SMU Mustangs
ACC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #23
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 13.4 (#23)
- SP+ Offense
- 34.2
- SP+ Defense
- 19.5
- SRS
- 11.0
- FPI
- 12.5
- Elo
- 1852
- Talent
- 767
- Recruiting
- 226 (#32)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.6p10 7.0 — p90 10.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 15.8% | |
| Make CFP | 22.4% | |
| Quarterfinal | 7.4% | |
| Semifinal | 1.6% | |
| Natl. final | 0.4% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.1% |
Schedule
proj record 8.6–3.4
Schedule
76th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
89th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
69th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Florida State | +7.2 | 26-30 | -3.1 | 43% | — |
| 2 | vsUC Davis | FCS | 47-3* | +44.4 | 100% | — |
| 3 | @Louisville | +12.4 | 26-28 | -2.3 | 44% | — |
| 4 | vsMissouri State | -10.7 | 42-15 | +27.6 | 95% | — |
| 5 | vsBoston College | -8.5 | 35-14 | +20.4 | 89% | — |
| 7 | vsVirginia | +11.1 | 31-23 | +8.1 | 69% | — |
| 8 | vsCalifornia | -3.2 | 35-20 | +14.5 | 81% | — |
| 9 | @Syracuse | -13.1 | 38-21 | +17.7 | 86% | — |
| 10 | vsVirginia Tech | -10.1 | 35-24 | +11.6 | 76% | — |
| 11 | vsWake Forest | +5.7 | 33-18 | +14.8 | 82% | — |
| 12 | @Notre Dame | +24.4 | 20-35 | -14.9 | 18% | — |
| 13 | @Stanford | -11.8 | 36-21 | +15.0 | 82% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 3
2026 · 65
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Kevin Jennings | JR | 6'0" | 192 | ★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Charlie Fiser | JR | 6'1" | 186 | — |
| QB | 3rd | Ty Hawkins | FR | 6'0" | 203 | ★★★★ |
Running Backs · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Kendrick Raphael← California | JR | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | T.J. Harden | SR | 6'2" | 220 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Derrick McFall | FR | 5'11" | 187 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Shaadie Clayton-Johnson | SR | 6'1" | 204 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Dramekco Green | FR | 6'0" | 203 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 6th | Zach Hernandez | FR | 5'6" | 188 | — |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Jordan Hudson | SR | 6'1" | 200 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Yamir Knight | JR | 5'8" | 186 | — |
| WR | 3rd | Romello Brinson | SR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Yannick Smith← East Carolina | SO | 6'3" | 207 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Jalen Cooper | FR | 6'2" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Link Rhodes | JR | 6'2" | 200 | — |
| WR | 7th | Daylon Singleton | FR | 5'11" | 178 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 8th | Carterrious Brown | FR | 6'2" | 190 | ★★★ |
| WR | 9th | Dylan Goffney | SR | 6'0" | 216 | — |
| WR | 10th | Henry Stickler | SO | 6'2" | 185 | — |
| WR | 11th | Keaton Cheves | JR | 5'11" | 190 | — |
| WR | — | Jalen Hale← Alabama | SO | 6'1" | 197 | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | RJ Maryland | SR | 6'4" | 240 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Randy Pittman Jr.← Florida State | JR | 6'2" | 237 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Theo Melin Ohrstrom← Texas A&M | JR | 6'6" | 257 | ★★★★ |
| TE | — | Stone Eby | SR | 6'5" | 260 | — |
| TE | — | Trey Jackson← Texas Tech | FR | 6'5" | 240 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Isaiah Smith | SR | 6'4" | 248 | — |
| DE | 2nd | Cameron Robertson | SR | 6'4" | 260 | — |
| DE | 3rd | Jahkai Lang | SO | 6'3" | 255 | — |
| DE | 4th | Trey Wilson | JR | 6'3" | 275 | — |
| DE | — | Jalen Shivers | FR | 6'4" | 280 | — |
| DL | 1st | Christian Davis← Louisiana Tech | SO | 6'3" | 318 | ★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | Malcolm Alcorn-Crowder← Kansas State | JR | 6'6" | 305 | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Terry Webb | SR | 6'3" | 313 | — |
| DT | 2nd | Jeffrey M'ba | SR | 6'6" | 312 | — |
| DT | 3rd | Keveion'ta Spears | SR | 6'4" | 313 | ★★★ |
| DT | 4th | Kevin Allen | SO | 6'2" | 291 | — |
| DT | 5th | Woo Spencer | SO | 6'4" | 316 | ★★★ |
| DT | 6th | Blake Burris | SR | 6'5" | 308 | — |
| EDGE | 1st | Marques White← Massachusetts | SR | 6'2" | 250 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Ira Singleton← South Florida | SO | 6'5" | 240 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Brandon Booker | SO | 6'1" | 225 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Alexander Kilgore | JR | 6'1" | 230 | — |
| LB | 3rd | Brandon Miyazono | JR | 6'1" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Caden Marshall← Bowling Green | FR | 6'2" | 215 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Jamal Anderson← Clemson | JR | 6'2" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Xavier Wright | SO | 6'0" | 230 | — |
Defensive Backs · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Jarvis Lee← South Florida | JR | 5'11" | 185 | ★★★ |
| CB | 2nd | William Nettles | FR | 6'0" | 195 | — |
| CB | 3rd | Deuce Harmon | SR | 5'10" | 190 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 4th | Marcellus Barnes Jr. | FR | 6'1" | 180 | ★★★★ |
| CB | 5th | Jaelyn Davis-Robinson | JR | 6'1" | 190 | ★★★ |
| CB | 6th | La'Modrick Spencer | JR | 6'1" | 191 | — |
| CB | 7th | Javion Holiday | FR | 6'1" | 186 | — |
| CB | 8th | Jayvon Thomas← Texas A&M | JR | 5'11" | 196 | ★★★ |
| S | 1st | Ahmaad Moses | SR | 5'10" | 205 | ★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Isaiah Nwokobia | SR | 6'1" | 205 | — |
| S | 3rd | Jaden Milliner-Jones | JR | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Tyren Polley | FR | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | 5th | Jaylen Moses | SO | 5'10" | 191 | ★★★ |
