Virginia Cavaliers
ACC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #31
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 11.1 (#31)
- SP+ Offense
- 28.8
- SP+ Defense
- 18.1
- SRS
- 9.8
- FPI
- 8.3
- Elo
- 1637
- Talent
- 667
- Recruiting
- 172 (#111)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.4p10 7.0 — p90 10.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 8.2% | |
| Make CFP | 14.3% | |
| Quarterfinal | 4.6% | |
| Semifinal | 1.1% | |
| Natl. final | 0.3% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.1% |
Schedule
proj record 8.5–3.5
Schedule
81st
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
92nd
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
76th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNC State | +4.8 | 30-23 | +6.9 | 66% | — |
| 2 | vsNorfolk State | FCS | 47-3* | +43.7 | 100% | — |
| 3 | NWest Virginia | -6.8 | 34-18 | +16.2 | 84% | — |
| 4 | vsDelaware | -10.9 | 39-12 | +27.0 | 95% | — |
| 5 | @Florida State | +7.2 | 25-28 | -3.7 | 41% | — |
| 6 | vsSyracuse | -13.1 | 36-19 | +16.8 | 85% | — |
| 7 | @SMU | +13.4 | 23-31 | -8.1 | 31% | — |
| 8 | vsDuke | +6.6 | 29-20 | +9.1 | 71% | — |
| 9 | @Wake Forest | +5.7 | 30-27 | +3.0 | 57% | — |
| 11 | vsCalifornia | -3.2 | 32-21 | +11.9 | 76% | — |
| 12 | vsNorth Carolina | -6.6 | 32-17 | +15.5 | 83% | — |
| 13 | @Virginia Tech | -10.1 | 32-28 | +4.5 | 61% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 4
2026 · 93
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Chandler Morris | SR | 6'0" | 192 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 2nd | Beau Pribula← Missouri | SR | 6'2" | 212 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Eli Holstein← Pittsburgh | SO | 6'4" | 225 | ★★★ |
| QB | 4th | Cole Geer | FR | 6'1" | 205 | — |
Running Backs · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | J'Mari Taylor | SR | 5'9" | 204 | — |
| RB | 2nd | Jekail Middlebrook← Middle Tennessee | SO | 5'10" | 196 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Solomon Beebe← UAB | SO | 5'10" | 205 | ★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Harrison Waylee | SR | 5'10" | 212 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Peyton Lewis← Tennessee | SO | 6'1" | 212 | ★★★ |
| RB | 6th | Xavier Brown | SR | 5'10" | 198 | — |
| RB | 7th | Noah Vaughn | JR | 5'9" | 199 | ★★★ |
| RB | 8th | Xay Davis | FR | 5'10" | 193 | ★★★ |
| RB | 9th | Owen Gardner | SR | 5'6" | 180 | — |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Cam Ross | SR | 5'10" | 186 | ★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Jacquon Gibson← Massachusetts | JR | 5'11" | 195 | ★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Jahmal Edrine | SR | 6'3" | 221 | ★★★ |
| WR | 4th | Kameron Courtney | SO | 5'11" | 193 | — |
| WR | 5th | Rico Flores Jr.← UCLA | SO | 6'2" | 205 | ★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Tyson Davis← Central Michigan | JR | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Jayden Thomas | SR | 6'2" | 220 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 8th | Dillon Newton-Short | FR | 6'0" | 210 | — |
| WR | 9th | Isaiah Robinson | FR | 6'2" | 185 | — |
| WR | 10th | TyLyric Coleman | JR | 6'2" | 194 | ★★★ |
| WR | 11th | Josiah Abdullah | FR | 5'10" | 186 | — |
| WR | — | Da'Shawn Martin← Kent State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Tight Ends · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Sage Ennis | SR | 6'4" | 245 | — |
| TE | 2nd | Dakota Twitty | SR | 6'5" | 245 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | John Rogers | SO | 6'4" | 235 | ★★★ |
| TE | 4th | Lukas Ungar← New Mexico State | SR | 6'4" | 245 | ★★★ |
| TE | 5th | Connor Cox← North Carolina | SO | 6'6" | 250 | ★★★ |
| TE | 6th | Walker Wallace | SR | 6'7" | 242 | — |
