Miami Hurricanes
ACC
0-0 (0-0 conf)
SP+ #9
Ratings
2025 final
- SP+
- 20.7 (#9)
- SP+ Offense
- 34.2
- SP+ Defense
- 14.3
- SRS
- 22.2
- FPI
- 22.4
- Elo
- 2014
- Talent
- 875
- Recruiting
- 285 (#9)
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
9.7p10 8.0 — p90 11.0
| Round | Prob | |
|---|---|---|
| Win conference | 55.8% | |
| Make CFP | 75.1% | |
| Quarterfinal | 51.3% | |
| Semifinal | 21.0% | |
| Natl. final | 8.3% | |
| Natl. champ | 3.2% |
Schedule
proj record 9.9–2.1
Schedule
64th
toughest of 136
Offenses faced
93rd
toughest of 136
Defenses faced
56th
toughest of 136
Strength of schedule — how tough this team's opponents are, ranked 1 (hardest) to 136 (easiest) · by 2025 SP+ · 1 FCS game.
| Wk | Opponent | SP+ | Score | Proj | Win% | Res |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Stanford | -11.8 | 38-17 | +21.8 | 91% | — |
| 2 | vsFlorida A&M | FCS | 50-3* | +46.6 | 100% | — |
| 3 | @Wake Forest | +5.7 | 35-20 | +15.4 | 82% | — |
| 4 | vsCentral Michigan | -8.8 | 45-8 | +37.3 | 99% | — |
| 5 | @Clemson | +9.5 | 28-21 | +6.7 | 66% | — |
| 7 | vsFlorida State | +7.2 | 32-21 | +10.8 | 74% | — |
| 8 | vsPittsburgh | +8.4 | 32-16 | +16.0 | 83% | — |
| 9 | @North Carolina | -6.6 | 34-13 | +20.7 | 90% | — |
| 10 | @Notre Dame | +24.4 | 22-30 | -7.3 | 33% | — |
| 11 | vsDuke | +6.6 | 33-16 | +17.3 | 85% | — |
| 12 | vsVirginia Tech | -10.1 | 38-19 | +19.4 | 88% | — |
| 13 | vsBoston College | -8.5 | 38-10 | +28.2 | 96% | — |
* FBS-vs-FCS estimate from the SP+ gap — no per-game model for FCS opponents.
Quarterbacks · 2
2026 · 58
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Darian Mensah← Duke | SO | 6'3" | 205 | ★★★★ |
| QB | — | Luke Nickel | FR | 6'2" | — | ★★★★ |
Running Backs · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Mark Fletcher Jr. | JR | 6'2" | 225 | ★★★★ |
| RB | 2nd | CharMar Brown | SO | 5'11" | 214 | — |
| RB | 3rd | Girard Pringle Jr. | FR | 5'10" | — | ★★★★ |
| RB | 4th | Chris Wheatley-Humphrey | FR | 6'0" | 180 | ★★★ |
| RB | 5th | Jordan Lyle | SO | 6'0" | 190 | ★★★★ |
Wide Receivers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Malachi Toney | FR | 5'11" | — | ★★★★ |
| WR | 2nd | Cooper Barkate← Duke | SR | 6'1" | 195 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 3rd | Keelan Marion | SR | 6'0" | 195 | — |
| WR | 4th | Cam Vaughn← West Virginia | SO | 6'2" | 185 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 5th | Vandrevius Jacobs← South Carolina | SO | 6'0" | 182 | ★★★★ |
| WR | 6th | Joshua Moore | FR | 6'4" | — | ★★★★ |
| WR | 7th | Tony Johnson | SR | 5'10" | 187 | — |
| WR | 8th | Daylyn Upshaw | FR | 6'0" | — | ★★★★ |
Tight Ends · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Elija Lofton | SO | 6'3" | 230 | ★★★★ |
| TE | 2nd | Alex Bauman | SR | 6'5" | 245 | ★★★ |
| TE | 3rd | Luka Gilbert | FR | 6'7" | — | ★★★★ |
Offensive Line · 1
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OT | — | Jamal Meriweather← Georgia | SO | 6'7" | 305 | ★★★ |
