Florida State Seminoles
ACC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #41
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 7.2 (#41)
- SP+ Offense
- 29.3
- SP+ Defense
- 21.2
- SRS
- 8.4
- FPI
- 9.4
- Elo
- 1556
- Talent
- 828
- Recruiting
- 252 (#16)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
7.1p10 5.0 — p90 9.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 1.4% | |
| Make CFP | 1.9% | |
| Quarterfinal | 0.5% | |
| Semifinal | 0.1% | |
| Natl. final | 0.0% | |
| Natl. champ | 0.0% |
Schedule
proj record 7.2–4.8
Schedule
35th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
47th
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
30th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsNew Mexico State | -15.5 | 45-13 | +32.1 | 97% | — |
| 1 | vsSMU | +13.4 | 30-26 | +3.1 | 57% | — |
| 3 | @Alabama | +14.8 | 22-31 | -9.2 | 29% | — |
| 4 | vsCentral Arkansas | FCS | 46-3* | +42.6 | 100% | — |
| 5 | vsVirginia | +11.1 | 28-25 | +3.7 | 59% | — |
| 6 | @Louisville | +12.4 | 24-29 | -5.6 | 37% | — |
| 7 | @Miami | +20.7 | 21-32 | -10.8 | 26% | — |
| 9 | vsClemson | +9.5 | 29-24 | +4.9 | 62% | — |
| 10 | @Boston College | -8.5 | 32-20 | +12.2 | 77% | — |
| 11 | @Pittsburgh | +8.4 | 26-26 | -0.4 | 49% | — |
| 12 | vsNC State | +4.8 | 28-20 | +7.5 | 68% | — |
| 13 | vsFlorida | +3.5 | 28-22 | +5.7 | 64% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 5
2026 · 67
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Tommy Castellanos | SR | 5'11" | 201 | — |
| QB | 2nd | Ashton Daniels← Auburn | SR | 6'2" | 219 | ★★★ |
| QB | 3rd | Kevin Sperry | FR | 6'1" | 212 | ★★★★ |
| QB | 4th | Michael Grant | SO | 6'3" | 217 | — |
| QB | — | Dean DeNobile← Lafayette | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Running Backs · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Quintrevion Wisner← Texas | JR | 6'0" | 194 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | Gemari Sands← Florida Atlantic | SO | 6'0" | 195 | ★★★ |
| RB | 3rd | Ousmane Kromah | FR | 6'1" | 214 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Samuel Singleton Jr. | SO | 5'11" | 201 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Zay Parks | FR | 5'11" | 196 | — |
| RB | 6th | Caziah Holmes | SR | 5'11" | 219 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 7th | Roydell Williams | SR | 5'10" | 221 | ★★★★★ |
| RB | 8th | Jeremiah Johnson | FR | 5'11" | 207 | — |
Wide Receivers · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Duce Robinson | JR | 6'6" | 222 | ★★★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Micahi Danzy | FR | 6'1" | 189 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Squirrel White | SR | 5'10" | 170 | — |
| WR | 4th | Jayvan Boggs | FR | 6'1" | 204 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Teriq Mallory | FR | 6'5" | 208 | — |
| WR | 6th | Gavin Blackwell | SR | 5'11" | 185 | ★★★★ |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Desirrio Riles← East Carolina | JR | 6'3" | 238 | ★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Landen Thomas | SO | 6'4" | 239 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Markeston Douglas | SR | 6'5" | 270 | ★★★ |
| TE | 4th | Chase Loftin | FR | 6'6" | 223 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 5th | Greyson Labiad | JR | 6'3" | 250 | — |
Offensive Line · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Andre Otto | SO | 6'5" | 325 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Xavier Chaplin← Auburn | JR | 6'7" | 348 | ★★★★ |
| OT | — | Nate Pabst← Bowling Green | SR | 6'5" | 315 | ★★★ |
| OT | — | Chimdia Nwaiwu← Stephen F. Austin | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Mandrell Desir | FR | 6'4" | 265 | — |
| DL | 2nd | Daniel Lyons | JR | 6'4" | 292 | ★★★ |
| DL | 3rd | Deante McCray | JR | 6'4" | 274 | — |
| DL | 4th | Darryll Desir | FR | 6'5" | 261 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Jordan Sanders← Texas State | JR | 6'4" | 285 | ★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Deamontae Diggs | SR | 6'5" | 258 | — |
| DL | 7th | Tylon Lee | FR | 6'4" | 277 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 8th | Grant Fielder | SO | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| DL | 9th | Kevin Wynn | FR | 6'2" | 343 | ★★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Rylan Kennedy← Texas A&M | SO | 6'3" | 239 | ★★★ |
Linebackers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Chris Jones← Southern Miss | SO | 6'0" | 230 | ★★★ |
