Ole Miss Rebels
SEC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #7
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 24.0 (#7)
- SP+ Offense
- 40.4
- SP+ Defense
- 18.3
- SRS
- 15.8
- FPI
- 19.3
- Elo
- 2009
- Talent
- 813
- Recruiting
- 237 (#22)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.6p10 7.0 — p90 10.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 17.5% | |
| Make CFP | 47.2% | |
| Quarterfinal | 34.2% | |
| Semifinal | 16.7% | |
| Natl. final | 7.9% | |
| Natl. champ | 3.4% |
Schedule
proj record 8.8–3.2
Schedule
20th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
36th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
15th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NLouisville | +12.4 | 31-18 | +13.5 | 79% | — |
| 2 | vsCharlotte | -26.7 | 49-10 | +38.7 | 99% | — |
| 3 | vsLSU | +10.3 | 33-21 | +12.4 | 77% | — |
| 4 | @Florida | +3.5 | 33-18 | +14.2 | 81% | — |
| 6 | @Vanderbilt | +20.3 | 29-28 | +0.7 | 52% | — |
| 7 | vsMissouri | +14.4 | 36-21 | +14.1 | 80% | — |
| 8 | @Texas | +16.2 | 26-26 | 0.0 | 50% | — |
| 9 | vsAuburn | +11.6 | 32-22 | +9.7 | 72% | — |
| 10 | vsGeorgia | +24.1 | 28-31 | -2.8 | 43% | — |
| 11 | @Oklahoma | +18.3 | 30-25 | +5.1 | 62% | — |
| 12 | vsWofford | FCS | 51-3* | +47.6 | 100% | — |
| 13 | vsMississippi State | +4.1 | 32-18 | +14.5 | 81% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 71
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Trinidad Chambliss | SR | 6'1" | 200 | — |
| QB | 2nd | Deuce Knight← Auburn | FR | 6'4" | 217 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Walker Howard← Louisiana | JR | 6'0" | 190 | ★★★ |
| QB | 4th | AJ Maddox | FR | 6'1" | 185 | ★★★★ |
Running Backs · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Kewan Lacy | SO | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Makhi Frazier← Michigan State | SO | 5'10" | 218 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Logan Diggs | SR | 6'1" | 215 | ★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Damien Taylor | SR | 5'10" | 220 | — |
| RB | 5th | Shekai Mills-Knight | FR | 6'3" | 220 | ★★★★ |
| RB | — | JT Lindsey← LSU | FR | 6'0" | 191 | ★★★ |
| RB | — | Joshua Dye← Southern Utah | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Harrison Wallace III | SR | 6'1" | 195 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Deuce Alexander | SO | 6'0" | 175 | — |
| WR | 3rd | Johntay Cook← Syracuse | JR | 6'0" | 198 | ★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Darrell Gill Jr.← Syracuse | JR | 6'3" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Isaiah Spencer← Virginia Tech | SR | 6'2" | 196 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Caleb Odom | SO | 6'5" | 215 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Cameron Miller← Kentucky | FR | 5'11" | 167 | ★★★ |
| WR | 8th | Izaiah Hartrup | SR | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| WR | 9th | Horatio Fields← Auburn | SR | 6'2" | 201 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 10th | Dillon Alfred | FR | 6'0" | 180 | ★★★ |
| WR | 11th | Caleb Cunningham | FR | 6'3" | 190 | ★★★★★ |
| WR | 12th | Devin Price | SR | 6'3" | 195 | — |
Tight Ends · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Dae'Quan Wright | SR | 6'4" | 255 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Trace Bruckler | SR | 6'3" | 245 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Luke Hasz | JR | 6'3" | 240 | ★★★★ |
| TE | — | Brady Prieskorn← Michigan | SO | 6'6" | 250 | ★★★ |
Offensive Line · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | John Wayne Oliver | FR | 6'5" | 295 | — |
| OT | — | Carius Curne← LSU | FR | 6'5" | 320 | ★★★★ |
| OT | — | Tommy Kinsler IV← Miami | SO | 6'6" | 340 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Enoch Wangoy← Florida | FR | 6'7" | 333 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Kam Franklin | SO | 6'5" | 275 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 2nd | DeeJay Holmes Jr. | SO | 6'0" | 245 | ★★★ |
| DE | 3rd | Talib Graham | FR | 6'2" | 245 | ★★★ |
| DL | 1st | Michai Boireau← Florida | SO | 6'5" | 349 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | Andrew Maddox | FR | 6'4" | 280 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | Jehiem Oatis← Colorado | JR | 6'5" | 325 | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Will Echoles | SO | 6'3" | 310 | ★★★★ |
| DT | 2nd | Zxavian Harris | SR | 6'7" | 320 | — |
| DT | 3rd | Jamarious Brown | SO | 6'1" | 315 | ★★★★ |
| DT | 4th | Kamron Beavers | FR | 6'3" | 255 | ★★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Jonathan Maldonado← Nevada | JR | 6'6" | 233 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Blake Purchase← Oregon | SO | 6'3" | 245 | ★★★★ |
| EDGE | 3rd | Jordan Renaud← Alabama | SO | 6'4" | 265 | ★★★★ |
