Louisville Cardinals
ACC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #25
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 12.4 (#25)
- SP+ Offense
- 31.6
- SP+ Defense
- 19.8
- SRS
- 9.3
- FPI
- 10.2
- Elo
- 1749
- Talent
- 701
- Recruiting
- 212 (#48)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.6p10 6.0 — p90 10.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 7.1% | |
| Make CFP | 8.9% | |
| Quarterfinal | 2.3% | |
| Semifinal | 0.5% | |
| Natl. final | 0.2% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 7.7–4.3
Schedule
53rd
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
66th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
47th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NOle Miss | +24 | 18-31 | -13.5 | 21% | — |
| 2 | vsVillanova | FCS | 47-3* | +44.1 | 100% | — |
| 3 | vsSMU | +13.4 | 28-26 | +2.3 | 56% | — |
| 4 | vsWake Forest | +5.7 | 33-22 | +10.8 | 74% | — |
| 5 | @NC State | +4.8 | 28-27 | +1.6 | 54% | — |
| 6 | vsFlorida State | +7.2 | 29-24 | +5.6 | 63% | — |
| 7 | @Syracuse | -13.1 | 37-22 | +14.9 | 82% | — |
| 9 | vsStanford | -11.8 | 32-19 | +13.2 | 79% | — |
| 10 | @Georgia Tech | +9.3 | 25-28 | -3.1 | 43% | — |
| 11 | @North Carolina | -6.6 | 33-19 | +14.2 | 81% | — |
| 12 | vsPittsburgh | +8.4 | 27-20 | +7.3 | 67% | — |
| 13 | @Kentucky | +1.8 | 27-25 | +2.2 | 55% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 77
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Miller Moss | SR | 6'2" | 210 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Lincoln Kienholz← Ohio State | JR | 6'3" | 214 | ★★★ |
| QB | — | Davin Wydner← West Georgia | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Isaac Brown | SO | 5'9" | 190 | ★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Keyjuan Brown | SO | 5'10" | 210 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Braxton Jennings | FR | 5'11" | 195 | — |
| RB | 4th | Marquise Davis← Missouri | FR | 6'0" | 213 | ★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Caullin Lacy | SR | 5'10" | 190 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Tre Richardson← Vanderbilt | JR | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Lawayne McCoy← Florida State | SO | 6'1" | 184 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Dacari Collins | SR | 6'4" | 215 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Kris Hughes | SO | 5'11" | 195 | — |
| WR | 6th | TreyShun Hurry | JR | 6'2" | 195 | — |
| WR | 7th | Terrence McWilliams Jr. | JR | 6'0" | 190 | — |
| WR | 8th | Bobby Golden | JR | 5'9" | 185 | ★★★ |
| WR | 9th | Montavin Quisenberry← Kentucky | FR | 5'10" | 170 | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Jaedon King | JR | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| WR | — | Elizjah Lewis← Pace | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Jackson Voth← Drake | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| WR | — | Jakob Dixon← Eastern Kentucky | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Brody Foley← Tulsa | JR | 6'6" | 260 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Jaleel Skinner | JR | 6'5" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Justyn Reid← Tulane | JR | 6'5" | 255 | ★★★ |
| TE | 4th | Jacob Stewart | SR | 6'5" | 230 | — |
| TE | 5th | Davon Mitchell | FR | 6'3" | 260 | ★★★★ |
Offensive Line · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Pete Nygra | SR | 6'4" | 300 | ★★★ |
| OL | — | Tyler Folmar | FR | 6'6" | 325 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Anwar O'neal← Delaware | JR | 6'5" | 309 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Cason Henry← South Carolina | JR | 6'6" | 310 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 17
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Clev Lubin | JR | 6'3" | 250 | ★★ |
| DL | 2nd | Wesley Bailey | SR | 6'5" | 265 | — |
| DL | 3rd | AJ Green | SO | 6'6" | 250 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 4th | Rene Konga | SR | 6'4" | 300 | — |
| DL | 5th | Jerod Smith II← Kentucky | SO | 6'4" | 275 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Jordan Guerad | SR | 6'2" | 300 | ★★★ |
| DL | 7th | Demeco Kennedy← Purdue | SO | 6'2" | 305 | ★★★ |
| DL | 8th | Denzel Lowry | SR | 6'1" | 290 | — |
| DL | 9th | Micah Carter | SO | 6'6" | 255 | — |
| DL | 10th | Maurice Davis | FR | 6'4" | 235 | — |
| DL | 11th | Daylen Russell← Miami | FR | 6'3" | 275 | ★★★ |
| DL | 12th | Eric Hazzard | FR | 6'3" | 250 | ★★★ |