Offensive Line · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | McKale Boley | SR | 6'5" | 316 | — |
| OL | — | Jack Witmer | SR | 6'7" | 306 | — |
| OL | — | Noah Josey | SR | 6'5" | 310 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Alex Payne← USC | FR | 6'5" | 305 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 20
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DE | 1st | Mitchell Melton | SR | 6'4" | 256 | ★★★★ |
| DE | 2nd | Fisher Camac | SR | 6'7" | 248 | ★★ |
| DE | 3rd | Cazeem Moore | SR | 6'4" | 252 | — |
| DE | 4th | Billy Koudelka | SO | 6'8" | 255 | — |
| DE | 5th | Jewett Hayes | SO | 6'4" | 233 | — |
| DE | — | Mekhi Buchanan | JR | 6'4" | 245 | — |
| DL | 1st | Zion Wilson← East Carolina | SR | 6'3" | 318 | ★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | Daniel Rickert | SR | 6'2" | 232 | — |
| DL | 3rd | Jonathan Allen← UAB | SO | 6'2" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DL | 4th | Jacob Holmes | SR | 6'2" | 290 | ★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Kervins Choute← UConn | SR | 6'4" | 295 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Darrion Henry-Young← Coastal Carolina | SR | 6'4" | 283 | ★★★ |
| DT | 1st | Jason Hammond | JR | 6'2" | 295 | ★★★ |
| DT | 2nd | Jahmeer Carter | SR | 6'2" | 311 | — |
| DT | 3rd | Anthony Britton | JR | 6'3" | 317 | ★★★ |
| DT | 4th | Sichan John | FR | 6'3" | 322 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Nnanna Anyanwu← UTSA | SO | 6'5" | 240 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 2nd | Matthew Fobbs-White← Baylor | JR | 6'3" | 235 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Devon Baxter← Michigan | SO | 6'6" | 247 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | — | Ezekiel Larry← Yale | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Kam Robinson | JR | 6'2" | 234 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | James Jackson | SR | 6'3" | 234 | ★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Maddox Marcellus | JR | 6'2" | 228 | — |
| LB | 4th | Landon Danley | JR | 6'3" | 222 | ★★★ |
| LB | 5th | Myles Brown | SO | 6'3" | 220 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Trey McDonald | SR | 6'4" | 235 | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 27
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Jacobie Henderson← Rutgers | SR | 5'11" | 198 | ★★★ |
| CB | 2nd | Justin Ross← Navy | SO | 6'2" | 185 | ★★★ |
| CB | 3rd | Omillio Agard← Wisconsin | FR | 5'11" | 183 | ★★★ |
| CB | 4th | CJ Spence | FR | 6'4" | 190 | — |
| CB | 5th | Kevon Gray | SO | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| CB | 6th | Josiah Persinger | FR | 5'11" | 170 | ★★★ |
| CB | 7th | John Hurley | SR | 5'11" | 179 | — |
| CB | — | Jam Jackson | SR | 6'2" | 191 | — |
| CB | — | Patrick Campbell← Dartmouth | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | Christian Charles | SR | 6'1" | 200 | — |
| DB | 2nd | Donavon Platt | SR | 5'11" | 204 | — |
| DB | 3rd | Jordan Robinson | SR | 6'4" | 210 | — |
| DB | 4th | Da'Marcus Crosby II | SR | 6'2" | 193 | — |
| DB | 5th | Lukas Sanker | FR | 6'0" | 180 | — |
| S | 1st | Devin Neal | SR | 6'0" | 214 | — |
| S | 2nd | Jaylen Jones← Georgia State | SO | 6'1" | 195 | ★★★ |
| S | 3rd | Jalen McNair← Buffalo | SR | 5'9" | 198 | ★★★ |
| S | 4th | Brandyn Hillman← Michigan | JR | 6'0" | 200 | ★★★ |
| S | 5th | Ethan Minter | SO | 6'0" | 201 | ★★★ |
| S | 6th | Corey Costner | FR | 6'1" | 201 | — |
| S | 7th | Antonio Clary | SR | 6'0" | 204 | ★★★ |
| S | 8th | Caleb Hardy | JR | 6'4" | 215 | ★★★ |
| S | 9th | Christian Ellis← Virginia Tech | SR | 6'0" | 202 | ★★★ |
| S | 10th | Montino Williams | FR | 6'2" | 187 | ★★★ |
| S | 11th | Robbie Engelberg | SR | 5'11" | 195 | — |
| S | 12th | Kevin Chadwick Jr. | JR | 5'11" | 205 | — |
| S | 13th | Keke Adams | SO | 6'0" | 192 | — |