| LB | 2nd | Blake Nichelson | JR | 6'3" | 229 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Elijah Herring | SR | 6'2" | 235 | — |
| LB | 4th | Stefon Thompson | SR | 6'1" | 240 | — |
| LB | 5th | Omar Graham Jr. | JR | 6'1" | 235 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Mikai Gbayor← North Carolina | SR | 6'2" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 7th | AJ Cottrill | JR | 6'0" | 228 | — |
| LB | 8th | Ashton Bracewell | SO | 6'3" | 225 | — |
Defensive Backs · 17
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CB | 1st | Nehemiah Chandler← South Alabama | FR | 6'2" | 185 | ★★★ |
| CB | 2nd | Karson Hobbs← Notre Dame | SO | 6'1" | 188 | ★★★ |
| DB | 1st | Ashlynd Barker | JR | 6'3" | 216 | — |
| DB | 2nd | Jeremiah Wilson | SR | 5'10" | 183 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 3rd | Ja'Bril Rawls | SO | 6'1" | 185 | — |
| DB | 4th | K.J. Kirkland | SO | 6'1" | 212 | ★★★ |
| DB | 5th | Shyheim Brown | SR | 6'2" | 205 | — |
| DB | 6th | Quindarrius Jones | JR | 6'2" | 192 | ★★★ |
| DB | 7th | Christian White | JR | 5'11" | 172 | — |
| DB | 8th | Charles Lester III | FR | 6'1" | 193 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 9th | Max Redmon | FR | 6'1" | 196 | ★★★ |
| DB | 10th | Donny Hiebert | JR | 6'2" | 200 | — |
| DB | 11th | Antonio Cromartie Jr. | FR | 6'0" | 185 | ★★★ |
| DB | 12th | Jamari Howard | FR | 6'2" | 197 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 13th | Ricky Knight III | FR | 6'0" | 177 | ★★★★ |
| S | 1st | Ma'Khi Jones← Duke | FR | 5'10" | 190 | ★★★ |
| S | — | CJ Richard Jr.← Illinois State | — | — | — | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | — | Gabe Panikowski← Oklahoma State | SR | 5'10" | 190 | ★★★ |
| K | — | Conor McAneney← Quincy | — | — | — | ★★★ |
| P | 1st | Daniel Hughes← New Mexico | SO | 6'5" | 235 | — |
| P | — | Carter Jula← UNLV | FR | 6'1" | 205 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
7.2
Exp. Losses
4.8
Toss-ups
3
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
29.361
Off PPA
+0.3092
Pass PPA
+0.3576
Rush PPA
+0.2896
Success
47%88
Explosive
1.3689
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.30 | +0.15 |
| Passing | +0.35 | +0.22 |
| Rushing | +0.28 | +0.10 |
| 1st Down | +0.15 | -0.06 |
| 2nd Down | +0.15 | +0.18 |
| 3rd Down | +0.87 | +0.37 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
33.0
PPG Against
22.0
Differential
+11.0
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 5-7
- Home
- 5-2
- Away
- 0-5
- Conference
- 2-6
- Non-Conference
- 3-1
- One-Score (≤8)
- 0-4
- Avg Margin
- +11.0
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 5-2 | 43.3 | 16.1 |
| Away | 0-5 | 18.6 | 30.2 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 1-1 | 26.5 | 22.5 |
| Conference | 2-6 | 25.1 | 24.3 |
| Non-conference | 3-1 | 48.8 | 17.5 |
Season History · last 12
3 AP top-10 · 7 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5-7 | 2-6 | #41 | #7 | — |
| 2024 | 2-10 | 1-7 | #83 | #10 | — |
| 2023 | 13-0 | 9-0 | #9 | #3 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #23 | #11 | 1-0 |
| 2021 | 5-7 | 4-5 | #53 | — | — |
| 2020 | 3-6 | 2-6 | #89 | — | — |
| 2019 | 6-6 | 4-4 | #57 | — | 0-1 |
| 2018 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #71 | — | — |
| 2017 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #9 | — | 1-0 |
| 2016 | 9-3 | 5-3 | #7 | — | 1-0 |
| 2015 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #5 | — | 0-1 |
| 2014 | 13-0 | 9-0 | #2 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
2-3 SU · 2-3 ATS · O1/U4
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 5-7 |
| ATS | 5-742% |
| Over / Under | 5-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 4-5 |
| As underdog | 1-2 |
| Home | 5-2 |
| Away | 0-5 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #14 · 136 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★201 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #16 | 252 | 0 | 11 | 10 |
| 2025 | #19 | 244 | 0 | 13 | 5 |
| 2024 | #12 | 272 | 0 | 16 | 3 |
| 2023 | #19 | 237 | 1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2022 | #20 | 229 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| 2021 | #22 | 215 | 0 | 8 | 4 |
| 2020 | #22 | 238 | 0 | 7 | 5 |
| 2019 | #19 | 244 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| 2018 | #11 | 265 | 0 | 13 | 8 |
| 2017 | #6 | 293 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 22net -21Out 43
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.1 / 3.2
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Quintrevion Wisner | RB | 4★ | ← Texas |