| DL | 13th | Jayshaun Coffman | SR | 6'5" | 285 | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Tommy Ziesmer← Eastern Kentucky | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DL | — | Joshua Donald← Houston | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Tyler Thompson← North Carolina | SO | 6'4" | 225 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Jacob Smith← Kentucky | FR | 6'4" | 242 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | TJ Quinn | SR | 6'1" | 235 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Kalib Perry | SR | 6'3" | 230 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Antonio Watts | JR | 6'2" | 225 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | T.J. Capers | SO | 6'2" | 225 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Stanquan Clark | JR | 6'3" | 235 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Trent Carter | FR | 6'3" | 225 | ★★★ |
| LB | 7th | Jaxon Panariello | SO | 6'2" | 225 | — |
| LB | 8th | Cameron White | FR | 6'1" | 225 | — |
| LB | — | Ben Perry← UCLA | SR | 6'3" | 210 | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | DJ Waller Jr.← Kentucky | JR | 6'3" | 203 | ★★★ |
| CB | 2nd | Santana Wilson← Texas | FR | 6'0" | 174 | ★★★ |
| CB | — | Brycen Scott← Elon | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | D'Angelo Hutchinson | SR | 6'3" | 200 | ★★★ |
| DB | 2nd | JoJo Evans Jr. | SR | 6'1" | 200 | — |
| DB | 3rd | Corey Gordon | JR | 6'2" | 195 | — |
| DB | 4th | Tayon Holloway | JR | 6'1" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 5th | Jabari Mack | SR | 6'1" | 185 | — |
| DB | 6th | Blake Ruffin | SR | 6'3" | 205 | — |
| DB | 7th | Nigel Williams | SR | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★ |
| DB | 8th | Rodney Johnson | SR | 6'2" | 200 | — |
| DB | 9th | Jaden Minkins | SO | 5'10" | 180 | — |
| DB | 10th | Destin Cheirs | FR | 6'2" | 185 | — |
| S | 1st | Koen Entringer← Iowa | JR | 6'1" | 211 | ★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Kaleb Beasley← Tennessee | SO | 6'1" | 200 | ★★★ |
| S | 3rd | TJ Banks← Ole Miss | SO | 6'1" | 190 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | — | Garth White← Rhode Island | — | — | — | — |
| LS | 1st | Shai Kochav | SR | 6'3" | 230 | — |
| LS | 2nd | Ryan Manis← Liberty | FR | 6'1" | 225 | ★★★ |
| P | — | Jacob Baker← Eastern Kentucky | — | — | — | — |
| PK | 1st | David Chapeau | SR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| PK | 2nd | Nick Keller | JR | 6'1" | 200 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.7
Exp. Losses
4.3
Toss-ups
4
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
31.672
Off PPA
+0.1543
Pass PPA
+0.1620
Rush PPA
+0.1980
Success
45%74
Explosive
1.2029
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.15 | +0.06 |
| Passing | +0.16 | +0.06 |
| Rushing | +0.19 | +0.08 |
| 1st Down | +0.08 | -0.09 |
| 2nd Down | +0.12 | +0.09 |
| 3rd Down | +0.31 | +0.31 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
30.2
PPG Against
21.1
Differential
+9.1
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 8-4
- Home
- 5-3
- Away
- 3-1
- Conference
- 4-4
- Non-Conference
- 4-0
- One-Score (≤8)
- 2-3
- Avg Margin
- +9.1
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 5-3 | 33.8 | 18.9 |
| Away | 3-1 | 23.0 | 25.5 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 27.0 | 22.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 1-1 | 15.0 | 29.5 |
| Conference | 4-4 | 25.3 | 25.6 |
| Non-conference | 5-0 | 37.4 | 14.0 |
Season History · last 12
1 AP top-10 · 10 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-4 | 4-4 | #25 | #14 | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 8-4 | 5-3 | #21 | #15 | 1-0 |
| 2023 | 10-3 | 7-2 | #33 | #9 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #39 | — | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 4-4 | #52 | — | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 3-7 | #38 | — | — |
| 2019 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #61 | — | 1-0 |
| 2018 | 2-10 | 0-8 | #98 | — | — |
| 2017 | 8-4 | 4-4 | #14 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 9-3 | 7-1 | #9 | — | 0-1 |
| 2015 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #26 | — | 1-0 |
| 2014 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #23 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
2-3 SU · 1-3 ATS · O1/U3
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-4 |
| ATS | 4-833% |
| Over / Under | 5-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 2-7 |