Special Teams · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LS | 1st | Bryce Robinson | SR | 6'7" | 265 | — |
| LS | — | Wyatt Rubinoff← New Hampshire | — | — | — | — |
| P | 1st | Daniel Sparks | SR | 6'6" | 217 | — |
| P | 2nd | Elijah Slibeck | JR | 6'6" | 239 | — |
| PK | 1st | Will Bettridge | SR | 5'11" | 183 | ★★★ |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
8.5
Exp. Losses
3.5
Toss-ups
2
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
28.860
Off PPA
+0.1756
Pass PPA
+0.2347
Rush PPA
+0.1876
Success
41%41
Explosive
1.2867
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
SP+ Trend
points vs avg team
— Overall— Offense— Defense
SP+ = opponent-adjusted points vs an average team. Overall & Offense higher = better; Defense lower = better.
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.17 | +0.06 |
| Passing | +0.23 | +0.13 |
| Rushing | +0.18 | +0.05 |
| 1st Down | -0.02 | -0.06 |
| 2nd Down | +0.13 | +0.09 |
| 3rd Down | +0.68 | +0.22 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
32.2
PPG Against
20.5
Differential
+11.6
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 10-3
- Home
- 6-1
- Away
- 4-1
- Neutral
- 0-1
- Conference
- 7-1
- Non-Conference
- 3-2
- One-Score (≤8)
- 4-3
- Avg Margin
- +11.6
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-1 | 36.4 | 17.7 |
| Away | 4-1 | 28.6 | 23.2 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 16.5 | 17.0 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 2-0 | 21.5 | 17.0 |
| Conference | 7-1 | 30.3 | 20.3 |
| Non-conference | 4-2 | 31.5 | 18.7 |
Season History · last 12
0 AP top-10 · 4 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-3 | 7-1 | #31 | #12 | 1-0 |
| 2024 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #91 | — | — |
| 2023 | 3-9 | 2-6 | #105 | — | — |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 1-6 | #95 | — | — |
| 2021 | 6-6 | 4-5 | #55 | — | — |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 4-5 | #63 | — | — |
| 2019 | 9-4 | 6-3 | #43 | — | 0-1 |
| 2018 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #42 | — | 1-0 |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #69 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 2-10 | 1-7 | #83 | — | — |
| 2015 | 4-8 | 3-5 | #70 | — | — |
| 2014 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #60 | — | — |
Recent Form · last 5
3-2 SU · 2-2 ATS · O0/U4
Betting Profile
2025 · 13 w/ line
| Straight up | 11-3 |
| ATS | 8-562% |
| Over / Under | 4-9 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 5-4 |
| As underdog | 3-1 |
| Home | 5-2 |
| Away | 3-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #61 · 7 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★130 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #111 | 172 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2025 | #58 | 196 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2024 | #88 | 160 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2023 | #64 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2022 | #66 | 167 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 2021 | #31 | 205 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2020 | #48 | 186 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 2019 | #39 | 201 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| 2018 | #59 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 2017 | #58 | 173 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 30net +8Out 22
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.0 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Beau Pribula | QB | 4★ | ← Missouri |
| ▲ | Matthew Fobbs-White | EDGE | 3★ | ← Baylor |
| ▲ | Zion Wilson | DL | 3★ | ← East Carolina |
| ▲ | Brandyn Hillman | S | 3★ | ← Michigan |
| ▼ | Trell Harris | WR | 4★ | → Oklahoma |
| ▼ | Emmanuel Karnley | CB | 3★ | → Washington |