| ▲ | Xavier Chaplin | OT | 4★ | ← Auburn |
| ▲ | Mikai Gbayor | LB | 4★ | ← North Carolina |
| ▲ | CJ Richard Jr. | S | 3★ | ← Illinois State |
| ▼ | Mandrell Desir | EDGE | 4★ | → — |
| ▼ | Ja'Bril Rawls | CB | 4★ | → — |
| ▼ | Darryll Desir | EDGE | 4★ | → — |
| ▼ | Ashlynd Barker | S | 4★ | → — |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
- FSU commit impresses at 7-on-7 eventFour-star athlete Za'Kari Johnson recently committed to the FSU Seminoles, and he is already showing why he could be a difference-maker.FSU12h
- Could Jimbo Fisher Coach Again at Florida State?Despite a record-shattering buyout, the former national champion craves a return to the sidelines. Could a struggling program reunite with its winningest coach to reclaim lost glory?FSU1d
- FSU Football Misses On Top Defensive LinemanFlorida State takes a hit on the defensive front despite a solid haul thus far.FSU2d
- FSU gets prediction to land elite in-state 2028 edgeFlorida State has received a prediction to land another blue-chip recruit. This time it's 2028 edge Meshi Dobson.FSU2d
- Former Florida State Championship Coach Open To College Football ReturnThe former FSU head coach is itching to get back on the sideline.FSU2d
- Florida State beats Georgia, Tennessee for blue-chip 2027 safetyThe Seminoles defense received a big boost for their class of 2027.FSU2d
- FSU's recruiting class ranking after Ta'Shaen Poole's commitmentThe FSU Seminoles beat out several SEC schools for top 100 safety Ta'Shawn Poole, and he is now their highest-ranked commit.FSU2d
- FSU Football QB Commit Has Two-Word Reaction To Home Run Recruiting WinFlorida State's possible quarterback of the future is fired up.FSU2d
- Ranking FSU’s best-ever games: 30-21Across 898 games and 80 seasons in the books, there have been plenty of memorable moments in the story of Florida State Seminoles football. The challenge we issued to you was helping narrow them down, establishing the 50 best Seminole games. It was a difficult task, but one that you all helped make happen. Now, […]FSU2d
- 4-star safety picks Florida State over Georgia, TennesseeFlorida State landed four-star safety Ta'Shawn Poole over Georgia and Tennessee, giving HC Mike Norvell his top recruit in the 2027 class.FSU2d
- 4-Star Safety Ta’Shawn Poole Commits to Florida StateMike Norvell beats out SEC rivals to land a top-100 talent, signaling a massive recruiting surge as the Seminoles rebuild their secondary with elite defensive playmakers.FSU2d
- Florida State Lands Top-100 Safety Ta'Shawn Poole Over Georgia, TennesseeA massive victory for the Florida State Seminoles.FSU3d
- 2027 Georgia safety, Vols' target commits to Florida State football2027 four-star safety commits to Florida State football over Tennessee and Georgia.FSU3d
- 4-star safety Ta'Shawn Poole commits to Florida StateFour-star safety Ta'Shawn Poole commits to Florida State, providing a major boost to the Seminoles' 2027 class.FSU3d
- Florida State gets commitment from key blue-chip safetyFlorida State has landed its top target of the 2027 recruiting class as four-star safety Ta'Shawn Poole has committed.FSU3d
- 4-star safety Ta’Shawn Poole commits to Florida State over Georgia and TennesseeFlorida State landed one of the Peach State’s top defensive backs. Four-star safety Ta’Shawn Poole announced his commitment to the Seminoles, choosing Mike Norvell’s program over finalists Georgia and Tennessee. The Macon (Ga.) Howard standout, ranked No. 75 in the Rivals Industry Ranking, entered the summer with Florida State carrying much of the momentum after […]FSU3d
- Key DL target intrigued by FSU's developmentFSU is a finalist for Karlos May, and the Seminoles' ability to develop defensive linemen has him intrigued ahead of his commitment.FSU3d
- ACC freshmen to watch in 2026: Miami, Florida State among teams with impact first-year playersA handful of first-year ACC players could become household names early in the seasonFSU3d
- FSU's Duce Robinson named one of the players to watch in the ACCAfter a stellar season in 2025 that garnered him All-ACC honors, FSU wide receiver Duce Robinson has been named a player to watch in the conference.
- ‘Hottest Seat’ — Florida State Legend Issues Brutal Ultimatum on Mike Norvell As $51M Decision LoomsMike Norvell luckily saved his job in the 2025 season, which saw the firings of multiple big names in college football head coaching, including James Franklin and Brian Kelly. However, that might change in the upcoming season, and Florida State Legend Danny Kanell reflected on this week how hot Norvell’s seat will be.FSU4d