Defensive Line · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DL | 1st | Keona Davis← Nebraska | SO | 6'5" | 275 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 2nd | Ahmad Moten Sr. | JR | 6'3" | 325 | — |
| DL | 3rd | David Blay Jr. | SR | 6'4" | 303 | — |
| DL | 4th | Justin Scott | SO | 6'4" | 298 | ★★★★★ |
| DL | 5th | Marquise Lightfoot | SO | 6'5" | 230 | ★★★★★ |
| DL | 6th | Armondo Blount | SO | 6'4" | 260 | ★★★★★ |
| DL | 7th | Booker Pickett | FR | 6'4" | 210 | ★★★★ |
| DL | 8th | Herbert Scroggins III | FR | 6'3" | — | ★★★★ |
| DL | 9th | Donta Simpson | FR | 6'3" | — | ★★★ |
| DL | 10th | Jarquez Carter← Ohio State | FR | 6'1" | 288 | ★★★ |
| EDGE | 1st | Damon Wilson II← Missouri | JR | 6'4" | 250 | ★★★★ |
Linebackers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LB | 1st | Mohamed Toure | SR | 6'2" | 236 | — |
| LB | 2nd | Wesley Bissainthe | SR | 6'1" | 205 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 3rd | Chase Smith | SR | 6'2" | 210 | ★★★★ |
| LB | 4th | Jaylin Alderman | SR | 6'1" | 230 | — |
| LB | 5th | Cam Pruitt | FR | 6'2" | 200 | ★★★ |
| LB | 6th | Kellen Wiley Jr. | FR | 6'4" | — | ★★★★ |
| LB | 7th | Kamal Bonner | SO | 6'2" | 195 | ★★★ |
| LB | 8th | Ezekiel Marcelin Jr. | FR | 5'11" | — | ★★★ |
Defensive Backs · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DB | 1st | Zechariah Poyser | SO | 6'2" | 190 | — |
| DB | 2nd | Xavier Lucas | SO | 6'2" | 198 | ★★★★ |
| DB | 3rd | Damari Brown | SO | 6'2" | 195 | — |
| DB | 4th | Bryce Fitzgerald | FR | 6'1" | 172 | — |
| DB | 5th | Ethan O'Connor | SO | 6'1" | 172 | — |
| DB | 6th | Dylan Day | SO | 6'2" | 200 | — |
| DB | 7th | OJ Frederique Jr. | SO | 6'0" | 180 | ★★★ |
| DB | 8th | Isaiah Taylor | SR | 5'11" | 200 | ★★★ |
| DB | 9th | Ja'Boree Antoine | FR | 6'1" | — | — |
| DB | 10th | Nick Kelly | JR | 5'11" | 189 | — |
| DB | 11th | Andres Williams | FR | 5'10" | 175 | ★★★★ |
| S | 1st | Omar Thornton← Boston College | SO | 5'11" | 201 | ★★★★ |
| S | 2nd | Conrad Hussey← Oregon State | JR | 6'0" | 197 | ★★★ |
Special Teams · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Cl | Ht | Wt | ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | 1st | Jack Olsen← Northwestern | SR | 5'10" | 195 | ★★★ |
| K | 2nd | Jake Weinberg← Florida State | FR | 5'10" | 188 | ★★★ |
| LS | 1st | Adam Booker | JR | 6'4" | 205 | — |
| P | 1st | Dylan Joyce | JR | 6'2" | 215 | — |
| PK | 1st | Carter Davis | SR | 6'0" | 210 | — |
| PK | 2nd | Bert Auburn | SR | 6'0" | 185 | — |
| PK | — | Will Rocha | SO | 5'11" | 175 | — |
Projected Season
2026 · win prob / game
Exp. Wins
9.9
Exp. Losses
2.1
Toss-ups
0
bars: model win probabilityfav / toss-up / dog
2025 · pct vs FBS
SP+ Off
34.285
Off PPA
+0.2277
Pass PPA
+0.4493
Rush PPA
+0.1047
Success
47%86
Explosive
1.1612
PlayerMedian (50th)percentile vs league
Advanced
2025 · opponent-adjusted PPA / play
| Split | Offense | Defense |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | +0.22 | +0.03 |