| ▼ | Hunter Osborne | DL | 3★ | → Arkansas |
| ▼ | Bjorn Jurgensen | QB | 3★ | → Hawai'i |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
16 items
- Trell Harris: Nears full health for campHarris (lower body) is close to being ready to return after undergoing surgery in the spring, according to George Stoia of Sooner Scoop. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
- Arkansas Football's Most Important Players for 2026: No. 8, Hunter OsborneSilverfield, Roberts believe veteran defensive tackle can become cornerstone of Hogs' rebuilt line
- CFB 27 simulated Virginia's 2026 season and UVA fans won't believe the resultsWe simulated UVA's 2026 season in the newly released College Football 27 game, and it delivered a finish that could have Cavaliers fans dreaming big.UVA10d
- How good will Virginia's 2027 football recruiting class eventually be?Football recruiting is, at best, an inexact science. Many top high school prospects flame out at the college level due to injuries, low grades, poor institutiUVA12d
- Virginia football: Which position groups are ACC Championship caliber?Virginia football was one or two plays away from winning the ACC Championship in 2025. A defensive stop late in the game could have punched the Cavaliers' tickeUVA12d
- One reason Virginia football could win each game in 2026Going 12-0 is a near-impossible feat for most college football teams. That formula often requires a historically elite roster, along with a manageable schedule.UVA13d
- Red, White and Hoos: Virginia football and military academiesCoach Tony Elliott focuses on leadership development. It can fuel a program. It is no coincidence that Virginia features an expanding cohort of coaches (and plaUVA16d
- Ranking the 5 best quarterbacks Virginia will face in the 2026 seasonThe Cavaliers are set to play some great signal-callers this year, both in and out of conference.UVA18d
- Which Virginia football players could become fan favorites in 2026?It takes more than talent for athletes to earn the reputation as fan favorites. Sure, it's easy to cheer for Patrick Mahomes or Myles Garrett based on their on-UVA19d
- Virginia Football Preview 2026: Finish the JobVirginia came achingly close to winning the ACC Championship. The pieces are there to make another push.UVA19d
- Would future ACC expansion help Virginia?Conference realignment was one of the defining developments of the last decade (and more) for the NCAA. The Power Five became a Power Four, the Big 12 lost itsUVA19d
- Cavaliers get a commitment from 2027 WR Prospect Markus LeeVirginia's wide receivers room figures to get a lot more full -- and more competitive -- in 2027. Varina's Markus Lee became the fourth receiver to commit to thUVA24d
- Two Most Likely Heisman Trophy Contenders For Virginia in 2026The Heisman Trophy is the highest individual honor in college football, awarded annually to the most outstanding player in the country. The idea of a Virginia CUVA24d
- 2026 FSU Schedule Preview: Virginia CavaliersThough FSU still holds a strong advantage in the head-to-head record, four of the five losses it has suffered to the Virginia Cavaliers have happened in heartbreaking fashion. Cries of “Dunn was in!” still echo across the minds of Seminole faithful, over 30 years later. A missed game-winning field goal attempt by Dustin Hopkins in […]UVA24d
- Which matchups are trap games for Virginia football in 2026?Just because Virginia's 2026 football schedule is somewhat forgiving doesn't mean the Cavaliers can spend the fall on cruise control. The Cavaliers won't face AUVA26d
- 3 rising stars on Virginia football's coaching staff entering the 2026 seasonTony Elliott did an excellent job putting together this coaching staff, and now it's time to recognize 3 assistants who could be next in line for bigger jobs soon.UVA28d