| As underdog | 2-1 |
| Home | 1-7 |
| Away | 3-1 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #45 · 30 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★130 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #48 | 212 | 0 | 4 | 11 |
| 2025 | #68 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2024 | #58 | 187 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 2023 | #31 | 218 | 0 | 7 | 8 |
| 2022 | #51 | 188 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 2021 | #38 | 198 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 2020 | #42 | 194 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2019 | #69 | 166 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 2018 | #30 | 214 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| 2017 | #34 | 205 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 33net -6Out 39
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.1 / 3.1
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Tre Richardson | WR | 4★ | ← Vanderbilt |
| ▲ | Lawayne McCoy | WR | 4★ | ← Florida State |
| ▲ | Brody Foley | TE | 4★ | ← Tulsa |
| ▲ | Lincoln Kienholz | QB | 3★ | ← Ohio State |
| ▼ | Isaac Brown | RB | 4★ | → — |
| ▼ | Jordan Church | IOL | 4★ | → Texas Tech |
| ▼ | AJ Green | EDGE | 4★ | → — |
| ▼ | Davon Mitchell | TE | 4★ | → — |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
15 items
- ACC Portal TrackerLouisville has loaded up and will be a serious challenge for Duke and the rest of the ACC.LOU1d
- Transcript: Jeff Brohm, Louisville Players at 2026 ACC Football KickoffQuarterback Lincoln Kienholz, offensive lineman Lance Robinson and defensive end Clev Lubin accompanied the head coach of the Cardinals at the ACC Football Kickoff.LOU4d
- UConn football commit Aden Norris. Recruiting profile of Louisville seniorA look at Louisville High School football star Aden Norris, a UConn commit, including his stats and other college football recruiting offers.LOU4d
- 2025-26 LCPT Semifinals: Brian Mandel vs. Louisville Football’s November SwoonFingers crossed that this voting mechanism works out better. BRIAN MANDEL HOW THEY GOT HERE: Defeated Indiana Football (91%-9%) in the quarterfinals RAP SHEET: —Texas man who lost a reported $80,000 bet on Louisville’s Nov. 8 overtime loss to Cal. —Following the game, Mandel set threatening messages to Jeff Brohm, Brian Brohm, Miller Moss and […]
- Louisville adds 4-star DL, former Tennessee commitFife spurned the SEC to play for the Cardinals.LOU5d
- ACC football predictions, preseason awards, all-conference teamsCan Malachi Toney and Darian Mensah get Miami back to the CFP? Will SMU, Louisville and Clemson push the Canes in the ACC? See our preseason poll.LOU6d
- 2026 FSU Schedule Preview: Louisville CardinalsThe last two times Florida State football has taken the field against Louisville, head coach Mike Norvell picked up two of his best wins while in charge of the Seminole program. However, with this matchup sandwiched between two in-conference games, including Miami a week later, a loss to the Cardinals could kick the hot-seat talk […]LOU17d
- Which Louisville Players Will Earn Another Year of Eligibility from Five-for-Five?These are the current Cardinals who are set to earn another year of eligibility thanks to the NCAA's new rule change.LOU20d
- 11 Louisville Players Named Athlon Sports Preseason All-ACC SelectionsThe Cardinals have the second-most selections in the conference.LOU21d
- EA Sports College Football 27's Player Ratings for Louisville63 Cardinals will be available to play with at launch.LOU23d
- 4-star WR picks Kentucky Wildcats over Notre Dame, LouisvilleWill Stein and the Kentucky Wildcats will be confident about their future receiving crops after landing Tyler Fryman.LOU24d
- Player Previews: QB Deuce Adams Brings Intriguing Skills to MadisonOver the course of the summer leading up to Big Ten Media Days and fall camp, Badgers On SI will extensively preview Wisconsin football's roster with a write-up
- Louisville loses 4-star CB to VanderbiltTop-100 cornerback in the 2027 recruiting class, Allen Evans IV, has flipped his commitment from Louisville to Vanderbilt.LOU24d
- Elite '27 CB, Louisville Commit Allen Evans IV Flips to SEC SchoolEvans was the Cardinals' highest-ranked commit in the cycle.LOU24d
- Jeff Brohm, Louisville's Players Have Split Opinion on CFP ExpansionThe College Football Playoff seems hellbent on expanding their field, but not everyone with the Cardinals are on board with it.LOU26d