★ |
| OL | — | Jake Guarnera | SO | 6'4" | 311 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 14
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Trey Pierce | JR | 6'2" | 310 | — |
| DL | 2nd | Tre Williams | SR | 6'2" | 320 | — |
| DL | 3rd | Enow Etta | JR | 6'5" | 320 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 4th | Damon Payne | SR | 6'4" | 311 | ★★★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Ike Iwunnah | SR | 6'3" | 316 | — |
| DL | 6th | Manuel Beigel | SO | 6'5" | 312 | — |
| DL | 7th | Bobby Kanka | FR | 6'4" | 305 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Chibi Anwunah | SR | 6'5" | 300 | — |
| DL | — | Jonah Leaea← Utah | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | John Henry Daley← Utah | SO | 6'4" | 247 | ★★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Cameron Brandt | JR | 6'4" | 270 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 3rd | TJ Guy | SR | 6'4" | 250 | — |
| EDGE | 4th | Dominic Nichols | SO | 6'5" | 255 | — |
| EDGE | 5th | Nate Marshall | FR | 6'3" | 240 | — |
Linebackers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Ernest Hausmann | SR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Troy Bowles | JR | 6'0" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Max Alford← BYU | JR | 6'1" | 230 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Aisea Moa← Michigan State | JR | 6'2" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Chase Taylor | FR | 6'2" | 237 | — |
| LB | 6th | Nathaniel Owusu-Boateng | FR | 6'1" | 217 | ★★★★ |
| LB | — | Nathaniel Staehling← North Dakota State | JR | 6'2" | 238 | ★★★ |
| LB | — | Christian Pierce← Michigan | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Smith Snowden← Utah | JR | 5'10" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| CB | — | Salesi Moa← Utah | — | — | — | ★★★★ |
| DB | 1st | Jyaire Hill | JR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 2nd | Mason Curtis | SO | 6'5" | 211 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 3rd | Zeke Berry | SR | 5'11" | 196 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 4th | Jordan Young | FR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 5th | Caleb Anderson | SR | 6'3" | 200 | — |
| DB | 6th | Rod Moore | SR | 6'0" | 198 | — |
| DB | 7th | Jacob Oden | SO | 6'1" | 205 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 8th | Kainoa Winston | FR | 5'11" | 204 | — |
| DB | 9th | Nico Andrighetto | SR | 5'9" | 190 | — |
| S | 1st | Chris Bracy← Memphis | SO | 6'1" | 195 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | 1st | Trey Butkowski← Pittsburgh | FR | 6'0" | 170 | ★★★ |
| P | 1st | Cameron Brown← UNLV | FR | 6'2" | 185 | — |
| P | 2nd | Hudson Hollenbeck | SR | 6'2" | 206 | — |
| PK | 1st | Dominic Zvada | SR | 6'3" | 187 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.5
Exp. Losses
4.5
Toss-ups
3
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
30.965
Off PPA
+0.2071
Pass PPA
+0.2039
Rush PPA
+0.2493
Success
46%76
Explosive
1.146
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.20 | +0.11 |
| Passing | +0.20 | +0.22 |
| Rushing | +0.24 | +0.04 |
| 1st Down | +0.13 | -0.06 |
| 2nd Down | +0.16 | +0.06 |
| 3rd Down | +0.49 | +0.42 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
27.6
PPG Against
18.7
Differential
+8.9
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 9-3
- Home
- 5-1
- Away
- 3-2
- Neutral
- 1-0
- Conference
- 7-2
- Non-Conference
- 2-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 3-0
- Avg Margin
- +8.9
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 5-1 | 29.2 | 13.3 |
| Away | 3-2 | 26.4 | 24.4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 25.5 | 31.5 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 1-4 | 17.2 | 26.0 |
| Conference | 7-2 | 24.6 | 20.0 |
| Non-conference | 2-2 | 34.3 | 21.3 |
Season History · last 12
4 AP top-10 · 10 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-3 | 7-2 | #25 | #14 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 7-5 | 5-4 | #26 | #9 | 1-0 |
| 2023 | 13-0 | 10-0 | #1 | #1 | 2-0 |
| 2022 | 13-0 | 10-0 | #2 | #2 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 12-1 | 9-1 | #4 | #2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 2-4 | #27 | — | — |
| 2019 | 9-3 | 6-3 | #10 | — | 0-1 |
| 2018 | 10-2 | 8-1 | #10 | — | 0-1 |
| 2017 | 8-4 | 5-4 | #13 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 10-2 | 7-2 | #6 | — | 0-1 |
| 2015 | 9-3 | 6-2 | #10 | — | 1-0 |
| 2014 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #42 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
3-2 SU · 1-3 ATS · O2/U2
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-4 |
| ATS | 4-833% |
| Over / Under | 5-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 4-5 |
| As underdog | 0-3 |
| Home | 2-4 |
| Away | 2-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #14 · 158 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★237 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #12 | 270 | 2 | 10 | 5 |
| 2025 | #6 | 291 | 2 | 15 | 5 |
| 2024 | #16 | 262 | 0 | 17 | 4 |
| 2023 | #17 | 245 | 0 | 11 | 8 |
| 2022 | #9 | 262 | 1 | 9 | 6 |