Linebackers · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Keaton Thomas← Baylor | JR | 6'2" | 229 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Luke Ferrelli← California | FR | 6'3" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Suntarine Perkins | JR | 6'1" | 210 | ★★★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Tah'j Butler← Georgia Tech | SO | 6'1" | 230 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Andrew Jones | SR | 6'2" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Tahj Chambers | SR | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| LB | 7th | Tyler Banks | SR | 6'2" | 245 | ★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Raymond Collins | JR | 6'1" | 235 | — |
| LB | 9th | Jarcoby Hopson | FR | 6'2" | 210 | ★★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Sharif Denson← Florida | JR | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★ |
| CB | 2nd | Antonio Kite | JR | 6'0" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 3rd | Jaylon Braxton | SO | 6'0" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 4th | Jay Crawford← Auburn | SO | 5'11" | 181 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 5th | Cedrick Beavers | JR | 5'10" | 175 | — |
| DB | 1st | Isreal Solomon | SO | 5'10" | 180 | — |
| S | 1st | Wydett Williams Jr. | SR | 6'2" | 205 | — |
| S | 2nd | Kapena Gushiken | SR | 6'0" | 185 | — |
| S | 3rd | Edwin Joseph← Florida State | SO | 6'0" | 198 | ★★★★ |
| S | 4th | Joenel Aguero← Georgia | JR | 5'11" | 205 | ★★★ |
| S | 5th | Sage Ryan | SR | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★★★ |
| S | 6th | Tony Mitchell← Mississippi State | JR | 6'1" | 215 | ★★★ |
| S | 7th | Nick Cull | JR | 5'11" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| S | 8th | Ladarian Clardy | FR | 6'0" | 175 | ★★★★ |
| S | 9th | Andy Jaffe | SO | 6'0" | 185 | — |
| S | 10th | Anthony Robinson III | FR | 5'11" | 195 | — |
Special Teams · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | 1st | Oscar Bird | FR | 6'4" | 205 | — |
| PK | 1st | Lucas Carneiro | JR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
8.8
Exp. Losses
3.2
Toss-ups
3
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
40.499
Off PPA
+0.3194
Pass PPA
+0.4696
Rush PPA
+0.1673
Success
49%92
Explosive
1.2868
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.31 | +0.11 |
| Passing | +0.46 | +0.11 |
| Rushing | +0.16 | +0.16 |
| 1st Down | +0.11 | -0.03 |
| 2nd Down | +0.39 | +0.14 |
| 3rd Down | +0.59 | +0.40 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
37.3
PPG Against
20.1
Differential
+17.2
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 11-1
- Home
- 8-0
- Away
- 3-1
- Conference
- 7-1
- Non-Conference
- 4-0
- One-Score (≤8)
- 5-1
- Avg Margin
- +17.2
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 9-0 | 39.0 | 15.6 |
| Away | 3-1 | 34.3 | 27.8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 33.0 | 32.5 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 2-2 | 33.8 | 33.5 |
| Conference | 7-1 | 33.3 | 25.4 |
| Non-conference | 6-1 | 41.1 | 16.1 |
Season History · last 12
5 AP top-10 · 8 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-1 | 7-1 | #7 | #3 | 2-1 |
| 2024 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #2 | #5 | 1-0 |
| 2023 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #12 | #10 | 1-0 |
| 2022 | 8-4 | 4-4 | #14 | #7 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #17 | #8 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 4-5 | #47 | — | 1-0 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 2-6 | #52 | — | — |
| 2018 | 5-7 | 1-7 | #33 | — | — |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #26 | — | — |
| 2016 | 5-7 | 2-6 | #25 | — | — |
| 2015 | 9-3 | 6-2 | #3 | — | 1-0 |
| 2014 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #14 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 1-1 ATS · O1/U1
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 13-2 |
| ATS | 7-558% |
| Over / Under | 6-6 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 6-4 |
| As underdog | 1-1 |
| Home | 5-3 |
| Away | 2-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #22 · 84 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★150 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #22 | 237 | 0 | 8 | 5 |
| 2025 | #16 | 252 | 1 | 10 | 7 |
| 2024 | #21 | 240 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 2023 | #23 | 228 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 2022 | #23 | 222 | 0 | 6 | 5 |
| 2021 | #18 | 235 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2020 | #34 | 204 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 2019 | #22 | 238 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2018 | #32 | 211 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 2017 | #31 | 208 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 28net +3Out 25
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.4 / 3.4
