Team·
Tennessee Volunteers
SEC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #19
Ratings
2025 final
SP+
15.0 (#19)
SP+ Offense
39.3
SP+ Defense
25.4
SRS
11.7
FPI
14.3
Elo
1787
Talent
867
Recruiting
291 (#8)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.0p10 6.0 — p90 10.0
RoundProb
Win conference3.9%
Make CFP13.7%
Quarterfinal6.1%
Semifinal1.9%
Natl. final0.4%
Natl. champ0.1%
Schedule
proj record 8.04.0
Schedule
19th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
18th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
21st
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
WkOpponentSP+ScoreProjWin%Res
1vsFurmanFCS48-3*+44.9100%
2@Georgia Tech+9.332-26+6.064%
3vsKennesaw State-5.441-8+33.198%
4vsTexas+16.227-29-2.045%
5vsAuburn+11.630-20+9.973%
6@Arkansas+5.130-24+5.363%
7vsAlabama+14.828-26+2.456%
8@South Carolina+5.930-24+6.164%
10vsKentucky+1.834-16+18.687%
11@Texas A&M+20.724-30-6.235%
12vsLSU+10.329-19+9.271%
13@Vanderbilt+20.326-27-1.147%
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 74
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
QB1stJoey AguilarSR6'3"225
QB2ndRyan StaubColoradoSO6'1"200★★★
QB3rdGeorge MacIntyreFR6'6"195★★★★
QB4thMason PhillipsFR6'1"180
Running Backs · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
RB1stDeSean BishopSO5'10"208★★★
RB2ndStar ThomasSR6'0"210
RB3rdJavin GordonTulaneFR5'10"200★★★
RB4thDaune MorrisFR5'10"195★★★★
RB5thJustin BakerFR5'10"210★★★
RB6thHunter BarnesJR6'0"196
Wide Receivers · 8
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
WR1stMike MatthewsSO6'1"200★★★★★
WR2ndBraylon StaleyFR6'0"190★★★★
WR3rdRadarious JacksonFR6'2"210★★★★
WR4thBraylon HarmonFR5'9"185
WR5thJoakim DodsonFR6'0"190★★★
WR6thTravis Smith Jr.FR6'3"210★★★★
WR7thNathan RobertsSO6'4"214
WRIan DuarteIdaho State★★★
Tight Ends · 6
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
TE1stMiles KitselmanSR6'5"255
TE2ndEthan DavisSO6'5"245★★★★
TE3rdDasaahn BrameFR6'4"230
TE4thTrent ThomasSouth AlabamaSO6'5"254★★★
TE5thCole HarrisonFR6'5"238
TEDrake MartinezUT Martin★★★
Offensive Line · 2
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
OLDavid Sanders Jr.FR6'6"305★★★★★
OTOry WilliamsLSUFR6'8"335★★★
Defensive Line · 16
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
DL1stDaevin HobbsJR6'4"290★★★★
DL2ndDominic BaileySR6'3"292★★★★
DL3rdTyree WeathersbySO6'5"265★★★★
DL4thBryson EasonSR6'3"315★★★★
DL5thXavier GilliamPenn StateFR6'2"302★★★★
DL6thNathan RobinsonSO6'6"300
DL7thJaxson MoiSR6'2"305★★★
DL8thMariyon DyeFR6'5"264★★★★
DL9thCharles House IIIFR6'3"295★★★★
DL10thEthan UtleyFR6'3"270★★★★
DL11thCarson GentleFR6'3"256
DL12thChristian GassFR6'3"217★★★★
DL13thMike Bethea IIJR6'1"215
DL14thIsaiah CampbellFR6'4"282★★★★
EDGE1stJordan NormanTulaneSO6'4"249★★★
EDGE2ndChaz ColemanPenn StateFR6'4"240★★★★★
Linebackers · 9
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
LB1stAmare CampbellPenn StateJR6'0"231★★★
LB2ndEdwin SpillmanFR6'1"230★★★
LB3rdArion CarterJR6'1"235
LB4thJeremiah TelanderJR6'2"235
LB5thBen BoltonJR6'3"233
LB6thJaedon HarmonFR6'0"215★★★★
LB7thJadon PerlotteFR6'4"210★★★★
LB8thJordan BurnsFR6'1"224★★★★
LB9thRyan ScottFR6'0"218