| Passing | +0.44 | +0.13 |
| Rushing | +0.10 | -0.01 |
| 1st Down | +0.07 | -0.16 |
| 2nd Down | +0.27 | +0.13 |
| 3rd Down | +0.56 | +0.23 |
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
34.1
PPG Against
13.8
Differential
+20.3
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / L2025
- Overall
- 10-2
- Home
- 7-1
- Away
- 3-1
- Conference
- 6-2
- Non-Conference
- 4-0
- One-Score (≤8)
- 2-2
- Avg Margin
- +20.3
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 7-1 | 36.1 | 11.8 |
| Away | 4-1 | 26.0 | 15.0 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 25.3 | 22.7 |
| Competition | |||
| vs Ranked (SP+ 25) | 4-3 | 22.0 | 20.7 |
| Conference | 6-2 | 32.8 | 15.0 |
| Non-conference | 7-1 | 29.1 | 14.6 |
Season History · last 12
2 AP top-10 · 10 postseason
| Season | Record | Conf | SP+ | AP | Post |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #9 | #2 | 3-1 |
| 2024 | 10-2 | 6-2 | #10 | #4 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 7-5 | 3-5 | #28 | #17 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 5-7 | 3-5 | #76 | #13 | — |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 5-3 | #32 | #14 | — |
| 2020 | 8-2 | 7-2 | #20 | — | 0-1 |
| 2019 | 6-6 | 4-4 | #32 | — | 0-1 |
| 2018 | 7-5 | 4-4 | #27 | — | 0-1 |
| 2017 | 10-2 | 7-2 | #18 | — | 0-1 |
| 2016 | 8-4 | 5-3 | #12 | — | 1-0 |
| 2015 | 8-4 | 5-3 | #35 | — | 0-1 |
| 2014 | 6-6 | 3-5 | #27 | — | 0-1 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 1-0 ATS · O0/U1
Betting Profile
2025 · 12 w/ line
| Straight up | 13-3 |
| ATS | 7-558% |
| Over / Under | 4-8 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 6-5 |
| As underdog | 1-0 |
| Home | 5-3 |
| Away | 2-2 |
vs closing line · splits show cover–no cover
Recruiting Classes
avg #14 · 144 blue-chip
■ 5★■ 4★■ 3★197 rated signees
| Class | Natl | Pts | 5★ | 4★ | 3★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | #9 | 285 | 1 | 20 | 2 |
| 2025 | #13 | 258 | 0 | 16 | 4 |
| 2024 | #4 | 292 | 3 | 11 | 7 |
| 2023 | #7 | 285 | 2 | 14 | 2 |
| 2022 | #16 | 235 | 0 | 10 | 2 |
| 2021 | #12 | 263 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
| 2020 | #13 | 257 | 0 | 9 | 3 |
| 2019 | #27 | 222 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 2018 | #8 | 281 | 1 | 14 | 9 |
| 2017 | #12 | 249 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
247Sports composite · class rank vs all FBS
Roster Talent
2026
Portal in 13net -6Out 19
Portal avg stars (in / out)3.5 / 3.0
Notable Portal Moves
| ▲ | Damon Wilson II | EDGE | 4★ | ← Missouri |
| ▲ | Darian Mensah | QB | 4★ | ← Duke |
| ▲ | Cooper Barkate | WR | 4★ | ← Duke |
| ▲ | Keona Davis | DL | 4★ | ← Nebraska |
| ▼ | Raul Aguirre Jr. | LB | 3★ | → NC State |
| ▼ | Joshisa Trader | WR | 3★ | → NC State |
| ▼ | Donta Simpson Jr. | DL | 3★ | → Missouri |
| ▼ | Charles Brantley | CB | 3★ | → Michigan State |
returning PPA · portal · talent composite · 2026
Injury Report · 0
No injuries reported.