| 2021 | #10 | 269 | 1 | 11 | 5 |
| 2020 | #14 | 256 | 0 | 15 | 9 |
| 2019 | #8 | 277 | 2 | 14 | 2 |
| 2018 | #22 | 231 | 0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2017 | #5 | 296 | 2 | 19 | 6 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 17net -16Out 33
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.3 / 3.2
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | JJ Buchanan | WR | 4★ | ← Utah |
| ▲ | John Henry Daley | EDGE | 4★ | ← Utah |
| ▲ | Smith Snowden | CB | 4★ | ← Utah |
| ▲ | Salesi Moa | CB | 4★ | ← Utah |
| ▼ | Justice Haynes | RB | 4★ | → Georgia Tech |
| ▼ | Jayden Sanders | CB | 4★ | → Notre Dame |
| ▼ | Jake Guarnera | IOL | 4★ | → — |
| ▼ | Elijah Dotson | CB | 4★ | → Missouri |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- An Early Look at Non-Conference Football Opponent: MichiganOklahoma will be traveling to Ann Arbor to face a new-look Wolverine squad on September 12MICH3h
- Michigan AD Warde Manuel to step down at the end of calendar year after internal investigationThe change at the top comes on the heels of a months-long investigation into the culture within the Michigan athletics departmentMICH7h
- Michigan built champions under Warde Manuel's watch as AD; now, it needs an adult in the roomFollowing a culture review and years of off-field chaos, Michigan's next athletic director must provide something Manuel did notMICH10h
- What is Warde Manuel's legacy as Michigan AD?What is Warde Manuel's legacy as Michigan AD?MICH10h
- Michigan athletics wants Warde Manuel to reform corrupt culture. That's absurd | OpinionMichigan athletics suffered from poor oversight and accountability failures. Now, it wants Warde Manuel to help lead reform. Are you kidding?MICH12h
- Michigan president addresses 'sobering' investigation findingsMichigan's Domenic Grasso put out a video statement after it was announced Warde Manuel is stepping down at the end of the calendar year.MICH12h
- Warde Manuel issues statement following announcement Michigan AD will step downMichigan athletic director Warde Manuel has released a statement on Monday after news broke that he'll be stepping down at the end of the season.MICH12h
- Warde Manuel's Departure Could Reshape the Balance of Power in the Big TenA looming vacuum at the top in Ann Arbor follows years of buried scandals and sudden coaching exits, threatening the Wolverines’ dominance while signaling a seismic shift for rivals.MICH13h
- Will Bryce Underwood thrive under new Michigan coach?ESPN identifies the development of quarterback Bryce Underwood as the key factor for Michigan football in 2026.
- What did Michigan investigation uncover about Sherrone Moore, Warde Manuel conduct?Here is what the investigation into Michigan's athletic department on fired football coach Sherrone Moore and athletic director Warde Manuel.MICH14h
- Michigan announces A.D. Warde Manuel will step down at end of calendar yearWhenever a major institution finds itself in a pickle, there's an important question regarding the extent to which transparency will apply to the de-pickling process.MICH14h
- Michigan AD Warde Manuel to step down at end of calendar yearMichigan is searching for a new athletic director after the school announced that Warde Manuel will end his embattled tenure.MICH14h
- Heather Dinich: Warde Manuel stepping down as Michigan AD not a surpriseHeather Dinich: Warde Manuel stepping down as Michigan AD not a surpriseMICH14h
- Michigan AD Warde Manuel agrees to buyout, will step down at end of 2026The school said the decision was tied to investigations into former football coach Sherrone Moore’s relationship with his executive assistant and a probe into the athletic department’s culture.MICH14h
- AD Warde Manuel leaving University of Michigan at end of calendar yearBREAKING: Athletics Director Warde Manuel will be leaving the University of Michigan at the end of the calendar year. STORY:MICH15h
- Michigan AD Warde Manuel to step down after investigation, ending embattled tenureMichigan athletic director Warde Manuel is stepping down after several scandals, including an investigation following Sherrone Moore's firing.MICH15h
- Recruiting Roundup: Michigan Football predicted to land four-star recruit from OhioMichigan Football recently received 2 predictions to land a highly coveted prospect from the state of Ohio. That and more in today’s Recruiting Roundup:MICH16h
- Michigan Wolverines are set to enter the 2026 season as one of the biggest winners, and they haven't played a game yetKyle Whittingham and the Michigan Wolverines are set to enter the 2026 season as one of the biggest winners, and they haven't played a game yet.MICH20h
- Michigan will have a new football and basketball coach at the same time…againAs was the case in 2024, Michigan will have two new coaches in its biggest sports:MICH1d
- Michigan Enters the Sweepstakes for 5-Star Elite Linebacker Nehemiah McCaryNew head coach Kyle Whittingham and staff challenges SEC giants for Alabama’s top-ranked defender, a versatile two-way phenom boasting rare athleticism and the physical frame to anchor a championship-caliber defense.MICH2d