| S | 6th | Abdul Muhammad | SO | 5'8" | 180 | ★★★ |
| S | 7th | Ka'Davion Dotson-Walker | FR | 5'11" | 185 | — |
| S | 8th | Sael Reyes | FR | 6'1" | 197 | — |
Special Teams · 2
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LS | 1st | Morgan Tribbett | SO | 5'11" | 230 | — |
| P | 1st | Wade McSparron | FR | 6'3" | 236 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
8.6
Exp. Losses
3.4
Toss-ups
2
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
34.285
Off PPA
+0.2585
Pass PPA
+0.4189
Rush PPA
+0.1460
Success
43%61
Explosive
1.3793
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.25 | +0.03 |
| Passing | +0.41 | +0.17 |
| Rushing | +0.14 | -0.05 |
| 1st Down | +0.13 | -0.11 |
| 2nd Down | +0.19 | +0.10 |
| 3rd Down | +0.58 | +0.28 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
32.9
PPG Against
20.7
Differential
+12.2
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 8-4
- Home
- 5-1
- Away
- 3-3
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 2-2
- One-Score (≤8)
- 1-3
- Avg Margin
- +12.3
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 5-1 | 36.0 | 19.2 |
| Away | 3-3 | 29.8 | 22.2 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 24.0 | 19.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 2-0 | 32.0 | 13.0 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 32.0 | 17.8 |
| Non-conference | 3-2 | 32.6 | 25.0 |
Season History · last 12
1 AP top-10 · 6 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-4 | 6-2 | #23 | #16 | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 11-2 | 8-1 | #12 | #8 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 11-2 | 9-0 | #24 | #17 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #56 | — | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 8-4 | 4-4 | #44 | #19 | — |
| 2020 | 7-3 | 4-3 | #31 | — | — |
| 2019 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #47 | — | 0-1 |
| 2018 | 5-7 | 4-4 | #93 | — | — |
| 2017 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #82 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #104 | — | — |
| 2015 | 2-10 | 1-7 | #120 | — | — |
| 2014 | 1-11 | 1-7 | #125 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 3-1 ATS · O2/U2
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 9-4 |
| ATS | 5-742% |
| Over / Under | 4-8 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 3-6 |
| As underdog | 2-1 |
| Home | 3-3 |
| Away | 2-4 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #71 · 15 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★120 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #32 | 226 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 2025 | #31 | 221 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 2024 | #107 | 142 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 2023 | #72 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2022 | #82 | 146 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 2021 | #53 | 182 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 2020 | #81 | 157 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2019 | #68 | 167 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2018 | #87 | 152 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2017 | #80 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 14net -11Out 25
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.2 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Kendrick Raphael | RB | 4★ | ← California |
| ▲ | Yannick Smith | WR | 4★ | ← East Carolina |
| ▲ | Theo Melin Ohrstrom | TE | 4★ | ← Texas A&M |
| ▲ | Randy Pittman Jr. | TE | 3★ | ← Florida State |
| ▼ | Chris Johnson Jr. | RB | 3★ | → Clemson |
| ▼ | Kyron Chambers | CB | 3★ | → UNLV |
| ▼ | Paris Patterson Jr. | IOL | 3★ | → Texas |
| ▼ | Elijah Pratt | S | 3★ | → UAB |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
8 items
- 2026 ACC Media Day Storylines: SMU MustangsRhett Lashlee discussed Kevin Jennings’ Heisman campaign, his new coordinators, and more at ACC Media Days.
- SMU Head Coach Rhett Lashlee Unleashes Defense of ACCIt may not be usual what happened at ACC Media Day, but SMU Mustangs head coach Rhett Lashlee certainly had something to say that was different from the other coaches.Most coaches focus on their teams and how they are shaping up for the 2026 season. Lashlee was very different from the rest as he started […] The post SMU Head Coach Rhett Lashlee Unleashes Defense of ACC appeared first on HEAVY.SMU3d
- SMU Football Preview 2026: The Mustangs Are Among the ACC EliteIt's been a great run so far for SMU in the ACC, but can it put it all together and go even further?SMU3d
- SMU launches a Heisman push for Kevin Jennings and is putting QB’s name on a new recovery centerThe third-year hometown starting quarterback, who led the Mustangs to the College Football Playoff two seasons ago, is believed to be the first player to have an area on any campus named for him while still active in his college career.
- SMU and Kevin Jennings are a perfect fit -- with big CFP and Heisman Trophy dreamsRhett Lashlee has spent all offseason promoting senior quarterback Kevin Jennings. Just how far can the duo take SMU this season?
- Why SMU named its recovery center after current QB Kevin JenningsMost buildings are named after players whose legacies are cemented. SMU instead chose to honor its starting QB.
- SMU Wants Kevin Jennings to Win the Heisman Trophy. Here's How It Could Happen.The Mustangs are campaigning for their quarterback to win the Heisman. What would that look like?
- Kevin Jennings for Heisman? Why a hometown long shot could take SMU to the top of the sportDespite posting some of the nation's best numbers, the quiet SMU quarterback is ready to shatter expectations and launch an unlikely Heisman Trophy campaign