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Darrell Gill Jr. | WR | 4★ | ← Syracuse |
| ▲ | Carius Curne | OT | 4★ | ← LSU |
| ▲ | Deuce Knight | QB | 4★ | ← Auburn |
| ▲ | Jay Crawford | CB | 4★ | ← Auburn |
| ▼ | Princewill Umanmielen | EDGE | 5★ | → LSU |
| ▼ | Austin Simmons | QB | 4★ | → Missouri |
| ▼ | Da'Shawn Womack | EDGE | 4★ | → Auburn |
| ▼ | Devin Harper | IOL | 4★ | → LSU |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- Why Ole Miss' 2027 Recruiting Class Looks Different Than Any in Program HistoryThe Ole Miss Rebels are set up nicely for the future.MISS6h
- ESPN Analyst Throws Shade at Ole Miss' Championship Chances in 2026It appears Rebels already have some in the media who don't believe in the team's chances for the 2026 season.MISS10h
- SEC Commissioner Confirms They’re Considering Radical MoveThe SEC and its commissioner, Greg Sankey, kicked off Media Day after a fascinating 2025 college football season.Last year, the SEC had a whopping five teams represent it in the College Football Playoffs, the most of any conference by a long shot. The Ole Miss Rebels made it the furthest, but only got to the […] The post SEC Commissioner Confirms They’re Considering Radical Move appeared first on HEAVY.MISS11h
- Which Ole Miss Players Are Living Up to Their NIL Expectations?While the final verdict won't yet to be rendered until season's end, the Ole Miss Rebels already have players living up to their NIL expectations.MISS13h
- Eliah Drinkwitz previews Mizzou's potential, commitment to developmentDrinkwitz excitedly discusses Ole Miss transfer QB Austin Simmons' arm talent, while addressing the returners on defense and explains how the Tigers look to develop their players.MISS13h
- Florida Gators' 2026 Schedule Preview: Ole Miss RebelsJon Sumrall’s inaugural season faces a brutal SEC litmus test as Trinidad Chambliss and Kewan Lacy bring a high-powered Rebels offense to Gainesville for a high-stakes showdown.
- Transfer portal-heavy teams built to crash the 2026 CFP: LSU, Ole Miss reloads offer potentialA look at 10 teams with potentially more than a dozen transfer starters this season, capable of getting to the College Football PlayoffMISS14h
- How Close Is Ole Miss to Competing for an SEC Championship?After being the last team standing in a strong 2025 campaign, where are the Rebels standing in relation to a chance at the SEC championship?MISS1d
- One Returning Player Ready to Become a Star for Ole MissThis player has the chance to be a star throughout the 2026 season.MISS1d
- The Biggest Concern Nobody Is Talking About for the Ole Miss RebelsThe one issue that isn't getting a lot of attention as the Ole Miss Rebels prepare for the 2026 season.MISS1d
- Ole Miss DB Ladarian Clardy hosts youth camp in late brother's memoryOle Miss player and Escambia alum Ladarian Clardy hosted a football camp to honor his brother, who was killed in a July 2021 shooting.
- Four-star safety chooses Georgia over Ole Miss, LSUGeorgia football pulled in a big, local recruiting win on Saturday by beating out Ole Miss and LSU for this safety.MISS2d
- Why Joe Judge Is Emerging as One of Ole Miss' Biggest Recruiting AssetsAfter being named head coach of the offense, Joe Judge is quickly becoming a big asset for Ole Miss, not just on the field though.MISS2d
- Clemson’s Dabo Swinney breaks silence on Ole Miss tampering caseClemson head coach Dabo Swinney is giving a specific answer when asked what he has heard about the NCAA's tampering investigation.MISS2d
- Ole Miss' Legal Fight With LSU Could Have Major Impact Down the LineThe Ole Miss vs. LSU matchup has become more than a game months before it's even played.MISS2d
- Podcast: Thoughts on SEC Media Days, Ole Miss-LSU Buyout SagaSEC Media Days is less than a week away from taking place in Tampa, FloridaMISS2d
- Can Ole Miss finally become college football champions despite Lane Kiffin leaving?The college football world watched an all-too-familiar development last season when Lane Kiffin left Ole Miss. He, of course, departed for the LSU head coach job. Despite the abrupt move, Ole Miss went on a deep playoff run that nearly…MISS2d
- Why Trinidad Chambliss Might Be the Best Returning QB in College FootballAs the college football season approaches, there should be no debate on who the best quarterback in the country is.
- 5 Reasons to Believe Ole Miss Can Exceed Expectations This SeasonThe Rebels have a lot of experience and talent that will help them play for a national championship.MISS3d
- CFB27: Ole Miss Season SimulationSEC Media Days are right around the corner (literally, on Monday) with full team practices allowed to start 29 days prior to their first contest. So basically people, college football season is HERE. Last season, EA Sports was not much of a believer in Ole Miss during simulations. However, Trinidad Chambliss was not even in […]