Defensive Backs · 18
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
CB1stKayin LeeAuburnJR5'11"180★★★
CB2ndIsaiah HardgeColoradoSO5'10"165★★★
CB3rdJadais RichardMiamiSR6'1"195★★★
CB4thTevis MetcalfMichiganSO5'10"198★★★
DB1stEdrees FarooqSO6'0"200
DB2ndAndre TurrentineSR5'11"195★★★★
DB3rdJalen McMurraySR6'0"187★★★
DB4thTy RedmondFR6'2"192
DB5thTre PoteatFR6'0"190★★★★
DB6thWilliam WrightSR6'0"198★★★★★
DB7thSidney WaltonFR6'1"196
DB8thTimothy MerrittFR6'1"185★★★
DB9thMontrell BandySR6'3"194
DB10thDylan LewisFR6'0"187★★★
S1stDJ BurksApp StateJR6'0"200★★★
S2ndTJ MetcalfMichiganJR6'1"200★★★
S3rdQua MossKansas StateJR5'10"185★★★
S4thDejuan LanePenn StateSO6'2"212★★★
Special Teams · 5
PosDepthPlayerClHtWt
K1stCooper RanvierLouisvilleFR6'2"200
LS1stBennett BradyJR6'1"210
LSBlake HowardEastern Kentucky
P1stJackson RossJR6'4"205★★
PK1stJosh TurbyvilleJR6'2"200
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
8.0
Exp. Losses
4.0
Toss-ups
3
2550751Wk 1 vs Furman — 100% win, proj +44.9 · FCS est.Wk 2 @ Georgia Tech (SP+ #35) — 64% win, proj +6.03Wk 3 vs Kennesaw State (SP+ #89) — 98% win, proj +33.1Wk 4 vs Texas (SP+ #17) — 45% win, proj -2.05Wk 5 vs Auburn (SP+ #29) — 73% win, proj +9.9Wk 6 @ Arkansas (SP+ #53) — 63% win, proj +5.37Wk 7 vs Alabama (SP+ #20) — 56% win, proj +2.4Wk 8 @ South Carolina (SP+ #49) — 64% win, proj +6.1Wk 10 vs Kentucky (SP+ #66) — 87% win, proj +18.611Wk 11 @ Texas A&M (SP+ #9) — 35% win, proj -6.2Wk 12 vs LSU (SP+ #32) — 71% win, proj +9.213Wk 13 @ Vanderbilt (SP+ #11) — 47% win, proj -1.1WEEK
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ OffOff PPAPass PPARush PPASuccessExplosive
SP+ Off
39.396
Off PPA
+0.3295
Pass PPA
+0.4189
Rush PPA
+0.2493
Success
50%98
Explosive
1.2557
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
0102030402014 · SP+ Overall: 12.22015 · SP+ Overall: 19.52016 · SP+ Overall: 16.32017 · SP+ Overall: 1.22018 · SP+ Overall: 5.52019 · SP+ Overall: 10.82020 · SP+ Overall: 0.92021 · SP+ Overall: 17.52022 · SP+ Overall: 25.22023 · SP+ Overall: 16.22024 · SP+ Overall: 22.02025 · SP+ Overall: 15.02014 · SP+ Offense: 31.02015 · SP+ Offense: 35.72016 · SP+ Offense: 39.92017 · SP+ Offense: 25.82018 · SP+ Offense: 33.42019 · SP+ Offense: 27.82020 · SP+ Offense: 24.32021 · SP+ Offense: 39.42022 · SP+ Offense: 47.32023 · SP+ Offense: 34.92024 · SP+ Offense: 33.72025 · SP+ Offense: 39.32014 · SP+ Defense: 19.92015 · SP+ Defense: 17.82016 · SP+ Defense: 25.22017 · SP+ Defense: 25.72018 · SP+ Defense: 28.92019 · SP+ Defense: 17.42020 · SP+ Defense: 23.62021 · SP+ Defense: 23.82022 · SP+ Defense: 22.62023 · SP+ Defense: 19.22024 · SP+ Defense: 13.52025 · SP+ Defense: 25.4141516171819202122232425SEASON
OverallOffenseDefense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Projected Leaders
2026 proj
Pass YdsAguilar2,962·Staub831·Phillips356
Rush YdsBishop742·Gordon355·Morris162
Rec YdsMatthews592·Staley571·Kitselman315
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
SplitOffenseDefense
Overall+0.32+0.15
Passing+0.41+0.20
Rushing+0.24+0.10
1st Down+0.15-0.03
2nd Down+0.30+0.23
3rd Down+0.75+0.43
Tennessee — CFB · College Football Terminal