Team News
20 items
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- Miami Football Preview 2026: Can the Hurricanes Get Back to the CFP?After Miami came close to winning the national title, Mario Cristobal now has to keep the Hurricanes among the elite.MIA1d
- 5-star Miami 2027 commit goes viral for incredible catch, and it's zero surprise to Hurricanes fansThe Hurricanes have a potential star coming to Coral Gables next year.MIA1d
- Miami Ohio football commit Giorgio Jackson Jr. recruiting profileA look at Massillon Washington High School football star Giorgio Jackson Jr., a Miami (Ohio) commit, including his stats and other recruiting offers.MIA3d
- Bigger, Faster, Stronger: Miami's X-Factors Project Positive ResultsMiami's star players are even bigger and stronger heading into the 2026 season.MIA4d
- Why McElroy says Miami could be even better this seasonWhy McElroy says Miami could be even better this seasonMIA4d
- Miami HC Mario Cristobal Reveals Major Shift In Hurricanes’ QB PlanThe Hurricanes could be approaching the quarterback position differently in the near future, according to Mario Cristobal. The post Miami HC Mario Cristobal Reveals Major Shift In Hurricanes’ QB Plan appeared first on HEAVY.MIA5d
- What Miami needs to avoid this seasonWhat Miami needs to avoid this seasonMIA5d
- Cam Ward and Carson Beck's Success at Miami Helped Darian Mensah's Lucrative DecisionThe Miami Hurricanes and their success with transfer-portal quarterbacks lured Darain Mensah away from Duke as his NFL dreams are molded under the set blueprint.MIA5d
- Mario Cristobal has guided Miami back to elite status -- now he wants to finish the jobAfter silencing critics with a lengthy College Football Playoff run in 2025, Cristobal has the Hurricanes poised to finish the climb to the summit in 2026MIA5d
- ACC revamps tiebreakers for conference title game after 5-loss Duke team got in over No. 10 MiamiThe Atlantic Coast Conference is revamping the tiebreaker format for its football championship game following a controversial finish last season that allowed a five-loss Duke team to reach the title game over then No. 10-ranked Miami.MIA5d
- ACC finalizes new tiebreaker rules after Miami missed conference title gameThe ACC announced new tiebreaker rules ahead of the 2026 season, following its conference title game fiasco last year.MIA5d
- Hurricanes likely won’t turn to portal for quarterback next year, Cristobal saysThe Hurricanes have made a habit of plucking a quarterback out of the transfer portal each offseason. But Miami coach Mario Cristobal said he does not expect that to be the case after this season. “We finally feel our quarterback room and its supporting cast is ready to roll,” Cristobal told WQAM at the start of the ACC Football Kickoff. “So at this time next year, we don’t have to go to the ...MIA5d
- Three Burning Questions for Miami Ahead of 2026 ACC Football KickoffThe college football season nears as the Miami Hurricanes prepare for burning questions at ACC Kickoff.MIA6d
- Former Miami Hurricanes CB Keionte Scott explains why he turned to the Ohio State sideline during pick six in the Cotton BowlThe former Miami star defender had some fun at Ohio State's expense during the game's biggest moment.
- Get to Know Miami Commits: Q&A with Blue Chip OL Kweli FielderLearn more about 2028 commit Kweli Fielder in this Q&A with Miami Hurricanes on SI.MIA8d
- Former Miami Hurricanes Defensive Game-Changer Recalls Iconic PickKeionte Scott relives the 72-yard playoff pick-six that silenced doubters, defied a hand injury, and signaled the Miami Hurricanes' thunderous return to college football's elite stage.
- Miami Hurricanes' Mario Cristobal Named on Dodd Trophy WatchlistAfter leading the Miami Hurricanes to a historic national title appearance, the hometown coach targets more history as he vies to become the program's first-ever winner of this prestigious honor.MIA9d
- Miami Hurricanes the odds on favorite to finally accomplish a major milestone that they've never achievedThe Canes are getting a lot of love to end an ugly drought.MIA9d
- Miami Football: 2026 Hurricanes Season Preview and PredictionAthlon Sports previews Miami's 2026 season and where coach Mario Cristobal team projects in the ACC.MIA10d